Gadfly is Marty Aussenberg, a columnist for the weekly Memphis Flyer. Marty is a former SEC enforcement official, currently in private law practice in Memphis, Tennessee. (A full bio is below the fold.)
[editor’s note, by susanhu] See Martin’s Nov. 2 article, “No Crime, No Foul.”
The indictment of “Scooter” Libby, ONLY Scooter Libby, and ONLY on investigation- related charges (perjury, obstruction of justice, lying to investigators), is bound to be misinterpreted (read: spun), by ideologues on both sides of the political spectrum. Lefties (in addition to being disappointed that their favorite bête noire, Karl Rove, has seemingly evaded the prosecutor’s net) will feel like some of the wind has been knocked out of their sails because no crime was charged in connection with the underlying revelation of Valerie Plame’s identity (a key element in their assertion that such revelation was motivated by the need to discredit a vocal critic of administration’s casus belli for the war–Iraq’s possession or acquisition of nuclear weapons capability). And righties will revel in that same fact (i.e., since no crime was committed by the Plame outing, the outing was nothing more than a legitimate defense against the attack on the motivation for the war–in other words, politics as usual).
But, to continue Patrick Fitzgerald’s somewhat tortured baseball analogy, there is no reason either for joy or sorrow in Mudville. Mighty Casey (a/k/a Fitzgerald) has, in essence, taken a base on balls, four (or, in Libby’s case, five) lousy pitches, none of which he could really swing at, much less hit out of the park. And, just like a base on balls does’t count as an at-bat, in some ways Fitz still hasn’t stepped up to the plate. But, I suggest that what he may have done is to cork a bat for his next up.
Yesterday’s indictment was dictated by time more than anything else. With the grand jury’s term expiring today, if any indictment was going to be returned, this was the day, and I, for one, don’t question Fitzgerald’s statement that Libby’s obstruction of the investigation prevented him from getting to the truth about the so-called “underlying” charges (e.g., those associated with outing a CIA operative). Indeed, the obstruction charged against Libby prevented the prosecutor from furnishing the one element of the underlying crimes that may be the most difficult to prove: mens rea, as it’s known in the criminal law (i.e., a culpable state of mind). But, be assured: the last out in this game is still to come, and the indictment is a shot across the bow for a whole host of characters in this unfolding drama that should indicate to them sighs of relief would be premature.
First, we know that Fitz intends to continue the investigation, albeit with a new grand jury. That’s no big deal, since the evidence that was presented to the first grand jury will be available, word-for-word and page-for-page, to the next one for their examination and, if necessary, for further elaboration or elucidation either by the prosecutor or by additional witnesses. In other words, the new grand jury won’t be starting from scratch—not by a long shot.
Second, even the fact that Libby wasn’t indicted for any of the possible classified-information-related offenses does’t mean he still can’t be, since the special prosecutor has the prerogative of getting a superseding indictment from the grand jury which is to follow (not unlike what the prosecutor in Texas did in Tom Delay’s case). Thus, Libby is still, technically under the gun, and the indictment itself is rife with indications that there is another shoe yet to drop, something Fitz also strongly foreshadowed in his responses to reporters’ questions during his press conference. And, of course, neither Rove nor any of a variety of other characters whose participation was described in shadowy terms are, as yet, off the hook.
Continued below:
Under the applicable federal rule, indictments are only required to be a “plain, concise, and definite written statement of the essential facts constituting the offense charged.” The rule goes further to say indictments “need not contain a formal introduction or conclusion.”
The Libby indictment goes considerably beyond what the rule requires, or even envisions. It is what’s called, in courthouse vernacular, a “speaking indictment.” The purpose of a “speaking” filing, in any court proceeding, is to show the other side some of the stronger cards you’re holding in your hand, and this indictment is no exception.
The first 25 paragraphs of the indictment take great pains to lay out a factual scenario, replete with the identity (if not by name then by title) of the entire cast of characters, which, when carefully parsed, seems to set out the elements of at least one of the underlying classified information crimes, if not both. For example, the indictment indicates that the White House was well aware than Valerie Plame was a covert operative. Paragraph 9 states:
Libby was advised by the Vice President of the United States that Wilson’s wife worked at the Central Intelligence Agency in the Counterproliferation Division. Libby understood that the Vice President had learned this information from the CIA.
Anyone with knowledge of the CIA’s organizational chart (but particularly Cheney and Libby) knows that the Counterproliferation Division is part of the CIA’s Directorate of Operations (i.e., where the spooks are), and not where the more benign employees (e.g., analysts) are assigned. The indictment also makes it clear that Plame’s status at the CIA was classified, and that disclosure of such status could jeopardize national security.
Paragraph 13 of the indictment takes the guilty knowledge of Plame’s status one step farther:
Libby spoke by telephone with his then Principal Deputy and discussed the article. That official asked Libby whether information about Wilson’s trip could be shared with the press to rebut the allegations that the Vice President had sent Wilson. Libby responded that there would be complications at the CIA in disclosing that information publicly, and that he could not discuss the matter on a non-secure telephone line.
The indictment makes it clear that Libby was authorized to have access to classified information (Paragraph 1), but also takes pains to point out not only that he was obligated not to disclose that information, but that he had signed a “Classified Information Nondisclosure Agreement” the primary purpose of which was to let its signatories know, in no uncertain terms, that disclosure of classified information would be a big no-no.
Voila! All of the elements, at least of the Espionage Act (if not the Intelligence Identities Protection Act), have been made out in the indictment. So, why go to all the trouble of setting up the factual predicates for violations of the classified information statutes in the indictment (especially when he didn’t have to) and then stop short of charging them? The explanation he gave during his press conference (i.e., that he was balancing the interests of the First Amendment with the wisdom of charging the crime) does’t fly. Subpoenaing reporters, sending one to jail and threatening to do the same to another one demonstrate, I suggest, his less-than-overarching concern about the First Amendment. And, his expressed concern that the U.S. statute governing classified information not become subject to the loose application which has characterized its British analog (i.e., the “Official Secrets Act”) also rings hollow, especially given the fact that he trumpeted, loud and long, during his press conference the serious violations of national security the conduct in this case appears to have constituted.
No, the real reason to lay out as much factual detail as he did was for Fitz to show the world (and in particular, the world within the White House) that he has the goods, and that he won’t hesitate to drop the dime on some additional malefactors, particularly, Cheney. Let’s face it: Libby is only the consigliere to Cheney’s don. Even though the threat of spending 30 years in the pokey will be a powerful incentive for Libby to cut some kind of deal that might include turning on his boss, the possibility of the additional charges of revealing classified information, particularly against Cheney, is even more powerful since, presumably, Cheney does’t appear to be at risk of a truth-telling-related indictment.
Let’s agree on something else right now: Libby’s case will never get to trial, primarily because Bush and Cheney will never allow such a trial to become precisely the kind of exposé of the administration’s motives and actions in the run-up to the war they were worried the indictments would constitute. It would be their worst nightmare to have their war machinations presented to a jury of 12 ordinary citizens in the District of Columbia (read: predominantly African Americans) who would be sitting as proxies for the families of 2,000 plus military fatalities in Iraq and the plurality of the country that opposes the war. The risk there is not just exposure to the possibility of conviction in Washington, D.C., but a subsequent prosecution in The Hague as well.
Yes, my friends, Fitz is about to grab the pine tar rag, choose another, very special, piece of lumber and step back into the on-deck circle for the home run that is sure to follow. Batter up!
Mr. Aussenberg is an attorney practicing in his own firm in Memphis, Tennessee. He began his career in the private practice of law in Memphis after relocating from Washington, D.C., where he spent five years at the Securities and Exchange Commission as a Special Counsel and Trial Attorney in its Enforcement Division, during which time he handled or supervised the investigation and litigation of several significant cases involving insider trading, market manipulation, and management fraud. Prior to his stint at the S.E.C., he was an Assistant Attorney General with the Pennsylvania Department of Banking in Philadelphia and was the Attorney-In-Charge of Litigation for the Pennsylvania Securities Commission, where, in addition to representing that agency in numerous state trial and appellate courts, he successfully prosecuted the first case of criminal securities fraud in the state’s history.
Mr. Aussenberg’s private practice has focused primarily on investment, financial, corporate and business counseling, litigation and arbitration and regulatory proceedings. He has represented individual, institutional and governmental investors, as well as brokerage firms and individual brokers, in securities and commodities-related matters, S.E.C., NASD and state securities regulatory proceedings, and has represented parties in shareholder derivative, class action and multi-district litigation, as well as defending parties in securities, commodities, and other “white-collar” criminal cases.
Mr. Aussenberg received his J.D. degree from the University of Pittsburgh School of Law, and his B.A. degree in Honors Political Science from the University of Pittsburgh. Immediately following law school, he served as a Reginald Heber Smith Community Lawyer Fellow with the Delaware County Legal Assistance Association in Chester, Pennsylvania.
He is admitted to practice in Tennessee, Pennsylvania and the District of Columbia, before the United States Supreme Court, the Third and Sixth Circuit Courts of Appeals, and the United States Tax Court, as well as federal district courts in Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana. He is an arbitrator for the NASD, New York Stock Exchange and American Arbitration Association, has published articles (“Stockbroker Fraud: This Kind of Churning Doesn’t Make Butter”, Journal of the Tennessee Society of C.P.A.’s,; Newsletter of the Arkansas Society of C.P.A.’s; Hoosier Banker (Indiana Bankers Association), and been a featured speaker on a variety of topics at seminars in the United States and Canada, including: Municipal Treasurers Association of the United States and Canada, Ottawa, Canada; Government Finance Officers Association; National Institute of Municipal Law Officers, Washington, D.C. ; Tennessee Society of Certified Public Accountants, Memphis, TN; Tennessee Association of Public Accountants, Memphis, TN (1993)
.
Mr. Aussenberg has two children, a daughter who is a graduate of Columbia University and holds a Masters in Public Health from Johns Hopkins University and is currently a student at the University of Pittsburgh School of Law, and a son who is a graduate of Brown University and is working with a conservation organization in Marin County, California while he decides what to do with the rest of his life.
Mr. Aussenberg is an avid golfer whose only handicap is his game, an occasional trap shooter whose best competitive score was a 92, and an even less frequent jazz drummer.
That answers one thing that was kicking around in my head – the fact that Libby can stilled be charged with other offenses.
Subpoenaing reporters, sending one to jail and threatening to do the same to another one demonstrate, I suggest, his less-than-overarching concern about the First Amendment.
He wouldn’t have had to involve them to that extent if Libby had cooperated in the first place.
Right! And, besides prison time, Fitz has that hammer over Scooter’s head.
Seems like he has it over everyone head still. Wouldn’t it be nice if this was just a preview of what is to come?
and welcome to Booman Tribune!
Thanks for the diary – clear and concise (and strangely uplifting).
This is the seventh inning stretch, to further abuse the baseball metaphor. I’d score it:
RUNS HITS ERRORS
Bush Neocons 0 0 1+ 1 man left on [Libby]
Fitz 0 1 0
More to come…
Peace
Excellent analysis.
Boy you have answered a lot of questions and made me very happy. Even if this doesn’t happen I can dream that it might. Do you think that Fitz already has indictments from his first GJ and they are sealed then depending on what happens, not only with Libby, but the rest of the crooks, depends on how he uses them? I just wish Fitz didn’t talk in his Press conference like he was just tying up some loose ends. The idea that he wanted to spell it all out and make them crap their pants no knowing what he will do next is just simply Delightful. Thanks for posting a most excellent diary. Come back more often..ya’ hear.
I think Fitz was trying to give the rest of the criminals a false sense of security preparatory to tricking them into revealing more about their crimes and sandbagging them in such a way that they simply lose all hope of squirming out of the jaws of justice.
In conflict, if you camn defeat your opponents mind, his will and belief in his ability to prevail, then you’ve won without having to use force. I suspect Fitz is doing his own version of a PSYOPS operation on these shitbirds.
I still think Fitzgerald’s game plan is to give them a chance to come clean and spare the country the most painful option with the worst outcome: years of paralysis in an ongoing melodrama with a murky resolution that does little to prevent this all from happening again.
Fitzgerald knows history: Ollie North actually is regarded as a hero in some circles even though he said something like “there are some things more important than the constitution,” and there are Iran/Contra players active in this criminal episode as well.
I don’t think it will work, but he’s probably right to try.
Thanks for some great explanation of the process. If you or anyone else could shed some light on the extent of boundaries of investigation, it would be appreciated.
For the intricate web of actions surrounding the original suspected crime, how definite must the link be to fall within this investigation? Is it a simple process to pursue other suspected actions if they aren’t included with this one?
For instance, could the circumstances of the Niger forgeries and others such as the Butler Report be considered part of this or would a separate inquiry have to be established? Along those lines, if a case arises that the war was pursued on false pretenses, would other evidence that was involved also be suspect for it’s use, if nothing else?
Everything is connected in this administration. Bush chose the same lawyer to represent him that has/is representing Ken Lay who was a major donor to Bush and beneffitted in areas that are under investigation. He also sat in on many of the Energy Task Force meetings, which were kept secret by a SCOTUS Justice that possibly had a conflict of interest with the VP to favor his decisions. If this influence/information/evidence was also used to further the case for a war on false pretense would it be subject to investigation as connected to the Plame case, if the connection could be made that it was part of an organized effort?
The delegation of authority pursuant to which Fitzgerald was appointed is limited, but its own terms. It states:
“[M]y December 30, 2003, delegation to you of “all the authority of the Attorney General with respect to the Department’s investigation into the alleged unauthorized disclosure of a CIA employee’s identity” is plenary and includes the authority to investigate and prosecute violations of any federal criminal laws related to the underlying alleged unauthorized disclosure, as well as federal crimes committed in the course of, and with intent to interfere with, your investigation, such as perjury, obstruction of justice, destruction of evidence, and intimidation of witnesses…”
So while the words “plenary” and “includes” could be interpreted broadly, I don’t think anyone (including Fitzgerald himself) believes Fitzgerald’s mandate would include, for example, the authority to investigate the “Italian forgeries.”
Thanks for the answer. I appreciate your insight here.
How would it be handled if evidence of a conspiracy in an related matter was uncovered during the course of this investigation? It would seem to be the case Fitzgerald alludes to of being equivalent to turning in their job if not pursuing to the best of their ability the prosecution of crimes uncovered.
I get the impression from Fitzgerald’s statement that there may be more to prosecute but that it might not be applicable in this investigation. If that’s the case how would that process work?
Perfect. His focus throughout was the damage to national security. That one can’t be spun.
This helps me understand a lot of things that had crossed my mind but, not being an attorney, I didn’t know what to make of my thoughts …
— the time pressure factor that led to yesterday’s announcement
— the section about the document being a “speaking indictment” — that was new to me
The risk there is not just exposure to the possibility of conviction in Washington, D.C., but a subsequent prosecution in The Hague as well.
— I’d swim to Europe to see that happen.
I do have some questions for Marty:
1) Why did Scooter come up with such a bogus story?
Is he intending to take the fall purposefully — through concentrating prosecutorial and media energies onto himself — thereby deflecting same from Cheney or others?
2) What about the four sources who Fitz mentioned yesterday in his press conference– the four who told Scooter about Plame’s identity:
a) a CIA official,
b) Cheney himself,
c) another person in Cheney’s office, and
d) someone at State
Was their sharing of that information permissible in all instances? (Cheney and the CIA official, I’d assume yes. The others?)
3) What about the others who got into the forgery business — Wurmser et al.?
Hi Susan,
I too would like to hear a more learned response to your questions (and a few of my own downthread) but I’ll throw out some thoughts in response to your questions.
1. Hubris. Libby and the rest of them never thought they’d get caught. Hubris.
1b. This is the big question. Is Libbby willing to take the fall for Cheney and the rest or will he flip? Is this Fitzgerald’s current area of effort?
2a. Tenet? I’m not sure this one matters except where it might reveal a facet of the loop of the neocon conspiracy.
2b. Cheney… I don’t have the indictment in front of me but… didn’t it say Cheney learned from either the under secretary of state or the CIA guy?
2c. Wuermser?
2d. an Under Secretary of State… as I asked below… Billmon writes as if he knows for a fact it is Marc Grossman and other figure it is John Bolton. Bolton makes sense given his and Plame’s shared area of responsibility.
I’m guessing at this point that all of these people had security clearance to know this sort of information and knew that the others had clearance to know such information but I also assume that the general rule of thumb on sharing such information follows a “need to know” guideline. Perhaps Johnson and Lang can answer that question. Is the rule even amongst people with proper security clearance one of “need to know” or does it not matter at that point? This matters when it comes to clobbering the “common gossip” talking point of the RWNM.
I do think a lot of what Fitzgerald said yesterday was smokescreen bs but I also believe him when he seemed to make it clear he is not getting into the original-origins of this mess… i.e. the Niger forgeries themselves. That is another investigation.
The last question though is to follow up on one that Josh Marshall left sitting on his web site…
Why did Fitzgerald meet with The President’s criminal attorney, Mr. Sharp, the other day? Sharp was retained for this particular matter and is not the Presidents attorney for Presidential business.
The only answer I can think of given what we know for sure is that he was informing the President, through the lawyer involved in the case, that he is targeting or continuing to target additional executive branch officials.
Anyone else have more or different information and insight and want to take a crack at these?
oh… one last thing… that indictment was definitely talking to someone(s). Not having ever been indicted or in the indictment business I have never previously heard the term “speaking indictment” but it seemed pretty clear to me that there was more in that document then was actually being charged.
Was Fitzgerald, through this speaking indictment, telling Libby, “I’ve got you on treason but I’m offering you a chance to plea bargain lying if you cooperate and fill in a remaining blank or two.” Is that what you thought you heard that document say? It sure is what I thought I was hearing.
I’ve thought a lot about why an apparently bright, accomplished, experienced policy wonk like Libby could have beeen as astonishingly stupid as he seems to have been. I’ve decided it wasn’t stupidity; it was arrogance (or hubris, as others have characterized it). I think it’s another example of the emperor having no clothes. It took a Pat Fitzgerald to hold a mirror up to the imperial White House.
Whatever intuitiveness I might possess tells me that this insightful and sensible analysis islikely to be accurate.
I only heard Fitz’s press conference on my car radio since my power was out due to the hurricane, but I sensed a very adept showman with a serious mission was at work here, carefully and craftily setting the traps to outmaneuver the criminals responsible for this whole mess.
Ordinarily I’m not that enthusiastic about the “absolutist” sort of thinking that often accompanies law enforcement and judicial issues. But there are times when such absolutism is warranted, and certainly when the government outs one of it’s own in an attempt to discredit another one of it’s own, such shabby behavior cannot possibly be tolerated on any level if the democracy is not to be seriously jeopardized. So, I hope Fitz really let’s ‘er rip!
I hope you’re doing as well as possible in the hurricane aftermath.
The video of Fitzgerald’s press conference is available online here Special Prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald on Lewis Libby Indictments (10/28/2005) on this page at C-Span
Yes I am doing well and thanks for the thought. The power here in Deerfield Beach just came on about 2 hours ago. I already had the hot shower and cooked a hot meal and the clothes should just be coming out of the dryer in a few minutes.
Still no tv or broadband internet connection so I’m using a free AOL trial disc to get online. (I have to say that having been spoiled by broadband speed, the AOL has tried my patience.) More importantly, today was a beautiful day, I had a great long walk to exercise my recovering body, and I’m somehow just feeling really really happy to be alive.
And, I’m rooting for Fitz to get the bad guys!
Good to have legal expertise applied. With my political rather than legal intuition, I agree that Libby will never go to trial, although I expect it all might drag out so long until people aren’t paying so much attention, then a quick plea and a pardon in Bush’s last days.
I hope you’re right about more to come, although I’d have to believe that Fitzgerald was being deliberately deceptive yesterday in his explanations of the applicable laws on spilling secrets, and the narrow area he is dealing with, which doesn’t bear on “the war” or the deceptions that got the US into it.
I’m willing to believe that Rove and perhaps others are still on the hot seat, and that this case was set up in part to inspire Libby to make a deal and reveal more, but as much as I hope you and others are right about what’s to come, I am not expecting it.
Interesting… but is it the espionage act that he lays out the case for… or is it a conspiracy case given all the titles and “lettered” officials mentioned?
Or both?
It seems clear to me that the paragraphs in question (Josh Marshall has been questioning them as well) regarding the Norfolks plane flight are there to show that there were multiple players involved… including, most likely, the Vice President.
The paragraph wherein Libby tells his subordinate that there are complications in using the Plame/CIA information shows that he knew that this was classified information.
Can anyone confirm who the under secretary of state is? I have heard both Marc Grossman (Billmon writes as if there is no question it is him) and John Bolton mentioned as most likely. Bolton makes a lot of sense but I’ve seen no evidence for either. Does anyone have real evidence?
Steve Clemons believes it’s Grossman:
<snip>
The Undersecretary of State referenced in the indictment is not John Bolton — it is Marc Grossman, the former U/S for Political Affairs. Because Powell and Armitage were out of the country at the time, Grossman was Acting Sec State. Hence, the State Department’s INR forwarded Grossman the memo on the Niger stuff and Plame and Wilson’s role, and Grossman forwarded it on to the White House. Nothing sinister — Grossman was just peforming his bureaucratic function.
</snip>
Thanks. That makes sense… although Bolton was dealing with WMD’s in his role so it would not have been nefarious for him to know about Plame or about Wilson’s trip either. So it could still be either but it makes sense that it would be Grossman in that context.
Andrew, Larry Johnson wrote in his story yesterday that it’s either Marc Grossman or John Bolton.
I looked up Grossman. Guess who he works with these days. William Cohen, in The Cohen Group.
Re the specific acts, that’s how i first encountered Marty’s writing. On October 21` — god, that seems like a year ago! — I wrote “Fitz’s Targets: They Who Reveal National Security Secrets” and used Marty’s excellent piece in the Memphis Flyer:
Beyond handicapping the game, he explains each act very clearly. It’s a wonderful, concise reference.
Cohen. Geebus! These guys really do run like a greek not-so-secret society. Next thing someone will be telling us is that the warden at the prison some of these schmucks ought to be going to is the old room mate and pledge brother of Bolton! LOL
I agree that it seemed clear that he laid the case for espionage in the indictment but it also seems clear that he was showing a pretty tight circle of titles and names that would lead to conspiracy charges. The discussion aboard the airplane really runs in that direction. Cheney is not named (here but apparently he was in previous newspaper articles specifically in the context of that flight) but a group of people discussed the course of action to take and then Libby took it. That is the groundwork for conspiracy and the admonition to the underling not to use the information shows knowledge that the info was classified and that all adds up to premeditation.
The stage is set for espionage charges. Delightful.
Everything I’ve heard about Fitzgerald is so glowing, when I heard him say First Amendment, I thought immediately of the people’s right to know what’s going on in their government. It’s the responsibility of the press to inform us, and it’s our duty to know. That’s what they taught me in civics class.
I think — I hope — that he thinks we the people are supposed to be informed in a democracy, but if he informs us too early we won’t get all the criminals. Any chance?
Brilliant analysis gadfly.
An analogy that might fit is that Patrick threw a high inside fastball right under the chin of BushCo. He’s saying “Don’t dig in and get comfortable because the next could be behind your head”.
Anyone’s who’s played baseball knows the way to hit someone is to throw behind them and not at them because the natural tendancy is to back away.
Thank you for laying this out so clearly, and making sense of so many of the “loose ends”.
“…Mighty Casey (a/k/a Fitzgerald)…”
Not how I read it when I heard it…
For me, the guy at the plate is a girl, Valerie Plame, and the Umpire is Fitz…
Fitz has a hard case here. He has to figure out those five things he rattled off to determine if batter was intentionally beaned- (Was it five? I need to view it again, he seemed to spell it right out for everyone.
THe Umpire is having problems with sand in his eyes, so much so that Rove wasn’t indicted, and the investigation, information still lacking, no help from Fitz, is ongoing-
That, in my view, is what is known as a Royale Clusterfuck, and the last thing I see Fitz doing is going down in one of those spinouts-
Should be intersting however things shake out-
This is not the end. Nor is it the beginning of the end. It is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.
The ball didn’t get rolling in Watergate until after the indictments of the burglars. Look at Fitzgerald’s past cases and how they were solved. Unless Congress starts holding hearings, this will go on until after this administration leaves office, tainting them everyday with the drip drip drip of scandal and revelations.
Of course, a republican congress creates its own special problems.
I dunno know.
All it takes is one teeny weeny pardon and puhff, it’s all over.
good post, great analysis.
my thinking of what fitz did yesterday also involved a baseball bat but in a different context. from what he asserts in the indictment it looks like he has what he needs to indict scooter and rove – i mean official A – on violation of the espionage act and possibly the IIPA, plus half a dozen other folks for conspiracy. i doubt he would assert things in the indictment he didn’t have evidence to support.
so the perjury/obstruction charge is just an opening shot to show these guys he means business and they’d better cooperate.
you know that scene in all the cop movies where the tough-guy cop is interrogating the suspect and he sends the other people out of the room, locks the door and suddenly slams a baseball bat down on the table in front of the guy, asking if he’s ready to play ball? i’m thinking that’s essentially what fitz did yesterday (but with the law instead of the threat of violence, of course).
Excellent post, I think, and note the the cornerites and similar Bush apologists are already faulting Fitz’ for having set out the facts of the leaking him, calling it “an allegation, not a charge”, hence “making it impossible for Libby to defend himself against it”. Pure spin.
One small thing, though, concerning the concluding sentence:
This will of course NEVER happen, as a matter of international law, since the US is not party to the convention establishing the War Crimes Tribunal.
But doesn’t all the lying strongly indicate that Libby thought he had committed a crime-the violation of the Espionage Statutes?
Nah, he could be lying “only for political reasons”, like, protecting a damning allegation against the veep, before the election.
A question:
How are we to reconcile the idea that Bush and Cheney will “never let this get to trial” with the fact that Libby has already made a statement that he feels he will be “Completely and totally exonerated”?
To my understanding, the only way to keep this from going to trial is to plead guilty. Either as part of a plea agreement, or by just plain admitting the crime. I agree that the best case scenario for these jokers is that Libby pleads, goes away, and then gets pardoned. But should we expect Libby to renig on his statement that he, essentially, is innocent and intends to prove it?
I wonder if he cleared that statement with Cheney, Bush, and their army of lawyers? My best intuition says no, and, if he didn’t that lends EVEN MORE to the theory that Libby is ripe to flip on them…
When could Bush offer pardon(s)? How soon would he dare? Would he dare to pardon an espionage verdict?
It makes sense to me that Fitzgerald would keep an indictment or two in reserve for anyone under indictment. Espionage charges just might make even Libby think twice about going to trial and might produce a flip. But I doubt it. The downside is most likely very, very dangerous and ugly. And he knows BushCo goes after family members–this is not the Mafia he would be messing with.
However, Libby probably has been given the wink-wink, nod-nod that pardons will be given. His attorneys will take argument after argument through the system, to the SC if necessary, and put off the actual trial, until…January, 2009, when Bush pardons all those indicted.
Unless one or more has pissed BushCo off “big time.”