Polls are polls and elections are elections. In America, neither are all that accurate, and in both cases they are are only snapshots in time. We have a snapshot in time to look at today. I’ll remind you that the Democrats need a gain of 15 seats to take control of the House of Representatives. We are almost assured of winning Tom Delay’s seat (TX-22), Mark Foley’s seat (FL-16), and Bob Ney’s seat (OH-18). We are also heavily favored to win Jim Kolbe’s seat (AZ-08). What we are looking for are 11 more seats. Zogby’s latest telephone poll is quite encouraging.

Bob Beauprez (CO-07) is abandoning his seat to run for Governor. The Democrat, Ed Perlmutter, is leading his opponent 45%-34%. Joe Courtney is leading Rob Simmons (CT-02) 44%-41%. Christopher Shays (CT-04) is trailing Diane Farrell (46%-41%). Peter Roskam is trailing Iraq War Veteran Tammy Duckworth 43%-38% in the race to take over Henry Hyde’s (IL-06) seat. Chris Chocola (IN-02) trails Joe Donnelly 48.5%-39%. Mike Sodrel (IN-09) trails Baron Hill 46%-38%. In New Mexico, Heather Wilson (NM-01) is floundering badly. She trails Patricia Madrid 50%-40%. In the Smoky Mountains of North Carolina, former NFL quarterback Heath Schuler leads eight-term incumbent Charles Taylor (NC-11) by a stunning 51%-40%. Phil Kellum leads his first-term opponent, Thelma Drake (VA-02), by 46%-42%. In the Philly suburbs, Lois Murphy leads Jim Gerlach (PA-06) 43%-41%.

The Democrats are leading in places where they do not traditionally do well. We are looking at picking up seats in Sugarland, Texas and Virginia Beach and the Smoky Mountains, in Indiana, in Henry Hyde’s district, in rural Ohio, in the pederast’s district that he carried last election by 36%…

If we just win the seats identified above we will have a net gain of thirteen seats.

I think we will win many more seats than these. We have a great chance to win three more seats (07,08,10) in Pennsylvania alone.

What’s going on in your congressional district?

0 0 votes
Article Rating