MISSOURI: If you need any further motivation to support Claire McCaskill, read Jim Talent’s opinions on laws regulating abortion. Here is what Novakula has to say:
“Polls show this race on the razor’s edge between Sen. Jim Talent (R) and state Auditor Claire McCaskill (D). Talent, however, has more than 15 times as much cash in his own campaign account for the home stretch — $4.2 million to $250,000.”
SurveyUSA has McCaskill up by nine, Rasmussen has her down by one.
TENNESSEE: Harold Ford, Jr. is a clever guy. On the first day of early voting in Tennessee, he chose to campaign in his opponent’s home town:
On the state’s first day of early voting, Rep. Ford, after his Chattanooga speech, led his supporters on a quarter-mile march on foot alongside the busy highway to the Hamilton County Election Commission. Rep. Ford stopped at least once during the walk to put bumper stickers on the back of at least one car entering the commission’s parking lot.
Meanwhile, Corker continues to be plagued by ethical problems.
Rasmssen has Ford up by two. SurveyUSA has Corker up by two.
VIRGINIA: The Washington Post endorsed Webb, the Moonie Times endorsed Allen. Bush is openly campaiging for Macaca (as well as mistress-beater Rep. Sherwood (PA-10)) today. Slick Willie is openly campaigning for Webb today. A Washington Post poll puts the racist in the lead at 49%-47%. There’s a 3% margin of error. Rassmussen has Allen up by three.
NEVADA: Jack Carter and John Ensign had their fisrt debate on the 16th. No new polling yet. Carter has a lot less money and he is trailing badly in the polls. Hopefully, he will get a big bump from his exposure in the debates.
ARIZONA: Kyl and Pederson were joined by a combative Libertarian candidate in yesterday’s debate. That can’t be good for Kyl. Just as Lamont needs the Republican to do well in Connecticut, Pederson needs the Libertarian to draw off some votes. Kyl is polling 5-10 points ahead.
MONTANA: Montana State University has Tester ahead of Crooked Conrad Burns, 46%-35%.
PENNSYLVANIA: Rasmusssen has Bob Casey, Jr. ahead 55%-43%. Say goodnight, Rick.
RHODE ISLAND: Rasmussen has Sheldon Whitehouse ahead 51%-42%. But Rhode Island College has it at 40%-37% with 23% still undecided.
OHIO: Lots of recent polls for Ohio. All of them good. NYT/CBS has Sherrod Brown up 49%-35%. Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA and the University of Cincinnati all have Brown over 50%. These are stunning numbers for a challenger.
NEW JERSEY: Yesterday was official pander to Israel day in this race. Both Rasmussen and Quinnipiac have Menendez up by four.
MARYLAND: The latest SurveyUSA poll has this race tied. I have no explanation for that. The only other recent poll has Cardin ahead 53%-44%.
William Greider speaks for a lot of us.
Okay, I admit it. As the election approaches, I am feeling a creepy sense of paranoia. My right brain reads the newspapers, studies the polls and thinks we are looking at a blow-out next month–Dems conquer at last. My left brain hoots in derision. Get real, sucker.
We are so tense – every dimension of our society is tense – from seeing your neigbor yard sign for a Republican candidate to knowing food banks have extreme shortages – to knowing Bank America had a 41% increase in its profit – to knowing your income just doesn’t cover the cost for a needed new refrigerator – to knowing your daughter will be going to Iraq for her second or third tour – to knowing our f-ing government lies, lies, lies and meanwhile junior Bush uses Air Force One nearly every day to campaign, the only action, besides exercise to which he gives any personal attention – to knowing for sure the only policy for Bush/Rove/Cheney is “any means to hold onto power” while gutting our constitution and tossing our American values out the door.
VIRGINIA: The Washington Post endorsed Webb, the Moonie Times endorsed Allen. Bush is openly campaiging for Macaca (as well as mistress-beater Rep. Sherwood (PA-10)) today. Slick Willie is openly campaigning for Webb today. A Washington Post poll puts the racist in the lead at 49%-47%. There’s a 3% margin of error. Rassmussen has Allen up by three.
Slick Willie? This is a designation best left to the use of Repugnican “pundits”.
He’ll always be Slick Willie to me.
That SurveyUSA poll is an outlier IMO. I think it’s still basically tied.
It FEELS like McCaskill has momentum though. But it’s always hard to tell in this state because of the difference between urban and rural voters.
Claire has less money in the bank than Talent and that’s not good. But it’s not as dire as it sounds. McCaskill is fiscally saavy (she’s been a good state auditor) and she pre-purchased as many end-of-campaign ad spots as she could before the end of last quarter.
That makes her cash on hand low, but the ads are already paid for and she will be on the air against him in the next few crucial weeks.
There is no doubt, though, that the funding discrepancy will give her less flexibility. And he (and the Republican party) are going to pull all the stops out. So any help would be appreciated.
Don’t be so sure that a Libertarian candidate doing well is bad for republicans.
In the past, there was a fairly strong connection between the two. But everyone that I know that has ever voted Libertarian (including myself) for national offices, is voting either Lib or Dem this year, with most of them voting Dem to try to castrate the big government party that is in power right now.
Remember, most Libertarians are Libertarian because the believe in personal freedom. They believe in small government because small governemtn is not as good at reducing your freedoms.
What major party is the party of the patriot act? What party has built the biggest government in history (but refuses to pay the bills)? What party lied to get us into a war that we never should have been in? What party is trying to get rid of a woman’s right to get whatever medical treatment she wants? those are all major points with Libertarians.
If it wasn’t for the fact that I want the Republicans out of power, I would be voting for the Libertarian instead of Cantwell. Hell, in the case of WA, I suspect most of the readers at Boo agree with him on more of the issues than they do with Cantwell, since she isn’t exactly a progressive.
It’s going to be close. We’re going to win PA, MT, OH, and RI. MO, TN, and CT will make or break control of the Senate for us – and I say CT because I don’t trust Joementum to caucus with the Dems if the GOP knew that he would keep control of the Senate in GOP hands.