Rasmussen reports that:
“the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans has fallen to its lowest level since we began reporting this measure of partisan trends in January 2004. As a result, Democrats have their biggest net advantage of the past two campaign cycles.”
“In October, just 31.5% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s a startling decline of nearly six percentage points from 37.2% two years ago. It’s also down nearly a full point from last month.”
Think that is good news? Wait until you see this:
A new Harvard Institute of Politics poll finds nearly a third of 18 to 24 year olds plan on voting in the upcoming midterm elections, “a proportion that will likely amount to the highest turnout percentage for this age group in any midterm election in the last twenty years.”
Maybe these trends can help to explain this:
“According to two sources familiar with the TV ad buy sheets in Arizona, the DSCC is buying up as much time as they can find in the Tuscon and Phoenix for TV ads that will begin airing tomorrow… Our sources tell us that Republican Jon Kyl continues to hold a mid-to-high-single digit lead but Dems are enthused about their chances because Democrat Jim Pederson is apparently doing better in early voting than expected.”
It all sounds like a recipe for better “likely voter” results than most pollsters are expecting.
Update [2006-11-1 21:54:55 by BooMan]: New polls show that Mean Jean Schmidt and J.D. Hayworth are behind. Now, that would be sweet.