2007 & 2008: The Strategy of the White House Office of Political Affairs

Many of you already know the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee’s held a hearing today entitled “Allegations of Misconduct at the General Services Administration.”  One of the allegations explored by the committee was the misuse of GSA funds and resources for political purposes, and the document on which this allegation is based is a Power Point presentation delivered by Karl Rove’s aide Scott Jennings.  The presentation, delivered 26 January 2007, is the official 2007 and 2008 strategy of the White House Office of Political Affairs.  Included therein are graphs and charts pertaining to district PVI, Presidential party performance in midterm elections, overall Presidential party performance during a particular President’s term, House seat statistics, including PVI, party affiliation in recent elections, partisan identification trends, data on the Republicans’ 72 hour program, voter registration data, turnout data, case studies on the success of the 72 hour program and lists of vulnerable House, Senate and gubernatorial seats.  While some of this information is presented in a skewed manner, some of this data is very useful.
Top 20 House Seats Republicans Will Target

order of importance

1 TX-22 (LAMPSON)

2 FL-16 (MAHONEY)

3 CA-11 (McNERNEY)

4 OH-18 (SPACE)

5 IN-09 (HILL)

6 PA-10 (CARNEY)

7 PA-08 (MURPHY)

8 KS-02 (BOYDA)

9 PA-07 (SESTAK)

10 IN-08 (ELLSWORTH)

11 NC-11 (SHULER)

12 TX-23 (RODRIGUEZ)

13 WI-08 (KAGEN)

14 GA-08 (MARSHALL)

15 IN-02 (DONNELLY)

16 GA-12 (BARROW)

17 PA-04 (ALTMIRE)

18 NY-19 (HALL)

19 NY-20 (GILLIBRAND)

20 SD-AL (HERSETH)

HOUSE GOP “PRIORITY DEFENSE”

order of importance

1 PA-06 (GERLACH)

2 FL-13 (BUCHANAN)

3 NC-08 (HAYES)

4 NM-01 (WILSON)

5 CO-04 (MUSGRAVE)

6 IL-06 (ROSKAM)

7 CT-04 (SHAYS)

8 OH-02 (SCHMIDT)

9 VA-02 (DRAKE)

10 WY-AL (CUBIN) – indicates she may retire

11 CA-04 (DOOLITTLE)

12 NV-03 (PORTER)

13 NY-25 (WALSH)

14 OH-15 (PRYCE)

15 NY-29 (KUHL)

16 NJ-07 (FERGUSON)

17 MI-09 (KNOLLENBERG) – indicates he may retire

HOUSE GOP “SECONDARY DEFENSE”

seats are listed in alphabetical order

AK-AL (YOUNG) – indicates he may retire

CA-24 (GALLEGLY) – indicates he may retire

CA-25 (McKEON) – indicates he may retire

CA-41 (LEWIS) – indicates he may retire

CA-42 (MILLER)

CA-52 (HUNTER) – indicates he may retire

DE-AL (CASTLE) – indicates he may retire

FL-10 (YOUNG) – indicates he may retire

IL-10 (KIRK)

IL-14 (HASTERT) – indicates he may retire

KY-02 (LEWIS)

LA-01 (JINDAL) – indicates he may retire

MD-06 (BARTLETT) – indicates he may retire

MI-03 (EHLERS) – indicates he may retire

MI-07 (WALBERG)

NC-09 (MYRICK) – indicates she may retire

OH-16 (REGULA) – indicates he may retire

PA-15 (DENT)

VA-11 (DAVIS) – indicates he may retire

GOP SENATE OFFENSE

in no particular order, as a map illustrates the strategy

MT-SEN (BAUCUS)

SD-SEN (JOHNSON)

IA-SEN (HARKIN)

AR-SEN (PRYOR)

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU)

NJ-SEN (LAUTENBERG)

GOP SENATE DEFENSE

in no particular order, as map illustrates the strategy

OR-SEN (SMITH)

CO-SEN (OPEN)

NM-SEN (DOMENICI)

MN-SEN (COLEMAN)

MS-SEN (COCHRAN)

ME-SEN (COLLINS)

NH-SEN (SUNUNU)

VA-SEN (WARNER)

Alaska, Wyoming, Idaho, Texas, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Illinois, Michigan, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Delaware, Rhode Island and Massachusetts are considered noncompetitive

GOP OFFENSE – GUBERNATORIAL RACES

in no particular order, as strategy is illustrated with a map

WA-GOV (GREGOIRE)

MT-GOV (SCHWEITZER)

NC-GOV (OPEN)

LA-GOV (BLANCO) – they note this is a 2007 race

GOP DENFENSE – GUBERNATORIAL RACES

in no particular order, as strategy is illustrated with a map

MO-GOV (BLUNT)

IN-GOV (DANIELS)

VT-GOV (DOUGLAS)

MS-GOV (BARBOUR) – they note this is a 2007 race

KY-GOV (FLETCHER) – they note this is a 2007 race

Utah, North Dakota, West Virginia, Delaware and New Hampshire are not considered competitive

Although some of this information is dated, I do find it very useful.  How do you view this document?

Author: louisianagirl

Louisiana