According to Jonathan Weisman of the Washington Post, John McCain is going to win the Republican nomination specifically because every powerful Republican interest group dislikes him. The funny thing is, it might be true. But, really, McCain’s chances seem to rise and fall on whether or not any other candidate can consolidate the anti-McCain vote. Huckabee isn’t ideally suited for that role. Romney is the logical choice, but he can’t do it with Huckabee pulling off a huge chunk of the vote.

Giuliani has his own ideological problems uniting the base. McCain could slip through, but he will be a deeply unpopular choice…except with the press, of course.

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