Clinton lost almost every county in Nevada but she won in Clark County by a big margin and that is where most of the people live. She is going to win the caucuses with somewhere around 49%-52% of the vote. Edwards will finish with an astonishingly low 4% of the vote. Both outcomes are deadly to the prospects for stopping a Clinton nomination. I think Obama’s victory in South Carolina is now at risk, particularly if Edwards’ supporters start shifting to the other white candidate. I’m ‘this’ close to calling the nomination as over. But dynamics can still change in a hurry and perhaps an Obama comeback in South Carolina can still propel him to victories on Feb. 5th. I think Obama’s chances are about 20%. There is no accounting for people’s tastes.

0 0 votes
Article Rating