Delegate rules in Super Tuesday states might not produce clear front-runners
…
In a two- or three-person race such as the Democrats’, proportional allocation means candidates will win some delegates in virtually every state, raising the possibility of a tie, or at least an unsettled race, after Super Tuesday. If there’s no final decision on Super Tuesday, operatives in both parties said, attention would turn to primaries in Texas and Ohio on March 4, in Pennsylvania on April 22 and in other states.
…“We’re in uncharted territory,” said Burdett Loomis, a University of Kansas political-science professor.
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/orl-campaign21a08jan21,0,1579937.story
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Well let’s take time for an objective analysis of that Delegate Race …
Sometimes a Picture or two is worth a 1000 rants …
I’ve compiled the Delegate Counts from CNN’s Politics page, as of the morning after the South Carolina Primary:
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#D
These CNN Counts include Pledged Super Delegates.
These Pie Charts tell the story a still quite competitive race:
Pledged Delegates for the first 4 States
Pledged Delegated for ALL States
Pledged Delegates for ALL States Vs ALL Remaining Delegates
I’ve also supplements this with the Unpledged Delegates from Super Tuesday:
Starting with the baseline numbers from this Election Lineup site
[Note the total Super Tuesday Delegates 2,075 was adjust down to reflect those already committed from those states.]
As most objective analysis are now admitting, this still won’t be decided by Super Tuesday. 1902 Delegates are up for grabs that day — no one Candidate is likely to get enough of them, to get to that Magic number needed to win: 2025
Pledged Delegates for ALL States Vs Number of Delegate needed to win
So the race is still on … it’s a long ways from over.
A lot can happen in 3 months.
The best thing to do is to GET BUSY, supporting your Candidate.
As Professor Loomis noted well:
“We’re in uncharted territory“
It’s probably a good time to dig out those maps:
the Feb 5th Schedule:
Alabama (60, PP);
Alaska (18, CC);
Arizona (67, PP);
Arkansas (47, PP);
California (441, PP);
Colorado (71, CC);
Connecticut (60, PP);
Delaware (23, PP);
Democrats Abroad (11, PP+CC);
Georgia (103, PP);
Idaho (23, CC);
Illinois (185, PP);
Kansas (41, CC);
Massachusetts (121, PP);
Minnesota (88, CC);
Missouri (88, PP);
New Jersey (127, PP);
New Mexico (38, PP);
New York (281, PP);
North Dakota (21, CC);
Oklahoma (47, PP);
Tennessee (85, PP);
Utah (29, PP)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/ccad.phtml
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The fight to Take OUR Country Back Continues
(as does the Fight to Keep it, no doubt.)
