I have identified 71 seats in the House of Representatives that are currently held by a Republican, but have a Democrat challenger who raised a significant amount of money in 2007. This is not a complete list of competitive seats because some recent retirements (in Louisiana, for example) were unexpected and no Democrat was planning a serious challenge last year.
Below the fold, I list the 71 seats (with their PVI’s), and the challengers. Some of these seats will have primaries. I only list multiple names if there are multiple candidates that have raised five figures worth of money. Some candidates may have dropped out despite raising a lot of money. Let me know and I’ll update the list.
What I’d actually like to figure out is which of these Democrats might turn out to be good Democrats and which are likely to wind up in jail or, worse, in the Joe Lieberman Hall of Shame. Wanna give me a hand?
P.S. If you can find a candidate website, please put a link in the comments and I’ll update the diary.
Alabama
1. District 02 (PVI R+13)
Incumbent: Terry Everett (retiring)
Republican Primary: Jay Love, etc.
Democrat: Bobby Bright
Alaska
2. At-Large (PVI R+14)
Incumbent: Don Young
Primary challenger: Gabrielle Ledoux
Democrats: Ethan Berkowitz, Diane Benson, Jake Metcalfe
Arizona
3. District 01 (PVI R+2)
Incumbent: Rick Renzi (indicted on 35 counts today)
Democrats: Ann Fitzpatrick, Howard Shanker, Mary Kim Titla
4. District 03 (PVI R+6)
Incumbent: John Shadegg (reneged on promise to retire today)
Democrat: Bob Lord
California
5. District 04 (PVI R+11)
Incumbent: John Doolittle (retiring)
Frontrunner: Eric Egland
Democrat: Charlie Brown
6. District 26 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: David Dreier
Democrat: Russ Warner
7. District 41 (PVI R+9)
Incumbent: Jerry Lewis
Democrat: Tim Prince
8. District 50 (PVI +5)
Incumbent: Brian Bilbray
Democrat: Nick Liebham
9. District 52 (PVI +9)
Incumbent: Duncan Hunter (retiring)
Frontrunner: Duncan D. Hunter (son of incumbent)
Democrat: Mike Lumpkin
Colorado
10. District 04 (PVI R+9)
Incumbent: Marilyn Musgrave
Democrat: Betsy Markey
Connecticut
11. District 04 (PVI D+5)
Incumbent: Christopher Shays
Democrat: Jim Himes
Delaware
12. At Large (PVI D+7)
Incumbent: Michael Castle
Democrat: Jerry Northington
Florida
13. District 08 (PVI R+3)
Incumbent: Ric Keller
Democrats: Michael James Smith, Charlie Stuart
14. Distict 09 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Gus Bilirakis
Democrat: John Dicks
15. District 13 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Vern Buchanan
Democrat: Christine Jennings
16. District 15 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Dave Weldon (retiring)
Republican primary: ???
Democrat: Steve Blythe
17. District 18 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
Democrat: Annette Taddeo
18. District 21 (PVI R+6)
Incumbent: Lincoln Diaz-Balart
Democrat: Raul Martinez
19. District 24 (PVI R+3)
Incumbent: Tom Feeney
Democrat: Suzanne Kosmas
20. District 25 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Mario Diaz-Balart
Democrat: Joe Garcia
Idaho
21. District 01 (PVI R+19)
Incumbent: William Sali
Democrat: Walt Minnick
Illinois
22. District 06 (PVI R+3)
Incumbent: Peter Roskam
Democrat: Jill Morganthaler
23. District 10 (PVI D+4)
Incumbent: Mark Kirk
Democrat: Dan Seals
24. District 11 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Jerry Weller (retiring)
Republican: Tim Baldermann (dropped out)
Democrat: Debbie Halverson
25. District 13 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Judy Biggert
Democrat: Scott Harper
26. District 14 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: none/Dennis Hastert resigned
Republican: Jim Oberweis
Democrat: Bill Foster
27. District 16 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Dan Manzullo
Democrat: Robert Abboub
Indiana
28. District 03 (PVI R+16)
Incumbent: Mark Souder
Democrat: Mike Montagano
29. District 04 (PVI R+17)
Incumbent: Steve Buyer
Democrat: Nels Ackerson
Iowa
30. District 04 (PVI D+0)
Incumbent: Tom Latham
Democrat: Selden Spencer
31. District 05 (PVI R+8)
Incumbent: Steven King
Democrat: Rob Hubler
Maryland
32. District 01 (PVI R+10)
Incumbent: Wayne Gilchrest (defeated in primary)
Republican: Andy Harris
Democrat: Frank Krotovil Jr.
33. District 06 (PVI R+13)
Incumbent: Roscoe Bartlett
Democrat: Jennifer Dougherty
Michigan
34. District 07 (PVI R+2)
Incumbent: Tim Walberg
Democrats: Mark Schauer, Dave Nacht
35. District 09 (PVI R+0)
Incumbent: Joe Knollenberg
Democrat: Gary Peters
Minnesota
36. District 03 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Jim Ramstad (retiring)
Republican: Erik Paulsen
Democrats: Terri Bonoff, Ashwin Madia
37. District 06 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Michelle Bachmann
Democrat: Elwyn Tinklenberg
Missouri
38. District 06 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Sam Graves
Democrat: Kay Barnes
Nevada
39. District 03 (PVI D+1)
Incumbent: John Porter
Democrats: Robert Daskas, Andrew Martin
New Jersey
40. District 03 (PVI D+3)
Incumbent: Jim Saxton (retiring)
Republican: ???
Democrat: John Adler
41. District 04 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Chris Smith
Democrat: Josh Zeitz
42. District 05 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Scott Garrett
Democrat: Dennis Schulman
43. District 07 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Mike Ferguson (retiring)
Republican: Kate Whitman (daughter of Christie Todd Whitman)
Democrat: Linda Stender
New Mexico
44. District 01 (PVI D+2)
Incumbent: Heather Wilson (running for Senate)
Republican: Darren White
Democrat: Martin Heinrich
45. District 02 (PVI R+6)
Incumbent: Steve Pearce (running for Senate)
Republicans: Ed Tinsley, Aubrey Dunn
Democrats: Harry Teague, Bill McCamley
New York
46. District 13 (PVI D+1)
Incumbent: Vito Fossella
Democrats: Stephen Harrison, Domenic Recchia
47. District 23 (PVI R+0)
Incumbent: John McHugh
Democrat: Michael Oot
48. District 25 (PVI D+3)
Incumbent: Jim Walsh (retiring)
Republican: ???
Democrat: Dan Maffei
49. District 26 (PVI R+3)
Incumbent: Tom Reynolds
Democrat: Jon Powers, Alice Kryzan
50. District 29 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Randy Kuhl
Democrat: Eric Massa
North Carolina
51. District 08 (PVI R+3)
Incumbent: Robin Hayes
Democrat: Larry Kissell
Ohio
52. District 01 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Steve Chabot
Democrat: Steve Dreihaus
53. District 02 (PVI R+13)
Incumbent: ‘Mean’ Jean Schmidt
Primary challenger: Tom Brinkman
Democrats: Victoria Wulsin, Stephen Black
54. District 07 (PVI R+6)
Incumbent: Dave Hobson (retiring)
Republican: Steve Austria
Democrats: Steve Woolover, William Conner
55. District 14 (PVI R+2)
Incumbent: Steve LaTourette
Democrat: William O’Neill
56. District 15 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Deborah Pryce (retiring)
Republican: Steve Stivers
Democrat: Mary Jo Kilroy
57. District 16 (PVI R+4)
Incumbent: Ralph Regula (retiring)
Republican: Kirk Schuring
Democrat: John Boccieri
Pennsylvania
58. District 03 (PVI R+2)
Incumbent: Phil English
Democrats: Kathy Dahlkemper, Mike Waltner, Thomas Myers, Kyle Foust
59. District 05 (PVI R+10)
Incumbent: John Peterson (retiring)
Republican: ???
Democrat: ???
60. District 06 (PVI D+2)
Incumbent: Jim Gerlach
Democrat: Bob Raggio
61. District 18 (PVI R+2)
Incumbent: Tim Murphy
Democrats: Stephen O’Donnell, Beth Hafer
Texas
62. District 07 (PVI R+16)
Incumbent: John Culberson
Democrat: Michael Skelly
63. District 10 (PVI R+13)
Incumbent: Michael McCaul
Democrat: Larry Doherty, Daniel Grant
Virginia
64. District 05 (PVI R+6)
Incumbent: Virgil Goode
Democrat: Tom Perriello
65. District 06 (PVI R+11)
Incumbent: Bob Goodlatte
Democrat: Sam Rasoul
66. District 10 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Frank Wolf
Democrats: Judy Feder, Mike Turner
67. District 11 (PVI R+1)
Incumbent: Tom Davis (retiring)
Republican: Keith Fimian
Democrats: Leslie Byrne, Doug Denneny
68. District 12 (PVI R+6)
Incumbent: Thelma Drake
Democrat: Glenn Nye
Washington
69. District 08 (PVI D+2)
Incumbent: Dave Reichert
Democrat: Darcy Burner
West Virginia
70. District 02 (PVI R+5)
Incumbent: Shelley Moore Capito
Democrat: Anne Barth
Wyoming
71. At Large (PVI R+19)
Incumbent: Barbara Cubin (retiring)
Democrat: Gary Trauner
