The numbers from Cleveland and Cincinnati are not in yet, at all. Numbers out of Houston and Dallas are trickling in. Even the numbers out of Providence are just coming in. It’s impossible to say whether Obama can close the gap in Ohio until the big city numbers come in, but I think I can safely say that Obama will pull Texas out. As the night wears on, Obama’s numbers should start to improve in both Ohio and Texas, and even Rhode Island.
There is still the whole caucus aspect of the Texas contest, but I think we’re going to see a split in the popular vote, with Clinton taking Rhode Island and Ohio, and Obama taking Vermont and Texas.
On the delegate front, it should be a good night for Obama. Vermont and Rhode Island should cancel each other out, and he should get more delegates out of Texas than Clinton gets out of Ohio.
