Someone asked me about a week ago whether Obama could win in Pennsylvania and I said that all the metrics were against him but that it wouldn’t matter because Clinton could never go six weeks without people noticing that her campaign is dead, gone, and over. Today, VanderHei and Allen noticed and this is the narrative that will kill Clinton’s chances in the Keystone state:
One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning.
Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party’s most reliable constituency.
Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.
People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.
I just got done knocking on Independent’s doors in Phoenixville, Pennsylvania and there is considerably more support for Obama in the all-white neighborhood I canvassed than there is for Clinton or McCain. But that isn’t the measure that is important. Unlike all the other states that have gone before, Pennsylvania will not be decided by the white vote or the black vote or the old lady vote or the Hispanic vote or the union vote. It will be decided by the truth seeping into the mainstream media narrative that Clinton has no way to win except by superdelegate and the superdelegates will never, ever overturn Obama’s victory.
