(Crossposted at My Left Wing.)
In a poll conducted of Pennsylvania Dem voters by Franklin & Marshall University, 1/5 of both the Clinton and Obama voters said that if their candidate did not receive the Dem nomination they would vote for McCain. And another combined average of 8% said that they would not vote at all.
Q.- If [FILL preferred candidate] does not win the Democratic nomination, who do you think you will vote for in the November election? Will you vote for [fill other candidate], John McCain, some other candidate, or will you probably not vote in the November election?
Hillary Clinton supporters (n = 228) 5
3% Barack Obama
19% John McCain
5% Other
13% Won’t vote
10% Don’t knowBarack Obama supporters (n = 126)
60% Hillary Clinton
20% John McCain 3
% Other
3% Won’t vote
14% Don’t know
Hmmmm…
If I were a Dem PermaGov hustler, I would be thinking REALLY hard about that little poll.
Particularly about the potential results of such a movement.
Add 20% of the voters who would normally vote Dem in working class, rust belt states like PA to McCain’s tally and simultaneously subtract 28% (the 20% who voted for McCain plus the 8% that stayed home) from the Dem vote?
In say all of the northern states that border the Great Lakes, just for STARTERS?
UH OH!!!
Just sayin’…
Now…if you add in the point that I made in my first little “Why A Clinton/Obama or Obama/Clinton Ticket? HERE’S Why.” tome, that each one of the Dems now in contention come out in a statistical tie w/McCain and that their constituencies are quite different…
Poll: McCain, Obama, Clinton in dead heat in election matchup
By Alexander Mooney
CNN Washington Bureau(CNN) — Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton would both statistically tie Republican John McCain in a general election matchup, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll indicates.
According to the poll released Tuesday morning, both Obama and Clinton are locked in a dead heat with the Arizona senator.
If Obama were to win the nomination, he would get 47 percent of the vote compared to 46 percent for McCain — a statistical tie given the poll’s 3 percentage point margin of error. Should Clinton win the nomination, the poll suggests she would get 49 percent compared to McCain’s 47 percent — another statistical tie.
While Clinton and Obama match up equally with McCain, CNN Polling Director Keating Holland notes the two Democrats appear to be drawing support from different groups of voters.
“Clinton appears to do a little bit better than Obama among older voters, women, and self-identified Democrats against McCain; Obama’s numbers may be slightly better among younger voters and those who describe themselves as Republicans and Independents,” Holland said.
…and you’ve got yourself a serious electoral quandary going on.
Just sayin’…
Them big wheels are ‘a turnin’ in the PermaDem’s skulls as well. Bet on it.
And pressure IS going to be brought to bear on both Clinton and Obama by those powers, bet on that as well.
They cannot afford to allow the party to once again snatch defeat right out of the jaws of certain victory.
We won’t hear about the pressure any more than we hear the tectonic plates moving under the earth.
But we WILL see the results.
My guess as to when?
About 5 days after these two nearly tie in PA. Or Clinton actually wins outright there. Maybe a little longer. The Wright thing…masterful oratory notwithstanding…has injured Obama. And don’t forget…most working class voters actually DISTRUST the kind of intelligence that is Obama’s public stock and trade. Why was Bill Clinton so successful with the white working class? Because he had a world class dumb act. Obama lacks that strength. That’s why he is so popular with so many of the middle class leftiness Shmoons. (Sorry, folks…I like him too, but there it is.)
But my dear fellow!!! He’s so…COLLEGIATE!!!
Just sayin’…
Watch.
What do you do when you have painted yourself into a corner?
What to do, what to do…???
Cheat, of course.
Watch.
AG
