Another unintended consequence of the Iraq war (such as the upward spiral in crude oil prices) and global climate change (such as increased droughts and famines) is that the cost of basic foods have increased dramatically, and especially in poor countries which are required to import grain. The result? Riots over food prices in a great number of places:
Riots from Haiti to Bangladesh to Egypt over the soaring costs of basic foods have brought the issue to a boiling point and catapulted it to the forefront of the world’s attention, the head of an agency focused on global development said Monday.
“This is the world’s big story,” said Jeffrey Sachs, director of Columbia University’s Earth Institute.
“The finance ministers were in shock, almost in panic this weekend,” he said on CNN’s “American Morning,” in a reference to top economic officials who gathered in Washington. “There are riots all over the world in the poor countries … and, of course, our own poor are feeling it in the United States.”
And to think we worry about mortgage foreclosures, the bursting of the real estate bubble and gas prices. In other countries, many people, including many middle class people, are edging toward starvation.
“In just two months,” [World Bank President Robert] Zoellick said in his speech, “rice prices have skyrocketed to near historical levels, rising by around 75 percent globally and more in some markets, with more likely to come. In Bangladesh, a 2-kilogram bag of rice … now consumes about half of the daily income of a poor family.”
The price of wheat has jumped 120 percent in the past year, he said — meaning that the price of a loaf of bread has more than doubled in places where the poor spend as much as 75 percent of their income on food. […]
Jean Ziegler, U.N. special rapporteur on the right to food, has called using food crops to create ethanol “a crime against humanity.”
“We’ve been putting our food into the gas tank — this corn-to-ethanol subsidy which our government is doing really makes little sense,” said Columbia University’s Sachs.
This is only a small taste of what will come in a future where water becomes ever more scarce due to droughts caused by global climate change, and energy prices continue to rise due to peak oil and instability in the Middle East. And the more corn and other crops we grow for our gas tanks rather than the world’s dinner tables will only increase animosity toward the United States.
Meanwhile, what has been the Bush administration’s response to this crisis? A lot like you’d expect — next to nothing:
The World Bank announced a $10 million grant from the United States for Haiti to help the government assist poor families.
Very generous of The Decider, don’t you think? I wonder how fast we spend that amount on the Iraq war each day? Probably something one can count in a few hours, if not minutes. And the forecast for the future is only going to become more grim:
French Agriculture Minister Michel Barnier warned that farmers worldwide would have to raise their output sharply in the coming decades as demand booms in fast growing Asian countries like China and India.
“Global agriculture production will have to double by 2050 … in order to feed nine billion people on the planet,” Barnier told journalists on the sidelines of a meeting in Luxembourg with his EU counterparts. […]
A new UN-sponsored study, due to be presented Tuesday in Paris, warns that farming practices must change to confront soaring food prices that threaten the poor in particular.
“Business as usual is no longer an option,” the International Assessment of Agricultural Science and Technology for Development will say in the report, according to a statement from UNESCO.
Famine, Death, Disease and War. Enough to make one believe in the apocalypse, whether you are religious or not. We have metastasized into a global civilization that cannot sustain itself. And if we’re not smart about it, one that will collapse the same way civilization on Easter island collapsed when, through environmental degradation, it lost the ability to produce enough food to feed its people. Only this time, the result will be vastly more damaging to the future survivability of humanity. Because when the oil runs out, people living in those places around the globe which must import food, because they lack enough arable land or have lost the means to grow enough on their own, will die.
And who knows if America won’t be one of those places. Already drought threatens the West and Southeast, and we are quickly using up natural reserves of water such as the Ogallala Aquifer which are essential to growing crops in the semi-arid Great Plains states.
The Ogallala Aquifer is an enormous underground water source for middle America. Found under eight states (from Texas to South Dakota), the aquifer is literally life-giving to this part of the country. The areas above the aquifer were the center of the Dust Bowl in the 1930s and the water in the Ogallala has been tapped for human and agricultural use for decades. You won’t be surprised if I tell you that the water level is declining, right?
Environmental Defense released a report yesterday that tries to calculate the impact that biofuel plants (ones that produce corn ethanol) might have on the massive water source. The report, called “Potential Impacts of Biofuels Expansion on Natural Resources: A Case Study of the Ogallala Aquifer Region,” says that pumping too much more water out of the ground for ethanol “could cause Depression-style dust bowls.” New ethanol plants in the area would use up an extra 2.6 billion gallons of water a year and another 120 billion gallons would be needed to grow the corn.
Add in a diminished and increasingly polluted watershed in the Colorado River basin, and we may be looking at mass starvation in America within our children’s lifetimes, if not our own. Before that happens, famine in Africa and other developing regions of the world may very well have killed hundreds of millions of people, if not billions. As Al Gore says, this is a moral issue. It’s about the survival of the human race. And we better start acting soon to do something about it. For too long our government, and the big corporations it serves, have been the primary stumbling block to any real progress on reducing carbon emissions and transitioning to a more sustainable way of life. This is not just a Bush era phenomenon, though President Bush’s unholy alliance with Big Business has certainly done much to halt any progress on fashioning a global solution to these horrific problems we all face.
But the time for denying the problem has long since passed. Let’s hope the next president realizes this fact and begins to work with the world community to fashion a global response. Because we can’t wait any longer to act. The canaries have already started to die.
I don’t remember where I read this so can’t do a link but the big food pantries here in the U.S. are experiencing huge deficits of food while more and more people are turning to these food banks….why because the bush administration has cut the food the government donates more than half…why because they are selling that food to other countries. Yeah not giving selling. Really has bush done anything that doesn’t have the stench of moral rot and corruption surrounding him. And I wonder whose pocket that money is going into.
The moral bankruptcy of bush is bankrupting the country and causing more and more to go hungry here. I think the phrase the banality of evil must have been invented for bush.
The connection to the Iraq war is awful slim. If it was still a simple distribution issue, like most of the famines in the last half century, we could blame fuel prices, but it isn’t the problem anymore.
For the first time in history, global demand has exceeded global supply. This actually happened several years ago, but there was surplus in the pipeline. Now, even the surplus is gone. This problem was coming, even before the biofuels boom.
Where fuel supplies come into play, is that there is no longer an easy recovery route. Politicians can talk all they want about doubling production, but the farmers I know (here ins western WA) are talking about cutting production to make their farms more sustainable.
With the fuel costs of running a farm, as well as the influence on purchasing inputs, dairy farmers are asking how many cows they can raise on their acreage by grazing and on farm silage, instead of buying corn and soy from the midwest and alfalfa hay from the other side of the state. They are also setting aside some of their acreage to experiment with growing their own fuel crops to keep their tractors running.
Personally, I don’t see how we’re going to get out of this one. We’ve exceeded carrying capacity.
Yes. Peak Oil is here, as predicted, and the prices are never going down significantly again.
In addition, people need to understand that oil is essential to the human food chain. It’s not just the oil used to transport food to us. It’s the oil used in creating fertilizers, in generating the energy to water the fields and move the machines to harvest and process the food.
Here’s a good, if long and dry article called “The Food We Eat” at http://harpers.org/archive/2004/02/0079915.
Sorry – I meant to say the titles is “The OIL we eat” – http://harpers.org/archive/2004/02/0079915
You’re basically correct, but to be nitpicky, nitrogen fertilizers is made from natural gas, which isn’t hitting peak for a while yet. but the demand for that natural gas is going way up as users of other fuels switch to it. It is also shipped around the world using oil, so that affects the price as well.
And that article ain’t so dry. I’ve spent a lot of time during the last couple years at college reading the primary literature on these subjects. Trust me, the Harpers version is exceedingly readable in comparison.
So I thought we had corn sitting in silos (as other people starve in other places), and I thought we were still paying farmers not to farm, to protect our own grain prices? I’m replying to your post bc you’re not years out of date, which I am.
But is this for real, that food prices are rising spec. bc. of ethanol programs?
food insecurity in America is also on the horizon
Not available at any price. fill the stomachs or the Suv.
I think we need to institute a special tax on SUVs. I don’t know a single person who is hurting for money who drives one.
They are consuming far more than their fair share of resources, and should have to pay significantly more for the privilege!
You must live in the city. The fact is that a LOT of people use SUVs for work, including those farmers we are discussing. In fact, a suburban, being used properly can be a much more efficient vehicle than a prius when it comes to person miles. As for those people that buy them as status symbols, and that is probably still the majority of them, I’m in complete agreement, but it does bother me when people don’t look at their legitimate uses.
near term, a tax on SUVs is unlikely to put food on the table. Those SUVs, Mini-Vans owned by the middle class families will be parked at $4 gas.
Imho, oil, oj, coffee, cocoa, wheat, grains and food related products should be de-listed from the stock market as investment products. Commodities have been driven up by traders and speculators who don’t give a fig…looking for the next big thing. dot-com went bust, housing went bust, banks are bust so commodities are it.
Commodity futures, options were intended as a means for farmers to hedge prices on their production.
Farmers are being paid government subsidies not to grow food. Criminal.
Demand from China and India is only one part of this crisis.
Rice was at $360 ton at the start of January 2008. Now $960/ton. Look to the speculators in futures trading. Farmers have not seen this increase.
As for oil; there’s the declining U.S. Dollar and the Iraq war premium at the pump. Before the Iraq wa,r oil was in the mid twenties per barrel. 5 years on, $112 climbing to $200.
Catch 22: Oil impacts fertilizer, manufacturing, packaging and transportation costs.
“Farmers are being paid government subsidies not to grow food. Criminal.”
No they are not. That’s an urban legend.
Farmers have been paid to put their land into conservation. This is a good thing, not a bad thing. It is usually borderline productive land that is in the most danger from erosion and leaching of nutrients.
Now all that land that should be in conservaion reserve is being pulled out because it is worth more growing corn, damn the environment.
What is criminal is the subsidies that are being paid for the big agribusiness crops, at the expense of the rest of the farming economy, even when the grain prices are at record highs. The farm bill also locks those farmers into growing their corn/soybean rotation. They can’t change to other crops if they wanted to, unless they were independently wealthy.
guess you’ve not seen the satellite photos. It is a huge scandal. No urban myth.
I’m in a state known for its small farms…more critters than people. I grow an organic farm, raise my critters without pesticides, growth hormones or Monsanto terminators…sell my stuff at the community market place.
“Farmers have been paid to put their land into conservation. This is a good thing, not a bad thing. It is usually borderline productive land that is in the most danger from erosion and leaching of nutrients.”
Oh, is that so?
Gimme a tickle.
then don’t complain when famine hits and a 1/4 lb of flour cost $40…if you can get it. This green climate change thingy has been taken too far…. set up as a tax grab. The idea of carbon emission has not gelled yet we rushed to tax it. Yea let’s tax away.
I became a skeptic when carbon tax was implemented and carbon credits introduced as an investment product..more money for investment banksters and hedge fund speculators. Gimme a break.
I’m all for keeping earth in balance..but please, humans first.
This too is criminal
Consequences of idiots. Not well thought out, these good intentions…let humans go hungry while we feed the vehicles. Totally out of sync.
We need to get real.
One thing we need to drive home, over and over and over again: we can solve this. But it’s going to take progressive policies and government intervention and public involvement. It’s going to take market regulation. The “quality of life” (better termed “degree of conspicuous consumption”) of the top 1% is going to plummet precipitously, and they’re going to make a lot of noise about it. But one of the most encouraging things about Obama’s campaign is that the top 1% has been screaming about it for nearly four months now, and it hasn’t scratched his poll numbers. Can one dare to hope that the American people have finally realized that they’ve been thrown to the wolves, and are willing to stop pretending that they’re part of the top 1% and realize that they’re being eaten alive with the other 99%?
International news sites like the BBC and Al Jazeera have been covering this topic for the last 2 weeks, but not a whisper in the US MSM, or blogs for that matter.
Thanks for bringing this to people’s attention.
This is real. Very real. Look at these sites and read into what’s happening around the globe. The Phillipines, Bangladesh, all over Africa, this is a crisis. Even the World Bank and the IMF have issues statements about this crisis.
Here’s just one article, from the Sydney Morning Herald.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/rising-prices-hurt-the-poorest-of-the-poor/2008/04/14/1208025091003
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