Promoted by Steven D
As John Amato points out over at C&L today, the GOP battle plan on politically exploiting $135+ oil and a $4 national average on gas is simple.
Suddenly, it’s all our fault because we won’t let them drill in the Arctic National Refuge. We’ll be hearing a lot more on that topic as the general election goes forward.
You see, it’s the Democrats’ fault. If we had drilled in ANWR back in 2000 when Bush took over, why, oil would be where it was in 2000 still, yes?
The average consumer hears this and is convinced. He knows he has to blame SOMEBODY for a tank of gas running three times what it was in 2001, but he’s not sure who the problem is.
The GOP says the problem is simple supply and demand. They couldn’t be further from the truth. Why the Democrats aren’t educating the public on the real culprit — a massive speculation bubble created by the GOP refusing to regulate the industry — I do not know.
There is no logical supply and demand reason for oil being $135 a barrel. That’s because oil has passed beyond the boundaries of logic into bubble territory. Bubbles are created when prices inflate artificially. The artificial pressure in this case is a hedge against the plummeting US dollar, and billions in investment dollars pouring into oil as the dollar itself becomes increasingly worthless.
Supply and demand have nothing to do with the price of oil right now. That’s the definition of a bubble: the commodity in question, dot-com stocks, housing, oil, do not follow logical rules of supply and demand anymore.
To say that more supply will fix the problem is ludicrous. Taking the speculators out of the game would certainly lower the price of oil, but the GOP is beholden to the energy companies, and the President and Vice-President are especially beholden.
This is Bush’s true legacy, oil going from $25 a barrel to $150 during his two terms in office. A recent investigation into the practice has largely drawn little notice.
Federal regulators — in a highly unusual move — revealed Thursday they have been conducting a wide-reaching probe into oil trading practices for the last six months.
And in response to growing concerns about the role speculators may be playing in driving up oil prices, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission said it will require energy traders to begin providing more information so the government can better assess what effect they may be having on the markets.
“Perhaps the CFTC has gotten some religion,” said Michael Masters, of Masters Capital Management LLC, who has called for tighter regulation. Although, he added, “it’s just a start.”
With oil futures diving more than $4 Thursday, the commission went public about its probe. It is examining the purchase, transportation, storage and trading of crude oil and futures contracts — agreements to buy or sell commodities at a later date that are central to the energy markets.
The agency provided no other details about the investigation.
“Although the commission ordinarily conducts enforcement investigations on a confidential basis, the commission is taking the extraordinary step of disclosing this investigation because of today’s unprecedented market conditions,” agency officials said in a prepared statement.
This issue should be the finishing blow to the GOP in this country, but only if the Democrats are willing to go after Big Oil on this issue.
Many of them are not. And because of that, you’re paying the price for their record hundreds of billions in profits.
2009 is going to be a disaster. Who do you want in the White House and Congress when the need to fix the problem can no longer be put off?
Be prepared.
Yeah, I heard some conservative A-hole going on about that yesterday. Plenty of oil out there – just need to drill for it, so it must be the environmentalists who are to blame.
He was going on about “Ragheads”, and how we should have used neutron bombs somewhere or another (probably Iraq – didn’t quite catch it). I didn’t feel like arguing with this jerk so I left him alone.
Of course they hear stories in the news about “discoveries”, but never read the details, so they don’t know what the limitations are likely to be. I suppose the media is partly to blame here – their stories are incomplete and give the impression that there is tons of oil out there, and that recovery is easy. They never stop to think about the geological problems and economic costs of trying to produce such oil, so the puff pieces they see in the news are never critically examined in any way.
Bush promised AMWR to the oil companies. And he wants to deliver before leaving office.
I am beginning to think that all his blustering against Iran is just to give the Wall Street speculators ammunition to drive the price of oil higher.
Bush promised:
Missile Defense-Star Wars
ANWR and off shore drilling
Privatizing SS
Privatizing defense
Cheaper oil
Clean Break Plan, at least after 9/11
Big Oil was also promised oil wars – Iraq and Iran.
Bet on it, as we see the setting up Iran is next.
Oil: It’s A global crisis
The Iraq War means oil costs three times more than it should, says a leading expert. How are our lives going to change as we struggle to cope with the $200 barrel?
Let me not hear from any politician or Wall Street suit that gas is more expensive in Europe. We don’t live in Europe and cars there get an average of 44 mpg. Europe has excellent mass transit; is not laid out as in suburban sprawl.
$6 trillion and counting will lead to another Great Depression
oil up those bikes. If you can, put in a garden or do container gardening this season.
Hey, Idcredit, why do you hate America so? Isn’t it the right of our citizens to have cheap gas to fuel our grand life style? And, Europe has all those good transportation networks cuz of the aid we gave them post World War II. You think they would be grateful.
Have some more freedom fries.
Correction. Idredit—sorry.
Hey, don’t apologise – Idredit is clearly a commie, makin’ all those unfavourable ‘parisons with Europe…
It’s hard not to smile and say ‘here kitty kitty’…cause Anwr is to burdened with problems that it’s going to have max blowback on the Rep for bringing it up. And if they want to talk Anwr & production and useage so that they can ignore the Hedge Funders, they’ll have to answer some hard questions on the military’s consumption of oil, the independent contractors’ consumption as well.
Anyone remember the Alaskan Pipeline? That was sold because there was an energy crisis and we needed to drill up there.
And where did all the oil go? Japan.
Where will all the ANWR oil go? Japan and China.
If these knuckleheads gave a toss about the cost of oil and energy they wouldn’t be talking about bombing Iran. Just imagine what a bombing run on Iran will do to the supply of oil going through the Straits of Hormuz?
Just saying.
A war with Iran might drive oil to $300 per barrel which would take care of the American Empire just fine. And, if the Americans can’t shop, then, it is time to consider another revolution. At least, the events of the day will have caught the attention of our befuddled countrymen.
Maybe, when depression stalks the land, the citizenry will realize the folly of voting for republican candidates. Then, again, maybe not.
Even more ironic, war with Iran would probably put the final nail in the coffin of the American military machine that’s failed so miserably in Afghanistan and Iraq. The modern American army runs on cheap gasoline. Take away the cheap gasoline and the helicopters can’t fly, the tanks can’t drive, and the soldiers can’t get their food.
Bush really should have listened to Vizzini – “[He] fell victim to one of the classic blunders! The most famous is never get involved in a land war in Asia…”
if you divorce yourself from the propaganda, you’ll find that this is no more, nor less, than should/could have been expected.
jerome a paris at ET, put’s it more succinctly than anyone l’ve read:
bottom line, job well done by BushCo™. with plenty of complicity for the demoRATs.
think it’s going to change?
as AG, and l, both say, we shall see.
Wow, if we open ANWAR now oil will instantly be available; glad to know you can cut 5 years off the planning and building of an oil field. In other good news there is no refining capacity shortage at all; or do the neo-cons want us to believe that ANWAR does not have oil fields but will yield refined gasoline?
While it’s likely -though far from certain – that speculation is adding to the price, it is not the underlying reason for the high prices. That would be static supply in the face of increasing demand and the drop in value of the US dollar. My uneducated guess is that the underlying price is probably around US$100. So in that case, regulating speculation might help, but only a little, only temporarily and only if you can regulate it globally.