Via Taegan:
“With commanding leads among women and young voters and near unanimous support from black voters,” Sen. Barack Obama has a 50% to 41% lead over Sen. John McCain, according to a new Quinnipiac poll of likely voters released today.
Independent voters split 44% to 44%. McCain has a slight 47% to 44% edge among men voters and a larger 49% to 42% lead among white voters. But black voters back Obama 94% to 1%, while women support him 55% to 36%.
Interesting: Obama gets 44% to McCain’s 47% in red states, which went Republican by more than 5 percent in 2004, and leads 50% to 39% in purple or swing states.
There’s a blowout in the making. I hear McCain is even going to start campaigning in Arizona, so as not to get the George McGovern-Al Gore treatment.
Obama did himself a big favour today making that speech. He is making it impossible for people in the middle to deceive themselves that the two candidates are ‘essentially’ the same, and so vote for the one that makes them most ‘comfortable’. This was a strategic play that has forced McCain to come out to the place he wanted to be anyway — defending a war that only the thugs think is worth continuing or even winning.
Did you see that O’Hanlan had an apopleptic seizure over it? That’s always a good sign.
Where did O’Hanlon seize up? Or are you referring to his response to the Sunday op-ed?
Explanation help, SVP.
Some HRC’s supporters are griping that Obama has done little to help raise money to retire her campaign debt…then I read this:
Hillary Clinton Asks To Keep Donor Money for 2012
nothing wrong with that.
to buy someone’s loyalty.
That couple has plenty of money to burn. NO skin off Obama’s nose. If they don’t want pay it, watch for the re-election.
I was thinking of the legality of it, rolling over the funds to 2012 while requesting help to pay off debts.
think progress has it.
the best part is that O’Hanlon looks like Cosmo Kramer. About as sane too…
nah…more like eraserhead, brendan.
j-mac is embracing an albatross, or an anvil, if you will:
this could get very ugly for the RATs…and nothing would please me more than seeing a massive blow-out.
they’re not going to be able to steal this one. some local races…maybe…but the WH and Congressional results have the potential to be devastating.
McCain says: “I knows how to win wars”
Overlooks he’s fighting an election.
Obama’s lead will grow as he gives more policy statements. His foreign policy speech is a good start.
In case the blow-out starts to look inevitable – even to the Republicans.
Their convention is still a month-and-a-half away.
This election is going to make the 2000 shenanigans in Palm Beach County, FL look like amateur hour. The Justice Department, various Republican controlled local election boards, poll goons and other intimidation/theft/fraud actors will be let loose upon the landscape to wreck any chance at a fair ballot. Obama better have a landslide margin because five to ten points is getting taken away before, during and after the counting is finished.
I have to think he’s gonna be a hell of a lot better prepared for GOP thievery than his predecessors. That’s one of the pluses of having good, widespread ground organization.
Not to mention that we Democratic governors in the following purple states:
Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and North Carolina.
We even have Democratic governors in second-tier states like New Jersey, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Tennessee.
A lot has changed since 2000.
Which should free his organization up to be like glue on stamps in FL. Plus, I wonder if the state-level crooks are willing to take that much risk and effort for McCain when the election’s not likely to even look close by November.
No, no, no, you’re screwing up the media narrative. This race is tightening, Obama has a problem with ….. (fill in the blank), the surge is working….. Blowouts this early in the media cycle won’t sell, people will lose interest even before the conventions are held (networks are already cutting back coverage this year).
I want to believe it’s true… Unfortunately, Rasmussen has me feeling blue. What’s your take on this, Boo?
From your link:
How can I complain?
This is what concerns me:
Also, 293/227 with lots of statistical noise is not exactly a blowout. 🙁
I’m looking at state-by-state polls and it’s looking absolutely fantastic. 538 currently has it at 307-231, with a 68.8% win percentage.
OK, that heartens me. 🙂 Thanks!