I’m exhausted today for some reason. I wanted to do a piece on the tea leaves for the VP that we can read from the convention speaking lineup. But I think I need a nap instead. Thus, I refer you to fivethirtyeight’s analysis and note, in addition, that as far as I know no slot has yet been reserved for Evan Bayh.
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BooMan
Martin Longman a contributing editor at the Washington Monthly. He is also the founder of Booman Tribune and Progress Pond. He has a degree in philosophy from Western Michigan University.
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Sweet dreamz.
An email from a friend, reminding me of Hunter S. Thompson’s view of Tom Eagleton and, thus, his likely view of Evan Bayh.
I, honestly, don’t think it’s going to be Evan Bayh. Could be wrong, of course, but I doubt it. I don’t think Bayh gets him anything, for starters. Even in Indiana (which this genius and his family allegedly own or something), where he managed to deliver a whopping one-point win for Hillzilla.
The guy’s an almost unremarkable moron. Like Dan Quayle, but with a better chin and even less charisma. I think it’s an Indiana thing.
I expect it’s going to be Sebelius, Richardson or maybe Clark (a little nod to Clark because of the whole “Veterans” theme of Veep Night). Of the three, I’m inclined to think it’s Sebelius.
I was thinking Clark too but as BooMan (tired but still way ahead of me) points out Clark’s not happening.
More noises are being made about Tim Kaine and as the fivethirtyeight analysis features Kathleen Sebelius strongly, she’s looking good too.
That actually smells a little fishy to me. First, I thought we knew Clark was at least under consideration for quite some time. Second, do you really think Wes Jr would likely go around telling everybody that Dad was likely to be veep?
Maybe.
Then again, whoever is Obama’s Veep is going to have a huge Hillary-shaped target on their back anyway. I honestly don’t know how any of the three of them (Clark, Sebelius, or Kaine) would stand up to the flames…or if they would even want the job knowing what it would entail.
Al makes some really good points on Tim Kaine.
I do think Al makes a good point about Kaine. Obama, I gather, likes comfort. With some exceptions, he’s pretty cautious. Kaine’s been with him all along. In fact, I think Kaine was the first big officeholder to back him. They get on well together, campaign well together, look good together, etc.
And Kaine, despite a dip in his approvals here over the last year or so, is from what could very well be the key state.
Certainly he makes a hell of a lot more sense than Senator Yawn.
Well, with Virginia’s Mark Warner being announced as the keynote speaker, the smart money seems to be that Kaine is NOT Obama’s selection.
Obama has said he is quite confident on foreign policy issues, he’ll be looking elsewhere.
I still think Richardson is the best choice, though his nomination would irritate the Clintons no end. He secures the Southwest and puts Texas and maybe even Florida in play. He’s competent, and dull enough that he won’t hog the spotlight. He also has foreign policy creds. Don’t know enough about Sebelius to say whether she’d be good or bad, but Kansas seems a lost cause on any odds, and she probably wouldn’t help enough in the Dakotas or Montana to make a difference. Maybe Minnesota, though.
The thing is, I don’t believe Richardson is necessary in the Southwest, and I think his regional appeal is going to wane a bit as the election draws near.
I like Sebelius, but at the end of the day she can’t get us anything, and she’s too old to take over the top job in 2016.
Seriously, WTF?
…that would be the Arkansas state Dem Party.
Status Update All SAD
Bill Gwatney, Arkansas State Democratic Party chair, has died.
l think [hope] this is another feint from the campaign, and although kaine would be an improvement over bayh, he really doesn’t bring much to the ticket other than being a white southerner. frankly, l don’t think obama needs as much help in the south that the msm would like us to believe.
l keep coming back to the “western strategy” that was a major impetus of his primary campaign. l don’t think that’s been abandoned, and given the teaser of a surprise pick, l’m inclined to believe that schweitzer is in the mix…a dark horse for sure, but a solid choice for a lot of reasons; as well as richardson, but l’m less inclined to believe he’ll be the choice; more likely to in a cabinet position
my 2¢ ymmv
I’d be really, really happy with Sebelius, Kaine, Schweitzer or Richardson. I like them all, frankly.
Of all of them, Richardson is the one I probably wouldn’t go with, and for reasons that have absolutely nothing to do with his intelligence, skills and background, which are impressive.
Instead, it’s all this external stuff. It would be nice if some folks didn’t obsess over skin color or turn into shrieking hypocrites about sex. But between “too much change” and zipper problems, I look forward to him as a member of the Cabinet.
O/T but the US is sending aid and possibly troops to georgia.
This is going to be teh awesomme.
I’m getting this very strong feeling that Putin has spent the past 7-8 years quietly waiting and biding his time. It was probably hard for him not to do a little victory dance when Bush invaded Iraq.
That’s why the Russians are pushing on to Tbilisi. They need to secure the airport before American ‘aid’ arrives. Very simple. Just position tanks on the runways to prevent the planes from landing. No need to fire. This has been all gamed out.
Maybe the prospect of reading 33 MoDo columns wore you out. I don’t blame you…it would wear me out too.
a nap well deserved. You’ve been going full bore.
bayh is the kiss of death. te goopers would luv him. gooper lite. the dlc luv him. faux luv s him.
thats why he will probably get the nod.
Wasn’t Biden on the short-list?