Rarely do we see such an explicit articulation of the view that we can keep the national security state rolling by simply substituting “Islamism” or “terrorism” for “communism.” Charles Krauthammer calls for a second Cold War:
We are, unwillingly again, parties to a long twilight struggle, this time with Islamism – most notably Iran, its proxies, and its potential allies, Sunni and Shiite. We should be clear-eyed about our preferred outcome – real democracies governed by committed democrats – and develop policies to see this through.
That is a reference to a passage in John F. Kennedy’s November 16, 1961 speech at the University of Washington:
In short we must face problems which do not lend themselves to easy or quick or permanent solutions. And we must face the fact that the United States is neither omnipotent or omniscient, that we are only 6 percent of the world’s population, that we cannot impose our will upon the other 94 percent of mankind, that we cannot right every wrong or reverse each adversity, and that therefore there cannot be an American solution to every world problem.
These burdens and frustrations are accepted by most Americans with maturity and understanding. They may long for the days when war meant charging up San Juan Hill, or when our isolation was guarded by two oceans, or when the atomic bomb was ours alone, or when much of the industrialized world depended upon our resources and our aid. But they now know that those days are gone and that gone with them are the old policies and the old complacencies. And they know, too, that we must make the best of our new problems and our new opportunities, whatever the risk and the cost.
But there are others who cannot bear the burden of a long twilight struggle. They lack confidence in our long-run capacity to survive and succeed. Hating communism, yet they see communism in the long run, perhaps, as the wave of the future. And they want some quick and easy and final and cheap solution–now.
There are two groups of these frustrated citizens, far apart in their views yet very much alike in their approach. On the one hand are those who urge upon us what I regard to be the pathway of surrender–appeasing our enemies, compromising our commitments, purchasing peace at any price, disavowing our arms, our friends, our obligations. If their view had prevailed the world of free choice would be smaller today.
On the other hand are those who urge upon us what I regard to be the pathway of war: equating negotiations with appeasement and substituting rigidity for firmness. If their view had prevailed, we would be at war today, and in more than one place.
Perhaps Krauthammer hasn’t familiarized himself with Matthew 7:5, wherein Jesus of Nazareth said, “Thou hypocrite, first cast out the beam out of thine own eye; and then shalt thou see clearly to cast out the mote out of thy brother’s eye.” He suggests that there is a group of liberals who don’t have the stomach for the long, twilight struggle against Islamism without recognizing Kennedy’s simultaneous condemnation of the conservatives who equate negotiations with appeasement, see America as omnipotent, and seek an American solution to every problem. He doesn’t care about his hypocrisy, of course, because what he wants is to get us to accept the premise, which is that we can support democracy in the Arab world while suppressing and subverting political parties in those countries that we don’t like, just as we did in Western Europe in the 1940’s and 1950’s. Here is how Krauthammer describes this:
With Egypt in turmoil and in the midst of a perilous transition, we need foreign policy principles to ensure democracy for the long run.
No need to reinvent the wheel. We’ve been through something analogous before. After World War II, Western Europe was newly freed but unstable, in ruin – and in play. The democracy we favored for the continent faced internal and external threats from communist totalitarians. The United States adopted the Truman Doctrine that declared America’s intention to defend these newly free nations.
This meant not just protecting allies at the periphery, such as Greece and Turkey, from insurgency and external pressure, but supporting democratic elements within Western Europe against powerful and determined domestic communist parties.
Powerful they were. The communists were not just the most organized and disciplined. In France, they rose to be the largest postwar party; in Italy, to the second largest. Under the Truman Doctrine, U.S. Presidents used every instrument available, including massive assistance – covert and overt, financial and diplomatic – to democratic parties to keep the communists out of power.
He even goes so far as to equate Iran with the Soviet Union:
As the states of the Arab Middle East throw off decades of dictatorship, their democratic future faces a major threat from the new totalitarianism: Islamism. As in Soviet days, the threat is both internal and external. Iran, a mini-version of the old Soviet Union, has its own allies and satellites – Syria, Lebanon and Gaza – and its own Comintern, with agents operating throughout the region to extend Islamist influence and undermine pro-Western secular states. That’s precisely why in this revolutionary moment, Iran boasts of an Islamist wave sweeping the Arab world.
Thus, Krauthammer wants us to repeat nearly every mistake that we made in the Cold War. Namely, demonstrating an inability to distinguish between the aspirations of different peoples and folding everything under the us vs. them banner of communist or anti-communist. Perhaps, Krauthammer should read his own newspaper because today they a running a column by Muslim Brotherhood member Abdel Moneim Abou el-Fotouh, who explains the difference between his brand if Islamism and the kind of Islamism that flies airplanes into our buildings. But it is unlikely that Krauthammer, who couldn’t distinguish between the Sandanistas and the Khmer Rouge, will take the point.
We do face a threat of terrorism originating from people with Islamist beliefs, but we ought to learn from our success in the Cold War that can afford to be patient and that our best ideals will prevail over narrow-minded and totalitarian mindsets. The best antidote to communism was the example of Western Europe, which flourished as the East stagnated. In Egypt we have a chance to start over. If our beliefs are correct, Muslim fundamentalists will not flourish in a democratic Egypt. Anti-western feelings will diminish over time, as Egypt integrates into the world of representative democracies and free commerce. This might have happened in Iran, too, if we hadn’t stayed too long with the Shah. Rather than interfere in the Egyptian elections we should allow the Muslim Brotherhood to prosper or falter based on their performance.
Krauthammer thinks otherwise. He lays out four principles that he believes should guide our new Middle Eastern policy. First, we should support and encourage other Arab nations to rise up, throw off their oppressors and embrace democracy. Second, despite points three and four, we should insist on the right of parties to participate in elections. But then Krauthammer errs:
(3) The only U.S. interest in the internal governance of these new democracies is to help protect them against totalitarians, foreign and domestic. The recent Hezbollah coup in Lebanon and the Hamas dictatorship in Gaza dramatically demonstrate how anti-democratic elements that achieve power democratically can destroy the very democracy that empowered them.
(4) Therefore, just as during the Cold War the U.S. helped keep European communist parties out of power, it will be U.S. policy to oppose the inclusion of totalitarian parties – the Muslim Brotherhood or, for that matter, communists – in any government, whether provisional or elected, in newly liberated Arab states.
What Krauthammer is advocating is that we give bags of money to parties we prefer and try to insist that parties we dislike are not allowed on the ballot. That’s not democracy and it shows no respect for the informed opinions and preferences and sovereignty of these new democracies.
The Arab world has struggled to adjust to its confrontation with the West. It has dabbled in anti-colonialism, emulation, secularization, communism, pan-Arabism, neo-fascism, and Islamism. Nothing has emerged as a solution, but the current interest in political Islam is but one of several experiments that have arisen out of frustration and impotency in the face of stronger outside powers. It probably would never have gained much strength if democratic revolutions had proved possible. We ought to have confidence that the appeal of Islamism will diminish as a better alternative becomes suddenly available.
And, in any case, Islamism is not synonymous with terrorism. And, while a concern about how women will fare in countries where political Islam gains power is valid, we have to keep things in perspective. Unless we’re willing to do something about how women are treated in Saudi Arabia, we ought not to interfere in elections elsewhere out of a fear that Shariah law may be enacted by some legislature. Again, with patience, self-confidence, good-will, and honest support, our best ideals will prevail and the threats we face will diminish.
As Kennedy said, “…we must make the best of our new problems and our new opportunities, whatever the risk and the cost.” But we need to lose our hubris and realize that “…we are only 6 percent of the world’s population, that we cannot impose our will upon the other 94 percent of mankind, that we cannot right every wrong or reverse each adversity, and that therefore there cannot be an American solution to every world problem.”
If there is to be democracy in Egypt, and then throughout the Arab world, let us make the best of it. Let’s not repeat our worst mistakes.
Kennedy was using a softening of the language of George Kennan’s ‘long telegram’ to attempt to correct for it’s misinterpretation by the emerging Military industrial complex and even move a bit to the left (Kennan didn’t care about popular sentiments, aka ‘realism’). Yes, we had to confront Communism, but Kennan meant via economic and political means rather than via almost exclusively military confrontation as it turned out. Some will say we won the Cold War through military spending, others would say it was by winning the Russian people’s hearts by creating a competing system that not only took care of our people, but gave them Freedom – aka The New Deal/Great Society.
[aside: The End of the Cold meant the end of the welfare state to those who only begrudgingly agreed upon it in order to combat Communism’s allure, and thus we have our current political conflicts over budget vs. social responsibility.]
The answer may be both, but as we see in Egypt, revolutions can happen faster, cheaper and cleaner when they are run by the hearts and minds of the people of a nation and not by outside military force.
How is Iraq doing after so many years and so many lives and so many dollars? Let’s keep this comparison alive and in the public discourse so that we don’t make foreign policy mistakes like that again.
Cabbagehammer is spouting the MIC’s fear that we’ll notice their irrelevance, their burden, their “3 steps back to take 1 step forward” idea of progress.
To them I say, “Freedom, BITCHES!”
The Soviet system collapsed of its own accord, which is what Kennan predicted would happen in his article, and the rationale for containment as a policy. Those who attribute it to American actions have no understanding of how governments collapse. You’re not one of those people, I am aware.
This is a very dangerous attitude. If, as seems likely, the Islamist threat goes away, who will be the new enemy to justify outrageously large military expenditures. (Hint: expect the drumbeats on China the day that Iran achieve real democracy.) Or will it be Mexico or the rising power of Brazil, or even Canada? What the Cold War proved was that nuclear weapons make war obsolete. What the 9/11 and its response showed was that even conventional weapons are obsolete as a means of policy. And what the continuing war in Afghanistan shows is the guerrilla war is also obsolete for achieving political aims. This reality needs some sort of mutual security mechanisms beyond the UN to ensure the continued reduction of violence. And no, private arsenals are not that mechanism.
Oh for criminy sake. The Egyptians didn’t just have a revolution. They had a revolution where they didn’t shed the blood of their oppressors; despite years of suppression and terror from their govt. Most of us could have forgiven them for that kind of retaliation but they showed such decency, such fierce pride of country and compassion towards one another, protected members of other faiths in the square and never bowed to the temptation of violence.
It was astonishing to witness at a time where this country is reeling from calls to arms over nonsense, the Giffords shooting, hell, daily shootings, most of the time just because people with guns like the freedom of gunexpression.
Krauthammer is twisting himself and his arguments into knots trying to get the facts on the ground to twine with a sick goal. He needs to get a life.
“revolution” is definitely the wrong word
Oh I don’t know I kinda think it is
We are very lucky that Obama is the President, and I would suspect that the Egyptian people are as well. I’m not contradicting my other point that American policy did not bring down, for example the USSR. The generational difference between Obama and Clinton, as well as his actual personal qualities–even, I might say, principles–let alone between Obama and McCain, meant that, clearly, the message was sent that the US would not turn a blind eye to massive state violence against the protestors. I don’t know if Mubarak could have pulled that off had he wanted it. That said, Clinton (either one, now that I think of it, though I was thinking of Hillary) would have looked the other way.
This was a genuinely democratic movement, which the United States, in its foreign policy, rarely supports among Black or Brown people. That Obama so unequivocally supported the movement in his statement today is a really big deal.
The problem with a Krauthammer, which of course is actually the point of this piece, is more a problem of his type. The GOP is under the ideological sway of people who still have a Cold War mentality, who are in a masochistic way nostalgic for it, when that mentality is not only not applicable to our current situation but was delusional even at the time. Fortunately, the Executive has much more leeway in foreign policy than domestic.
Obama is doing something very different re: foreign policy. The Egypt crisis brings it to the fore, but from the outset Obama has been on a different track – regional partnerships, etc.
Yes, we are fortunate the there was a President who did not try to help Mubarak put down his own people in the name of “stability”, but a lot of progressives have a cartoon view of Bill Clinton’s foreign policy and its context. Foreign policy is not driven by personal preference but by domestic politics — always. Bill Clinton acted in Yugoslavia because (1) there was genocide going on, (2) this was creating instability on the edge of Europe, and (3) after the withdrawal from Somalia (his Bay of Pigs move) he needed to prove domestically that he was capable of managing foreign policy. He attacked Iraq because domestic politics was pushing him to get tough on Saddam. He retaliated against al Quaeda’s attack on US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania with a cruise missile attack on their training camps because the domestically acceptable alternative was to invade Afghanistan without the government’s authorization, a more blatant act of aggression. He was so successful in the domestic politics of his foreign policy that George W. Bush campaigned in 2000 on having a “humble foreign policy”.
I don’t like the domestic politics that drove Bill Clinton’s foreign policy nor do I like the political environment of Obama’s foreign policy. But in this case, Obama played the domestic political environment skillfully. There is no way that Kerry and McCain would have hinted very strongly that Mubarak should go in the absence of at least the agreement by President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that this would help in this situation.
The domestic political debate that we need to have in this country is about the nature of the US national interest in foreign policy. This requires a more mature, knowledgeable, and sophisticated discourse from progressives and less personalization of issues.
If Obama’s policy on Egypt was well-handled, that means that Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State, Robert Gates as Secretary of Defense, and Margaret Scobey as Ambassador to Egypt handled it well. It also means that Frank Wisner did not–by putting financial interest before country.
The great danger of a successful Obama foreign policy is depriving the US of an enemy and a justification for extravagant defense expenditures. It just makes neo-conservatives look for a new enemy because having an enemy is the key to their being in power.
I was thinking about what I thought Hillary Clinton might do, mainly. That said, I think that Bill Clinton would have been vastly more constrained himself by the perception of how far he could go supporting a democratic movement against Mubarak. The intervention in Yugoslavia is definitely a topic of debate, but it’s worth noting that Yugoslavia is in Europe, not Africa. Clinton’s personal qualities aside, white discourse–I nearly said, “mainstream”–generally has no problem with Europeans struggling against oppression. Black and Brown people doing the same thing are dangerous. Again, your point about B Clinton’s foreign policy are well-taken, but I think that, perhaps as a matter of his generation, perhaps because he like any white people carries baggage, he would have gone to the default position, which is to support the Brown dictator.
Frankly, I think that however one might critique him, Obama has a great deal of imagination, which in this case allowed him to do something out of the norm for United States policy but ultimately, and absolutely, in our interest not only as a state but as human beings. A Black man who runs for President has imagination. Imagination is essential if one wants to make things better for people. Obama is more cautious than I would be, but frankly my lack of caution has gotten me in an enormous amount of trouble in my life.
The baggage that white leaders carry is not personal is is a matter of the baggage of the majority of white voters at a particular time. Also, the unraveling of stability in Europe would have been a major global catastrophe.
Strikingly, the genocide in Rwanda did not get the same domestic interest, despite its effects on the stability of central Africa. Not because Clinton necessarily didn’t want to do something, but because he could not get the domestic support to do something in Africa after the failure in Somalia. And in that case, no amount of imagination could overcome the white public’s willingness to write off anything in Africa.
Obama’s caution completely disarmed any Republican grandstanding and allowed him to persuade Sen. Kerry and Sen. McCain to issue a joint statement effectively calling for Mubarak’s resignation (if you read between the lines). That was very well-played.
Absolutely correct on the nature of white baggage. True as well about Rwanda. I’d also note that the very positive developments in Rwanda recently have received no press at all in the US. I have more than one acquaintance who has spent a lot of time there in the past few years, and they are absolutely joyful at the state of the country.
Al Jazeera had a very interesting interview with the President of Rwanda on the Riz Khan show (worth watching) during a lull in the coverage of Egypt.
In fact there are several of their shows that are outstanding:
David Frost interviews for them
Riz Khan’s Questions Answers
People & Power
…and a series on US-European hegemony, called Empire
I’ll check it out. Actually just got back from playing music with one of the guys who’s spent time there, and we discussed Africa (I lived in Senegal). Miss it terribly. Human beings live there, not just consumers.
This is precisely what I mean when I write that the right wing has no theory to explain Obama’s foreign policy. I don’t think it’s merely warmongering on Krauthammer’s part, I think most foreign policy “thinkers” are stuck in a cold war concept and have no understanding that there are different ways to conceptualize the USA role in the world.
Folks like Krauthammer, that is neoconservatives, have a view of foreign policy that is linked to domestic policy and to a particular view of morality. The enemy outside purges the weakness inside and the enemy within endangers the strength of national response. But fighting both of these enemies gives neoconversatives real political power that they would not have had otherwise. Without neoconservativism, Krauthammer would be an anonymous psychiatrist. That’s the power of Straussian philosophy and its attraction for a certain type of intellectual. Folks like the Kristols (pere and fils), Wolfowitz, Pipes, Perle, and Feith.
They cannot conceptualize a different framework for foreign policy (even an alternative like Kissinger’s Realpolitik) because they are on a moral crusade in the guise of foreign policy. And that crusade is aimed domestically at the suppression of individualistic freedom. They want America to be Sparta, not Athens.
An acquaintance of mine, who served in Germany during the Hungarian uprising, told me that if anyone in his unit had told him that 40 years later the greatest threat to the US would be a bunch of religious fanatics hiding in caves, he would have immediately reported him for being dangerously mentally imbalanced. He spent a lot of time sleeping next to his tank expecting the start of WW3. They were told they’d have 90 seconds to mount and lock up before the nukes hit if the balloon went up.
It was astonishing to witness at a time where this country is reeling from calls to arms over nonsense, the Giffords shooting, hell, daily shootings, most of the time just because people with guns like the freedom of gunexpression