Assuming for the moment that Herman Cain will shortly end his fake campaign for president in order to make some effort at repairing his domestic life, am I right in assuming this is bad news for Mitt Romney? Isn’t his best hope to have as many opponents as possible so that the conservative vote will be split up into many pieces? Or is he better off that he doesn’t have to face someone who might have beat him?
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BooMan
Martin Longman a contributing editor at the Washington Monthly. He is also the founder of Booman Tribune and Progress Pond. He has a degree in philosophy from Western Michigan University.
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in Iowa, and his lead in NH is down to 4. I didn’t think he had much of a chance before this.
So now Gingrich will go up even more, and the press will turn its attention to him. There is plenty of dirt there, but I doubt enough to cost him the nomination.
This has been Gingrich’s to lose since the first complaint came out about Cain and Perry imploded.
The thing is….Newt’s slime is out there. if you vote for Newt, you’re saying that his slime doesn’t matter. that’s what made a NEWT surging in the polls dangerous for Willard. there’s no scandal that will shock with Newt…we already knew he was a scumbag
As Kaili Joy Gray observed over at DKos, it’s interesting how the “family values” crowd was so willing to overlook sexual exploitation and then get into high indig mode over a long-term adultery. I guess it’s lack of consent that makes it OK. If only Cain had raped her instead of asking first, he’d probably still be riding high.
Of course then how to explain that they then turn to the most disgusting adulterer in public life as the replacement? Good ol’ cognitive dissonance, must be.
Or is he better off that he doesn’t have to face someone who might have beat him?
Cmon, Boo. You’re not saying that you really believe Cain might have beaten Romney? Really???
Yes, the CW seems to be that Romney need as many outliers as possible to hang in there to near the bitter end in order to disseminate the crazy widely enough that the field is diluted. The sooner it becomes a two or three person race, the sooner he has to start pulling some rabbits out of the hat to raise his numbers. Pretty hard for him to swim against that Tea Party current for very long without starting to gasp for air.
It’s good news for John McCain.
Agreed with you and fladem (rare I disagree with fladem lately lol). Terrible news for Romney. He needs as many candidates as possible so the vote is split, and he gets to keep his 25% ceiling. With less candidates, they rally around the not-Romney…in which case it’s Newt. Also, all of Cain’s losses have surged to Newt, with Romney holding the same ceiling.
Seems to me none of the known alternatives are any more credible than Cain, and yet if the polls are to be believed at all, one of them has a fair chance of destroying Romney. The unthinkable — Obama vs Newt or Perry or Bachman or Santorum or (gasp) Paul. Or is it time for Gary Johnson’s star to finally ascend? Or will we have to await the convention and a hailmary pass in the person of Palin, Jeb Bush, a reborn Pawlenty, or some other Final Savior? We report, you decide.
Well Gary is all but stopped campaigning in NH so it won’t be him.
It benefits him to the extent that it makes his personal life look unexceptional.
Look. This is the Republican nomination. Popularity polls do not count as much as the money polls, and Romney has the money people behind him. We won’t see that working out because the media does not report on the money polls.
Gingrich does not have the money, the organization, nor does he have the reputation as someone who can be told what to do and he will do it (this was Bush 43’s biggest advantage.) He didn’t offer the real power people enough to keep him as the Speaker in the 90’s. No one serious in the Republican Party is bound by the stated rules.
What happens if Palin jumps in right now? Pay her enough and she will. It would scramble the entire game at least long enough for Romney to limp over an early primary that he had bought for him.
The only way I can see Karl Rove and the other money people letting Gingrich get the nomination is if they have decided to not seriously fight the Obama reelection in 2012. If the Germans let the Euro Zone go down and it takes the worldwide economy goes seriously South, that becomes an even more likely possibility.
If Newt wins the nomination, I figure one of two things will have happened:
The cresendo of cymbols is nearly deafening as the two fer nears. Just about the time that Newt is finally pegged by his new followers, Obama’s ads will deflate Romney yet again and then the gasp as the R’s realize there’s no one waiting in the cage…except…?
Except a what? A unity government? Ron Paul? John Huntsman?
Which R’s realize this? The true believers or the money folks?
Oh, you mean Newt.
Lemme try to pair that.
Gingrich (GA-Congress) and Pawlenty (MN-Governor)
Gingrich and Perry (TX-Governor) no geographical pull
Gingrich and Daniels (IN)
Gingrich and Christie (NJ)
Gingrich and McDonnell (VA) – again geography
Gingrich and Branstad (IA) – quid pro quo
Gingrich and Santorum (PA) – it’s crazy enough to be possible
Gingrich and Barasso (WY) – all Obamacare, all the time
Gingrich and Ryan (WI) – no doubt somebody’s dream team
Gingrich and Kasich (OH) – how to deal with a problem governor; kick them upstairs.
Gingrich Rubio in the hopes of pulling the latino vote away from Obama
I sense that Rubio wants to hold out for a run of his own: why waste his opportunity under someone who might go down in flames? 2016/2020 and Republicans might be hungry enough for a win that they will go with a Latino candidate from Florida. So why take the offer?
Nope, I mean Newt and Romney both are tossed. And then you have left in the barn Paul, Santorum, Bachman & Huntsman which will translate into alot of work to scurry around and find a way to bring the party back together. I can’t imagine of that group that Mitt’s backers would go anywhere but toward Huntsman and Newt’s would go to Santorum. But fun to see them creep toward the edge.
Is there another debate between now and the Iowa caucuses?
Former GOP Rep. Says Gingrich Is `An Evil Person’ |