I still think this campaign is like an arm-wrestling match where Romney is expending everything he has to try to move Obama into a defensive position, but he just can’t budge him. But we know how that works. You fight and fight and fight and then, finally, your strength is gone and your arm is pinned back decisively. When I read articles about the Obama campaign’s cautious optimism, I’m still skeptical that it amounts to anything more than not wanting to curse themselves with overconfidence. At some point, maybe during the debates, Romney will expend the last measure of his strength, and his support will collapse. I still do not believe that this election will be closer than the last one. This thing is going to break decisively one way or the other. And my money is on it breaking toward the incumbent.
