Just the Right Height

The Washington Post concern trolls the Romneys’ appearance on The Today Show:

On the set in New York, for a show scheduled to air next Tuesday, Romney gushed about Nicole Elizabeth “Snooki” Polizzi, the potty-mouthed star of the MTV series “Jersey Shore.” He marveled, “Look how tiny she’s gotten. She’s lost weight. She’s energetic. Just her spark-plug personality is kind of fun.”

But coming at a moment of international crisis, as U.S. embassies in the Middle East were beset by anti-American protests, the interview brought shudders from some Republicans who fear the Romney campaign is running aground in its final stretch.

“Deaver is turning over in his grave,” said one prominent Republican strategist, referring to Michael Deaver, the late image-maker for Ronald Reagan.

Two things that are just the right height: the trees in Michigan, and Snooki.

Something Not Heavy

If you’re a guy, you’re probably not going to want to miss the recently discovered footage of former Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm’s 1978 appearance on The Dating Game. I think she discovered 80’s hair a couple of years early, but she was a very cute 19 year old and I love the suspenders. I wonder what the bachelors think about their experience today.

What’s on your mind this morning?

Saturday Painting Palooza Vol.370

Hello again painting fans.

This week I will be continuing with the three turreted Victorian house in Cape May, New Jersey.  I will be using my usual acrylic paints on a conventional 8×8 inch canvas.  The photo that I’m using is seen directly below.

When last seen, the painting appeared as it does in the photo directly below.

Since that time I have continued to work on the painting.

Before going into the details, let me say that the photo has darkened the painting considerably.  However, the photo still clearly shows the progress of this past week.  I’ve gone a considerable way toward the look of the final house.  I’ve painted white over the orange all over the body of the house.  The left-leaning portions are blue to indicated shadowed areas.  (Yes, the left should always be blue.  😉  )  I’ve done a similar arrangement on the roof but the lit portions will change to reflect the color of the original photo.  Below, the covered area of the porch is blue, also to indicate shadow.

The current state of the painting is seen in the photo directly below.

I’ll have more progress for you next week.  See you then.

 

Earlier paintings in this series can be seen here.

 

US Administratons’ Failure to Distinquish Strands of Islam

See my latest diary – American Citizens Ordered Out of Tunisia and Sudan; Benghazi Security Questioned.

Saudi Arabia’s Medieval Wahhabism vs. Moderate Sufi

(Asia Times) – Libya is now militia hell – from neighborhood-watch outfits to mini-armies. They won’t disarm. They refuse to be part of government security forces because their logic is tribal. They’re fighting one another. No weak central government in car-bomb-infested Tripoli will rein them in.

Another way to put it is that “liberated” Libya is now warlord country. Home of vendettas in the desert and tribal pogroms against other tribes – and even whole towns.

The Salafi-jihadis – with whom Washington, London and Paris were unashamedly in bed during their humanitarian bombing campaign – are based in Cyrenaica, eastern Libya. Some have come from Iraq. Some are shuttling back and forth to and from Syria, aiming to destroy yet one more secular Arab republic.

They include the heavily armed gang that attacked the US consulate – the self-described Imprisoned Omar Abdul Rahman Brigades, which surfaced only four months ago. Three months ago, hundreds of AK-47-equipped Salafi-jihadis held Benghazi hostage demanding sharia law.

The (disintegrated) police and army of “liberated” Libya could not possibly face them down. Local tribes don’t care. Salafi-jihadis have been attacking Sufi mosques and tombs; Sufi Islam is infinitely more moderate – and intellectually sophisticated – compared with medieval Wahhabism.

The training camps are near Derna – which has a history of being a top source of al-Qaeda-style jihadis, especially active in occupied Iraq. This does not mean all the Salafi-jihadis are affiliated with al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM); it’s a much more local Libyan affair.

Romney Poses, as Militants Burn Benghazi Consulate, killing Ambassador, 3 staffers, & Demonstrate in Cairo, over Islamophobic Film

The Wrath of Libya’s Salafis

(Carnegie Endowmwnt) – The tragic assault on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi was the latest in a series of attacks by the country’s increasingly active Salafis. In late August, armed Salafi groups demolished Sufi shrines, mosques, and mausoleums in Tripoli, Misrata, and Zliten.  Earlier this year, Salafis desecrated British World War II graves, attacked the Tunisian consulate over an art exhibit in Tunis they deemed offensive, bombed the offices of the International Red Cross, and detonated an improvised explosive device at the U.S. consulate in Benghazi.  But such attacks are hardly proof of Salafism’s growing influence over the country.  Rather, they are symptoms of an intense re-composition and fractionalization of the movement, between quietist, “politico,” and militant strands.  More importantly, they reveal the Salafis’ anguished search for relevance in a country that is already socially conservative, but that has soundly rejected dogmatic political actors in favor of technocratic ones.

In the July 7 elections for the General National Congress (GNC), Libyan voters effectively shunned the “politico” current of Libyan Salafism represented by the al-Watan party–which counted former Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG) emir Abd al-Hakim Bilhaj as its most prominent luminary–and Umma al-Wasat, whose candidates included LIFG figures such as Sami al-Saadi and Abd al-Wahhab al-Ghayid, the brother of slain al-Qaeda deputy Abu Yahya al-Libi. Tellingly, Umma al-Wasat secured only one seat; al-Watan, zero. Bereft of the political platform of Egypt’s al-Nour party and lacking the stark secular-Islamist social divide that has enabled Tunisian Salafis to play the role of provocateur, militant Salafis in Libya are trying to muscle their way to prominence using violence. The country’s rich Sufi heritage (regarded by Salafis as anathema and idolatrous) has been the most recent object of their wrath. But the history of Salafi militancy extends farther back and encompasses a broad array of causes and targets.  

By many accounts, Salafis’ most visible entrée into the public sphere occurred on June 7, when the militia Ansar al-Sharia (based in Darnah and Benghazi) led a rally of armed vehicles along Benghazi’s own Tahrir Square and demanded the imposition of Islamic law. Its leader, Sheikh Muhammad al-Zahawi later gave an interview on a local TV station forbidding participation in the July 7 GNC elections on the grounds that they were un-Islamic.

Libya’s Big Step Forward… Then What?

More below the fold -BLOWBACK- …

Blowback of the ugliest kind

(Al-Jazeera) – Now that the violence has been turned against their representatives, will Americans respond as expected, with prejudice and ignorance? Or, during this crucial election season, will they ask hard questions of their leaders about the wisdom of violent interventions in the context of a larger regional system which the United States administers that remains largely driven by violence?

As I flew home yesterday from Europe, unaware of what had transpired in Libya, I read through the 2008 report by the Cairo Institute for Human Rights Studies, titled “From Exporting Terrorism to Exporting Oppression: Human Rights in the Arab Region”.

The report described the often unbearable levels of abuse suffered by citizens across the region is one of the most depressing reads imaginable. Every single government, from Morocco to Iraq, was defined by the systematic abuse of its citizens, denial of their most basic rights, and rampant corruption and violence. And in every case, such abuses and violence have been enabled by Western, Russian and other foreign interests.

Simply put, each and all the policies and actions described in the report – and 2008 was no better or worse than the years that proceeded or followed it – are as much forms of terror as the destruction of the World Trade Centre, invasion of Iraq, or attack on the US Consulate in Benghazi.

In fact, the Middle East and North Africa have for over half a century constituted one of the largest and most pernicious terror systems of the modern era. And the US, Europe, Russia, and now increasingly China have been accessories, co-conspirators, and often initiators of this terror throughout the period, working hand-in-hand with local governments to repress their peoples and ensure that wealth and power remain arrogated by a trusted few.

Anti-American Protests are Strange

This whole fiasco surrounding the Innocence of Muslims movie is really strange. If the guy who is responsible is basically a giant crook who is actually Egyptian, then the whole thing is nothing more than a bunch of Muslims yelling at Americans because we allow people to post YouTubes. Guess what? In America, we can post YouTubes. You want us to change that? Don’t you want to be able to post YouTubes, too?

I understand that the material is highly offensive. But the Prophet Mohammed can take it. His honor and reputation aren’t going to be harmed by a crappy YouTube. His honor and reputation are being harmed right now by people who are killing and threatening innocent people who had and have nothing to do with the crappy YouTube.

I know that my opinion of Islam is not enhanced when my countrymen are killed because somebody posted a crappy YouTube. We have Nazis and Klansmen in this country who say and do things that are deeply hurtful to some of our most vulnerable and scarred citizens. We allow them to do it because we can take it.

If you kill my countrymen and trample and burn my flag and destroy my country’s property just because my government won’t police YouTube, I am going to start getting angry myself.

And that’s not good. Because I’m way far on the tolerant side of American public opinion. When my fellow Americans get angry and scared, they generally don’t act very nice. Ask Saddam Hussein about misguided vengeance.

We have a level-headed president at the moment, who is even familiar with Islamic culture, thanks to spending some formative years in Indonesia. That’s good, because he can think clearly and he knows where you’re coming from. But he ain’t gonna change our laws so that no one can ever say a bad word about the Prophet. We don’t do that for Jesus Christ. Respect how we roll.

The American Right and Islamic Extremism

I hope that the regulars here might help me flesh out a list I’m compiling of instances where neoconservative policy has served to aid Islamic extremism or vice versa, irrespective of the extent to which this aid appeared to be the result of poorly conceived or executed policy. Current events in the Middle East, Netanyahu’s meddling in our election included, have pushed things so far that it’s getting very hard to ignore the elephant in the room. (So to speak.)

I like to work with bulletpoint-style lists. Here’s what I have so far:

  • 1973. The Shah of Iran openly promises to keep raising the price of oil, angering the Nixon administration. CIA support for the Shah begins to erode at this point, leading to the 1979 revolution in Iran.
  • 1979. Iranian student extremists take 52 Americans hostage in Tehran, effectively crippling Jimmy Carter in his race for re-election.
  • 1980. The alleged deal between Khomeini and the Reagan campaign is done to insure that hostages are not released prior to the election. Hostages were instead released immediately upon Reagan’s inauguration.
  • 1981. Ronald Reagan greatly expands shipping of arms to the mujahideen in Afghanistan.
  • 1985. Iran-Contra.

(There’s probably some juicy stuff from our role in the Iran-Iraq War that I don’t know. Anyone?)

  • 2001. 9/11. Bush doesn’t get a second term without it, doesn’t get a chance to invade Iraq without it. Attempts to locate and capture or kill Osama Bin Laden are transparently half-hearted.
  • 2003. Invasion of Iraq leads to toppling of secular Baathist regime, replaced by sectarian Shia regime closely allied with… Iran.
  • Throughout. Every outbreak of violence leads to fears of instability of the global oil supply, keeping prices artificially high. American oil companies register record profits during these times.
  • 2012. Bizarre story of anti-Islam video released in US causes waves of protests by extremists in the Middle East, which are themselves allegedly used as diversionary tactic during assault on popular US diplomats in Benghazi.

I think all these things are linked. Further, I strongly suspect that I’m just scratching the surface here. Who can tell me what I’ve missed?

Debates Could, But Don’t Usually Matter

In my experience, presidential debates don’t matter. By normal standards, the Democrats tend to win these debates, but it doesn’t seem to matter. Did Al Gore wipe the floor with George W. Bush? Yes, almost as decisively as John Kerry did four years later. Neither of them saw any benefit in the polls. Al Gore actually lost ground. But, you might ask, maybe we shouldn’t use objective standards of debate. Maybe debates matter even if they aren’t judged according to who knew their stuff and who communicated more effectively. Even if it’s just a matter of who came off as more likable, that still matters, right?

I suppose it could. But there is very little evidence that it ever has. Gerald Ford’s blunder about Poland didn’t stop Jimmy Carter’s dramatic slide. Lloyd Bentsen’s triumph over Dan Quayle didn’t make him the next vice-president. Sarah Palin’s bizarre winking performance didn’t cause McCain’s numbers to collapse. Unless a candidate freezes up like Rick Perry did this past spring, I don’t see the debates changing anything.

That said, Romney needs to be more personable and he needs to convince people to trust him. And the debates are his last chance to do those things.

What’s Middle Income?

Here’s some information from the U.S. Census Bureau:

Real median household income in the United States in 2011 was $50,054, a 1.5 percent decline from the 2010 median and the second consecutive annual drop.

The nation’s official poverty rate in 2011 was 15.0 percent, with 46.2 million people in poverty. After three consecutive years of increases, neither the poverty rate nor the number of people in poverty were statistically different from the 2010 estimates.

The number of people without health insurance coverage declined from 50.0 million in 2010 to 48.6 million in 2011, as did the percentage without coverage – from 16.3 percent in 2010 to 15.7 percent in 2011.

For dumb people, “median” means that there are an equal number of things on each side of the number. In this case, it means that in 2011 the exact same number of people households made more than $50,054 than made less. This is an entirely defensible and sensible way of defining “middle-income Americans.” People Households making $50,054 last year were precisely in the middle. Nevertheless, the following exchange occurred on this morning’s Good Morning America program:

“No one can say my plan is going to raise taxes on middle-income people, because principle number one is (to) keep the burden down on middle-income taxpayers,” Romney told host George Stephanopoulos.

“Is $100,000 middle income?” Stephanopoulos asked.

“No, middle income is $200,000 to $250,000 and less,” Romney responded.

The Washington Post article points out that President Obama has referred to the “Middle Class” as including people with incomes up to $250,000. But that is not equivalent to what Romney said. The president was giving an upper range. And he certainly wasn’t suggesting that people making less than $200,000 a year are not middle class.

“Middle class” is a vague term, but “middle income” shouldn’t be. I’d argue that middle income people make between $40,000 and $60,000 a year. I’d choose that range because if you go any lower, you’re dealing with people who can’t be described as having any financial security. And I think that’s what we’re trying to talk about when we use these terms. The middle class is supposed to be a comfortable place. It’s not great; it’s not that secure; but it is comfortable. What’s happening in this country is that the middle income is getting perilously close to the poverty level for any family of significant size. The middle class isn’t as comfortable as it used to be.

But, unless you live in Manhattan, making $200,000 a year is a lot of money. And only about 3% of Americans make more than $250,000 a year. You can’t call that middle income or middle class.