America Conflicted

I just saw this excellent article in the Guardian about why so many Americans hate government right up until the time they need it’s help. The author, Paul Harris, makes a valid argument for why Americans only seem to love their government in times of crisis. It comes from two competing but equally important values that we have all been indoctrinated with at some time in our lives. The value of individualism – the self made man or woman – versus the value that so many people in our past and in our present focused upon when danger threatened, the spirit of community.

Harris even provides us the perfect example of both values in action (though he admittedly borrows it from the late Kurt Vonnegut) – volunteer firefighters:

[T]he late great writer Kurt Vonnegut, often held up as America’s conscience, praised volunteer firefighters in so many of his books. After all, the small-town firefighting department is an expression of the community as a whole, as it needs to respond to catastrophe. But it’s also made up of individual volunteers.

The volunteers are making individual choices, but they are choosing to act in support of thier community. And who pays for the firefighting equipment they need? Government. As much as so many Republicans claim to hate government, and want to “drown it in a bathtub,” they are also often the first to clamor for government’s help in times of disaster. Chris Christie, Republican governor, is but the latest in a long line of Republicans who demand the Federal government “bail them out” when they know they are in too deep. The TARP program, after all, was first and foremost a Republican program created by a Republican President, George Bush, to benefit Wall Street, Big Banls and lastly keep a second Great Depression at bay. Was it necessary to prevent a depression? Likely yes, but it was also necessary to save their own economic skins (or at least the skins of their biggest supporters – Big Banks and Wall Street).

So, it’s important to remember that the Republican party is not really against government. Far from it, despite what they tell their libertarian hangers-on in the Ron Paul wing of their party. They are for very much in favor of a federal government that safeguards their lives, imposes their “values” on the rest of us and, in the case of corporate persons, their massive profits. So when no overwhelming, hit you upside the head and make you take notice, crisis exists they make jokes about government:

There is a Ronald Reagan gag trotted out all the time by Republican politicians. “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: ‘I’m from the government and I’m here to help,'” he quipped. It always gets a laugh.

But as Mr. Harris notes, when disaster strikes – for example when economic, terrorist attacks, or natural catastrophes, such as the wildfires, droughts and super storms we’ve experienced over the last decade – they forget they ever heard that joke, much less laughed at it:

Trying telling that [Reagan] joke to anyone in trouble right now in New Jersey, New York, Virginia or Maryland. They won’t be laughing with you. Not even the Republicans among them.

Indeed, the main recent catastrophe where America failed to step up to the plate – the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina – was seen mostly as a failure of too little government help. President George W Bush and his reviled Fema boss Michael Brown were lambasted for not doing enough: for government inaction. The hero of the hour became the National Guard, which swept into the disaster zone to take action: again, a bunch of reservist volunteers who make up a part of government.

Unfortunately most of our crises are slow moving and require a singular ginormous event to make people sit up and pay attention. Like Japan, which failed to notice its over-reliance ion nuclear power in a land beset by earthquakes until Fukushima occurred, we allow the slow crises in education, manufacturing jobs, an under-regulated financial system, crumbling critical infrastructure, etc., to continue until the lid literally blows off the top, and we realized, as did the Marines in Stanley Kubrick’s classic Vietnam film, Full Metal Jacket, that yes, we are deep in the shit.

A natural catastrophe, such as Sandy, of course, has the advantage of being an immediate and galvanizing event that demands action. Everyone sees the need, everyone affected wants government action and help. And everyone complains, as George Bush found out, when government, BIG government, doesn’t come through with the goods upon demand. Unfortunately, most of the crises we face as a nation are of the long simmering variety: lost jobs, poor or non-existent health care, underfunding of schools at all levels, and climate change, which yes, does make super storms more likely – just ask the insurance industry:

While the world has been beset in recent years with various natural disasters–from heat waves in Europe and flooding in Asia to flooding, drought and wildfires in Australia to earthquake and tsunami in Japan–those caused by severe weather have hit the U.S. hardest, according to a study released on Oct. 17 by the massive German reinsurer Munich Re. […]

While doubt over the reality of climate change may persist most strongly in the U.S., ironically, its effects are hitting North American shores–and heartland–the hardest, and insurers cannot afford to doubt the connection.

Munich Re’s report, “Severe weather in North America,” the company said in a statement, “analyzes all kinds of weather perils and their trends. It reports and shows that the continent has experienced the largest increases in weather-related loss events.” […]

Prof. Peter Höppe, who heads Munich Re’s Geo Risks Research unit, was quoted saying, “In all likelihood, we have to regard this finding as an initial climate-change footprint in our U.S. loss data from the last four decades. Previously, there had not been such a strong chain of evidence. If the first effects of climate change are already perceptible, all alerts and measures against it have become even more pressing.”

So while Governor Christie is happy to get disaster relief from the federal government, his party is actively undermining the ability of the federal government to address the long term crisis of climate change, just as they undermine the need for the federal government to regulate our food, our drugs, our workplaces, our financial markets, public health, our freedom to say what we want where we want, and most fundamental of all, our children’s futures.

Oh the GOP won’t do away with government. Their corporate sponsors in the defense industry, the financial industry, the energy industry, the private prison industry and the private education industry (among many others I could name) are dependent upon government largesse for their existence. They need Big government to allow them to keep feeding at the public trough. Republicans, especially political figures, value individualism, true enough, but in a perverted and distorted way. After all, as Mitt Romney put it so bluntly and (for once) honestly, “Corporations are people, too.” And those corporations need Big government to clean up the messes they make. They value community, it’s just not the one that most of us do. It’s the heavily fortified, gated community of the wealthy and powerful at the expense of the rest of us.

They aren’t volunteer firefighters or soldiers or relief workers, though they are glad to receive their help when needed. And unfortunately, too many Americans, indoctrinated from childhood that individualism is the best and highest American value (even if community action is, regrettably, required every so often) are being gulled by Republican propaganda, because they are inclined to view the Federal Government as evil, at worst, and an inefficient and costly means of delivering services at best.

Those whio will vote republican this year are not of necessity “bad people.” They often perform many good acts. They rally in times of crisis to help their neighbors. They enlist in the military, or send their sons and daughters to do so. They volunteer as firefighters. Sadly, they don’t see that their actions are an expression of a profoundly important American value: supporting the community so that all may prosper. Nor do they understand that for all to do well, we need a government that works for all the people, not one run by oligarchs and corporations for the limited benefit of the rich.

Government has always existed and always will. Anyone who thinks otherwise is fooling themselves. The fundamental question is who will our government serve? Will it serve the interests of all Americans, or those of the few? The Republicans stand for the latter proposition, almost uniformly. Democrats, as bad and timid and weak as they often are, primarily stand for the opposite view. Americans should never give up the value of individual achievement. It has led to many great accomplishments and successes.

However, neither should they ignore the value of community, for it is as a community, acting through our government, that we have achieved our greatest feats: the end of slavery, the defeat of fascism and totalitarian communism, the creation of a large middle class, technologies that came out of the effort to send Americans to the Moon, and so on. And the best, most effective way to support and protect our communities is a government committed, to the greatest extent possible, to assisting all Americans, not just the privileged, the powerful, and the greedy.

When President Obama says the American people are faced with two competing visions of America in this election, he is correct. What he doesn’t say, however, is that both visions will require a large federal Government. One of those governments provides vital support for most of our nation’s people, whether through disaster relief, the social safety net, environmental and economic regulation, etc. The other? If you have watched a Romney commercial, or seen him debate President Obama, or heard his 47% speech to donors, you know the answer to that question.

Nate Silver is wrong on the electoral effect of Sandy

Nate Silver has expressed skepticism as to whether Hurricane Sandy will have any significant effect on the election one way or the other. I think he is a great numbers guy, but sometimes he just misses the big picture. I expect Hurricane Sandy to have a major positive effect on President Obama’s reelection prospects for the following reasons:

  1. The storm drowns out the electoral narrative Mitt needs to sustain his “mittmentum” and reduces his campaign appearances to a few school halls.
  2. It allows Obama to look Presidential whilst Mitt desperately tries to insert himself into the story with ridiculous attempts to hold sparsely attended election rallies re-branded as Storm relief events collecting laughable amounts of “relief supplies” no one wants.
  3. It draws attention to Mitts earlier statements that federal disaster relief is immoral and his pledges to abolish FEMA  – not to mention his poor track record of handling disaster relief as Governor in Massachusetts.
  4. It draws a stark contrast between Obama’s competent handling of Sandy with Bush’s handling of Katrina.
  5. It reminds people of what good government is all about and cuts through the Republican ideology that Government serves almost no useful purpose.
  6. It draws attention to Republican congressional attempts to defund disaster relief.
  7. Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey, long time tea party favorite, potential Presidential candidate, and Romney’s keynote speaker at the GOP convention has praised Obama’s handling of the Crisis to high heaven and refused Romney a picture opportunity “helping the distressed” in New Jersey whilst extending an invitation to the President.
  8. It emphasizes the Democratic values of social solidarity rather than the Republican values of “you’re on your own” and underscores and validates Democratic concerns about global climate change.
  9. The timing disrupts the (partisan) campaigns whilst not necessarily effecting election day itself. Most of the states in the storm path are solidly Democratic in any case, and those that aren’t – Va, NC and FL – have much reason to be grateful for Federal Disaster relief.
  10. It MAY damage the Democratic attempts to build a big lead in early voting in some states – for example in NC, but there is little sign of that yet.
  11. There is a psychological phenomenon whereby people who have been through a stressful situation with someone come to bond with them in a very emotional way. We are not talking rationality here, but of unconscious processes which apply even in very negative situations such as kidnappings – see Stockholm syndrome. The best recent political example is perhaps President Bush’s bump in popularity post 9/11, despite mounting evidence of his incompetence and inattention in the lead up to that tragedy.

Sandy may yet turn out to be a positive October surprise in political terms at least even if it has caused a lot of hardship on the ground. There’s rarely a cloud without a silver lining…

Helluva Job, FEMA

This is from the White House Press Office’s Pool Report for Vice-President Biden’s trip to Columbus, Ohio (no Link).

VP was asked if it was relevant or even appropriate to discuss what Gov. Romney’s budget plan would mean for FEMA funding and disaster relief. “No, look. I think FEMA is doing incredible job. I wish you guys could have been on the phone with all of the governors. Uniformly they were incredibly grateful to [FEMA administrator Craig] Fugate and the president.

“So, this is working like it’s supposed to. FEMA has been reorganized. It’s doing one helluva a job. It prepositioned resources. The governors are all cooperating with one another. The mayors are cooperating. I’ve never in all my experience seen as much cooperation, and acknowledgement of that cooperation, from city, state, federal levels. So it’s working like it’s supposed to. And I’m really proud of our team, and I’m also proud of the way the governors have all stepped up with the mayors. Hearing the mayor of Philadelphia and the governor of Pennsylvania, two different parties, talking about the cooperation. Hearing Christie talk about the cooperation he has with the mayor of Newark.”

Even though Biden couldn’t help sending the jab at the Bush administration’s response to Katrina, his overall response to questions was to refuse to politicize the storm or to directly criticize Romney. Instead, he praised the bipartisan cooperation between Democrats and Republicans, and the job of FEMA and first responders and aid workers. Biden will hit the campaign trail tomorrow in Florida, but there is no word on when or whether the president will resume campaigning.

Damage Thread

We just went out for tacos and a drive around our area to survey the damage. Overall, the damage in our area is light with relatively few uprooted trees and mostly passable roadways. However, three houses down the hill from us the power line is down, knocking out power for at least a couple of miles in the direction. While, a half mile up the hill, the street light is out. Somehow, we live in a tiny pocket of no more than twenty homes that avoided a power outage. And that’s a good thing because there is no telling how many days it will be before power is restored to those who lost it. Someone has already put up yard signs all over advertising generators.

There is flooding is some of the low-lying areas around here, too, but they are predicting that it will recede fairly quickly. Compared to what people south and east of here experienced, we got off lightly.

What did you experience in your area?

When Chips are Down, Gov. Christie Cuts the Crap

Here is Governor Chris Christie (R – NJ) as the keynote speaker at the Republican National Convention earlier this year:

Leadership delivers. Leadership counts. Leadership matters. We have this leader for America.

We have a nominee who will tell us the truth and who will lead with conviction. And now he has a running mate who will do the same.

We have Gov. Mitt Romney and Congressman Paul Ryan, and we must make them our next president and vice president.

Mitt Romney will tell us the hard truths we need to hear to put us back on the path to growth and create good paying private sector jobs again in America. Mitt Romney will tell us the hard truths we need to hear to end the torrent of debt that is compromising our future and burying our economy.

Continued below the fold…
Now contrast that with what he said on Fox News earlier this morning (follow the link for the video).

“The president was great last night,” Christie continued. “He said he would get it done. At 2 a.m., I got a call from FEMA to answer a couple of final questions and then he signed the declaration this morning. So I have to give the president great credit. He’s been on the phone with me three times in the last 24 hours. He’s been very attentive, and anything that I’ve asked for, he’s gotten to me. So, I thank the president publicly for that. He’s done — as far as I’m concerned — a great job for New Jersey.”
Raw Story (http://s.tt/1rm5A)

Christie praises Obama, doesn’t `give a damn’ about Romney photo op

As someone who has been critical of Governor Christie in the past, I have to give him great credit here for his honesty and his dedication to the people of his state.  

Leadership matters, indeed.  I don’t think Governor Christie leaves any doubt as to who is the best leader on the ballot.

Cell Phones: Back to 2004

Democracy Corp provides some data on the difference in candidate preference among people with different telephone habits (cell only, mostly cell, mostly landline, landline only). Democrats made the same argument in 2004 to argue that the polls were overstating Bush’s support. That was probably true then, but not by enough to matter. Eight years later, a lot more people have given up their landlines. Has the phenomenon become statistically significant?

Personally, I think it’s more important that Obama is leading in the polls in enough swing states to win reelection. But, for people wondering who will win the popular vote, the cell phone issue might help them form an informed opinion.

Climate Change Dooms Romney’s Chances

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CNN interview on damage from storm surge. Governor Jack Markell from Delaware in remarks on Sandy and federal disaster relief from FEMA: “Romney is an idiot.”

Would Romney abolish FEMA? His campaign says no

DAVENPORT, Iowa–As Hurricane Sandy bears down on the East Coast, Mitt Romney’s campaign is pushing back against suggestions that he wants to abolish the Federal Emergency Management Agency–insisting that he would simply prefer to see states take a greater role in disaster relief.

At a GOP primary debate in June 2011, Romney, when asked about FEMA’s budget woes and how he would deal with it, had said, “Every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that’s the right direction. And if you can go even further and send it back to the private sector, that’s even better.”

During that debate, the moderator, CNN’s John King, had gone on to ask if that included “disaster relief.” Romney suggested it did.

The Center for American Progress, a liberal group, called attention to Romney’s remarks in an email to reporters on Sunday.

Asked for clarification today, Romney spokeswoman Amanda Henneberg said the GOP nominee wasn’t implying he would get rid of FEMA, but rather that he simply wants states to play a greater role in disaster response.

Twitter accounts for storm, relief updates

Hurricane puts spotlight on Romney’s past FEMA remarks

(USA Today) – With Hurricane Sandy bearing down on the East Coast, comments that Mitt Romney made during the GOP primary about federal disaster relief are facing fresh scrutiny.

Back in December 2011, Romney commented during a GOP debate that it was “immoral” for the federal government to unnecessarily spend money on disaster relief in the face of yawning deficits.

Some liberal commentators, including Matthew Yglesias of Slate, said the comments underscore that Romney wants to cut funding for the Federal Emergency Management Agency, but the Romney campaign has pushed back against the assertion.

“Gov. Romney believes that states should be in charge of emergency management in responding to storms and other natural disasters in their jurisdictions,” Romney spokesman Ryan Williams said in a statement.

Commonwealth of Massachusetts

During his time as governor in Massachusetts, Romney requested federal emergency aid for the Commonwealth on several occasions:
— In December 2003, he requested funds from the George W. Bush administration for 12 of 14 Massachusetts’ counties following a massive snowstorm there;
— In January 2005, Romney requested FEMA funds for snow removal after record snowfalls there, according State House New Service;
— In June 2005, his administration requested FEMA funds to deal with the Red Tide outbreak.

As governor of Massachusetts Romney received mixed reviews when it came to disaster preparedness and at least one state Senate committee issued reports that indicated Romney left the state vulnerable at the end of his term.

The Romney Zombie Apocalypse

Many outside observers find it difficult to understand why the US Presidential election is even close. On the one hand you have a President who has ended one war, is ending another, and has avoided entanglement in a few more potential wars so far. He has saved the US auto industry, reduced US dependency on imported oil, pulled the US out of the deepest recession since the Great Depression and has enacted the most comprehensive healthcare reform since Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society introduced  Medicare and Medicaid – and all against the scorched earth policies of his Republican congressional opposition.

And on the other hand, you have a ZOMBIE who…

  1. Thinks its fun to forcibly cut the hair of a gay boy at school while his friends hold him down
  2. Loves his pet dog so much he puts him in a crate on the roof of his car on a several hundred mile vacation journey and hoses him down when he craps all over himself and the car.
  3. Counter demonstrates against anti-Vietnam war protestors – whilst at the same time claiming an exemption from the draft for religious reasons – apparently to do “missionary work” in France. There are no reports of any converts during his time there…
  4. Says that “I like to fire people who render services to me”
  5. Claims that he had no responsibility for Bain’s actions when he was still sole owner, CEO and attending some board meetings – and was listed as such on the the Company’s tax returns
  6. According to his own adviser has an “etch a sketch” approach to policy whereby his policy is whatever it suits him to say at any given time as if his previous policy pronouncements were of no consequence.
  7. Goes on an “insult tour” of Europe and Israel where he upsets his hosts with insensitive comments about rhe running of the Olympics and the cultural inferiority of Palestinians. Whilst attending the Olympics he doesn’t even go to see his wife’s dressage horse compete for fear as seeming elitist – a horse for which he claims a large tax deduction.
  8. Fails to declare his own tax returns of more than the past two years – and manipulates the two years he does release by over paying to make it look like he is paying his claimed 14.9% rate – an overpayment he is entitled to claim back later.
  9. Supports a tax plan – authored by running mate Paul Ryan – which would reduce his own future tax liability to less than 1% as it exempts all capital gains.
  10. Comments: “Let Detroit go bankrupt”, “I’ll veto the Dream Act”, “I’ll end Planned Parenthood”, “corporations are people, my friends”, “my job is not to worry about the very poor”, and “47% of people are dependent on the Government and unwilling to take responsibility for their own lives” despite the fact that most of them have paid taxes for large parts of their lives.
  11. His Libya comments seeking to make political capital out of the embassy attacks as US diplomats, including the ambassador, were being killed.
  12. Has appointed a senior advisory team drawn from the dark side of the Bush administration… By their friends you shall know them…

So what gives?

You can make excuses for the Citizen’s United case, a corporate dominated mainstream media, and widespread  voter suppression tactics by Republican dominated state and local administrations, but there is no way such a zombie could be elected President – unless a majority of US voters have already become infected with the disease…

We in Ireland have had our own Zombie apocalypse to live through…

Tried to vote today

Went to Village Hall here in Chicago’s suburbia to vote early, my first time ever early voting. Couldn’t park. The very large number of spaces were all taken.  Will try again Wednesday about 10:00AM as I have the day off.

I may have to stand in the long lines on Election Day. It would be a joke if everyone stands in long lines to vote early and by election day virtually everyone has voted.

Hell has frozen over!
The Chicago Tribune (a Republican stalwart since forever) has endorsed Barack Obama over Mitt Romney! They even endorse my (D) state senator and (D) state rep. The full page endorsement boils down to they have no confidence that Mitt Romney will reduce the deficit.

I Can See Sandy From Lake Ontario

We are expecting 20-25 foot waves on the Lake Ontario shoreline tonight and winds as high as 65 mph after midnight. I live about 5 miles from the Ontario shore line. That if anything brings home to me the immensity of this storm. We are roughly 400 miles away from where Sandy is coming ashore in New Jersey. The winds are increasing as we speak as heavy rains fall. Our suburban street is flooded in parts.

Our power has already gone out once and come back – fortunately. Winds are supposed to be higher near the shore and later tonight into Tuesday morning. Schools are closed. I hear that similar large waves are expected on other Great Lakes, such as Lake Huron:

Strong winds churned the Great Lakes on Monday, driving waves on Lake Huron to 14 feet on their way to 26 feet or more, forecasters said, while the arrival of Hurricane Sandy on the East Coast canceled flights in southeastern Michigan.

The National Weather Service issued a storm warning for Lake Huron on Monday that called for wave heights of 26 feet, and possibly as high as 38 feet, as the winds peak around dawn Tuesday. Lake Michigan waves were expected to reach 19 feet, with a potential of 33 feet on Tuesday.

Also as far west as Lake Michigan and Chicago.

Officials had a simple warning as the Chicago area braced for high winds and waves from a massive storm along the East Coast.

“Stay off the lake folks,” said Gary Shenkel, executive director of Office of Emergency Management and Communication. “Lake winds are going to be 50 to 60 mph. Waves could exceed the 24-foot mark. So please stay off the lake … This could be a very dangerous situation.”

Keep safe everyone who resides in this larger than expected danger zone.