If you want to predict what will happen in politics, here’s my best advice. See what I have to say about the matter in question and then pick the opposite outcome. My track record on such things is remarkably consistent.

Since I also expect Boehner to lose his bid for another term as Speaker, it’s probably a lead pipe lock that he keeps his position. I wonder if Vegas (or your local bookie) takes bets on House leadership elections?

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