I hesitate to even say this out loud because I don’t want to clue the Republicans into what is happening. But, they are about to see their Speaker break his promise not to put any more bills on the floor that don’t enjoy the support of the majority of his caucus or that haven’t gone through the normal committee process. He is going to do it to raise the debt ceiling. If his caucus would listen to reason, Boehner wouldn’t have to renege on his pledges, but they won’t listen to reason.
For the administration, their demand is simple: a clean bill with no negotiations. But they would prefer it to pass with a minority of Republican votes because it drives the wedge further into the House GOP, destroys their unity and, thereby, their effectiveness. And it conditions them to act in a divided fashion, which is a requirement for passing anything on guns, climate, or immigration, as well as for any acceptable tax reform or overall budget deal.
It pays to go back and look at how the Republicans geared up to oppose Obama’s presidency before his inauguration. Back in March 2010, Minority Leader Mitch McConnell reflected on how well his plan had worked so far.
On the major issues — not just health care, but financial regulation and the economic stimulus package, among others — Mr. McConnell has held Republican defections to somewhere between minimal and nonexistent, allowing him to slow the Democratic agenda if not defeat aspects of it. He has helped energize the Republican base, expose divisions among Democrats and turn the health care fight into a test of the Democrats’ ability to govern.
“It was absolutely critical that everybody be together because if the proponents of the bill were able to say it was bipartisan, it tended to convey to the public that this is O.K., they must have figured it out,” Mr. McConnell said about the health legislation in an interview, suggesting that even minimal Republican support could sway the public. “It’s either bipartisan or it isn’t.”
Mr. McConnell said the unity was essential in dealing with Democrats on “things like the budget, national security and then ultimately, obviously, health care.”
What, then, does a chronic lack of unity do to the Republicans’ ability to effectively message and obstruct?
It is precisely the monolithic lockstep opposition of the Republicans that has allowed them to function as a parliamentary party with minority veto rights. It is this unity that must be broken. And it must be broken over and over again until the GOP is struggling to come together on anything.
So, by all means, House Republicans, please oppose your Speaker and refuse to raise the debt ceiling. Bring it on.
It’s Kabuki.
Conservatives afraid of being primaried get to hide behind the speaker and the party doesn’t get lambasted in the media for stopping the government, refusing to pay its bills, or wrecking the economy.
Except not really.
First, there are virtually no moderates left in the House Republican caucus.
Second, as Booman pointed out, the entire Republican strategy from the moment President Obama took office four years ago was to remain united in opposition to pretty much anything and everything he tried to do—even if what he tried to do was something they had supported just months earlier.
Third, when/if Boehner does the right thing and brings a “clean” debt ceiling bill to the floor and (assuming) it passes with 30-90 Republican votes, the media storyline will be all about the divisions within the Republican party, and the president’s success at dividing and defeating them for the second time in two months.
And one of the big reasons that it will be portrayed that way is because Obama is bringing it front and center right now and holing Republicans responsible.
The GOP will get no credit when the debt ceiling is raised, nor do they deserve any.
Shhhhhhhh!
If this post is double reverse psychology, then your comment is triple reverse psychology.
With some eleventy dimensional chess thrown in.
It’s an end run around the tea-baggers and people like the Koch brothers who are now the GOP’s worst enemies.
The tea-baggers and plutes like the Koch’s care a lot more about destroying America’s heritage of progressivism than they do about the success of the GOP or its professional pols and office holders.
The pols and the party, of course – and that includes office holders from the most fiery red districts – care about electoral success and keeping their jobs.
It’s the same conflict, really, that pits the party against fanatical conservatives like Grover N.
It’s not just presidents who sometimes disappoint media custodians of ideological purity like Will, Krauthammer, or the others.
I just hope speaker Boehner decides averting economic Armageddon is worth being painted as a Judas by the right wing of the house, and that he does so before too much damage is done. I think you’re right and he will offer a compromise, but I’m not as certain as I’d like to be. What they’ve done already, in terms of rhetoric, should by itself have been unthinkable. As bad as the Republicans were during the Bush years, I never went around worrying they would sabotage the world economy on purpose if they didn’t get their way.
I honestly don’t think Boehner cares what the right wing of the House thinks of him, especially now he’s been reelected speaker. The whole thing is so incoherent, it doesn’t have to make any sense. All he’s got to do is take another pull on the Jack Daniels and do whatever …
That’s why I don’t worry so much about the extreme right in Congress any more. Who really cares what they think? They’ll never change, they will just decrease. And this is basically the future of wingnuttery as I have been predicting now for several years — back to the fringes.
Only if “No negotiation” indeed means “No negotiation”. No more rope-a-dope. Time for the punch.
I know it’s old and everyone has already seen it, but seeing how far the Republicans in the House are willing to go, I can’t help but think of Kung Fu Monkey’s classic “I miss Republicans” post. Now more than ever. http://kfmonkey.blogspot.com/2004/12/i-miss-republicans.html
what a freak show.
That reads like the Onion meets Mad Libs.
“But I was like, “Hell, yeah, let’s go for it.’ “
I’m sure you were.