Good morning, folks. The Washington Monthly has retained me as one of their weekend bloggers, so please head over there and show some support.

Something I want to discuss this morning are the comments from Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who has compared the impact of the government shutdown on public opinion to 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, the Lehman Brothers collapse, and the debt ceiling fiasco of 2011.

…once there is this level of movement and change, it takes months for things to settle down in a way that is stable and easier to understand. This type of data creates ripples that will take a long time to resolve and there will be unexpected changes we cannot predict at the moment as a consequence.”

I think it’s not just the polls this time. This crisis has had a profoundly destabilizing effect on the composition and functioning of the Republican Party.

Care to predict how it will all shake out down the road?

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