McConnell’s Morons

Mitch McConnell does not want to shut the government down again and he appears to have no faith that Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) will be able to come to some kind of budget agreement by mid-December, so he is convening talks among (almost exclusively) non-Confederate members of his caucus in the hope that they can come up with a plan. From what I can see, they can’t.

Lawmakers who participated in the meeting say the No. 1 goal of the group is to coalesce around the demand that any budget deal reached by next January maintain the spending cuts established by the 2011 Budget Control Act.

The group’s second priority is to give federal agencies and Congress more flexibility to manage spending levels established under sequestration.

A third priority is to achieve savings in mandatory spending programs such as Social Security and Medicare. This last goal is seen as a reach, given that Democrats have demanded pairing tax increases to any reforms of the major entitlement programs.

Most lawmakers in the group have ruled out raising taxes as part of any medium-sized deal to fund government through 2014 and turn off sequestration.

The Democrats will be interested in that second priority that would give them more flexibility to set priorities within a ludicrously austere budget, but the rest of it won’t interest them in the slightest.

There isn’t even the slightest hint that the Republicans have figured out a way to fix the problem they have created for themselves. How are they going to pass a farm bill or a transportation bill or restore funding to the Pentagon’s budget without making a single concession to the Democrats? They still have no idea.

Hiding Behind the Hastert Rule

Brian Beutler makes a good point when he argues that Speaker Boehner can’t violate the so-called Hastert Rule to pass the Employment Non-Discrimination Act without annoying Latinos who want him to vote on the Senate’s immigration bill. As long as he sticks with the Hastert Rule, which says that legislation will not be brought to the floor unless the majority of the Republican caucus supports it, the only way we can end discrimination in the workplace or get immigration reform or pass a farm bill or pass a transportation bill or fix the sequester or reach a budget deal or raise the debt ceiling is if a minority of Republicans join with the Democrats and force the legislation onto the floor though discharge petitions.

Boehner has been willing to violate the Hastert Rule only to avoid the fiscal cliff, to appropriate disaster relief after Superstorm Sandy, to reauthorize the Violence Against Women Act, and to end the idiotic government shutdown. That’s because the majority of his caucus (amazingly) refused to do any of those four things. But those were pretty much must-do things. If he’s not convinced that immigration reform and employment non-discrimination are as important as reauthorizing the Violence Against Women Act, then what can we do?

The bigger issue is that the majority of his caucus is willing to do exactly nothing. And Boehner is hiding behind that fact. If he stops hiding on one issue, he loses his excuse for hiding on others.

Kerry Speaks Truth To Israel, Peace Train Rolling Now

Things have really sped up for the Mideast Peace Train in the last 36 hours. John Kerry, the US SoS, visited Israel to talk to PM Netanyahu, on the unscheduled way to Geneva to finalize the first stages of an Iranian accord with the P5+1. While in Israel he gave an interview to reporters from Israeli TV Channel 2 and the Palestinian Broadcasting Corp. His forthright words sent a shockwave through the Ziosphere.

Some straight talk from Kerry…

Kerry: Why do you want to build in what will eventually be Palestine?

US Secretary of State John Kerry launched an unusually pointed public attack on Israeli policies in the West Bank Thursday, calling settlements “illegitimate” and warning that if current peace talks fail, Israel could face a third intifada and growing international isolation. Kerry made the comments during a joint interview with Israel’s Channel 2 and the Palestinian Broadcasting Corporation.

“I know there’s cynicism. I know so many people don’t believe anything I just said… And I know there are people who have grown used to this,” Kerry said, referring to the current relatively peaceful stalemate in Israeli-Palestinian relations. And particularly in Israel. Israel says, `Oh we feel safe today. We have the wall, we’re not in a day-to-day conflict, we’re doing pretty well economically.’

“Well, I’ve got news for you,” he said, referring to the Israeli public. “Today’s status quo will not be tomorrow’s or next year’s. Because if we don’t resolve this issue, the Arab world, the Palestinians, neighbors, others, are going to begin again to push in a different way.”

Some Israeli pundit response….

Frustrated Kerry’s Peace Critique A Heavy Slap In Netanyahu’s Face

A patently bitter secretary of state asks why Israel keeps taking Palestinian land, and why the Israeli public doesn’t seem to care about it.

For the first time since he managed to restart the talks in July, Kerry dropped his statesman-like public impartiality, and clearly spoke from the heart — and what emerged were a series of accusations that amounted to a forceful slap in the face for Netanyahu. It was a rhetorical onslaught that the prime minister cannot have expected and one he will not quickly forget.

For Netanyahu, watching Kerry’s from-the-heart interview must have topped what was already a pretty lousy day. In Geneva, the six world powers were inching toward a deal with the Iranians that the prime minister fears would leave Tehran with an enrichment capability even as the sanctions are eased — something Netanyahu considers a “historic error.”

More Israeli media response…..

Kerry Slams Israel’s West Bank Policies, Warns Of 3rd Intifada

Turning to settlements and Israel’s presence in the West Bank, he added: “If we do not resolve the question of settlements, and the question of who lives where and how and what rights they have; if we don’t end the presence of Israeli soldiers perpetually within the West Bank, then there will be an increasing feeling that if we cannot get peace with a leadership that is committed to non-violence, you may wind up with leadership that is committed to violence.”

He also said ongoing settlement construction risked creating the sense that Israel was not “serious” about wanting a permanent accord. The US, he stressed, considers “settlements are illegitimate” and believes that “the entire peace process would be easier if these settlements were not taking place.

So how does all this sit with Netanyahu? He gave a short youtube video response here, in which he said… (My bold)

“I understand the Iranians are walking around very satisfied in Geneva — as well they should because they got everything and paid nothing, everything they wanted. They wanted relief of sanctions after years of grueling sanction regime, they got that. They paid nothing because they are not reducing in any way their nuclear enrichment capability. So Iran got the deal of the century and the international community got a bad deal.

LOL, those Iranians are better Jews than we are! (snark) Wingnut tears, so sweet. (If they don’t go all Samson on our asses!)

Obama On Path Towards Grand-Slam In Diplomacy [Update]

.
[Update] See comment below – No Nuclear Deal As France Self Interest Prevails.

France24: No deal after France objected to a proposed agreement
RT: France stalls deal on Iran nuclear program, talks to resume shortly
YnetNews: Is France touting Netanyahu’s tough stance of no enrichment?

Cracking the toughest of issues, the foreign ministers of the 5+1 nations are converging on Geneva for a possible break-through in the Iranian nuclear talks. Secretary Kerry abruptly broke-off his Mid-East tour and is on the plane towards Geneva. Same for France’s Fabius, UK’s Hague, Germany’s Westerwelle, EU’s Ashton and Russia’s Lavrov. In Jerusalem, dark clouds and thunder from the Prime Minister’s Office predicting doom and perdition if a nuclear deal is reached.

Mounting Temsions: Netanyahu rejects nuclear deal with Iran

(Ynet News) – Tensions reach boiling point: PM briefly meets Kerry before latter heads to Geneva; says Israel ‘not obliged’ to agreement between Tehran world powers, adds ‘Iranians got everything and paid nothing.

Israel utterly rejects a mooted world powers deal with Iran aimed at ending a long-running row over its nuclear ambitions and will not be bound by such an accord, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Friday. Speaking as headed into a meeting with US Secretary of State John Kerry, Netanyahu told reporters that Iran had got “the deal of the century”.

    “Israel utterly rejects it and what I am saying is shared by many in the region, whether or not they express that publicly. Israel is not obliged by this agreement and Israel will do everything it needs to do to defend itself and the security of its people.”

Netanyahu was meeting Kerry for the third time in barely 48 hours. The US secretary of state was due to fly immediately afterwards to Geneva where Iran and six world powers are holding negotiations.

My comment – US Confusion In Setting Policy On Syria by Oui on Sept. 13, 2013

Kerry and Lavrov have an excellent working relationship and are devoted to a political solution for the Syria crisis. Since the end of May, efforts of Kerry for diplomacy have been stymied from inside the White House. I suspect the NeoCon influence of National Security adviser Susan Rice as the culprit. Ms Rice has a close relationship with PBO and put sufficient doubt in his mind to take a tough stand on the Assad regime and threaten military action. Obama himself decided to step away from the brink of starting another prolonged war on a Muslim nation.

Kerry In Moscow – A Breath of Fresh Air   May 7, 2013
Obama ahead of G8 – Syria Crossed Red Line   June 15, 2013
John Kerry Again Rules Out Military Action in Syria   June 26, 2013
Rice and Kerry: War Inside the White House   Aug. 8, 2013
Barack Obama and an Act of War plus follow-up   Aug. 26, 2013

If John Kerry and Sergey Lavrov illustrate their determination …
STEP 1 –  Resolve CW issue on Syria
STEP 2 –  Arms embargo and a political solution for Syria
STEP 3 –  Resolve nuclear issue of Iran with president Rouhani
STEP 4 –  Finalize a peace treaty between Israel and Palestine

Obama made a courageous decision stepping away from 35 years of biased US policy on the Middle East. Angry Arab states Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar plus Turkey and Israel. Praise from Russia, Iran and Iraq (Maliki).

Friday Foto Flogging

Welcome to Friday Foto Flogging, a place to share your photos and photography news.

This Month’s Theme: Pineapple Upside-down Cake

All photographs are memento mori. To take a photograph is to participate in another person’s (or thing’s) mortality, vulnerability, mutability. Precisely by slicing out this moment and freezing it, all photographs testify to time’s relentless melt.”
― Susan Sontag

Link of the Month: PCI Smart Recovery
Ever deleted something from a memory card you wished you hadn’t? Told to delete? Don’t panic, here is the solution.

Bob’s Pineapple Upside-down Cake

Pineapple

Upside-down

Cheese”cake”

Next Theme: (Friday, January, 3rd): Random.

Note the date, I’ll be skipping next month for the holiday rush as we’ll be busy getting orders out for Xmas.

Info on Posting Photos

When you post your photos, please keep the width at 500 or less for the sake of our Bootribers who are on dial-up. If you want to post clickable thumbnails but aren’t sure how, check out this diary:

Clickable Thumbnails. If you haven’t yet joined a photo-hosting site, here are some to consider: Photobucket, Flickr, ImageShack, and Picasa.

Previous Friday Foto Flogs

FFFs 1-36 FFFs 37-72 FFFs 73-114 Trees Winter Scenes Endings Spring-New Beginings April Showers Bring May Flowers

Random

A Shift on Israel and Iran

The Times of Israel:

For the first time since he managed to restart the talks in July, [Secretary of State John] Kerry dropped his statesman-like public impartiality, and clearly spoke from the heart — and what emerged were a series of accusations that amounted to a forceful slap in the face for Netanyahu. It was a rhetorical onslaught that the prime minister cannot have expected and one he will not quickly forget.

Kerry seemed to place the blame for the failure to make rapid and major progress in negotiations overwhelmingly on Israel, with no acknowledgment — in his statements as broadcast Thursday — of two intifadas, relentless anti-Israel incitement in the Palestinian territories, the Hamas takeover of Gaza and the constant rocket fire from the Strip.

For Netanyahu, watching Kerry’s from-the-heart interview must have topped what was already a pretty lousy day. In Geneva, the six world powers were inching toward a deal with the Iranians that the prime minister fears would leave Tehran with an enrichment capability even as the sanctions are eased — something Netanyahu considers a “historic error.”

Kerry weighed in on that, too, in the interview. Ultimately, if Iran doesn’t “meet the standards of the international community,” said the secretary unhappily, “there may be no option but the military option.” But, he quickly insisted, “we hope to avoid that.”

Just the sort of message Netanyahu has been urging the US not to deliver to Tehran.

Some of this is typical right-wing grumbling, but the shift in policy and tone is real. Freed from the need to win reelection, the Obama administration is no longer willing to put up with Netanyahu’s bullying.

Reserving the Right to Hate

As the official mouthpiece of the latter Bush administration, from its inception until he was hung out to dry on the Valerie Plame matter, we already know that Ari Fleischer has no remaining soul. In retrospect, Baghdad Bob looks like a paragon of circumspection, rectitude, and honor when compared to Ari Fleischer. In retrospect, the only time that Mr. Fleischer told the truth while serving Bush was when he was announcing the president’s schedule.

So, I don’t know why anyone, whether they be handymen or corporate executives, Democrats or Republicans, should give one damn what Ari Fleischer has to say about anything. If his lips are moving, you should secure your wallet.

Having said that, he’s probably right that the Republican Party will do lasting damage to their image with young voters if they refuse to pass the Employment Non-Discrimination Act of 2013. Most Republican voters actually support the bill. But, that doesn’t seem to matter because the conservative movement dominates the GOP, and the conservative movement thinks gay-hating is a pillar of their belief system. Knock it out, and the whole edifice will be undermined.

Another Medicaid Report Card – Update NYT

Traditional Medicaid was available to four groups with very low or no income and little to no net worth.  These groups were 1) Aged 2) Disabled 3) Adults (mostly with a qualifying dependent) and 4) Children.  

The Medicaid for first two groups, “Aged” and “Disabled,” mostly picks up where Medicare falls short for the poorest people.  May only be Medicare premiums for some beneficiaries.  For others it’s long-term care in a nursing home.  The 2010 US average Medicaid cost for Aged beneficiaries was $12,958 and Disabled $16,240.  The highest costs were generally incurred by northeast and upper mid-west states (and Alaska).  As higher cost of living states, the northeast would be expected to spend more than average.  Perhaps they and the upper mid-west states also treat their poor elderly and disabled better.

New York: $21,931 – Aged; $30,288 – Disabled
Minnesota: $16,591 – Aged; $25,943 – Disabled
California: $9,844 – Aged; $15,891 – Disabled

The available summary data don’t permit much more than the observation that per capita Medicaid costs for the elderly and disabled vary widely among the states.  By design as a federal and state cost sharing program, it allowed states the flexibility to manage certain components including the option to provide higher levels of care.  And while the per capita Medicaid costs for the elderly and disabled are high, the beneficiary numbers are low, another impediment to any cross state analysis from summary data.

What should be of more interest to the public is how well states have been managing Medicaid for adults as that will be the largest group that will increase with the ACA Medicaid expansion.  On this metric, New York isn’t at the top of the heap; although it still does  exceed the average of $3,025 by $1,460.

Keep in mind that a major rationale for both “Romneycare” and the ACA is that expanding the pool of those with health insurance will reduce the per capita cost per insured.  By 2010, Massachusetts had expanded Medicaid for adults (not all the way under the ACA expanded Medicaid guidelines but close).  Reducing the amount of health care provided and not paid for.  

So how was MA doing on the narrow measure of adult Medicaid?  Much better than NY with a per capita cost of $3,145.  However, the per capita spending for children was $500 more!  Plus it’s Federal DSH Allotments haven’t changed from that of other states.  (And why is NY getting 50%+ more than CA and TX in DSH allotments?  Total dollars not per capita dollars.)

What does pop out is that there appears to be a correlation between a state’s usage of insurance company managed care for Medicaid beneficiaries.  More managed care = higher per capita costs.  (Someone with better computing power than I have could do a good statistical analysis.)

Consider NM – 76% managed care
Adult – $5,565
Child – $4,551

Then there’s KY with only 18.1% in managed care
Adult – $4,742
Child – $3,016

CA and TX are similar in their usage of managed care for Medicaid 27.1% and 27.8% respectively.  The similarity ends there.

TX:
Adult – $3,263
Child – $3,016

California is either doing more things right than any other state in managing its public health care dollars for its poorest citizens or it’s the cruelest state of all.  

CA:
Adult – $1,136
Child – $1,585

Sources:
KFF/Medicaid/State-indicator/spending on acute care

KFF/Medicaid/State-indicator/payments per enrollee

MassHeath/eligibility

     
The NY Times explains the DSH that I noted above.

The subsidy [DSH], which for years has helped defray the cost of uncompensated and undercompensated care, was cut [under PPACA] substantially on the assumption that the hospitals would replace much of the lost income with payments for patients newly covered by Medicaid or private insurance.

There are a few problems with this assumption. As was since back in the 1990s when Medicaid beneficiaries were allowed to choose their hospital, fewer chose the public facility. It’s one reason why LA County-USC Medical Center has been struggling financially. Another issue is that running repayments through Medicaid instead of providing direct provider subsidy will cost more.

Nonetheless, the change has been made. DSH payments will be reduced. Here is the KFF DSH table by state for FY2008-2011. Total in 2011 was $11 billion. Nationwide.

But now the hospitals in states like Georgia will get neither the new Medicaid patients nor most of the old subsidies, which many say are crucial to the mission of care for the poor.

Might cause a few states like Maine to reconsider and act quickly on the Medicaid expansion. Others — just one more chance to kick the poor.

Respecting the Office of the Presidency

Last year, Glenn Beck was the main attraction at the Messianic Jewish Bible Institute’s annual fundraising banquet. This year, the guest of honor will be former President George W. Bush. That shows you about where President Bush stands on the speechmaking circuit.

When asked how the MJBI managed to secure Bush to keynote its fundraiser, [Alisa] Stephenson [MJBI director of events and partner relations] cited its track record of drawing influential speakers, pointing to the appearance by Beck.

At last year’s event, members of the MJBI’s board of directors explained the organization’s mission of converting Jews to an audience of hundreds who were seated on a professional football field, wearing formal clothes, and eating pork barbecue. Rabbi Jonathan Bernis, a leading Messianic Jew and televangelist who chairs MJBI’s board of directors, maintained that “our numbers are growing and growing,” because “the Bible predicted that the day would come when the blindness would come off the eyes of the people it all began with.” He was referring to Jews. The Bible, Bernis continued, “tells us that the day will come when all of Israel will be saved.” The MJBI, Bernis said, “is one of the ministries that God has raised up to bring that to pass.” Other featured speakers last year included David Barton, the religious right’s discredited “historian,” who this week used Beck’s radio show to announce that he won’t challenge Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) in next year’s Republican Senate primary.

There is something so right with the optics of this tiny group of nuts sitting around in Jerry Jones’ gargantuan Cowboy cathedral, talking about converting Jews to Christianity while eating pork barbecue and waiting for Glenn Beck to speak.

It’s something only Hunter S. Thompson could hope to adequately explain. Who but a person with a headful of amyl nitrite could possibly put into words the tentacled depth of deranged wrong-headed bug-nuttery involved in that scene?

It’s right where Dubya belongs.

With his base.

The 27%.

The Confederacy Hates Gays

States whose two senators voted for the Employment Non-Discrimination Act of 2013:

Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Minnesota, Montana, Oregon, Washington, Alaska, California, Arizona, Hawaii, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico.

States whose two senators voted against the Employment Non-Discrimination Act of 2013:

Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, Idaho, Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, and Wyoming.

States whose two senators split:

Florida, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, North Carolina, Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Utah.

Tom Coburn of Oklahoma and Bob Casey Jr. of Pennsylvania did not vote. Sen. Inhofe (R-OK) voted against, while Sen. Toomey (R-PA) voted for.