West Virginia may be the most interesting state in the country. At least, politically, it defies all stereotypes. It’s stridently anti-Obama, but Jay Rockefeller easily won another term in the Senate in 2008. Joe Manchin has been winning statewide elections repeatedly during the Obama era. Earl Ray Tomblin was elected governor in 2012 even as Obama was taking a shellacking in the Mountain State. So, who can predict who will win between Shelley Moore Capito and Natalie Tennant?

I don’t think it’s as obvious as most people think.

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