Israel seems headed for a depressing election result. It looks like Netanyahu is weakened enough that his party will take a bath. But the right-wing parties are almost assured of getting at least a slim majority of the seats in the Knesset. This means that the Israelis will go vote against Netanyahu but probably won’t be able to get rid of him.

Of course, the polls are close enough that anything can happen, and even if the results come in as expected, there’s no certainty that Netanyahu would be able to cobble together a majority. The only thing that seems locked in right now is that Bibi will emerge weaker.

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