Will update …
My very first impression/fear was a hijacking … the intentional destruction of passenger airliner is mind-boggling, just too horrific!! RIP
LATEST HEADLINE: French prosecutor confirms the NY Times article of yesterday!
○ Alone at controls, co-pilot sought to ‘destroy’ the plane
A320 de Germanwings : le copilote a délibérément voulu crasher l’avion, selon le procureur
Germanwings co-pilot ‘intentionally’ sent plane into descent, prosecutor says | France24 |
The co-pilot of Germanwings flight 4U9525 “intentionally” sent the plane into a descent and was in sole control of the aircraft in the minutes before it crashed in the French Alps killing all 150 people on board, French prosecutors say.
Marseille Prosecutor Brice Robin, in charge of the investigation, confirmed reports that the captain left the cabin minutes before the crash and was unable to get back in.
He said pounding could be heard on the door during the final minutes of the flight as alarms sounded to signal that the aircraft was nearing land.
Robin said information pulled from the black box cockpit recorder suggested that the co-pilot, identified as German citizen Andreas Lubitz, refused to open the cabin’s door and “intentionally” sent the plane into its doomed descent.
Screen capture of Facebook photo, deleted a few days ago - link
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Breaking NewsDutch NRC newspaper – all 150 crew and passengers feared dead in French AlpsFull flight information and flight history for Germanwings aircraft D-AIPX
Playback of flight #4U9525 with speed and altitude graph is available on FlightRadar24
« click for more info
Tracking flight 4U9525 Barcelona - Dusseldorf
A Germanwings Airbus A320-200, registration D-AIPX performing flight 4U-9525 from Barcelona,SP (Spain) to Dusseldorf (Germany) with 142 passengers and 6 crew, was enroute at FL380 about 30nm southeast of Marseille (France) when the aircraft initiated a rapid descent. Radar contact with the aircraft was lost at about 6800 feet at approx. 10:45L (09:45Z) about 12nm southwest of Barcelonnette (France), 75nm northwest of Marseille.
French Police reported two helicopter spotted the remains of the aircraft on the ground between Prads-Haute-Bleone and Barcelonnette (France), about half way between the two cities there is a mountain ridge rising up to 8600 feet.
France’s DGAC reported the crew transmitted an emergency call just prior to the aircraft disappearing from radar near Bassinet.
LIVE REPORT Le Dauphine local:
○ Un A320 s’écrase dans la zone de Barcelonnette : il n’y aurait “aucun survivant” selon François Hollande
○ Airbus A320 passenger plane crashes in southern France | France24 |
○ Airbus A320 was travelling from Barcelona to Dusseldorf with 150 passengers and crew on board | Ynet News |
Rather like that Egyptian airliner that crashed in the Atlantic years ago after the pilot shut off the engines. By mistake or by design? We’ll never know.
But look at the graph of speed and altitude! If they shut down the engines, wouldn’t the speed decay noticeably? The graph Oui presents shows the speed of the aircraft remained pretty steady as the plane was heading for the ground. Also, the rate of descent is linear. If the plane lost power, I would think it’s forward momentum could not possibly maintain over 400 knots/hour as it fell over 30,000 feet! The terminal velocity for that plane is much less, imo.
It looks to me like that plane was flown into the ground, throttles wide open.
I’m not sure if the speed would decay noticeably if the pilot was diving to relight engines.
I heard on the radio that the black box has been found. Perhaps automatic equipment failed. Perhaps????
I don’t think a bomb was exploded or the plane would have fallen pretty much straight down and news reports say it appears to have been intact when it hit the ground although I don’t know how they can say that.
About forty years ago a 737 went into the trees approaching Dulles at around 200 MPH. It was a foggy night and the charts were wrong. the controller told the pilot to descend to 12,000 feet, but the mountain was 13,000 feet. My neighbor was a volunteer on the Sterling rescue Squad and was on the crash scene. The plane was torn apart and body parts were strewn everywhere. I imagine this scene looks like that.
I listened to a range of aircraft crash experts and commercial airliner pilots, the crash is truly mystifying. A sudden decompression would lead to a quicker descent of the plane. The graph above is not really accurate but based on gps calculation which leaves some room for error because there is an element of forecasting/expectation of speed and altitude. There could have been a sudden or steep descent that would not have registered accurately on the flightradar24 graph.
Another cause mentioned was a suddden electrical fire and the cockpit filling with smoke. The pilots would have to use their oxygen masks but would be flying blind on instruments they could’t see and monitor. Disorientation could result in errors positioning switches for communication with ATC.
A previous crash of a Greece Helios aircraft was caused by lack of oxygen due to a cabin compression malfunction/error and all on board suffocated. The plane flew its pre-programmed flight path and entered a holding pattern until engines flamed out due to lack of fuel.
From the Google translation:
So what is ‘Fluguntauglichkeit’?
One Yandex suggestion was a state of incapacitation. Specifically here in this situation, I suppose, would be ‘unable to fly’.
The circumstances here seem murky to me. The fact of the plane receiving emergency service is not that uncommon, is it? (Obviously, I am not a pilot!) And what they were fixing, even if the nosewheel door did fail, doesn’t seem to fit the rest of the circumstances, does it? And would that lead the crews to not fly the other similar planes? Don’t the
aviation authorities issue a no fly directive for a particular type of aircraft way before pilots are standing down from flying those planes? After all, they have been landing those planes on those nosewheels, with those nosewheel doors for decades!
The German crews ‘could not take up their positions for personal reasons today’.
I’d love to hear what was said at their meeting!
Amazing, indications are the pilots were unaware of approaching disaster … autopilot malfunction or error in programming? Yet too early for conclusions, but not much adds up at the moment except an explosion on board did not happen as the plane flew into mountains at high speed and disintegrated upon impact.
○ Crash in France: many open questions – and some theories | Der Spiegel |
○ Residents of Haltern are numb with shock and grief, 16 students and two teachers of the Josef König HIgh School died in crash
○ Germanwings pilots and maintenance to the same safety standards as parent Lufthansa
It was close to midday, the weather was OK (is that correct?), they got up to cruising altitude and just didn’t notice they were heading into the Alps?
They were discussing futbol clubs or something? How late was that routine message to keep steady as she goes? So how and when would it have happened, if they became incapacitated, number one likely culprit lack of oxygen imo. There have been multiple instances of pilots losing consciousness and chase planes can only watch. So were the pilots sounding normal?, distracted?, perplexed?, panicked?, or unconscious?
Chase Planes! Any body scramble?
I have to say that my confidence in a French controlled investigation is pretty minimal, considering what’s been happening there lately. CRIF, Hebdo false flag, Duedonne, etc.
And what’s with an empty Black Box?! Inquiring minds want to know: Was the box intact enough so that its’ content couldn’t have escaped, suggesting the box was empty before the crash?!
And what’s with the investigation taking months? Actually, that is probably reasonable. But inside people probably already know what happened and things have to be worked out before full disclosure, if ever that occurs. Somewhere along the line pretty likely the real truth will leak out. We just have to be aware and ready when it escapes!
One big possibility being discussed is the “Flying Blue Screen of Death” scenario. The “Accelerating Toyota Ghost In the Machine” situation. The idea of the necessity of having to reboot your plane’s computer at 40,000 feet would tend to diminish public confidence in your service, I would surmise. THAT is something they would want to cover up pretty deep, I bet. The cover up for something like that would likely mimic the cover up of a false flag type of situation. Hey! It might even be a great fall back, second layer of the onion type of story.
I don’t want to elaborate, other than wildly speculate, but my darknet radar wonders if this was a “Message To Merkel” to keep in line?
And what’s with an empty Black Box?! Inquiring minds want to know: Was the box intact enough so that its’ content couldn’t have escaped, suggesting the box was empty before the crash?!
Very curious.
Also curious is no reports of passengers talking on cell phones. With that many people on board and mid-morning is it possible no cells were in use in the ten minutes before the crash?
a lot of crashes recently.
802.11ac speed
Rest in peace. Amen
My pham han quoc bao gồm các hãng thefaceshop, innisfree, ohui, skinfood….
There was a discussion on Dutch radio, there was an Airbus A319/320 alert last December of the autopilot engaging and only by a computer reset would it disconnect for manual operation.
○ Air Canada 190 – A319 Autopilot Failure?
○ Canada TSB Final Report: Air Canada A319 near Calgary on Jan 10th 2008
Pointing towards software malfunction. This would not surprise me in the least seeing the sad state that software development has fallen to. Embedded software was always better than desktop software but even there companies race to find the cheapest developers so that more money is available for executive bonuses. What we need are more criminal prosecutions for engineering malpractice.
Curiouser and curiouser: New York Times is reporting now that one of the pilots appears to have been locked out of the cockpit and was pounding on the door trying to get back in.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/26/world/europe/germanwings-airbus-crash.html
Airlines might want to consider either cockpit porta-potties and handiwipes or diapers.
○ Germanwings-Flug 4U-9525: Nur ein Pilot war beim Absturz im Cockpit | Der Spiegel |
○ Reports: Germanwings black box yields puzzling information | Deutsche Welle |
That reminds me even more of the Egyptian airliner. ABC reporting this morning that the airline still has not released the names or nationalities of the pilots. ???? Sounds like maybe a Tsarniev at the controls.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-26/germanwings-crash-probe-focuses-on-pilots-as-recor
ders-evaluated
Looks like not a Muslim. Just a garden variety nut?