Who cares what a bunch of generals, intelligence analysts and foreign policy experts think after war gaming various scenarios for a potential conflict with Iran? The only opinion that really matters is the one blurted out by 1st term Senator Tom Cotton and nascent military strategist, who knows precisely what would happen if we had to go to war with the Ayatollahs:
It would be something more along the lines of what President Clinton did in December 1998 during Operation Desert Fox. Several days of air and naval bombing against Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction facilities for exactly the same kind of behavior. For interfering with weapons inspectors and for disobeying Security Council resolutions. All we’re asking is that the president simply be as tough in the protection of America’s national security interest as Bill Clinton was.”
That bombing operation lasted four days and hit nearly 100 Iraqi targets after U.N. inspectors said Iraq had not fully cooperated with inspections.
Of course, military analysts point out that Iran is a larger country than Iraq with a more sophisticated military.
Yessiree, only a four day war and then we could declare victory! Or maybe, not:
“An Israeli attack on Iran could ignite a regional conflict from Afghanistan to the Gaza strip,” “For the Americans and the Obama administration it will be a disaster … Hezbollah will see an attack on Iran as a threat to their patron and there is a very good chance that they will initiate (another) Lebanon war only this time (with) even more rockets and missiles than in 2006 … We have every reason to believe that the Iranian will see an Israeli attack on their nuclear facilities as a joint American-Israeli attack and they will retaliate not only on Israeli targets but on American targets.” [Dr. Emily Landau, Senior Research Fellow and Director, Arms Control and Regional Security Program, The Institute for National Security Studies] …
“The indication is that at best it [military action] might postpone it [Iran’s nuclear program] maybe by one or possibly two years. It depends on the ability to truly get at the targets that they’re after. Frankly, some of those targets are very difficult to get at… [T]he consequence could be that we would have an escalation that would take place that would not only involve many lives, but I think could consume the Middle East in confrontation and conflict that we would regret.” [Bruce Riedel, Senior Research Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy, Brookings Institute] …
“[A] a clean, calibrated conflict is a mirage. Any war with Iran would be a messy and extraordinarily violent affair, with significant casualties and consequences…. A U.S. strike would damage key Iranian facilities, but it would do nothing to reverse the nuclear knowledge Iran has accumulated or its ability to eventually build new centrifuges. A U.S. attack would also likely rally domestic Iranian support around nuclear hard-liners, increasing the odds that Iran would emerge from a strike even more committed to building a bomb.” [Leon Panetta, Former Secretary of Defense] …
[W]ithout large numbers of troops on the ground, we doubt that U.S. military attacks from the air — even if supplemented by other means such as drones, covert operations and cyberattacks — could eliminate Iran’s capability to build a nuclear weapon, unseat the regime or force it to capitulate to U.S. demands…. [C]onsequences might include the increased likelihood of a decision by Iran to build a nuclear weapon; more instability in a region still seeking its footing; and the opportunity for extremist groups such as al-Qaeda to attract recruits.” [Maj.-Gen. (ret.) Aharon Ze’evi Farkash, former head of Israeli Military Intelligence]
Senator, please proceed.
Tom Cotton: Military Action Against Iran Would Only Take ‘Several Days’
Thanks. Fixed now.
As Col. Wilkerson recently said, “My party wants war.” The GOP’s exists to satisfy the war lust of the rubes. And wars make money for those that fund the GOP. A satisfactory alliance between the rubes and 1%.
I’m glad he’s so forthright in admitting explicitly that no deal is good enough. Thanks, Senator, for drawing the lines much more starkly than they were previously drawn.
Just another example of why the USA should pull out of the Middle East and cut all aide and arms deals there. If we have no bases there nor any personnel then no reason for war mongering to attack Them. Well except for the TPGOP love affair with the fast military money makers.
THis also brings out clearly that no Democratic Party member should support the Corker bill. Nor should they support Senator Schumer being head of the Democratic Party members in the Senate. I have already emailed my two Senators requesting the above stated positions. I recommend all others do the same ASAP, it is time for all Democratic members to unite and be heard.
Is Cotton auditioning to replace the stupid, warmongering Senator with a permanent seat on the Sunday talkies that the Beltway Pundits love? (McCain may live and retain his Senate seat for another twenty or so years, but his sell-by date has passed.) A status that will give him the creds to run for POTUS in eight to sixteen years? This jerkwad could conceivably remain on the national political stage for the next sixty years.
Now can we get certificates of commitment for the Republican caucus?
The aura of deja vu is powerful around this one.
“Home by Christmas is a phrase often used by those who have never been to war.” (From the Falkenberg’s Legion stories by J. Pournelle)
Basically, almost every armchair tactician thinks a military response will be easy, quick, and have the desired result. That there hasn’t been a single one of those anytime in the recent past (or much anywhere in history) is irrelevant. It was less than 15 years ago that lots of pundits and some politicians were touting how fast and cheap (pay for itself, even) it would be to turn Iraq into a model democracy. Which result we can look at today, and apparently doesn’t seem to register on Cotton’s mind.
Senator Cotton lauds President Clinton’s bombing action in Iraq, and asks President Obama to conduct a similar action in Iran.
Yet President Clinton’s bombing action in Iraq was so ineffective in the eyes of the Administration of the subsequent Republican President and Republicans in Congress, they felt it necessary to conduct a full invasion of Iraq only four years later, at incredible and ongoing financial and strategical costs to our Nation.
For a guy who went to Harvard, this Cotton guy has very flawed critical thinking skills.
since it lead to war it’s a feature not a bug for him
I just sent a longish letter to my two Corker-curious Democratic Senators, politely telling them to tell Corker to take his Iran bill and shove it up his ass. I happened to mention that their “colleague from Arkansas” is a war-mongering moron, and hopefully they’re clear that siding with him would make them war-mongering morons too.
The Republican Congress needs to get back to doing what it does best; failing miserably at whatever it sets its mind to.
Speaking of Buffoons…
Perhaps in the context of it only took God 7 days to create the world…Cotton could destroy in 4 days.