A Little Quiz — for political junkies.
(States for which exit polls exist. LA is a notable exception.)
Questions are limited to Democratic primary voters and not the states as a whole. (For reference, here are the topline results for the ’16 primaries)
1. Which 18-29 year old voters favored Sanders the most and least:
NH
IL
MI
MO
MA
2. Which 18-29 year old voters favored HRC the most and least:
VA
AR
NC
TX
GA
3. Which 18-29 year old voters were most and least alike:
IL and MI
IL and MA
IL and OH
IL and IA
IL and NH
4. Which of the following 30-44 year old vote did HRC carry:
MA
MI
OH
MO
OK
5. Which 30-44 year old voters were most and least alike:
MA and IL
MA and NH
MA and OH
MA and TN
MA and VA
6. Sanders carried the 18-29 year old vote in all states but two. Are either or both of those states among the following:
AR, GA, MS, SC, TX?
7. To date there have been only five DEM primary states in which the male voter participation exceeded 44% of the total. Which of the following are among the five:
VA. TX, OH, NV, OK
8. Among the following states, which one had the lowest and highest male voter participation:
IA
GA
MA
FL
AL
Will post the answers soon.
UPDATE – Answer section:
A Balloon Conundrum
While there are consistencies across all states — HRC does better with older voters and extremely well with AA voters and Sanders does well with younger voters — there are oddities. It’s as if when Bernie gets more of a break with one demographic he get less of one within that state with one or more demographics. For example in MA, the >44 age brackets weren’t as favorable to HRC as in other states, but <45 was better for HRC than in other states that were close.
Another example, Bernie did much better with <45 year old voters in IL than he did in MI. Unfortunately, the turnout for that group of voters was lower in IL and the higher percentage of AA voters gave HRC the win. On to the answers:
1. IL 86% (most) and MA 65% (least)
2. GA 45% (most) and NC 28% (least)
3. IL and IA (most) and IL and MA (least)
4. MA 56%
5. MA and TN and VA (most) and MA and NH(least)
6. MS
7. OK
8. GA (lowest — 38%) and IA (highest — 43%)
With regard to questions #7 and #8, the lowest was 36% (MS). The other percentages (and frequency) were 38% (1), 39% (1), 40% (1), 42% (5), 43% (3), 44% (2), 45% (3), 46% (2). As of 2010, per the US Census, men make up 46% or more in their age demographic up through age 69 after which it drops to 44% and continues to drop for each age bracket. Exit polls for 2016 GOP primary voters were more evenly split between men and women and mostly ranged from 48% to 52% for men.
