I’m still not ready to call Arizona for Hillary Clinton, but it’s a battleground state this time around, for sure.
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BooMan
Martin Longman a contributing editor at the Washington Monthly. He is also the founder of Booman Tribune and Progress Pond. He has a degree in philosophy from Western Michigan University.
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This is excellent news!!! for John McCain!!!! #2008inmemes
Once more, McCain gets to play Wiley Coyote to the Democrat’s Roadrunner.
Meep meep!
After that primary performance, I think you flip a coin…
As in the state’s inability to put on a credible election.
What matters at this point is not the Presidency, which is almost in the bag for Hillary already. What matters is Congress because if she faces a Republican House her entire Presidency she’ll have a failed Presidency, and, because of Trump, this election is her best shot to get a freindly Congress. AZ is important because it has several swing Congressional districts, and the Senate race, which is near or at the tipping point for the Dems to take the Senate.
It does worry me that she’s not actively organizing in AZ, according to the article. She won’t need AZ’s electoral votes, but she will need McCain’s seat, AZ-1, AZ-2, and AZ-9.
Good points, I didn’t know that there were so many House seats potentially available in Arizona. As the race continues to ripen and assuming Trump continues to implode, hopefully these will influence Hillary’s campaign investment calculus.
The other factor to keep in mind is the complete absence of the Trump campaign at all, virtually anywhere. Hillary will have $1 billion to work with and Trump plans to coast through on $50 million. The article said that the Democrats already have 70 people on staff working on GOTV in Arizona; the Trump campaign has 30 people nationwide, which is mind-boggling.
With the Republicans barely doing anything and exceedingly uncoordinated with what they ARE doing, Hillary should be able to invest on the cheap in places like Arizona and have an outsized return on investment.
The swing House seats are not necessarily in “battleground” states. The most important state for House control is actually New York. California, Minnesota, New Jersey, and Illinois also all have multiple swing seats in Republican control.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_partisan_voting_index#By_congressional_district
This is probably a good thing as most blue state voters will have a significant Congressional campaign in their state.
And no need for Blue Dogs either, in most.
Two possible red to blue in Colorado: Carroll and Schwartz.
Somebody please correct me if I’m not getting this terminology precisely accurate, but isn’t that pretty much the museum type-specimen for “concern-trolling”?
Given the GOPs remarkable track record of being wrong about almost everything since 1960 I’d have to say this is proof that Booman is correct.
“Please don’t throw me in the briar patch!”
Yeah, I caught that too. It’s one quote, so there’s almost certainly missing context, but the way it reads is that the thought of a vigorous Democratic GOTV operation has him worried. If he really thought that Republicans in Arizona were safe, I would have expected a more cheeky, confident quote like: “the progressive left is welcome to waste its money trying to flip Arizona. Who are we to stand in the way of our opponents’ pipe dreams?”.
Anyone still talking about the Straight Talk Express? Are any reporters still fawning over that windbag John McCain?
A call for GOP party unity amounts to calling for people to support a sociopath for president.
Speaking of straight talk, the article quotes a GOP operative named Charles Coughlin, which (to put it mildly) is an unfortunate name. Then, in Gabby Giffords’ home state, Jan Brewer says “The GOP likes straight shooters.”
It’s like a bad parody.
re: ” . . . a GOP operative named Charles Coughlin, which (to put it mildly) is an unfortunate name.”
You write:
Well!!! I’m not afraid to call Arizona!!!
So I did.
Why don’t you want to call AZ?
Oh.
You must mean “Call AZ as a win for HRC”!!!
Oh.
Nevermind.
I’d be afraid to do that too.
Sorry.
Yore freind…
Emily Litella
Trump can have Arizona if McCain is forced to retire along with the Republican Representative in AZ-2. That seems at least possible.
Could happen.
Several hundred thousands of lives too late, of course.
So it goes.
AG
OT: Saw CBS world news tonight. It had a story about the 51 State Dept. ambassadors who want the US to attack Syria.
You know what was never mentioned in the news story? Russia and its military forces and S-400 antiaircraft missiles.
Even before the election we’re getting hit with pro-war propaganda.
I listened to the report on this on the News Hour on Friday while driving home from work. They just took it for granted that the President’s policy is a total failure, not once explaining why he might not want to do what these 51 people are demanding. They didn’t even discuss what the President’s current policy is, beyond trying to have talks between different sides which is currently stalled. And even though these people are anonymous, there was an assumption that these people are “young people with families” who could lose everything by doing this. The report was very much slanted towards the view of these 51. So much for “lack of bias” that the media so often pretends to value.
They also talked on the program about President Obama’s “red line” and basically left the listener assuming that Syria crossed that red line and nothing happened. You were left with the impression that Obama shrugged. The one, solitary, positive thing that has been achieved during this conflict was the removal of Syrian chemical weapons. Those negotiations were messy, but they worked. No one talks about that; it’s like they never existed.
I have not once heard even an attempt to describe how Syria returns to some sort of piece and normalcy if you destroy the Assad regime. I hear a lot about how terrible they are (and I believe that), but if you destroy the Assad regime, where does the government come from? Libya was in a lot better state than Syria now, and they have not reacted from the destruction of their (crappy) central government well at all. Everything always comes down to “1. Destroy Assad. 2. … 3. Profit!”.
Our media is so useless.
I live in Colorado, a battleground state for sure. If y’all believe Hillary is a shoo in, than I am relieved of the obligation of voting for her. Best news in some time.
However, I am supporting and have donated to two Democratic female candidates for Congress here in Colorado, as well as an unaffiliated candidate for county commissioner.