I’m not sure if Donald Trump was more impressed with Camp Cuddly Pines Powertool Massacre or The Sex Spa II: Body Work but it must be rough when $10,000 in cash and use of your airplane isn’t enough to make a porn star interested.
Married to Melania less than a year, and yes, this was another example of assuming he can kiss anyone on the mouth without even waiting.
This guy is the biggest Christian I ever saw.
Remember that atty who has the DC Madam’s records. He said he there were things in the records that had something to do with the election. Does he drop his shoe now or after the election?
Porn stars have morals, many are married, and most don’t have sex outside of that circle to protect from disease.
Trump was basically equating a porn performer to a prostitute.
Actually, it’s pretty clear that Strongman Trump equates women to prostitutes, in general.
Another day, another sexual assault . . . ho hum.
Mother Jones: Donald Trump Is a Germaphobe. Plenty of complaints that he wouldn’t/couldn’t press the flesh on the campaign trail.
LAWeekly: 1 in 4 Porn Stars Has Had Gonorrhea or Chlamydia, UCLA Study Says
If germaphobe Trump wanted to pay for sex in NV, it would have been far safer to hire one from a brothel.
“Michael Weinstein and AIDS Healthcare Foundation have a long history of generating bad data expressly for political gain.”
Unfortunately it is common to massage statistics, or outright lie for those trying to destroy sex work. Prop 60 is an ugly piece of legislation that has the potential of harming many.
It relies on the unquestioned negativity people associate with sex work to empower abolitionists, who would have free reign to harass even more than they are already.
What is needed is sensible thoughts, not more morality.
I’m actually surprised that similar stories haven’t come out about Eric & Donald Jr.
The reason you haven’t heard those stories is because they are necrophiliacs.
They’ve definitively got the look.
>>because they are necrophiliacs.
People are saying it! I think they need to prove they aren’t.
. . . hasn’t been disproved either.” –Dick Goatfucker Cheney
It would be irresponsible not to speculate.
And whether it’s true or not, it certainly creates the IMPRESSION of necrophilia, which is clearly a problem the Trumps will need to deal with.
As has been remarked before, his supporters like this stuff.
They like the steaks, the ties, the planes, the sleazy wives, the hair. They like the gold plating. They like the ignorance; it makes them feel comforted and at home.
IT is all well and good to find more examples of how Trump is a loser, but the most important one is for him to be a huge loser in this election and take his party down with him.
The polls aren’t exactly tipping in that direction right now. What they are doing is tightening slightly again.
Looking at the state-by-state data in Nate Silver’s model, it appears that the electoral vote is holding firm. Even the Omaha district in Nebraska seems to have decided. But the slippage seems to be widely in the popular vote without affecting the electoral vote.
In most elections, that would be tolerable as long as the candidate won in the end. In this election, that sort of complacency is not helpful for two reasons: (1) we need a large margin downticket to capture Congress; (2) Trump needs to be the largest loser of the 21st century in order to begin to restore the legitimacy of the US government in the eyes of its own people. The key to the second is being able to have the government function for the first time in a quarter century.
And we should be aware that the danger of that sort of total Democratic victory is the government rushing off into yet another war as LBJ did in 1965. At the moment, I think tha more Democrats and Bernie Sanders as Senate Budget Committee chair offers a better brake on misadventure than Mitch McConnell’s continued obstruction or Chuck Schumer’s Senate leadership.
Encourage Democratic turnout everywhere and driving downticket victories. And in as many ways as you can make it clear that progressive Democrats are turning out this massive whupping of Trump and the Republicans.
The Clinton team seems not to have done a good a job on the ground in GOTV as the methodical Obama crowd did. There is not the neighborhood level penetration in organization that was evident four years ago.
Sometimes I think that Democrats don’t want to win too big because then they would have to do something significant.
Trump gossip is only significant if it increases turnout at the polls.
The polls are tightening slightly? RCP has Clinton up by 5.8%, 538 has her up by 6.7%. In this polarized environment, those are massive margins.
I see absolutely no complacency whatsoever. For example:
Down Ticket #22: Confident of a White House win, Clinton & Co. push to expand the down-ballot map
Andrew Romano
West Coast Correspondent
October 20, 2016
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, center, accompanied by Campaign Manager Robby Mook, left, and traveling press secretary Nick Merrill, right, smiles as she speaks with members of the media aboard her campaign plane at McCarran International Airport in Las Vegas, Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2016, following the third presidential debate. (Photo: Andrew Harnik/AP)View photos
Hillary Clinton,accompanied by campaign manager Robby Mook, left, and traveling press secretary Nick Merrill, right, speaks with members of the media aboard her campaign plane following the third presidential debate. (Photo: Andrew Harnik/AP)
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Down Ticket is Yahoo News’ complete guide to the most fascinating House, Senate and governors’ races of 2016. Coming to you every Tuesday and Thursday until Nov. 8. What you need to know today.
___
The debates are done and Clinton is sitting pretty. How she and her Democratic allies are trying to turn the tide in the House and Senate as well.
When the third and final presidential debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton came to a close Wednesday night, hundreds of millions of Americans breathed a collective sigh of relief. At last: The most nauseating reality show in recent memory had reached the end of its all-consuming run. No more “sniffling.” No more “such a nasty woman.” No more feeling like terrified children watching Mommy and Daddy yelling at each other in public.
The end of debate season, however, marks the beginning of something else: the homestretch.
There are less than three weeks to go until Election Day. Early voting is underway. Most of October’s surprises are likely behind us. Opportunities to upend the race will be scant. And from a down-ballot perspective — which is what we specialize in here at Down Ticket — the dynamic that will define the rest of the race is becoming clear.
Democrats are on offense.
It isn’t just Trump’s unprecedented refusal Wednesday to say whether he will accept the outcome of the election — a refusal that will force down-ballot Republicans to waste yet another news cycle struggling to respond to their nominee’s ever-more-outrageous remarks.
“Peaceful transfer of power & acceptance of election results is fundamental to our democracy & Constitution,” tweeted Republican Rep. Carlos Curbelo, who is facing a tough re-election battle in Florida’s 26th Congressional District. “This cannot be undermined ever.”
AP_836311118135View photos
AP_836311118135
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The real reason down-ballot Republicans will likely spend the rest of the fall on defense is bigger than last night’s debate. With Trump continuing to implode — and with Clinton increasingly looking like an Oval Office lock — Democrats have realized that they can now afford to focus more attention, and resources, on recapturing the House and the Senate.
Earlier this week, the party’s most powerful operations — the Clinton crew in Brooklyn, the congressional campaign arms on Capitol Hill, the allied super-PACs — quietly unveiled several efforts geared toward keeping the GOP on its heels.
“On Monday, Clinton’s campaign manager, Robby Mook, announced that Brooklyn intends to channel $6 million into direct mail and digital ads to boost turnout in Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Pennsylvania — all states with competitive Senate contests and/or must-win House seats. At the same time, the campaign is also set to spend at least $2 million in Arizona — a red state that is suddenly trending toward Clinton (and has several key House and Senate races).”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/down-ticket-22-confident-of-a-white-house-win-clinton-co-push-to-expand-t
he-down-ballot-map-181949312.html
She’s also putting money in the Senate and gubernatorial races in IN and MO:
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/politics/ct-indiana-missouri-democrats-clinton-coatta
ils-20161022-story.html
Sorry about the excessively long quote: I cut and pasted more than I intended.
The key caveat you offer is “in this polarized environment”. And that is true. But that is not enough of a landslide to either cast Trump as a complete loser or deliver more than the Senate to the Democrats, and even that subject to the same gridlock we have seen for two decades.
That just might allow the Republican Party to survive in its present ideology.
For me, that is a huge problem given the potential for a wave election. I don’t see a serious effort on the part of the Clinton campaign to run up the totals and widen the map to a complete rout.
All the Trump gossip in the world does not run up that total in some of the now shaky red states.
And without a wave election there is a mandate for nothing but more of the same.
A news article snarkily asked who was winning the most land area. The Clinton campaign could easily deal with that one by taking Texas (less than 5% away), taking Alaska (less than 5%) away, and taking Montana. There are also Georgia and SC available for an extra stretch. In SC, Nikki Haley (the Sikh-Methodist) pointedly did not endorse Trump. (Would she endorse her fellow Methodist Hillary Clinton?)
We are generally ahead in early voting, so the GOTV seems just fine. On the blogs I’m seeing a lot of “I’ve already sent in my vote”, which is also encouraging. That includes me, incidentally, and I’m normally a terrible procrastinator.
Also, the ABC poll just came out with a +12 lead for Clinton and a 7 point drop in Republican voter intent. Only one poll, blahblahblah, but that’s been a less friendly poll and that’s a “take the House” result. Trump gossip is helping us by driving Republican turnout down. I’m also encouraged by the heavy assault on Paul Ryan by the alt-right – I think we have a good chance to take him out personally and I suspect that will have an effect on other House races.
Wait a minute … I live in the Congressional district just north of Ryan’s and I’ve heard nothing to indicate that there is any chance that he could lose his seat. The RWNJ’s had a chance to remove him in the primary and they didn’t even come close; I see little chance that enough Republican voters would stay home or vote against him, to put him in any danger.
If you have other information, please share. Agreed he’s likely to lose the Speakership but that’s a different matter entirely.
His favorables among Trump supporters (which is most Republican) have dropped from something like +15% to -38%, and that’s before Breitbart started up with the “Ryan is working for Hillary” ads. He won by 12% in 2012, running as party VP. That’s a big lead, but he could certainly lose it if his favorables among Republicans are far underwater like that.
OK, interesting I’ll admit. That would speak to driving his vote totals down; any evidence you’ve seen, e.g. polling, of the Democrat’s vote going up? Of the race narrowing? I couldn’t find any polling data but about 68,000 people voted the Republican ballot in the August primary while only 25,000 voted the Democratic. So Ryan has a long way to fall before he’s in trouble.
Reason I bring this up is, while all Trump supporters are Republicans, not all Republicans are Trump supporters. In WI in particular, Cruz won the primary in April and Trump support never really solidified. And I’ve yet to see any support for the alt-right from any direction.
Meanwhile, early voting began here last weekend. If the DCCC were to throw $$$$ into the face at this late date and if the Democrat had a campaign set up to use it, then maybe he’d have a chance but I’d rate it an incredibly long shot.
The key point is who is the candidate who could beat Ryan. The opposition would have to focus on just one candidate. Typically that doesn’t happen because the opposition is still voting ideologically instead of focusing on taking out the incumbent. They still want to take out the incumbent AND have their views win.
Obama also didn’t need Congressional approval for establishing national monuments, for ordering federal agencies to reduce their greenhouse-gas emissions, or for challenging voter suppression.
Yes, but elected Emperor Obama playing Emperor and bombing heads of state may persuade someone who should know better to stay home instead of voting for the worster evil, Clinton.
I’m sure the dead Libyans would be very happy for us.
Yes, I’m am sure the Libyan’s that were being exterminated by Qaddafi and the many more that would have been killed are very happy for your ego because you had the courage to say “No, thanks.” when they were begging us to stop Qaddafi from massacring whole towns.
I always love people like you who think that there was or must be a right answer to these kinds of situations.
It’s especially amusing because I will bet you anything you will say you’re against genocide and mass murder too, even though you’re not willing to put your money where your mouth is. Which kinda proves you only don’t like those things on paper doesn’t it? When theory meets reality, you’re all too happy to be a Republican and say, “Not my problem. Those people aren’t my tribe.”
Left Wing-nuts like you can just never figure out that people understand and know that you just flop domestic and foreign policy positions with the Right Wing-nuts.
That’s the message we’re getting here from knocking on doors. Their GOTV operation is much looser than in 2008 or 2012. And people we talk to (on nominally Democatic voter lists) have no passion for Clinton; although the message to “vote against the mad-man” does get some traction, the only thing they want is to see the election over.
It may be that a resource allocation decision was made based on the assumption that Trump would not win here and that Feingold was strong enough to beat Johnson on his own. That may turn out to be correct on both counts although the second is less secure. But no benefit accrues for the down-ballot races from that kind of a play.
QFT.
The IBD/TIPP polling is the one that the Trumpsters are crowing about. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Yes. And anyone who says “all the polls are massively wrong, except the one that confirms my ill-informed beliefs” is pretty clearly delusional.
Also, if you check the internals, the most recent IBD has Trump getting 15% of African-Americans and Latinos, while Johnson gets 9%. Hillary’s only getting 65% of their votes.
http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/
NFW.
OT but Forbes sounding the alarm
http://www.forbes.com/sites/stancollender/2016/10/23/paul-ryan-could-be-ousted-in-3-weeks-throw-the-
lame-duck-into-chaos/#60e29d4e7bba
I think we’re discussing two different things: losing his seat and losing the speakership. Booman feels he’ll lose the latter, which is what Forbes has to say.
Ryan’s seat is pretty safe. Depending on the size of the GOP majority (I am among the “pessimists” who assume that the GOP will still hold a majority – albeit smaller – in the House) the Freedom Caucus may be more trouble than it is worth for Ryan. I would not be surprised if he bailed.
“BREAKING! Donald Trump can’t even buy sex with a porn star for $10K and an executive jet ride! SAD!”
Since I’ve always considered Trump something of a Bob Guccione, but with hotels and golf courses rather than a skin mag, I can’t say that I’m surprised. However, in terms of exposing his sexual dysfunction and diseased personality, I think this episode just scratches the surface. The man is mentally ill, big time.
I’m still trying to wrap my head around his Gettysburg “First 100 Days” pronouncement that after he wins he will be suing all these women who “defamed” him. I mean, this is a presidential agenda? Hs mind must be cornmush at this point.