Month: October 2016

How Could the Polls Be Wrong?

There are basically three ways that the presidential polls can be wrong. The first is that they have the wrong models for who is actually going to vote. So, for example, they may be underestimating Latino or black or Millennial...

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"Bill Clinton, Inc."

As a longtime Bill Clinton adviser came under fire several years ago for alleged conflicts of interest involving a private consulting firm and the Clinton Foundation, he mounted an audacious defense: Bill Clinton’s doing...

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Could Trump Do Worse Than McGovern?

Over at Huffington Post, their number crunchers now estimate that Donald Trump has a 23% chance of being an even bigger loser than George McGovern, i.e, getting less than 37.4% of the popular vote. Those aren’t great odds,...

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