Is this a successful society? Something we want to preserve? “Nearly half of U.S. children now have at least one parent with a criminal record.” New Unemployment)
Net wealth of poor families went from around 0 to minus $15k (US CBO) https://www.cbo.gov/sites
Matt Stoller:
“I have been in rooms where these economists laugh quietly about how their models don’t work and they are pretty much making shit up.”
In 2011, Fed Reserve bankers were mocking the unemployed and using anecdotal excuses from businessmen to set policy. Federal Reserve bankers Mocked the Unemployed
Many have seen three former Treasury Sec yukking it up together on youtube about how their policies increased economic disparity.
Is anyone connecting the dots between ACA Medicaid expansion and opioid deaths? Connecting the dots between Big Pharma abuses and elected Dems unable to say no to their donors. A $3.00 Medicaid card prescription gets you thousands of dollars worth of Perdue Pharma’s oxy. Ever see any Congressional hearings on that?
Our Miserable 21st Century
“The warning lights have been flashing, and the klaxons sounding, for more than a decade and a half…Now that those signals are no longer possible to ignore, it is high time for experts and intellectuals to reacquaint themselves with the country in which they live and to begin the task of describing what has befallen the country in which we have lived since the dawn of the new century.”
[This is a long read. The first part deals with economic indicators. But I want to talk about the grassroots situation. I have excerpted way more than normally acceptable, but hope it will be allowable given how much ground he covers. There is a lot of additional material and links in original.]
“If 21st-century America’s GDP trends have been disappointing, labor-force trends have been utterly dismal. Work rates have fallen off a cliff since the year 2000 and are at their lowest levels in decades…the exodus out of the workforce has been the big labor-market [non-]story for America’s new century. (At this writing, for every unemployed American man between 25 and 55 years of age, there are another three who are neither working nor looking for work.) Thus the “unemployment rate” increasingly looks like an antique index devised for some earlier and increasingly distant war: the economic equivalent of a musket inventory or a cavalry count…If our nation’s work rate today were back up to its start-of-the-century highs, well over 10 million more Americans would currently have paying jobs.
In our era of no more than indifferent economic growth, …trends for paid hours of work look even worse than the work rates themselves. Between 2000 and 2015, according to the BEA, total paid hours of work in America increased by just 4 percent (as against a 35 percent increase for 1985-2000, the 15-year period immediately preceding this one). Over the 2000-2015 period, however, the adult civilian population rose by almost 18 percent–meaning that paid hours of work per adult civilian have plummeted by a shocking 12 percent thus far in our new American century.
So general economic conditions for many ordinary Americans–not least of these, Americans who did not fit within the academy’s designated victim classes–have been rather more insecure than those within the comfort of the bubble understood. But the anxiety, dissatisfaction, anger, and despair that range within our borders today are not wholly a reaction to the way our economy is misfiring. On the non-material front, it is likewise clear that many things in our society are going wrong and yet seem beyond our powers to correct.
Health has been deteriorating for a significant swath of white America in our new century, thanks in large part to drug and alcohol abuse. All this sounds a little too close for comfort to the story of [1990s] Russia, with its devastating vodka- and drug-binging health setbacks.
…the Human Mortality Database, an international consortium of demographers who vet national data to improve comparability between countries, has suggested that health progress in America essentially ceased in 2012–that the U.S. gained on average only about a single day of life expectancy at birth between 2012 and 2014, before the 2015 turndown.
The dimensions of the opioid epidemic in the real America are still not fully appreciated within the bubble, where drug use tends to be more carefully limited and recreational. …”in one three-month period” just a few years ago, according to the Ohio Department of Health, “fully 11 percent of all Ohioans were prescribed opiates.” Alan Krueger, former chairman of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers: nearly half of all prime working-age male labor-force dropouts–an army now totaling roughly 7 million men–currently take pain medication on a daily basis. [That is where pharma abuses the state and federal taxpayers through Medicaid card reimbursement. And likely contributes to underground economy.]
…What share of prime-working-age men these days are enrolled in Medicaid? According to the Census Bureau’s SIPP survey (Survey of Income and Program Participation), as of 2013, over one-fifth (21 percent) of all civilian men between 25 and 55 years of age were Medicaid beneficiaries. For prime-age people not in the labor force, the share was over half (53 percent). And for non-Hispanic white men not in the labor force of prime working age, the share enrolled in Medicaid was 48 percent.
…Of the entire un-working prime-age male Anglo population in 2013, nearly three-fifths (57 percent) were reportedly collecting disability benefits from one or more government disability program in 2013.
One forthcoming demographic study…estimates that the cohort of current and former felons in America very nearly reached 20 million by the year 2010…A little more rough arithmetic suggests that about 17 million men in our general population have a felony conviction somewhere in their CV. That works out to one of every eight adult males in America today.
We have to use rough estimates here, rather than precise official numbers, because the government does not collect any data at all on the size or socioeconomic circumstances of this population of 20 million, and never has. Amazing as this may sound and scandalous though it may be, America has, at least to date, effectively banished this huge group–a group roughly twice the total size of our illegal-immigrant population and an adult population larger than that in any state but California–to a near-total and seemingly unending statistical invisibility. Our ex-cons are, so to speak, statistical outcasts who live in a darkness our polity does not care enough to illuminate–beyond the scope or interest of public policy, unless and until they next run afoul of the law.
Social mobility has always been the jewel in the crown of the American mythos and ethos. …according to the Census Bureau, geographical mobility in America has been on the decline for three decades, and in 2016 the annual movement of households from one location to the next was reportedly at an all-time (postwar) low. …”labor market fluidity”–the churning between jobs that among other things allows people to get ahead–has been on the decline in the American labor market for decades, with no sign as yet of a turnaround. …the odds of a 30-year-old’s earning more than his parents at the same age [might be] now just 51 percent: down from 86 percent 40 years ago.
[Strata are solidifying.]
The funny thing is, people inside the bubble are forever talking about “economic inequality,” that wonderful seminar construct, and forever virtue-signaling about how personally opposed they are to it. By contrast, “economic insecurity” is akin to a phrase from an unknown language. But if we were somehow to find a “Google Translate” function for communicating from real America into the bubble, an important message might be conveyed:
The abstraction of “inequality” doesn’t matter a lot to ordinary Americans. The reality of economic insecurity does. The Great American Escalator is broken–and it badly needs to be fixed.
Our Miserable 21st Century (Commentary Magazine)
At last a voice of reason, talking about real problems, instead of the Trump Trump Trump on the front page.
Are you sure that economic insecurity isn’t a secret plot between Putin and Trump to steal Our Precious essence?
Thank god finally someone noticed the porch has these ugly green algae, you are such a great guy.
All these fucking other people are screaming that the house is on fire and there are people inside.
I think you have it backwards. Which neocon is in the White House is the algae. People without jobs are the ones doing the dying.
long time versus short time problems
Can you fix poverty within a decade?
With the equivalent of a marshall plan, you might get a lot done, but that wont happen likely, if so after disaster, or a big cultural shift. Its a huge problem with huge obstacles.
Its the algae, if you wont keep it under control it will be ugly and damage the porch, and its something thats should be routine maintanance.
The fire is the people in power, trumps erratic behavior could make things get much worse, the shift in power upsets the world, makes it even more instabile, might mess up our trust in the future.
Thats definitely the house right now thats on fire, it might do some damage, which can be repaired, or it might be needed to rebuild the house completely.
What makes the algae goes away the fastest is hard to predict, but the panic is about the fire right now.If thats annoying to you, and you rather worry about algae, people may look at you funny.
instead of the Trump Trump Trump on the front page.
Based on the latest Putin/Russia/Trump/Putin screed, I’d say the infection is getting worse. Not only can’t comprehend the horrors of the Cold War, but doesn’t know the first thing about real estate development and financing, ignores all the other US/western individuals that facilitated the deals and money flows, doesn’t explore the possibility of a continuing relationship between Satar and the FBI and CIA, and imagines a warm relationship between Putin and Jewish oligarchs, one Kazakh expat oligarch, and one sleazy dealmaker.
Amazing article.
HALF. HALF of all children have a parent with a criminal record.
HALF.
Incredible.
I want to start a pro-bono law practice that specializes in getting their criminal record expunged.
“Their policies” have a singular goal — facilitating deals to shift wealth to the top. With all the dealmakers in the daisy chain getting a hefty cut.
An example:
NYTimes – January 1, 2008
Then, ARMZ (Rosatom) purchased 16.6% of the Uranium One stock and the two entities traded ownership interest percentages in various mines. Acquiring a 50% interest in the J/V with Kazatomprom (the “Guista deal”) and ARMZ increased its ownership stake in Uranium One to 51%.
In 2013
That’s a few billion dollars out of Russia and into the pockets of the western UrAsia and Uranium One shareholders. Although it did give Rosatom a stake in a US uranium mine, but the “crown jewel” was the Kazatomprom deal because UrAsia got it for a song.
I think this author is right, though. I cannot say often enough…95% of the net increase in jobs for this administration have been precariat jobs. No security, no benies.
These people are not even to the point of wanting economic equality–they don’t care if people are wealthy and they are not to much.
They just want the slide to slow. They want some economic security, period, stop.
I’m not seeing Dems confront that. Or even understand it. I don’t know why the conservative base doesn’t take the final step for more equality, but they haven’t. Must be the gospel of prosperity working there, somewhat.
OTOH, we’ve discovered the choke point for the Alt-right folks. Milo lost his book deal and CPAC invite and Breitbart employees have threatened to quit if he isn’t fired.
If only “pizza-gate” could be wrapped around the necks of these guys.
Well, this is not helpful. Remember Red State preemption to frustrate urban initiatives.
Dems seem to find it attractive, or at least their donors do…Maryland Democrats Consider Blocking Cities From Raising Their Minimum Wage
http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jum
ival=18435#.WKmvwSS4Ji4.twitter
Not all Democrats are the same, and the outside organizing efforts in various States are not the same either.
You say “Dems seem to find it attractive” to preempt local minimum wage initiatives, but that is not true. It’s less than honest to infer this claim.
In California, the Legislature and Governor not only passed a Law which ramps us up to a $15 Statewide Minimum Wage with COLA’s in subsequent years for all private and public workers, it also guarantees paid sick days for those workers. The reason that happened is because Labor and community groups in California were smart, strong and well-funded enough to force the Legislature and Governor to do so. New York State did something similar. Neither State preempts higher wage local initiatives. Nor does any State under Democratic Party control. Nor do any Congressmembers in the Democratic Party caucuses.
Those moving this bill in the Maryland State Legislature are not representative of the Democratic Party in this or any other State. In fact, is there a single State Democratic Party which has preemption of local minimum wage laws in their platform? I don’t believe so.
How about we help Marylanders defeat this effort by contacting Legislators? Organizing an effort like that seems more worthwhile than attempting to deflate morale and preempt activism by pretending this bill is representative of the Democratic Party at the national, state or local levels. The Maryland fight is totally winnable.
Eish. You remind me of the age when reading the actual Bible was heresy. Yes, $15.00 in 2022. That is radical!
And did not the state get involved to avoid a ballot initiative from voters who were a little more ambitious? Or was that another state…
Doesn’t California have a cost of living that is pretty high?
The California Legislature and Governor were pushed into action last year by the successful collection of signatures to qualify a State ballot initiative. State politicians were made to agree on a compromise which came close to the standards of the ballot initiative, which caused the filers of the initiative to agree to withdraw.
They withdrew because they won the highest and quickest minimum wage/sick time law in the United States without having to wage a very expensive, somewhat risky fight to the ballot box with the Chamber of Commerce and a few extraordinarily wealthy, very radical venture capitalists and others in the business class who are willing to spend obscene amounts of money to defeat worthwhile initiatives like the single payer initiatives which have been smashed repeatedly over the years.
These mega-rich are also defeating many worker-friendly Legislative candidates endorsed by the California Democratic Party by pouring millions and millions of dollars into moderate Districts in support of campaigns for “business Democrats.”
The cost of living in California varies pretty significantly. The big metro areas are super sky-high, while the Valley and other rural parts of the State are much, much less expensive. That was one of the most valuable parts of the State law; we didn’t bow to the business interests which were making the case for lower wages in lower-cost-of-living areas.
But that gets to where you started here. Because the State stays out of the way of local jurisdictions, as is true of all other States controlled by Democrats, the big metro areas in California are getting to $15 with a COLA much earlier thru City initiatives. Most of them are getting to $15 in 2018, 2019 and 2020.
You sneer at by far the best Minimum Wage/sick pay law in the United States. It’s weird.
The lesson here is that Californians pushed their State politicians to do it. It appears you believe politicians shouldn’t need to be pressured to do the right thing. They’re constantly pressured very effectively to do the wrong thing for working people. Many elected officials have lost their elections in recent years immediately after passing very progressive legislation.
The citizen-as-passive-consumer-of-politics model DOES NOT WORK. Gotta do what has shown to be effective in making politicians do what we want. We need to lead, and keep on leading, and never let up. The oligarchs never let up. We can beat them if we try, and if we learn.
No. You are lying about what I did. I brought up California to refute your assertion that “Dems don’t do that”. Of course, you hedged your statement about with “platform, etc”. What politician would ever be stupid enough to put that in print before the voters?
But, in fact, your state lege DID preempt a state-wide increase by voters. So then I get a bunch of handwaving that says it is BETTER that they did. Maybe it was/maybe it wasn’t. That was NOT the subject, however, of my post.
So we have 6 states controlled totally by Dems and, even there, preemption IS popping up to control citizen wage initiatives, whether state-wide or municipal. And you can bet there were Dem Yeas in the 19 Republican states that have already done it. They use the same tool against anti-fracking measures, too.
While you would have us play the see-no/hear-no/speak- no monkeys, I agree with this dude:
“Proponents of preemption are like cockroaches,” he told BuzzFeed News. “You shine a light on what they’re doing, and they tend to run away. And the state legislators who are doing their bidding stop doing their bidding.”” buzzfeed
So stop lying about my motives and take your stuff elsewhere.
I agree that the cockroaches need to be chased away from the one Party which is not ruled by them. You want to run primary challenges against the Maryland legislators? Fuck yeah, I’m on board. It’s likely leaders in their State Party will join us, since the Dems working on the Maryland bill are opposed by their own State Party leaders on the issue.
You avoid conceding the factual point that no State under Democratic control has passed laws which preempt local minimum wage ballot initiatives. To support your claim that Dems like these kind of initiatives, it seems to me you should be made to come up with more than one bill in one State, a bill which can and should be defeated. You bring no evidence that this is moving in any other Dem-controlled State while inferring that it is happening in multiple states. That’s disappointing.
It’s not just that no State Party has preemption in their platform. No other Dem-controlled Legislature and Governor are moving bills on the issue. The Maryland bill is an outlier, and you want to make it seem as if laws of this sort have significant support with Democratic Party elected leaders. You could be focused on the hundreds of local jurisdictions and multiple States under Democratic Party control which have passed big minimum wage increases. Instead you wish to claim that the worst behavior by Democrats is representative of the Party in whole. It’s not.
Only 5 states HAVE a Dem trifecta.
Sigh. Corrected for accuracy: “To support your claim that Dems like these kind of initiatives..” should read “To support my heads-up that SOME Dems are thinking of trying it on.” You know–a wake up call.
BTW, Maryland is not even a trifecta state.