The Right Wants No Dissent

Republican lawmakers are less fond of public protest now that it’s not the Tea Party doing the protesting. In Arizona, the Senate just passed a bill that would “would open up protests to anti-racketeering legislation, targeting protesters with the same laws used to combat organized crime syndicates.”

The same bill would “allow police to seize the assets of anyone involved in a protest that at some point becomes violent.”

A Florida Republican introduced a bill that would make it easier to run over protesters with your car without being legally liable. North Dakota and Tennessee Republicans have done the same.

In Minnesota, Republicans are pushing a bill that would allow the police to charge protesters for the cost of policing their rallies and marches.

Not to be outdone, Mississippi Republicans want to make blocking traffic a crime punishable by a $10,000 fine and five years in prison.

There are also a bunch of bills coming out of states like South Dakota, Colorado, and Oklahoma aimed at greatly stiffening penalties for interfering in the operation of pipelines.

So far, none of these bills have become law, and most of them are unconstitutional. But they indicate a certain mood.

And I know that mood is shared by our new Attorney General, Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III.

As Hunter S. Thompson might say, “that crazy f*cker is gonna come down on us like million-pound shithammer.”

Without that stolen Supreme Court seat, it’s going to be a bit harder to ease the pain.

Lack of Accountability Brought Us Here

As much as I admired them, I always stayed at arm’s length from German philosophers like Kant, Hegel and Schopenhauer because of their efforts to create theoretical constructs or systems that could explain everything. I once wrote a major paper on how Schopenhauer had accidentally identified a force in nature best described by DNA but that actual science had rendered most of what he had to say about it a little ridiculous. He was born too soon.

I am suspicious of political ideologies that suffer from similar sins of ambition, but I’m beginning to suspect that we’re all suffering from the opposite, which is to say that we have a bunch of pieces that are clearly related in some way, and we’re not figuring out what ties them all together.

Matthew Continetti makes a step in that direction with a new piece in the Washington Free Beacon. I find it alarming that the right is further along in this than anyone on the mainstream left. I suspect it’s because they’re less debilitated by taboos and orthodoxy than we are, but it’s also because the right too easily flocks to pat answers that confirm their preexisting prejudices. It’s not that they’ve arrived at the right answer; it’s more that they’ve been willing to walk further into the hall of mirrors and look around.

Or, maybe, it’s just more urgent to explain how you’ve been hijacked than to figure out why you’ve been defeated.

There are some answers people don’t want. The fascist movement in Europe may have been a response to real failures of our political elites, and it may have enjoyed broad popular support, but after we shed so much blood and treasure to crush the movement, and after the movement manifested itself in extermination camps and unlimited warfare, few people were willing to grant it any legitimacy or to waste time holding themselves accountable for wars they did not start and atrocities they did not commit.

That doesn’t mean, however, that the political elites didn’t screw up and didn’t in some sense bring the rise of fascism on themselves.

In our current crisis, there are things that have been done which people ought to have anticipated would lead to both a right-wing nationalistic enthno-religious backlash and an erosion in popular support for Western political arrangements and institutions.

“What binds globalism and identity politics together,” says Joshua Mitchell of Georgetown, “is the judgment that national sovereignty is not the final word on how to order collective life. This judgment against national sovereignty—let us state that matter boldly—was the animating principle of the post-1989 world order, an order that is now collapsing before our eyes.” When the Cold War ended, Mitchell writes, victorious elites in Washington, London, and Brussels began constructing a world where attachments to national identity would be attenuated or even severed. One would belong to a group above the nation—be a “citizen of the world,” an employee of a multinational corporation or NGO, a partisan of Davos, a subject of the E.U.—or to a hyphenated group below it. Capital, goods, and people would flow across borders in search of the highest return. The immense power of the United States would police this new world order and enforce the responsibility of states to protect their citizens.

Part of the New World Order, particularly in Europe, was a certain ceding of sovereign political power that made it harder for citizens to hold their representatives accountable.

But there was a price. “The separation of political power from the political community,” writes editor Julius Krein, “naturally follows from this separation of ownership and control” in the global economy.

Increasingly, power is shifted away from individuals elected to represent the political community toward unelected officials qualified to hold the positions responsible for administering the government—that is, providing for consumption. Like all managers, they derive their power from the administrative expertise and credentials that qualify them for office rather than from democratic legitimacy. They are accountable, that is, not to the political community but to the other managers that define their qualifications.

We haven’t been immune to this here at home, and similar concerns (from both right and the left) animated the movement to oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership. But we’ve also lost the ability to vote out the representatives we still elect. In fact, in two of our last five presidential elections, the popular vote loser won the contest, and our congresspeople increasing select their voters (through gerrymandering) rather than the other way around.

When the neoconservatives were busy ginning up their invasions of Afghanistan and particularly Iraq, they didn’t anticipate that it would result in a flood of Muslim asylum seekers in Europe, nor that they’d be arriving in a stagnating economic situation where austerity was being cruelly imposed by the central bankers on the southern tier nations most impacted by the refugee crisis.

We’ve had our own immigration problem, however exaggerated its threats may be. An inability to do sensible comprehensive immigration reform left us open for a populist backlash even if a smaller backlash explained our inability to act proactively.

The left tried it’s own populist uprising against lack of accountability on Wall Street for the financial collapse of 2008, but the Occupy Movement fizzled in large part because the Democrats had a president to defend and a positive agenda to pursue. That created the opening that Trump ambled into, and it explains why the populist uprising was ultimately right-wing fascist in character.

And it is fascist.

Take a look at how Continetti concludes his essay:

There are some conservatives who seem to believe that there is no such thing as the American people, only an American idea. But this gets it backward. Without the people, there would be no idea. Americans may come from all over the world, we may profess every religion, but we are bound together not just by our founding documents but by those mystic chords of memory of which Lincoln spoke, by our love of the land, its natural beauty, its inhabitants, its history, by what our people have achieved, what they have lost, what they have endured.

What’s uncomfortable is often necessary. That is the case today. Reducing illegal immigration, reforming legal immigration to prioritize skilled workers and would-be citizens, asserting national prerogatives in trade negotiations, spending on the military and defense research, “betting on ideas” rather than on social insurance, bureaucracy, and rent-seeking, saving the idea of national community through the promulgation of our shared language, literature, art, film, television, music—this is the beginning of a nationalist agenda. But only the beginning.

This language is Volkish, to put it mildly. It touches on the same mystic chords as National Socialism. It’s weak insistence that we come from all over the world is undermined by it’s uncritical endorsement of mass deportation and limits on the wrong kind of legal immigration. This shows who the real American people are and to whom the land and history belongs.

There is the opposition to “communist” ideals of basic economic justice, characterized derogatorily as “social insurance” and “rent-seeking.” Independent art is defunded and put in the service of a “national community” and a “nationalist agenda.” There is, of course, a massive increase in defense spending and a general arms buildup. Meanwhile, Europe is coerced into doing the same under the pretext of paying their fair share.

So far, a good part of the left’s response to this is to blame our institutions for failing without, at the same time, insisting that what we have deserves defense against this alternative.

At the extremes, you see a defense of Putin. He was put-upon by NATO expansion. His interference in Ukraine was purely defensive in nature. Our country has interfered in elections, too. Or the European Union is so flawed why not have Brexit? Why not rip it to shreds? Fuck the German bankers; they deserve their comeuppance.

What you don’t see enough is a recognition that Putin is leading a transnational ethno-religious movement against the West. And this is an attack on the pearl of postwar progressive achievement, which is a Europe where nationalism and militarism is tamped down and human rights and social justice are emphasized.

A commenter recently asked me what I feared from Putin. Did I expect Putin to take over our nuclear triad and take it out for a spin?

He asked this in all sincerity as if Putin hadn’t just intervened to elect a downright moron as our president. And as if that moron weren’t saying that the West is morally equivalent to Putin’s Russia. As if he wasn’t encouraging Brexit and the breakup of the European Union. As if he weren’t saying that NATO is obsolete. As if he hadn’t recommended abandoning our allies in Syria to Putin’s mercies. And as if Russia were not working overtime to help elect more right-wing ethno-religious leaders in Europe.

There’s a place for self-loathing criticism, especially if it can productively help counteract this fascist movement while there is still some time and some hope. Personally, I think it’s too late for pointing fingers at each other. The left is too weak to engage in a lot of recrimination. Our mosques are already burning and our Jewish centers are already under attack. In Europe, Merkel may soon be out and LePen in.

This is the context I see, and it’s why I find efforts to defend Russia and call this all some kind of second phase McCarthyism so misguided. It reminds me more of the folks who defended Stalin until it was no longer possible in good conscience to do so.

This is not to say that we shouldn’t take the speck out of our own eyes before we criticize others. We have to understand what we did wrong that made this virulent political pathogen so deadly. But that doesn’t legitimize the pathogen or make it any less necessary that we rise to defeat it.

So, one way to go at this is to continue to highlight the appalling historic parallels. But, another is to recognize that there is a common theme running through all of this, and it’s largely about a lack of political accountability for our elites. I wrote recently that the left is protesting calmly and peacefully for now, but may not remain so docile once they realize how nearly impossible it will be to take power away from the Senate or House Republicans regardless of what they do. But, really, the riot has already started.

For Continetti, the answer is Trumpism and Putinism, even if he’d never agree that that is what he’s arguing. But that absolutely cannot be the answer.

Germany Tops Refugee Hospitality … and Economic Growth in EU

German budget surplus soars as economy motors ahead | Reuters |

Germany’s economy is in full swing, the government said on Thursday, a state of affairs that also led to a record 2016 budget surplus likely to irritate much of the rest of the European Union and play directly into election politics.

Germany’s overflowing coffers are the subject of intense debate ahead of the Sept. 24 federal election, with the Social Democrats promising more investment and Chancellor Angela Merkel‘s conservatives a mix of investment, tax cuts and debt reduction.

Merkel played down the size of the federal government’s portion of the surplus, which will go into a fund for refugee-related expenditure following the influx of people, many fleeing war, over the past few years.

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Turkey tensions spill onto German streets (Dawn - Pakistan)

“If you look at the federal level alone, the surplus is rather small,” Merkel said during a joint news conference with Lithuanian Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis.

Merkel said the government would further increase spending on defense, as promised to NATO allies, as well as on domestic security and social improvements.

“At the same time, we don’t want to take on new debt. So the room for maneuver is rather limited,” Merkel added.

The finance ministry, meanwhile, said the economy – dominated by exports – has kicked off the year in fine form.

“The German economy is on a solid growth path,” its monthly report said, adding that indicators signaled a continuation of the economic upswing in 2017.

“Consumption will probably remain an important driver of economic growth,” the ministry said, pointing to job creation, pay hikes, low interest rates and moderate, albeit rising energy prices.

LARGE BUDGET SURPLUS RAISES EYEBROWS

But it is the budget surplus – reported by the Federal Statistics Office – that may raise most eyebrows.

Germany has been running a surplus for three years. Soaring tax revenues, rising employment and low debt costs helped drive the gap higher to 23.7 billion euros ($25 billion) in 2016.

That is the highest since Germany reunified in 1990, and creates a fiscal buffer at a time when authorities are working to house and integrate hundreds of thousands of refugees.  

Germany’s Growth, Budget Surplus Soar | FSM |

As Germany Spends On Its Migrants, The Country Posted Economic Progress As Their Budget Surplus Further Increases.

Germany notched a record budget surplus in 2016, aided by growing tax revenues and employment and low debt expenses. In turn, this created conditions for robust economic growth this year supported by higher state and household spending.

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Germany reached its strongest economic growth in 5 years  

Budget surplus

With the surplus, it has generated a massive fiscal buffer at a period when authorities are working to house and integrate thousands of immigrants. A separate Statistics data report revealed higher state spending was a key player in bolstering economic growth to 1.9% in 2016.

Under the country’s budget law, the federal government’s surplus of €7.7 billion will go into a fund for refugee-related expenses.

U.S. GDP data below expectations, brought full-year growth for 2016 to 1.6%

Germany is hailed as Europe’s largest economy, which ranks fourth globally in nominal gross domestic product (GDP) figures, and fifth in purchasing power parity (PPP) GDP. Britain comes next in the European economic rankings, followed by France and Italy.

Angela Merkel by Oui @BooMan on Jan. 16, 2006
Putin’s Denunciation of US policy at Munich Conference – 10 Years ago

PS In my analysis, Chancellor Merkel made a wrong decision to run again as partyleader of CDU/CSU in the upcoming election in September!

Germany with  SPD leader Martin Schulz for a strong pro Europe stance

Putinology and Nuclear Apocalypse

Putinology, for those not up on the latest buzz words, is the use of Putin’s reputation as an international Svengali to tar the Trump administration.  Glenn Greenwald has this to say about this still raging virus in the Democratic Party:

The game that establishment Democrats and their allies are playing is not just tawdry but dangerous. The U.S. political, media, military, and intelligence classes are still full of people seeking confrontation with Russia; included among them are military officials whom Trump has appointed to key positions.

As Stone observed in the 1950s, aggression toward and fearmongering over the Kremlin on the one hand, and smearing domestic critics of that approach as disloyal on the other, are inextricably linked. When one takes root, it’s very difficult to stop the other. And you can only propagate demonization rhetoric about a foreign adversary for so long before triggering, wittingly or otherwise, very dangerous confrontations between the two.

McCarthyism, you must remember, really is what triggered the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.  We were fortunate to have an enemy who was not on autopilot (unlike later) and secure enough in his confidence as a leader not to have to posture as aggressive when the need for change appeared.  We dodge that nuclear launch.

Now Trump wants some more toys to play with.  The US and Russia are at nuclear parity by treaty and arms control design (as best as can be figured out).  The next step with the Obama administration after signing New START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) in 2010 would have been preparation for another round of arms reductions to be signed before 2021.  Since the split of the Soviet Union, it is the Russians who have been most eager to reduce nuclear arsenals.  That might have led to US leadership in bringing down nuclear arsenals altogether had Republicans not been out chest-beating President Obama and putting him politically on the defensive.  In four years, the entire US-Russia arms control framework might unwind and put us back in the dangerous times of the Cold War when arsenals and technologies were in a very rapid arms race.

President Trump is hinting in that direction with his unfounded assertion that the US is losing the nuclear arms race.  If the US sponsors a breakout, the Democrats will be “me too” because of their investment in demonizing Putin.

And then, we will once again be concerned about both the US and Russian command-and-control communications systems (and likely those of China, India, Pakistan, UK, France, North Korea and Israel as well).  And about other breakout nations restarting their own programs.

There was a lot of thought put into arms control technical aspects over the past 70 years, but most was confined to the days of analog communication, not the digital switching of the internet and not with the cyberwarfare and analog communications warfare capabilities now available beyond the arsenals of the superpowers (now the more co-equal great powers).

The US is still the most expensive military in the world, is still formidable, but Americans and US politicians should be more aware of its limits and the many boondoggles that all that national debt has paid for.

Banging the patriotic drum for domestic political advantage can lead us in the direction of not a second Cold War but a nuclear-armed World War I.

War has become normal in the last 15 years in a way that Vietnam never did.  There is now the illusion that we can go on with $600 billion, $800 billion in military expenditures a year without raising taxes and without ever paying the piper.  And as austerity continues to sap our economy, continue poor wage performance, and make people ever more testy, the impetus and hatred to strike out and end it quickly will increase as it did during the recession at the end of the 1950s.  And Trump’s America will go spoiling for a fight.  Given the box the demonization of Putin is painting Democrats into, they might cheer aggression of taunt Trump as not being tough enough on the Russkies.  Without a diplomatic channel that can winnow out noise and chance events and stuff that is not actually policy or respond to disruptions like the assassination of the Archduke, events can richochet off each other into a crisis.  Will cooler heads prevail?

If the raps on Putin and Trump are correct, this will be highly unlikely.

Resistance must look carefully at how relations outside the US proceed.  So must some unified front of Democrats and any sane Republicans left.

US Gov. and Democratization of Eastern Europe and Russia

Keith Gessen is a founding editor of n+1 and a contributor to The New Yorker and the London Review of Books. He teaches at the Columbia University Journalism School

KEITH GESSEN
Introduction

The following symposium does not pretend to be definitive about a difficult and in many ways tragic situation. But it does hope to shed light on some aspects of post-Maidan Ukraine that are less often discussed in the West.

Anastasiya Osipova reflects on the emotional pressure of life in Kyiv;
Tony Wood asks where neoliberal reforms are going to take Ukraine;
Sophie Pinkham describes the logic of decommunization;
Keith Gessen looks at Western media depictions of the Russia-Ukraine conflict over the past two years; and
Nina Potarskaya recalls the trials and tribulations of the Ukrainian left since the protests began on Maidan in November 2013.

‘Decommunization’ in Ukraine Carried Out Using Communist Methods | Kharkiv Human Rights Protection Group |

Under Western Eyes.
How meta-narrative shapes our perception of Russia – and why it is time for a qualitative shift
By Paul Sanders

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The Great European War, from: A Humorous Atlas of the World (Japan 1914)

Above is my bit of research, before linking to Keith Gessen’s article in The Guardian about Putinology …

Killer, kleptocrat, genius, spy: the many myths of Vladimir Putin

h/t The “Stupid”

BUREAU OF DEMOCRACY, HUMAN RIGHTS, AND LABOR (1)
2012 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices :: RUSSIA
Report Date: April 19, 2013

The Russian Federation has a highly centralized political system, with power increasingly concentrated in the president, and a weak multiparty political system. The bicameral Federal Assembly consists of a lower house (State Duma) and upper house (Federation Council). Presidential elections in March featured accusations of government interference and manipulation of the electoral process. Security forces generally reported to civilian authorities; however, in some areas of the Northern Caucasus, there were serious problems with civilian control.

The most significant human rights problems during the year involved:

1. Restrictions of Civil Liberties: Following increased mobilization of civil society and mass demonstrations in reaction to elections, the government introduced a series of measures limiting political pluralism. During the year Russia adopted laws that impose harsh fines for unsanctioned meetings; identify nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) as “foreign agents” if they engage in “political activity” while receiving foreign funding; suspend NGOs that have U.S. citizen members or receive U.S. support and are engaged in “political activity” or “pose a threat to Russian interests”; recriminalize libel; allow authorities to block Web sites without a court order; and significantly expand the definition of treason. Media outlets were pressured to alter their coverage or to fire reporters and editors critical of the government.

2. Violations of Electoral Processes: Domestic and international observers described the presidential campaign as skewed in favor of the ruling party’s candidate, Vladimir Putin. Procedural irregularities marred voting, with reports of vote fraud, administrative measures disadvantaging the opposition, and pressure on election monitoring groups. Several gubernatorial elections in October were likewise criticized.

3. Administration of Justice: Due process was denied during the detentions and trials of protesters arrested following the May 6 demonstration in Moscow in which a small group of the protestors engaged in violence; in the detention, trial, and sentencing of the members of the punk rock group Pussy Riot, who were charged with hooliganism motivated by religious hatred; and searches and criminal cases lodged against several political activists. Individuals responsible for the deaths of prominent journalists, activists, and whistleblowers, notably Sergey Magnitskiy, have yet to be brought to be brought to justice.

Other problems reported during the year included: allegations of torture and excessive force by law enforcement officials; life-threatening prison conditions; interference in the judiciary and the right to a fair trial; abridgement of the right to privacy; restrictions on minority religions; widespread corruption; societal and official intimidation of civil society and labor activists; limitations on the rights of workers; trafficking in persons; attacks on migrants and select religious and ethnic minorities; and discrimination against and limitation of the rights of lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) persons.


POLITICAL PRISONERS AND DETAINEES

Authorities selectively detained and prosecuted members of the political opposition (see section 2.b.).

Aleksey Navalny, an anticorruption whistleblower and member of the opposition Coordination Council, had three criminal cases against him opened during the course of the year. He was charged in July with conspiring to steal timber in 2009 from a state owned entity, charges that had been dropped but resurrected following Navalny’s public criticism of Investigative Committee chief Aleksandr Bastrykin. In December Navalny was charged with fraud and laundering 55 million rubles ($1.81 million) in a case involving a shipping company he owned in 2008. Also in December investigators accused him of stealing funds from a political party, the Union of Right Forces, in 2007.

Taisia Osipova, an activist with the opposition Other Russia Party and the wife of Sergey Fomchenkov, a member of Other Russia’s Executive Committee, remained in prison for alleged drug sales. Her lawyers maintained that she was arrested and tried due to her husband’s political activities.

On March 15, a Moscow district court sentenced businessman Aleksey Kozlov to five years in prison on charges of stealing company shares in 2006 from his former business partner Vladimir Slutskiy. Kozlov, husband of prominent activist Olga Romanova, was convicted of the same crime in 2008 and served two years in prison. In 2011 Kozlov won his case on appeal. In September 2011 the Supreme Court released Kozlov on his own custody and referred the verdict to the Presnenskiy District Court for review. The Presnenskiy court found the defendant guilty. During the year both an appeal and a request for parole were denied. He maintained his innocence, and human rights defenders believed the charges were politically motivated.

    (1) The Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights and Labor Affairs (DRL) is a bureau within the United States Department of State. The bureau is under the purview of the Under Secretary of State for Civilian Security, Democracy, and Human Rights.

    DRL’s responsibilities include promoting democracy around the world, formulating U.S. human rights policies, and coordinating policy in human rights-related labor issues. The Office to Monitor and Combat Anti-Semitism is a separate agency included in the Bureau.

    The Bureau is responsible for producing annual reports on the countries of the world with regard to religious freedom through its Office of International Religious Freedom[2] and human rights.[3] It also administers the U.S. Human Rights and Democracy Fund. The head of the Bureau is the Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor.

    The bureau was formerly known as the Bureau of Human Rights and Humanitarian Affairs, but was reorganized and renamed in 1994, to reflect both a broader sweep and a more focused approach to the interlocking issues of human rights, worker rights, and democracy. [4]

USAID: DEMOCRACY, HUMAN RIGHTS AND GOVERNANCE

As the Arab Spring powerfully reminded the world in 2011, democratic governance and human rights are critical components of sustainable development and lasting peace. Countries that have ineffective government institutions, rampant corruption and weak rule of law have a 30-to-45 percent higher risk of civil war and higher risk of extreme criminal violence than other developing countries.

In fact, no poor fragile or conflict-ridden state has yet to achieve a single U.N. Millennium Development Goal.

To help change this narrative, we are integrating democracy programming throughout our core development work, focusing on strengthening and promoting human rights, accountable and transparent governance, and an independent and politically active civil society across all our work. At the same time, we remain committed to fundamental democratic empowerment activities, including supporting free and fair elections, up-to-date technology for new and traditional media, as well as the rule of law.

By helping societies protect the basic rights of citizens, we prevent conflict, spur economic growth and advance human dignity.

Countries with democratic freedoms are more just, peaceful and stable-and their citizens can fulfill their potential. Through its democracy, human rights and governance programs, the United States remains committed to protecting and advancing our most cherished values.

    We are focused on:

  •    Supporting more legitimate, inclusive and effective governments, so that they are responsive to the needs of their people;
  •    Helping countries transition to democracy and strengthen democratic institutions, capitalizing on critical moments to expand freedom and opportunity; and
  •    Promoting inclusive development, so that women, minorities and vulnerable populations benefit from growth, opportunity and the expansion of rights.

To advance these goals, we launched the new Center of Excellence on Democracy, Human Rights and Governance in 2012. Designed to become a global resource for evidence-based research, the Center will closely measure and evaluate what works best in democracy, human rights and governance and share best practices with the international development community.

From same DRL Report on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) … compare the basic content with Russia and US Policy of the State Department to both countries!!

What A Horrible Piece to Write   by Oui @BooMan on March 1, 2014

Trump, Like Anita Hill, Inspires Women to Run

Apparently, the combination of Hillary Clinton’s unexpected loss and the genital grabber-in-chief’s surprising win has motivated more women to explore running for office than at any time since 1992. Of course, 1992 was dubbed the Year of the Woman because Diane Feinstein and Barbara Boxer of California, Carol Moseley Braun of Illinois, and Patty Murray of Washington were all elected to the U.S. Senate. Prior to that election, the only two women in the Senate were Democrat Barbara Mikulski of Maryland and Republican Nancy Kassebaum of Kansas.

This doesn’t seem like much to talk about in retrospect, but it was a big deal at the time, and the narrative revolved around an alleged backlash against the Clarence Thomas/Anita Hill hearings that had taken place the year before. At least in Patty Murray’s case, the hearings may have provided her impetus to run.

According to Jean Sinzdak, of the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University, there was a more general uptick of women who ran for office in 1992, and this is the first time since then that she’s seen a comparable level of interest.

Sinzdak oversees the university’s nonpartisan New Jersey training program, Ready to Run, which also has affiliates nationwide. Ready to Run is experiencing its own Trump bump with more than 50 women signing up immediately after Election Day. This year’s program is already at capacity, which Sinzdak, who has been running the program for 12 years, says typically doesn’t happen until March. The program has been expanded to accommodate up to 50 extra people.

Both [Andrea Dew] Steele [the president and founder of Emerge America] and Sinzdak say the interest they’re seeing from women who want to run for office reminds them of what they saw in the early 1990s following the Anita Hill hearings. Hill had accused then-Supreme Court nominee, now Justice, Clarence Thomas of sexual harassment.

After those hearings, Sinzdak said, “We did have an increase in the numbers of women running for office and we saw a big jump in the number of women who ran for and won election to Congress.”

Today, there are 21 women in the Senate, including four freshmen (all Democrats) who were elected last November. That’s quite a departure from the two women who served in the Senate at the time of Clarence Thomas’s confirmation hearings.

If Trump provides a similar bump, we could see rough gender parity in the Senate a quarter century from now.

Of course, it’s the lower offices that feed the federal and statewide ones, so the mechanism of eventual gender parity in the Senate will be driven by the women who are joining training programs today to prepare them for new political careers.

I’ve been a little pessimistic lately, so I hope this prospect cheers you up.

Tonight’s Vigil: Pray For Sweden

Unrest in Stockholm evidence of refugee problem, say Trump supporters | The Independent |

A thousand to mock Trump with Copenhagen ‘Pray for Sweden’ vigil

A march will be held in Copenhagen (Denmark) in solidarity with those affected by the “last night in Sweden” incident mentioned on Saturday by US President Donald Trump.

“After the terrible attack on Sweden, to which attention was correctly drawn by President Trump, the Nordic countries now stand together,” the organiser of the ‘Pray for Sweden’ event wrote on Facebook.

“We invite all citizens to walk past the Swedish Embassy on Friday 17.00, in honour of our Swedish brothers and sisters.”

The event, which nearly 3,000 people have expressed interest in and which which has been viewed by more than 250,000 people, has been cleared with the Copenhagen Police.

“Please remember to bring fake flowers,” Artpusher, the Danish prankster behind the event, told The Local. “The idea is that we quietly go there and quietly put down our fake flowers, but the most important thing is the posts we make afterwards about it on social media, so it’s a fake event.”

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Mourners aim to lay flowers outside the Swedish embassy in Copenhagen (not pictured). (Photo: David Clay)

Artist plans mock ‘Pray for Sweden’ event at embassy | BBC News |

“Following the terrible attack on our sister country Sweden reported by US President Trump, the Nordic countries now stand united,” the Pray For Sweden Facebook page reads, adding that the “love-filled” event has been approved by the Danish police.

Artpusher tells The Local that the vigil is not an anti-Trump protest. “This is about being able to make your own mind up and make a decision based on facts. This is bigger than Trump,” he says. “I don’t have money or power, but I can try and use humour and irony to make people aware of things.”

Copenhagen to remove 2,500 posters of a fictitious Love Party across the Danish capital (June – 2015)  

The city of Copenhagen is removing 2,500 illegally-hung posters of a fictitious political party called The Love Party that have been posted across the capital over the last two days.

The man behind the posters, which show topless women and promote love and freedom of speech, sexuality, colour and religion, is Søren Vilhelm (aka Artpusher), a member of the Alternativet party running in this year’s general election.

Spreading values like common sense and compassion

The mission of The Love Party is, among other things, to get values like common sense, love and compassion back into the political arena, which according to Søren Vilhelm has been supplanted by self-sufficiency, self-interest and profit optimisation.

“It’s a way to spread some alternative ideas,” explained the artist on his Facebook page.

Vilhem spent 100,000 kroner from his own pocket paying for the posters and having them distributed across the capital. His attempt to ‘beautify’ Copenhagen has not pleased the councillors who have decided to remove the posters immediatelly. And it is not going to be cheap.

According to Jyllands-Posten, the removal of one poster may cost up to 40 kroner, so with 2,500 posters hanging around the city, that’s 100,000 kroner. It is illegal to hang posters that are not of the established political parties during the election campaign.

The Southification of the North? Thats NEWS!!!???

In his recent post Dems Not Playing Identity Politics on DNC Chair, Booman wrote:

Both before and during the campaign I warned that the Republicans would try to get whites to vote as a racial group. I called this strategy various things at different times, finally settling on the Southificaction of the North.

I commented. It grew. Now a standalone post.

Read on.
“The Southificaction of the North.” Not news. I saw it in the mid ’60s.

In all-white working class suburban neighborhoods all around the NYC-plex.

In all-white Maine, New Hampshire and Massachusetts areas. Most of rural Connecticut, too. And large parts of Vermont.

In the working class areas surrounding Ithaca, NY.

In “southern” towns like York, PA.

And then later…’70s, ’80s. ’90s…all up and down the north-of-DC coast.

All throughout Indiana, Ohio and West Virginia.

North and South Dakota. Kansas.

Minnesota, Iowa. Missouri.

It’s everywhere!!!

There is an irregular line that now separates “The North” from “The South” in a socio-political sense.

A new, more modern Mason-Dixon line.

It looks something like this, only with more small angles.

I call it “The Manson-Nixon” line.

Everything south of that line is majority “southern.”

Everything north of it is majority “northern”…again, in a socio-political sense.

There are isolated circles of a more “northern” sensibility, but mostly…what you see is what you get.

The only thing new in all of this is that the RatPubs managed to get a larger percentage of areas that are sociopolitically “theirs” to vote for them than has happened in many years.

I’m telling you…if the Civil War were to be fought right now, the north would lose and it would lose badly.

Tiime to wake up, Dem folks.

If you do not absolutely revolutionize the party…and soon…so that it reaches many, many more voters south of the Manson-Nixon line…of all races…the RatPub coup de grace is headed your way in about two years. Getting rid of Trump won’t stop it; only a reasoned appeal to the economic realities that are facing the people in the red states will do the trick. Trump will just be replaced by someone…smoother…if he is impeached. Same messages, better tone of voice.

Another centrist DNC won’t do it, either. People north and south of that line will take one look at these two ugly, superannuated faces and head for either the hills or their local Republican ballot box.

It doesn’t exactly take a rocket scientist to know that their bread it buttered on the other side of the fence.

On the other side of everybody’s fence except their own.

Pelosi comes from a racist, mobbed-up Baltimore political dynasty and Schumer is the Senator from the great states of AIPAC and Wall Street.

Great.

Just what Joe Cowboy, Jane Farmer and Mr. and Mrs. Worker want to hear.

It’s do or die time, folks.

Be as bold as Trump…only honest…and you can still win.

Don’t?

Play it safe?

We all in deep shit.

Bet on it.

Watch.

AG

Long serving EU Prime Minister to resign

Enda Kenny, one of the EU’s longest serving Prime Ministers, is set to resign in the aftermath of his St. Patrick’s day visit to the US and the UK’s formal declaration of Brexit under Article 50 next month. Opposition to his leadership of Fine Gael, the largest party and incumbent Government, has been growing since their disastrous campaign and results in the General Election last year. He is perhaps best known for his forthright condemnation of the Vatican in the aftermath of the child sexual abuse scandals which have come to light in recent years: Wiki

On 20 July [2011], Kenny condemned the Vatican[ for its role in the scandal, stating that the Church’s role in obstructing the investigation was a serious infringement upon the sovereignty of Ireland and that the scandal revealed “the dysfunction, disconnection and elitism that dominates the culture of the Vatican to this day”. He added that “the historic relationship between church and state in Ireland could not be the same again”.

This leadership move comes despite the fact that the Irish economy has largely recovered from the catastrophic collapse suffered in the wake of the financial crisis and banking debacle presided over by the previous Fianna Fail led regime.  Not many leaders in European politics would be in terminal decline with an economy having recovered from 15% to 7% unemployment, with emigration reversed, public sector deficits largely eliminated, and with incomes gradually on the rise again.

But Kenny is the author and victim of the inequality of that recovery, which has benefited mainly the older, wealthier, and more Dublin based sections of the population to the exclusion of the younger, more disadvantaged and rural demographics. Last years’ Fine Gael election slogan “Keep the Recovery Going”, devised by UK Tory political strategists, touched a raw nerve: Many people hadn’t felt much of a recovery in their personal lives at all, and resented the crowing of the political establishment that all was now well.

The result was that Fine Gael obtained only 25% of the national vote and was forced to form the smallest minority Government in the history of the Irish State with a handful of independents and the abstention of Fianna Fail, their largest rivals, who refused to enter into coalition with them. Now Fianna Fail are riding high in the polls again, proving that the political memory of the electorate is very short term indeed, and making Fine Gael Ministers and back-benchers extremely nervous. Kenny, at 66, has become a political liability, and must now pay the ultimate political price.

However his political decline is largely about personalities and branding, not about policies and ideology. His rivals within Fine Gael share his largely conservative economic views and mildly reformist social policies. There is a general recognition that Brexit and Trump represent twin crises for the Irish economy and low corporate tax economic policy model, but no determination to move towards any other model. Yes, a new industrial policy has been promised together with a more ambitious public investment plan, but there is no way that Fine Gael, under any possible new leader, will depart radically form the economic model which has enabled Ireland to become one of the more prosperous members of the European Union.

The two main leadership contenders post Kenny are Simon Coveney and Leo Varadker. Coveney’s father was also a Fine Gael Minister and he has the support of much of the party establishment. As a former Minister for Agriculture and based in Cork, he also has the support of much of the party’s rural base as well. As the Current Minister for Housing and Local Government he has just announced a major plan to tackle the huge public and private housing deficit in the country.

Leo Varadker is a somewhat more unusual figure for Irish politics. He has an Indian father, was educated in a protestant School, and is a qualified doctor. He came out as gay some years ago and, if anything, has gained in national profile since. He has managed to cultivate a media friendly image as being somewhat outspoken and not in the usual mould of the “whatever you say, say nothing” Irish politician. His appeal would go some way beyond the confines of the Fine Gael faithful, but it is they he must convince in order to win the leadership.

The election is expected to be triggered shortly after Kenny arrives back from Washington for the traditional Patrick’s day visit to the White House. For the first time in Irish politics, the electoral college will be made up of not just the Parliamentary Party (including MEPs), but of local Councillors (10%) and party members (25%) as well. This ensures that the election won’t be decided just in the proverbial “smoked filled back-rooms” of the party and that candidates will have to make their case at hustings throughout the country.

In theory this should force candidates to elaborate their policies on dealing with Trump and Brexit, on broadening the base of the Irish economy beyond US sourced FDI, and how they propose to represent Ireland’s interests in the EU when their major ally there departs. Northern Ireland should also become a key factor in the debate, with candidates expected to elaborate on how they propose to prevent a re-emergence of a hard border when the UK leaves the EU, Single Market and Custom’s Union. As yet, I see no sign that any are prepared to embrace my proposed solution that Ireland should campaign for N. Ireland to remain within the EU.

Other possible contenders for the leadership include Tánaiste (Deputy Prime Minster) Frances Fitzgerald, Minister for Justice and Equality, and Minister for Health Simon Harris, who is just 30 years of age but seen as a rising star within the party. His candidature would emphasise the generational shift implicit in this election, as most of the older and more experienced Ministers like Michael Noonan (Finance), Charlie Flanagan (Foreign Affairs) and Richard Bruton (Education), won’t be standing. All candidates are likely to support a referendum on the abolition of the Eighth Amendment of the Constitution, which prohibits abortion, as it will be a key test of their liberal credentials.

In one respect, the timing of Kenny’s departure is unfortunate. As one of the EU’s longest standing prime ministers, he has built up good relationships and some respect with his peers on the European Council. As Ireland is most dramatically impacted by Brexit, we need to have a strong input into the Brexit negotiations. Our cause will not be helped by having a relative neophyte in the role.

However it has long been my view that the Brexit negotiations will ultimately be driven by German and French interests, and they are unlikely to take much account of Irish concerns regardless of who occupies the Taoiseach’s role. Having a younger and more energetic Prime Minister may be an advantage in the long slog that the Brexit and any subsequent trade negotiations are likely to engender. Ireland needs a fresh start, but the jury is out as to whether any Fine Gael Leader can provide it.

Dems Not Playing Identity Politics on DNC Chair

I’m somewhere between undecided and indifferent about who the Democrats elect to lead the Democratic National Committee, but Chuck Todd is at least willing to touch the third rail few people want to discuss.

As DNC members travel to Atlanta to choose the party’s next chair on Saturday, there’s an elephant in the room that no one is talking about it — but that everyone is thinking about: Keith Ellison’s Muslim faith.

Don’t get us wrong, this isn’t an issue among the 447 DNC members. As we’ve written, many/most voting members would be happy with either Ellison or Tom Perez. But some outside the party seem to be goading Democrats to pick Ellison, as David Duke did earlier this month. Even President Trump weighed in on Ellison yesterday, tweeting: “One thing I will say about Rep. Keith Ellison, in his fight to lead the DNC, is that he was the one who predicted early that I would win!”

There is a certain sense in which November’s election results can be seen as an example of the Republicans winning the identity politics game. Democrats relentlessly tried to highlight the racism that is prevalent in our society, in our courts, in our police departments, in our access to the ballot, and in Donald Trump’s campaign, and the result was that rural America voted for Trump in such unexpectedly high percentages that he won states like Michigan and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that no one thought he could win.

Both before and during the campaign I warned that the Republicans would try to get whites to vote as a racial group. I called this strategy various things at different times, finally settling on the Southificaction of the North. I did not think the strategy could work on the Electoral College level, but I saw it as devastating even so. I saw it as devastating because I consider it a moral catastrophe for one of our major political parties to deliberately try to get whites to vote along lines of racial solidarity, and I saw that it would increase racial tensions and solidify the right’s advantages in state legislatures all across the country.

All of that happened, and the presidency was lost, too.

If this were the only thing I was looking at, the idea of electing a DNC chair who is black, Muslim and from an urban community would seem like some kind of oblivious death wish. It’s like, “What part of the ass-kicking you just took did you not understand?”

And that’s definitely how David Duke and Donald Trump see things. They know that Ellison will be a gift that never stops giving them fodder for their ethnoreligious, anti-urban scaremongering and bigotry.

It’s ironic, though, that the roles have been reversed here. The Republicans are always accusing the Democrats of engaging in identity politics. It’s the Democratic candidates who feel obliged to tick off every vulnerable group (blacks, Latinos, Asians, gays, etc.) in every campaign speech. Yet, I don’t think there are any Democrats who think Ellison’s biography is a political asset for them. They’re practicing what they preach and looking beyond race and religion. They’re judging Ellison by the content of his character and by the proposals he’s offering.

The main alternative to Ellison is Tom Perez, a Latino whose parents immigrated from the Dominican Republic. Given that Trump is formulating plans to aggressively deport Latinos from our country, and that this promise was a key driver or his white rural appeal, it’s pretty obvious that the Democrats are dismissing any strategy that would involve trying to use the identity of the next DNC chairman as an asset. They’re so far from engaging in that game that they’re not even trying to play defense.

Some people think this is insane, but it’s only insane if you think it’s more important how the rural voters we need to win back perceive the DNC chairman’s race and religion than it is that the DNC chairman actually have a good plan for the party and that they do a good job.

The Republicans think this way quite often, which is why they believe that they’ll get a lot of women to vote for them if they put Sarah Palin on the ticket or a lot of blacks to vote for them if Michael Steele is the RNC chairman. It doesn’t usually work out for them.

It’s often forgotten that the majority of the rural voters the Democrats need to win back are people who voted for Barack Hussein Obama at least once. They gave him a chance despite his race, his name, and his urban background. All things being equal, it would have been easier to win without a guy with ‘Hussein’ in his name, but all things weren’t equal. The same is true for either Ellison or Perez as DNC chair.

If the Democrats wanted to use identity rather than talent or substance to choose the DNC chairman, they’d find a white Protestant man from a rural community and hope that the lost voters would come home based on that alone. But that’s the kind of move the Republican would make (and have made).

Personally, I think Perez and Ellison would both make fine chairmen, which is why I don’t really have anything invested in the outcome of Saturday’s vote. Some Democrats I know feel like the future of the world depends on the outcome, but I just can’t fathom why they feel that way. They are two good men, and the Democrats are lucky to have such a fine choice to make. I don’t think they can make a bad decision here.

Whoever wins, though, they’re going to need to get those rural Obama voters back or the party will be in a permanent minority status in the House, in a big majority of our state legislatures, and most of the time in the Senate.