He’s barely been office for 100 days and I’m already tired of critiquing Donald Trump’s hypocrisy, but I am quite sure that when he said he knew more than the generals he wasn’t sending the message (or the message that was received wasn’t) that he was going to delegate all decision making to the Pentagon. Yet, if he signs off on the newest plan for Afghanistan, that is exactly what he will be doing.
The plan envisions an increase of at least 3,000 U.S. troops to an existing force of about 8,400. The U.S. force would also be bolstered by requests for matching troops from NATO nations.
But, in keeping with the Trump administration’s desire to empower military decision-making, the Pentagon would have final say on troop levels and how those forces are employed on the battlefield.
The Pentagon would not only have “the final say” on troop levels, they would also have “far broader authority to use airstrikes to target Taliban militants” and restored authority to move U.S. military advisers around on the battlefield in ways that were restricted under Obama’s rules of engagement.
I could get into more detail, for example, about the irony of this plan requesting matching troops from the obsolete NATO or of Trump expanding our commitment to Afghanistan after seeming to promise fewer wars (at least to Susan Sarandon) than Hillary Clinton would wage.
But Trump hasn’t signed off on this plan yet. It looks like it’s coming in response to his desire for a plan to show that we’re “winning” again. It shouldn’t be a surprise that the military would have a military solution for that request, and if you want to knock the Taliban back on their heels for a spell, you do need more troops to do it.
Unsurprisingly, there is pushback from elements in the White House who took seriously Trump’s promise of fewer foreign military adventures. It’s probably no coincidence that Eli Lake has a piece up at Bloomberg that says that the president is unhappy with his National Security Adviser General H.R. McMaster. It fits with this bit from the Washington Post article on the Afghan surge:
Even as it moves to the president’s desk, the proposal faces resistance from some senior administration officials who fear a repeat of earlier decisions to intensify military efforts that produced only temporary improvements.
Inside the White House, those opposed to the plan have begun to refer derisively to the strategy as “McMaster’s War,” a reference to H.R. McMaster, the president’s national security adviser. The general, who once led anti-corruption efforts in Afghanistan and was one of the architects of President George W. Bush’s troop surge in Iraq, is the driving force behind the new strategy at the White House.
The truth is, no one wants to be responsible if the Taliban take over Afghanistan again or it becomes a hive of international terrorist planning where Americans are denied access to bases. That won’t look like “winning” to Donald Trump or even most of his fans who oppose further efforts to stand up the government in Kabul.
If we want to avoid that future, we can keep pushing the day off with a plan that won’t allow us to ever stop pushing. Or we can look for some more creative thinking. The Pentagon has some smart folks, so it’s not that they couldn’t be part of the solution. But if you give them stupid tasks, what you’ll get are stupid plans.
Trump’s impulses are irreconcilable. He wants to “win” but he doesn’t have any solutions other than more of what hasn’t been working. Even in his jumbled mind, he could see and critique what wasn’t working in Afghanistan, and also in Iraq and Syria. What he couldn’t grasp is that these areas are hard to manage because they’re incredibly complex and defy simple solutions. Leaving them alone has a lot of appeal but also terrible consequences. Getting bogged down in them militarily is no less problematic. As a candidate, he bounced between these two polls like a manic off his medication. Now that he’s in power, he’s trying to do a little of both, which is probably a worse idea than committing to one or the other.
One thing I know is that no other president in my lifetime would countenance a plan that would give away their core duties as commander in chief. The Pentagon suggests troop levels, usually somewhere in the neighborhood of twice what they think they really need. It’s up to the president to fix the level. If the Pentagon has been authorized to use lethal force, the president is still responsible if something goes wrong. He can’t just give the Pentagon carte blanche to bomb anyone with any weapon for any reason and think that his responsibility ends there.
This policy, if adopted, would basically be Trump saying that only the generals know enough to make these decisions, and while that may be true in this case it is still the opposite of what he boasted of on the campaign.
It would be another broken promise.
Lazy, stupid voters = Lazy, stupid President = Lazy, stupid policies.
It’s really quite simple.
Trump knows how to grift, how to lie, and how to cheat on his wife. Not much else.
I doubt he could find the United States on a map of The United States.
“I thought trump knew better than the generals.”
Yes.
So did Trump.
He was wrong.
What they understand and know how to use is the almost unthinkable depth and mass of the Deep State. Trump is learning this now. The hard way. He doesn’t learn easily. He is…as has been every president since JFK…a captive of that Deep State. Some were willing and cooperative captives, others openly rebellious, and a few initially tried to resist that power, failed and ultimately capitulated.
It’s the old starfish/clam battle. The starfish patiently continues to exert force…from every possible direction…until it wins.
Like dat.
AG
P.S. Cut off a starfish’s leg?
It simply grows another one.
Like dat, too.
Hey, everyone, look who’s back! Great. I knew there was some condescending, childish obviousness missing from my life.
Bullshit!!!
Here is what is really going on. I’m not the only one who sees it, and what I am saying is far from simplistic. It is not even mentioned in the mass media, but it’s what is really happening with all of this (WAPO/NYT-led) media anti-Trump rigamarole.
I hadn’t seen this article before I wrote the above, but it is right-down-the-middle correct.
AG
P.S. It is your elitist snark that is condescending, childish and obvious. Yours and the other pot-shotters on this site. Had HRC won the centrist media would not have needed to oppose her because she would have been taking almost exactly the same kind of blood for oil, blood for power things that trump is now…somewhat reluctantly…taking.
And you and the rest of the DimWit/DerRat pack would be cheering her on.
Go support Schumer/Pelosi. You’ll get exactly what you asked for.
War.
Just like now.
Only now it’s a Red state war.
You want a Blue state war.
The victims will be the same no matter what.
First them and then us.
I stand by each and every comment I’ve made on this site, en masse. I think I’ve got a pretty good track record here if I say so myself.
But, as you’ve admitted more than once, you don’t even bother to keep the rest of us straight, so you have no idea who I am or what I believe or stand for.
You wrote:
What more could I possibly need to know?
Just another snarky puppy.
Join the litter.
AG
So far what has been obvious about Trump’s most grandiose schemes is that he is too lazy to follow them up.
The big exception so far are any moves that reduce the size of the future Democratic base, even deporting folks who are already US citizens.
What pushback does, from the generals, from the courts, from the streets, from Congress is make him less intent on his agenda.
At some point, every President just tries to hold on to the tiger and make it through four years, and possibly eight.
It’s too early to observe whether Trump is going to follow that pattern, and the White House is too divided to scope out what that looks like. Who last has Trump’s ear before an announcement generally.
What the first 100+ days have demonstrated is that Trump is simply not capable of strategic thinking. What he has demonstrated is a penchant for waving his magic wands over his lessers and tasking them to make it happen.
And now, enter the Pentagon. They will be today’s lessers.
To your point about the role of the Commander in Chief, it wouldn’t surprise me if Trump simply can’t breathe in a room full of such complexities, and he knows it. Surely after all these years of existing as a blowhard he’s also learned how to drape the Emperor’s clothes so we don’t see any bare skin.
A great many Trump sins can be overlooked or at least understood, but the one trend that continues to infuriate is his “expertise” shell game.
Every time he wrings his hands about how “complicated” something is or how “no-one knew” what the issues were, or his supporters forgive him by saying he’s “not up to speed yet” (we must “give him a chance” since he’s an outsider, etc.) I just get angrier and angrier, because, Hey, asshole, wasn’t that your whole selling point? The element that was going to propel him to success after success: the lack of entrenched knowledge; the fact that he didn’t have “bad experience” like Hillary; the way he, a business titan, could defly re-arrange the game board, avoiding the “disasters” everyone else was making?
It’s not so much that we all saw this coming — that surprise, these are complex problems that the best minds have attacked for decades, generations; you can’t just “figure out” what to do — but that he’s so guileless and unrepentant about it; as Josh Marshall points out, he doesn’t even realize that he’s doing this; he genuinely thinks these are honest mistakes. It’s profoundly contemptible.
Obvious eerie similarities to the VN situation circa early 1964, as contemplated by LBJ and author David Halberstam in his book from that period Into the Quagmire*. Only about a thousand times more complex. I don’t see a way to success unless all the bordering countries and regional powers (i.e. Russia) can work together militarily to rid the country of Taliban influence and then seal off the borders properly. High degree of difficulty there.
As for Syria, we need to stay the hell out, unless we agree to work in partnership w/Russia towards the sole goal of ridding the country of terrorist Islamist forces. Trump recently has been teetering back towards more cooperation, but there is still tomorrow and a chance to go back to the old destructive ways of W and Obama that actually encouraged continued civil war/Islamic terrorist activity.
* This was DH’s first book, following his NYT stint of 62-3 in VN. He ultimately concluded in that book that the pros of further intervention militarily outweighed the cons, reflecting his reporting attitude of a year earlier, which greatly annoyed JFK. All this early hawkishness got overlooked and forgotten when he came out with his more skeptical book from the early 70s, The Best and the Brightest, at which point in the public mind he became a wise dove.
Oh, the donald is in it now. His attempt to bully NK….well they just keep on trying to launch what ever and have detained at least 4 Americans. Afghanistan seems like an easy place to get himself a win. Just bomb some Taliban and call them ISIS. Only problem is the NATO folks may not go along with starting up the war again. Right now the donald is weak and NATO may see this as an opportunity to get out.