The Weather Channel tells off Trump for leaving climate agreement

I had other plans for today, but Trump announcing that the U.S. was leaving the Paris Climate Accord took precedence.

The news caused all kinds of reaction, some of which I’ll post tomorrow, but the one I found most worthy of immediate attention came from The Weather Channel.  TMZ summarized it in one paragraph and posted the screen capture image above.

The Weather Channel devoted nearly all of its website’s home page Thursday to a not-so-subtle shot. This is what it looked like moments after the Prez ended his announcement at the White House — and ALL its top stories are dedicated to making Trump’s decision look like total foolery.

It didn’t even wait until Trump announced.  It prepared a video on the rumors and posted it as U.S. Quits Paris Agreement: What Happens Now?

The results could be disastrous.

After Trump spoke, it followed up with To President Trump: Regardless of Politics, Science Screams The Truth.

Weather Channel meteorologist Kait Parker addresses the decision to leave the Paris Climate Agreement.

As TMZ wrote, “There’s nothing lukewarm about this reaction.”

An extended version was originally posted at Crazy Eddie’s Motie News.

Russia Recognized [West] Jerusalem As Israel’s Capital

U.S. leader Donald Trump signed the yearly waiver he promised he wouldn’t sign but move the Embasssy from Tel Aviv to the undivided city of Jerusalem. Of course, when dealing with Saudis in a commercial deal of 380bn, someyhing’s got to give.

If Russia recognizes Jerusalem, why can’t other countries do so? | YnetNews – Opinion |

On April 6, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Moscow issued a statement which should have led to extensive Israeli diplomatic efforts all over the world. The sensational part of the announcement is that Russia is the first country in the world to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital in an official statement, signed by the president.

Granted, it’s only a recognition of the western part of the city, alongside a statement that the eastern part of the city will be the capital of the Palestinian state when that state is established, but still, the statement as is stands as a significant development, and also a surprising one, in light of the identity of the country making the statement (Russia) and a rare diplomatic opportunity to receive similar recognition from many other countries. In a normal country, the Israeli Foreign Ministry would have turned this statement into a major PR campaign.

How was the statement born? Yaakov Kedmi (Yasha Kazakov), the first aliyah activist who had no family in Israel and received a permit to immigrate from the USSR after a stubborn battle, served in the army (in Ehud Barak’s tank in the October 1973 war) and joined the Nativ Secret Liaison Bureau –the Israeli intelligence agency which worked for the Jews of the Soviet bloc–before becoming its chief.

Kedmi was later accused by the Russian intelligence of operating agents in Moscow. He was declared persona non-grata until December 2015, when the Russian ambassador to Israel called him and informed him that the ban had been lifted. Since then, he has been a welcome guest in Moscow, and a series of conversations I held with him in recent months left me with the impression that he has a lot of appreciation for President Vladimir Putin and for the change he has led in Russia. Today, Kedmi is a regular commentator on Russian television and has an influence in the government corridors. He used his ties in the Russian foreign ministry to lead the Jerusalem recognition move.

Top Israeli Expert Yakov Kedmi: The US Intelligence Agencies Lie (Jan. 2017)

Moscow Statement Endorses West Jerusalem As Israeli Capital | RFERL |
Russia recognizes Jerusalem as Israel’s capital | The Hill |

My diary …

Moscow Cathedral Mosque to Re-open a 20-fold In Size

George Will Comes to Grips With Conservatism

Conservatism was always about raising an army of vulgarians to serve the interests of a new conservative elite in which folks like Buckley would “play the harpsichord.” That’s it. That’s all of it.

George Will’s latest column is kind of amazing in its own deranged way. He’s obviously appalled at what has become of conservatism, but he’s as deluded about its past as he his about its prospects in the future. He begins with this:

In 1950, the year before William F. Buckley burst into the national conversation, the literary critic Lionel Trilling revealed why the nation was ripe for Buckley’s high-spirited romp through its political and cultural controversies. Liberalism, Trilling declared, was “not only the dominant but even the sole intellectual tradition” in mid-century America because conservatism was expressed merely in “irritable mental gestures.” Buckley would change that by infusing conservatism with brio, bringing elegance to its advocacy and altering the nation’s trajectory while having a grand time.

Today, conservatism is soiled by scowling primitives whose irritable gestures lack mental ingredients. America needs a reminder of conservatism before vulgarians hijacked it, and a hint of how it became susceptible to hijacking.

Will proceeds from there to detail Buckley’s isolationist views, mentioning that he named his first yacht “Sweet Isolation” and attended Charles Lindbergh’s America First rally in Madison Square Garden at the age of fifteen. He doesn’t even hint that this was an objectively pro-Nazi position that was naive at best and downright evil at worst. He doesn’t really go into much detail about Buckley’s opposition to the Civil Rights Movement on the basis of objective white supremacy, only going so far as to note that Buckley once said that the name of the NAACP was acknowledgment that blacks are not as advanced as whites.

As a result of soft-pedaling these aspects of Buckley’s worldview, Will is able to create a distinction between him and the “vulgarians” that existed within conservatism at the time and that have taken over his beloved GOP in the present. Buckley, in Will’s telling, effectively rescued conservatism by giving it intellectual respectability and elegance and a sense of joy in combat.

Will finishes his piece by comparing Buckley favorably with Whittaker Chambers. Chambers was an example of the wrong kind of conservative that is so recognizable in the Trump base:

[Buckley], to his credit, befriended Whittaker Chambers, whose autobiography “Witness” became a canonical text of conservatism. Unfortunately, it injected conservatism with a sour, whiney, complaining, crybaby populism. It is the screechy and dominant tone of the loutish faux conservatism that today is erasing Buckley’s legacy of infectious cheerfulness and unapologetic embrace of high culture.

Chambers wallowed in cloying sentimentality and curdled resentment about “the plain men and women” — “my people, humble people, strong in common sense, in common goodness” — enduring the “musk of snobbism” emanating from the “socially formidable circles” of the “nicest people” produced by “certain collegiate eyries.”

As for Buckley, well he was the right kind of conservative:

Buckley, a Bach aficionado from Yale and ocean mariner from the New York Yacht Club, was unembarrassed about having good taste and without guilt about savoring the good life.

“His true ideal,” Felzenberg writes, “was governance by a new conservative elite in which he played a prominent role.” And for which he would play the harpsichord.

I’m not writing about this to trash Buckley one more time, but to point out that Will has simply not come to grips with a basic fundamental fact about left/right politics.

If the right is basically the home for business interests and the left is basically the home for workers’ interests, the right will always be very badly outnumbered. Because the right has most of the money, they can mitigate these disadvantages in various ways. They can restrict the franchise. They can control most of the media and thereby dominate the national political conversation. They can outspend their opponents which gets them more ads and helps them compensate for having fewer natural followers and organizers.

But, ultimately, none of that will help them win elections and maintain their power unless they can find a bunch of workers to abandon their natural home. Conservatism is a strategy for accomplishing this. At root, it is nothing else.

The reason that, in 1950, Lionel Trilling was able to argue that liberalism is “not only the dominant but even the sole intellectual tradition” in mid-century America is because FDR/Truman had effectively led the country out of a depression and won a worldwide war. By 1950, even most of the business leaders who had opposed the New Deal in the 1930s had come to terms with it. The weakness for the Democrats was different in kind. They weren’t just a workers’ party and a party for the business establishment. They were also the party of white supremacy and Jim Crow.

What’s interesting about conservatism is that they didn’t tap into the wedge the way you’d expect. Instead of criticizing the Democrats for their backwardness and vulgarity, they sought to steal the segregationists away from the party and keep them for themselves. This is the course that Buckley pursued. Rather than strengthen the GOP in his home turf in the North by pointing out the Dems’ allegiance with the cultural neanderthals in the party’s southern congressional leadership, Buckley chose to make white supremacy respectable among the cocktail set at the Yale Club and the New York Yacht Club.

What happened in the 1970’s was similar in kind. An amalgam of Christian conservatives was brought into allegiance with Buckley’s jet-setters to form the backbone of the Reagan coalition. These new Republicans were the furthest thing from Bach aficionados and most of them had only seen yachts on television. But they served as the bodies that business interests needed to prevail politically and begin to beat back a New Deal that was no longer working as well as it had. Buckley and his allies didn’t give a damn about prayer in school or restricting abortion rights, but they needed an army that would back them on opposing federal regulations, high marginal tax rates, and strong antitrust enforcement.

Conservatism was always about raising an army of vulgarians to serve the interests of a new conservative elite in which folks like Buckley would “play the harpsichord.” That’s it. That’s all of it.

I don’t dispute that looked at from the other end of the stick, these folks weren’t just unwitting dupes but real people with real grievances and interests that didn’t necessarily coincide with the workers’ party. I don’t want to dehumanize them the way that George Will does, but I think Will’s depiction is an accurate portrayal of how Buckley viewed them.

At best, they were viewed as rough around the edges and in need of the kind of leadership that only Yale men could provide. And as long as they consented to this arrangement, George Will was fine with the conservative movement and the Republican Party.

So, my question for Will is to ask if he has the foggiest idea where he might get the votes for his post-Trump Republican Party if not from the same folks that conservatives have always attracted? Is it simply a matter of believing that better leadership will improve their morals?

If Will believes that, he needs to look around. Because the conservative movement has built a post-factual media grievance machine that churns out bile 24 hours a day. They didn’t do that for giggles. They did it because it was required to get them from near-permanent minority status to where they are today, with all the levers of government in their control.

They made this happen by showing incredibly bad leadership that destroyed people’s morals. It was intentional and it’s not going to stop both because it has been successful and profitable. To replace it with something high-minded that values high culture and the finer things in life, that would be a recipe for building a political party scarcely bigger than the editorial staff at the National Review.

I don’t know if he’ll ever fully realize it, but George Will’s life’s work has been in the service of amplifying every abhorrent and dysfunctional thing that he bemoans now. His conservatism was a con-job and a deal with the devil. In some way, on some level, I feel certain that he’s known this all along. How could he not considering his arrogance and dismissive attitude toward the horde that he’s cultivated for so long?

UK Election: The Conservative may not get a majority

Update: 6/2
Ipsos Mori is out with a new poll: Conservative 45, Labour 40.
5 weeks ago if you told someone that Labour would get to 40 they would have told you that you were crazy.

Five weeks ago it appeared:
*The Conservatives may actually get more than 50%, and may have a majority of 200 seats or more.
*Labour had no realistic prospect not only for this election, but for the foreseeable future in taking power
*Labour’s leader, Jeffrey Corbyn was the personification of the failure of the left that started with Sanders and included Melenchon’s failure to get to the runoff in France.  Corbyn’s numbers were as bad as I have ever seen in a Party Leader.

And now.  Wow. As of this moment the Conservatives are flirting with the 326 seats required to form a majority government.  Their fall, and the respective Labour recovery, is remarkable.  The last similar shift in fortunes in the US would maybe be 1976 or 1968 (In ’68 Humphrey closed an 18 point gap in a month).

It is now widely accepted May has run a terrible campaign.  She made an enormous blunder in the Conservative Manifesto’s provision for pensioners needed public support. But there is another story here: the populism that was at the heart of the Sanders’ campaign has absolutely played a role in Labour’s recovery.  While Corbyn’s connections to the IRA are problematic in light of the Manchester Bombing, his personal numbers have recovered in a way I think no one could have expected.

The spread in the polls at this point is large – larger than in the US before the election in 2016.  Some have noted that Labour’s strength is among the young (they win those under 25 3 to 1) and they may not  turnout.

The pound has tanked in response, as it did before Brexit.  The UK economy has weakened over the last few months, and there are signs that another housing bubble may be near colllapse.

This was supposed to be a boring election.

 photo ukelection_zpsrm1vsiyy.gif

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10p3RttDKmNOSJBWMCx5wGA7Xnr6zWwKveY_kqI7YJow/edit#gid=2116997
899

The FBI is Looking Hard at Nigel Farage

This is just a quick piece to note that I am pleased to see the Guardian following up on what I wrote in March with some strong reporting on the connections between former U.K. Independence Party (UKIP) leader Nigel Farage and Donald Trump, Roger Stone, Steve Bannon, Julian Assange and Guccifer 2.0.

They even used some of the connections that I discovered while researching that piece (like Roger Stone’s dinner with Farage), and they found something else. I had reported that Breitbart’s London editor-in-chief Raheem Kassam was keen to defend UKIP against allegations that it was funded by Vladimir Putin. Here’s what I didn’t know:

Two years later, in 2014, Breitbart News, of which Bannon was executive chair, opened an office in London. A top editor, Raheem Kassam, later went on to work as Farage’s chief of staff.

This is getting discussed today because the FBI apparently agrees with me that Nigel Farage seems to be the hub for a remarkable number of spokes.

Sources who spoke to the Guardian said it was Farage’s proximity to people at the heart of the investigation that was being examined as an element in their broader inquiry into how Russia may have worked with Trump campaign officials to influence the US election.

“One of the things the intelligence investigators have been looking at is points of contact and persons involved,” one source said. “If you triangulate Russia, WikiLeaks, Assange and Trump associates the person who comes up with the most hits is Nigel Farage.

“He’s right in the middle of these relationships. He turns up over and over again. There’s a lot of attention being paid to him.”

The source mentioned Farage’s links with Roger Stone, Trump’s long-time political adviser who has admitted being in contact with Guccifer 2.0, a hacker whom US intelligence agencies believe to be a Kremlin agent.

Guccifer 2.0 isn’t believed to be a Kremlin agent. The belief is that Guccifer 2.0 isn’t a person at all, but a fake persona created by Russian intelligence.

In any case, I feel like a made a small contribution to this reporting, so I wanted to share it.

Props to Franken

Al’s making the rounds with his new book.  I think it’s very constructive outreach in the current context.  

He Just Likes to Stir the Pot

I could  be wrong, of course, but–based on past performance–my bet is that Trump is bluffing when he threatens to pull the US out of the Paris Accord. I see, for example, that he’s backed off moving the Israel Embassy to Jerusalem.  

Here’s What I Promised

As promised, my big feature went live tonight on the Washington Monthly website. As a special bonus, there’s also an interview I conducted with Virginia gubernatorial candidate Tom Perriello. They should be read in tandem.

Here’s my favorite part of the Perriello interview:

WM: You’ve been campaigning on this anti-monopoly theme all over the state, from the D.C. suburbs of northern Virginia to small Appalachian towns in southwestern Virginia. Are these really issues that voters are already thinking about and asking questions about?

TP: I actually think in many ways the challenge is people inside the Beltway having too low of an opinion about the sophistication and knowledge of people outside the Beltway. What will often happen to me on a given day is that I will start the day out in a red county, where people are talking to me about consolidation and automation, and then end the day inside the Beltway talking to people who say, “Tom, you sound like a think tank, that kind of thing will never go down with those people out there.” So I think that if we could actually get folks to sit down together, those inside the Beltway could really understand again, this is something voters across the Commonwealth are talking about because they are living the experience.

And I get the exact same response from liberal blog-readers every single time I write about these issues. Every single time.

These articles are my big effort to break through the cognitive dissonance and the resentment and the disappointment and the despair and the cynicism and the apathy and, ultimately, the nihilism that is gripping the left in the aftermath of its most bitter election season in modern history. I know it’s just a start, but I hope it’s a good start.