British Officials Call Trump a Stupid Evil Racist

Prime Minister Theresa May of the United Kingdom was questioned in Jordan about President Trump’s decision to post links to incendiary anti-Muslim YouTube videos on his Twitter feed:

Asked whether she would fire someone from her senior leadership team if they retweeted the same account Trump did, she said: “I have absolute confidence that my cabinet ministers would not be retweeting material from Britain First.”

In other words, she’d never hire someone like Donald Trump so it would never be necessary for her to fire such a person. She must have been thrilled to field such a question while visiting an important Muslim country that is allied with both Britain and the United States.

Overall, the reaction in the United Kingdom is one of complete outrage.

The British revolt against President Trump swelled Thursday with parliament members openly deriding him…

…In a sign of the disruptive wake unleashed by Trump, Britain’s Home Secretary Amber Rudd had to remind Parliament and the public that Britain’s relationship with the United States was bigger than one president — and that important trade, security and intelligence sharing are ongoing.

Trump is definitely now persona non grata there:

“It’s increasingly clear that any official visit from President Trump to Britain would not be welcomed,” tweeted London’s mayor, Sadiq Khan, the first Muslim to hold the office. Khan has repeatedly called for Britain to withdraw an invitation for Trump to visit — and his stance appeared to gain more backing amid the outrage against the president…

…Vince Cable, the leader of the Liberal Democrats, was one of many to call on May to cancel the state visit offered to Trump.

“She must end humiliating dependence of #Brexit Britain on goodwill of evil racist. Cancel visit,” Cable tweeted.

It didn’t help that once Prime Minister May criticized the president, he told her to shut up and focus on her own problems.

British officials were shocked at the personal nature of the tweet against May and the suggestion that Trump was boasting — even gloating — that the United States has had no recent terrorist attacks while Britain has suffered a string of deadly assaults.

Nonetheless, the Brits dutifully lined up to emphasize that their relationship with the United States is bigger and more important than their relationship with one president. But that’s only what you’d expect, and it comes in this context:

Trump’s latest missives prompted an urgent debate in Parliament on Thursday, where politicians across the political divide lined up to condemn the president’s tweets. In remarks rarely uttered about a U.S. president in the House of Commons, some parliamentarians mocked Trump as “stupid.”

We’re hearing that a lot lately. Trump is stupid, a moron, an idiot, an evil racist.

And we’re hearing it not from Democrats but from his cabinet members and elected officials in allied countries.

But Congress is focused today on tax cuts. They don’t seem to be able to focus on anything else.

Rexit Shakeup: Cotton to CIA, Pompeo to State

Not too long ago, reports surfaced that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson had nearly resigned at some point over the summer over quarrels with the president on our policies toward Qatar and Iran among other things. It became known that Tillerson had referred to the president as “a moron,” which the Secretary never denied. Naturally, all of that news was accompanied by rumors that Tillerson would soon quit or be forced out of his position.

Yet, there was some rather serious pushback against the idea that Tillerson would be fired. John Hudson of BuzzFeed News reported that any attempt to axe Tillerson would come at a heavy cost to the president due to a suicide pact:

In recent weeks, Tillerson’s top aides have expressed increasing exasperation over questions about the secretary’s fate. Their view is that, yes, Tillerson has been frustrated by the president’s tweets and fights over staffing decisions, but has no intention of leaving his job.

One US official expressed confidence in Tillerson’s status due to a so-called “suicide pact” forged between Defense Secretary James Mattis, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, and Tillerson, whereby all three cabinet secretaries vow to leave in the event that the president makes moves against one of them.

Maybe this suicide pact never existed. Or maybe it is no longer operative. There’s no mention of it in today’s breaking stories about Tillerson’s imminent demise.

According to the reports, chief of staff John Kelly has crafted a plan that would see Tillerson replaced at the State Department by CIA director Mike Pompeo. In turn, Pompeo would be replaced at Langley by Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas.

This is sure to unsettle the intelligence community and the foreign policy establishment. Pompeo is already seen as too political for the CIA, but he’s a lamb in that category compared to the combative Senator Cotton.

Perhaps this is why the news is being presented as John Kelly’s decision. The New York Times says Kelly “developed the transition plan” but it’s “not immediately clear whether Mr. Trump has given final approval” to it. The Washington Post says “the plan, hatched by White House chief of staff John F. Kelly, is expected to be set in motion over the next few weeks, and has broad support within Trump’s inner circle,” but likewise won’t say whether Trump has signed off.

Clearly the White House is floating this rather than simply announcing it, and they want Kelly’s imprimatur to help ward off the expected backlash. On one level, it’s clear that Tillerson is going to go soon, one way or the other. Opponents of Pompeo and Cotton can’t seriously think that they can fight these moves by keeping Tillerson in place. The suicide pact no longer makes sense given that Tillerson doesn’t want to stay much past the new year.

It’s also difficult to oppose a president when he wants to fill key positions with people he trusts, and Pompeo has already been confirmed once by the Senate while Cotton is a member of the Senate, so defeating their confirmations would be a major uphill climb.

Still, I can’t think of any responsible person on either side of the political divide who will welcome these moves, mainly because both men are so obviously ill-suited for the positions they’d be filling.

We’ll have to watch carefully for the backlash. Defense Secretary James Mattis has a lot of juice but he probably won’t wage a frontal assault. If he attempts to cut this off, it will be subtle and have some deniability. He may not fight it at all if he concludes it’s a battle he has no prospect of winning, but we’ll then have to see how that sits with him. Will he start looking for the exit, too?

CA

To avoid blog harassment by the few, here my reply to das monde

    Dems are not even trying to spotlight truly important stuff, since Dukakis or so. Rather, they are earnest
    collaborators to a flow of distractions. “Hey, sex!” and one next moral outrage… Cambridge Analytica has
    good profiles on us, progressive cats. DNC is a corporate subsidiary, just as the media?

A Lots of People Are Saying Trump’s New Data Team is Shady | Wired – Aug. 2016 |

Trump’s team has hired Cambridge Analytica, which claims to target voters based upon their psychological profiles. The National Review first broke the news, citing an unnamed Trump campaign official, and WIRED has confirmed the development. “In something so big, we want to bring in multiple data sources,” a Trump aide says, “to make sure we have the best opportunities to find the most persuadable voters and get people out to vote.”

As with all things involving Trump, this is not without controversy. Although Cambridge Analytica worked with Senator Ted Cruz and Ben Carson during the primaries, several Republican operatives tell WIRED they question the firm’s methodology, willingness to collaborate, and claims of involvement in major projects like Brexit. And the fact that Robert Mercer, a major GOP donor, is an owner of the company leaves some wondering if nepotism plays a role in any contracts the company lands.

Skewed Hillary Polls? – July 2016

Add Paul Singer contriburing the GPS Fusion/Steele dossier, it’s clear the Reds in Moscow tripped up the Democrats in ’16.

More below the fold …
[Update-1] #Russiagate

Maybe, just maybe the Robert Mueller investigation is looking at Cambridge Analytica, Rebekah and Robert Mercer and their Brexit campaign?

Cambridge Analytca: the Geotargeting and Emotional Data Mining Scrtipts

Believe me, Twitter and Facebook earned multiple thousands of dollars from the Trump Election campaign compared to Russian ads from a few minor bots doing the Kremlin’s bidding. Specialists from Facebook and Twitter were embedded in the centra run by Brad Parscale for Trump.

Is There Any There There? | Wired – Aug. 2016 |

The British number-crunchers and PhDs started working with down-ballot candidates in the US two years ago, and came to prominence this year touting its “psychographic targeting.” The approach supposedly builds on traditional ad targeting metrics like demographics (age, race, income) and behavior (voting, spending, online habits) by adding a person’s psychological profile.

To generate models, Cambridge, which employs data scientists and psychologists, draws on personality surveys it has conducted by telephone, email, and social media since 2013. It uses those samples to predict the personality traits of voters—traits like, say, neuroticism. Candidates can use those findings to tailor their message to a specific audience.

Cambridge CEO Alexander Nix claims his company’s data models “absolutely, indefatigably” raised Cruz’s poll numbers. “Every decision of the campaign—where to spend the money, who to target, how to target them, what to speak to them about, what channels of communications to use, what messages to send—was all driven by our data,” says Nix, who was among those included in WIRED’s Next List of business leaders.

The Power of Big Data and Psychographics

2007-06-02-Aaronovitch-Schnittger

Supplemental to Frank Schnittger’s new diary …

Comment on a David Aaronovitch column
by Frank Schnittger
Timesonline, 2007-06-02

[David Aaronovitch was one of the participants in the Doha debate; he wrote an online column with some interesting commentary about that debate.

One of the reader comments regarding that column was from one Frank Schnittger. It brings up a very standard pattern that arises whenever Israel is criticized; I know that I personally have had similar experiences when I participated in an online discussion group (Slate‘s Fray).

What appears below is the relevant part of Mr. Schnittger’s comment (emphasis is added).]

Having also been the victim of Zionist abuse (sometimes on this blog) whenever I raise the topic of Palestinian suffering I can empathise with how Norman Finkelstein feels.

Its not that it isn’t possible to build a rational case for a number of different points of view, but that, for some reason, a rational debate never even gets started.

The first response from my opponents is always to latch onto the fact I have a German sounding name and label me as a crypto (or not so crypto) Nazi sympathiser.

Personal abuse of the most vile sort invariably follows, and even on moderated blogs such as Timesonline, this is rarely censored, and even some mild retorts on my part have been ruled out of order.

It sometimes seems that any attempt at a rational analysis which uses generalisations about Israel is automatically deemed to be anti-semitic and racist [presumably he means uncomplimentary generalisations], whilst the most vile racist slurs by Zionists are regarded as fair or at least arguable comment.

However it is the ad hominem nature of the responses which is the most saddening, because it means that the argument is never progressed beyond the playground “who’s side are you on anyway?” level of debate.

More on Norman Finkelstein @Tikun Olam

A follow-up diary …

Europe: A Brave Judeo-Christian Continent

More below the fold …
Long ago …

When the Pond was still a community!

Froggy Bottom Cafe – Feb. 2015

Martin Longman is an editor and prolific writer for the Washington Monthly. Always had a following when he was at Daily Kos as Booman23. The Booman community too has lost all front pagers and has no ties to international writers or topics. One needs to toe the official Democratic party line …

[Cross-posted from EuroTrib – Oui]

Re: Oops! What am I still doing here? (none / 1)

As the name suggests, Booman is essentially a one man blog. I hope that doesn’t happen to ET. Martin seems to be gradually migrating to a paid position at the Washington Monthly with BT gradually becoming a legacy site or test bed for first drafts of stories.

Trump’s victory appears to have had a traumatising effect on the liberal blogosphere in the USA, silencing many and causing others, like Booman, to adopt much more conservative positions. No doubt there are many underground or emergent sites I am not aware of, but somehow it is hard to care any more.

I have written 64 stories on US politics in my time here but none for a year because the US seems almost beyond hope. Any country that could elect Trump, even with a seriously skewed and flawed electoral system, has some pretty basic problems that can’t be papered over by the marginal change of governance a (still somewhat unlikely) Democratic victory in the Mid-terms would imply.

In some ways I am reminded of when I did my Master’s thesis on Apartheid, inspired by the many political refugees from South Africa I had met in Ireland and the UK. I never dreamed of visiting South Africa while Apartheid was in force as I would have felt complicit in the system.

Now, if it were not for the many excellent US friends I have got, I would feel the same way about visiting the US.

by Frank Schnittger on Thu Nov 30th, 2017 at 09:45:55 AM PDT

A European perspective on Booman | EuroTrib – Sep. 28, 2014 |

Promoted by Steven D, and thank you Frank for your help.

Given Steven D’s impassioned pleas for content in Booman’s continued absence through illness I thought I’d break my vow of Omertà on all things USA which normally applies between Presidential election cycles. You see I have a certain resistance to writing about things I know little about and also have a strong sense that a countries own citizens have the primary right and responsibility to determine its policies free of interference from outsiders – well meaning or otherwise.

I make the exception of Presidential elections and some global issues like human rights and climate change because the election of “the leader of the free world” effects us all dramatically and often traumatically and because the USA state, whatever about its own citizenry, makes no bones about the fact that it regards the whole world as its back yard when it comes to dumping its externalities on others.

I also want to pay tribute to the extent to which Booman has informed my thinking on all matters of US politics. He’s up there with Paul Krugman as perhaps the most influential blogger and thinker shaping my world view on key issues of economics (Krugman) and US politics (Booman). Just as I sometimes take issue with Krugman’s politics (his recent ham-fisted interventions on Ukraine and Scotland in particular), I sometimes take issue with Booman’s take on economics which sometimes seems more influenced by the Chicago School of economics than by Keynes, Krugman, Stiglitz or Piketty.

(Continued below the fold)

But it is with Booman’s (often implicit and perhaps unconscious) embrace of American Exceptionalism that I have generally had the biggest problem: I simply don’t believe that America has some God given right or grace to impose its beliefs and values on others, or that it is in some way an inherently more moral nation.

Up until the mid 1960’s this would not have been a major point of departure for me. The USA had been born as a genuine revolution against colonial oppression, had fought a civil war (in part) against slavery and continued forms of colonial oppression, had struggled against continued racism, and had sought to promote personal freedom against more totalitarian ideologies abroad.

The USA had been slow to enter the First and second world wars, and when it did, did so for generally the right reasons. The post 1945 Marshall plan and generally non-punitive stance towards the defeated German and Japanese nations (despite the atrocities they perpetrated) did it great credit, and enabled the re-construction of Europe and Japan and the development of a more liberal and inclusive political cultures here and there. Even the cold war against Stalinism was defensible, and thanks to the much under-appreciated contribution of Gorbachev, eventually led to a good outcome.

But sometime around the mid 1960’s the USA’s influence on the world – always open to debate – seemed to me to switch from being predominantly for the good to being predominantly for the ill-being of mankind – the achievements of The Great Society and cultural icons like Bob Dylan and Bruce Springsteen notwithstanding. Perhaps it was the assassinations of of JFK, RFK and MLK that were the pivotal moments, resulting in the escalations of the war in Vietnam and the gradual morphing of a racial struggle into a class struggle in the USA, making it now perhaps more of a class ridden society than the European societies it had so rightly denounced in its fight for independence.

Ironically it was the defeat of communism abroad and the resultant fear of social democracy at home which seemed to free the American elite from any concern for social justice, and allowed them to focus on a totally self-interested and self righteous quest for their own aggrandizement without regard to all others and without fear of political consequences. Perhaps best epitomized by the rise of Reaganism and neo-conservatism, the American elite engaged in a concerted campaign of installing brutal dictatorships abroad in support of their own corporate interests and waging a class war on their own people at home.

Read more …

Oops! What am I still doing here?

Cross-posted from the European Tribune

It is now ten years to the day that I published my first diary here, entitled “OOPS what am I doing here?”.  In it I asked:

Are we all frustrated journalists here, failed academics, or seers whose genius the world just plain refuses to recognize?

Or is this just that wonderful human institution, an Irish pub without any beer, but where everybody gabs just for the sheer fun of it?

Every newcomer wonders how and where they will “fit in”, and whether they would be better off going elsewhere.  Just what is your unique selling point?

The “about us” tab gives very little of the history of this blog – who are the distinguished contributors, who are the editors, what have you all achieved in the past other than allowing people to let off some steam?

I don’t expect you all to rush off to justify yourselves, particularly to the new kid on the block, but what exactly are your brand values and why should I spend time here rather than elsewhere?

Is it a mutual admiration society, a community learning experience, an opportunity to brag about how much I know on certain topics, a forum to exercise my debating skills or just a nice friendly place to be?

This site seemed to be a lot livelier then, with a lot more contributors, controversy, and even a few on-line spats which went seriously off the rails. But compared to the abuse I got if I wrote on Timesonline on the Palestinian issue, which included physical threats from people who claimed to know where I lived and worked, it was all relatively tame.

Nevertheless I regretted the many contributors who seem to have left because of the abuse they felt they had received. We particularly seem to have lost many of our female contributors and I missed the diversity of thought and belief that many of them had brought to the site. It always seemed to me that we had to choose between being a small cosy club between like-minded people and a much larger, more diverse site with a much larger readership and influence on the real world around us.

My ambition was always to try and create a sort of European DKos, Booman or Huffington Post which could have a real influence on events and represent part of an embryonic European Demos holding EU policy makers to account. Writing for me was always about trying to reach out to a wider audience and engage with them in current events. There are many reasons why these early ambitions failed to materialise:

Firstly, Europe lacks a common language like the USA which means there are always a limited number of people who feel confident enough in their command of English to engage on complex subjects in a nuanced way. Attempts to create a multi-lingual version of the European Tribune foundered on a lack of technical resources and the antiquated nature of the Scoop software which powers this site.

Secondly, some of the founders and major contributors like Jerome a Paris, afew, DoDo, Migeru, Fran, and In Wales moved on in their lives and were never adequately replaced. Iconic subjects which had given the European Tribune a unique selling point – such as Jerome’s Windpower and Anglo Disease series, Countdown to $100 oil, Dodo’s Train blogging series, ‘Bubbles’ Greenspan (debt, money & growth), remember him? and various other topics gradually died a death.  Many stories attracted over 300 comments. The passion, hope and despair which had driven their creation seemed to die with them.

Thirdly, the 1,000 word blog seems to have been replaced by the 140 character tweet, Instagram photo, or short, snappy Facebook post. In depth discussion of complex or topical issues seems increasing confined to specialist or academic online forums with minimal participation. Popular disillusion with “politics” seems to be rife. Younger contributors who might have succeeded our founders are more concerned with getting and keeping a job than with debating the finer points of public policy. Work has gotten a lot harder and more time consuming. Leisure time is now required for switching off.

Fourthly, and more particularly, enthusiasm for the European project has waned. The financial crisis only confirmed our analysis and predictions, but the political response was the opposite to what we proposed: austerity rather than Keynesian reflation; narrow beggar-your-neighbour nationalism rather than a concerted European wide solidarity and co-ordinated response. The treatment of Greece seemed the last straw for many. Trump has extinguished all hope of more positive leadership coming from the USA.

Brexit has given the European project a belated second wind, if only through highlighting what the European project has, collectively achieved over the years. But most people have tired of UK exceptionalism and can barely wait to wave goodbye. Actual evidence of the EU learning some lessons and implementing more enlightened policies going forward is scant. The EU has become a technical exercise in banking regulation, minor monetary policy adjustments, and keeping refugees at bay. Hardly the stuff to inspire a new generation of bloggers.

I have limited my ambitions to trying to keep the front page ticking over in the hope of retaining a core readership and, hopefully, attracting a few new contributors. Nothing looks worse than a front page filled with last weeks news. Bjinse (whom I have never met), keeps the newsroom in flow and a couple of other active front pagers contribute what they can given other commitments. My attempts to recruit new front pagers haven’t succeeded and participation levels seem to be declining although I have never succeeded in obtaining usage statistics.

Having published 425 stories over 10 years I feel the European Tribune has almost exhausted what I can contribute and I need to move on. However I feel it would be a pity to let the European Tribune die. If any of you have any ideas of how to revitalise and renew the site please add them in the comments.

Midweek Cafe and Lounge, Vol. 43

Last week’s cafe answered the question regarding the meaning of life, the universe, and everything (42 – assuming you did not already know that). This week’s edition offers no answers – but makes up for it with Talking Heads right around their peak:

Enjoy. I’ll try to have another one up next week, time permitting of course.

Enter Erdogan in US Prosecution of Iranian Gold

Finally, how Turkey worked with Iran to circumvent US sanctions … a plot well known for many years … Dubai UAE at the center, of course!  A plea deal that may touch Robert Mueller’s investigation of Michael Flynn and his counterparts in Turkey. Erdogan must be furious! Recently NATO declared war on Turkey in an exercise in Norway …

Gold trader Reza Zarrab to reveal Turkish corruption ‘of global proportions’ after plea deal

A Turkish-Iranian gold trader has agreed a plea deal with prosecutors, who say he will reveal the inside story of a plot to evade US sanctions in Iran “in a scheme so large that it affected the economies of countries in the Middle East”.

Reza Zarrab, who is being held by the authorities at an undisclosed location, pleaded guilty on October 26 to all seven counts against him, including conspiracy to violate the United States sanctions against Iran, newly unsealed court records show.

He has become the US government’s star witness and will testify on Wednesday against former co-defendent Mehmet Hakan Atilla, at a trial that began this week in New York’s Federal District Court.

Prosecutor David Denton Jr told jurors Zarrab would “tell you the story firsthand, as he lived it”.

“The evidence is going to pull back the curtain on a fraud of truly global proportions,” Denton said. “Billions of Iranian dollars moving in a scheme so large that it affected the economies of countries in the Middle East, and so large that it was protected by government ministers in Turkey and Iran.”

The trial is expected to further strain relations between the US and Turkey, whose President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reportedly fears the case may reveal incriminating evidence about the government’s involvement in helping Iran dodge US sanctions by using gold bullion to buy Iranian oil and laundering the money through US financial systems on Iran’s behalf.

Erdogan has repeatedly asked the US government to free Zarrab, claiming the case is a move to undermine his country’s economy.

There has also been speculation the plea deal includes Zarrab cooperating with Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of Russian inteference in the US presidential campaign, in which Turkey allegedly offered President Donald Trump’s former national security adviser Michael Flynn money to secure Zarrab’s release.

In the New York case, US prosecutors made clear they intend to introduce evidence collected in a 2013 Turkish corruption investigation, but never used in trial there because the case was thrown out by Erdogan’s administration.

My diaries …
‘Sultan’ Erdogan Attempts to Block Graft Probe In AKP Party | Dec. 2013 |
Deep Throat Inside Erdogan’s Government of Turkey

Continued below the fold …

Iranian gold stars in Turkish corruption scandal | Al Monitor – Dec. 2013 |

It is difficult to predict how the bribery/corruption investigation into several Turkish ministers will end. Although there are those who frame the event as a power struggle between the Fethullah Gulen movement and the government, conspiracy theories expand its dimensions to include the United States and Iran. With the detentions of Suleyman Aslan, CEO of Halkbank, and Riza Sarraf, an Iranian businessman who deals with gold and was originally named Reza Zarrab, the focus is now on the Iran-Halkbank-gold triangle.

The government is looking for US and Israeli hands in the operation because of the use of Halkbank to circumvent the sanctions imposed on Iran. Prosecution sources stress that the investigation is aimed not at Halkbank but its CEO, after a search of his house yielded $4.5 million hidden in shoeboxes. But the arrival in Turkey of David Cohen, the US Treasury’s undersecretary of terrorism and financial intelligence, shows the importance of the Sarraf-Halkbank file in the affair.

Since Iran was banned from using the international money-transfer system SWIFT as of March 2012 as stipulated by US-EU embargoes, there have been many media reports that Tehran has been using Turkey’s Halkbank to evade the restriction.
According to reports the police have delivered to prosecutors, this is how the plan worked: A system was hatched to bypass SWIFT queries by setting up front companies in China. Then, money was transferred from Iran with falsified documents to bank accounts opened in the names of those companies in the guise of reimbursements for imports from China. The money was immediately transferred to the accounts of real or front companies in Turkey as payment for exports, and used to purchase gold. The gold was then sent via couriers to Iran, or to Dubai to be forwarded to Iran.

According to economist Ugur Gurses, this complex system arose to address Turkey’s inability to pay Iran through routine channels for the oil and natural gas it was buying.

This is why Turkey opened an account for Iran at Halkbank. Iran converted the deposits in these accounts to gold. Gold procured from international markets was first brought to Turkey and then sent to Iran. As the intermediary company was registered in Turkey, Turkey’s gold imports and exports rose steadily as Turkey paid its debts to Iran. In three years, $8 billion worth of gold was sent to Iran.

To counter this scheme, the United States banned gold exports to Iran in July 2013. This resulted in the accumulation of nearly $13 billion in imported gold in Turkey.

Alabamans Think Doug Jones is Unqualified

Steve M. makes an interesting point. After poking around a bit in the internals of the latest poll of the December 12th special election in Alabama, Steve notices that while 46 percent of respondents say that Republican Roy Moore is unqualified to serve in the Senate, forty percent of those surveyed say the same thing about Democrat Doug Jones. The results, from JMC Analytics and Polling, are the third in a row to show Moore back in the lead, which is in itself impressive considering that close to half the people think he’s unqualified.

For Steve, though, what’s jarring is that so many people think Jones lacks the requisite qualifications. What has he done, after all, to raise questions about his experience or fitness to serve?

I’m sure a lot of these red-state voters don’t like Jones, don’t agree with him on many issues, and don’t approve of the national Democratic Party — but does that make him unqualified?

I’m no fan of the Republicans, but I don’t think most of their candidates are unqualified to serve — sure, Trump is, and I’d have said the same thing about Ben Carson if he’d been the 2016 nominee. But Jeb Bush? Marco Rubio? John Kasich? I don’t like their politics, but they’re qualified. I’d even say Ted Cruz is qualified — a loony extremist, yes, but a qualified one.

The numbers here might be inflated because Republican poll respondents want to play “I’m rubber, you’re glue” in reaction to questions about their hero Roy Moore’s fitness to serve. But still: Is this an indication of Republican voters’ baseline belief regarding Democrats — that any Democrat is unfit to serve, just by dint of being a Democrat?

I think there’s always a temptation to make too much out of the internals of polls since they so often seem not to make any sense. In this case, we’re supposed to reconcile some things that don’t seem to stand on their own. For example, overall this poll shows Moore holding a five point lead on Jones (49 percent to 44 percent). Yet, on the question “Given the campaign that Roy Moore/Doug Jones has run so far, do you think that he is qualified to serve as US Senator?,” Jones (48 percent to 40 percent) looks better than Moore (49 percent to 46 percent).

Based on this, every single person in Alabama who thinks Moore is qualified to serve in the U.S. Senate intends to vote for him. Either that, or there’s a bunch of people who will vote for him even though they don’t think he’s qualified. At the same time, there’s very little difference between the 48 percent of voters who think Jones is qualified and the 44 percent who intend to vote for him.

If there’s one juxtaposition that really stands out here, it’s the fact that Moore has a better spread (five points) against Jones than he has on the qualifications question (three points). The two point difference doesn’t really create much of a distinction. For Jones, however,  there’s a 13 point gap between his plus-eight score on qualifications and his minus-five score on the head-to-head matchup with Moore.

If these numbers tell us anything at all, they tell us that Jones is losing because too many folks think he’s unqualified, and that can only mean that he’s wrong on the issues. In the eyes of many Alabamans, to be qualified to serve in the Senate, you have to vote the right way, too, not just be a decent person. Jones would easily win the good person award. He’s probably not going to win the election.

Dershowitz the Apologist

Alan Dershowitz laments that “We are surrounded on all sides by news of criminal investigations into politicians.” He sees this as a dangerous development in which political differences are weaponized by the Justice Department. He apparently doesn’t see it as part of a, so far, losing battle to enforce some basic norms and standards of good governance.

Whereas I see it as a major problem that corruption cannot even be punished in cases where convictions were initially obtained, such as in the trials of Sen. Ted Stevens and Rep. Tom DeLay and Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, Dershowitz sees these cases as examples of prosecutorial extremism. While Dershowitz approvingly notes that New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez’s case just ended in a mistrial, I see it as absolutely appalling that such base corruption could be in any sense permissible in an elected official.

Dershowitz doesn’t devote a single word to describing what these politicians did that caused them to be charged with felonies, and I don’t see how we can debate this issue without looking at the alleged crimes.

He does, however, have some opinions about what Trump is alleged to have done:

When the president asked the director of the F.B.I. to drop its investigation into Michael Flynn, the former national security adviser, or fired James Comey from the F.B.I., or provided classified information to the Russians, he was acting within his constitutional powers. Those actions may deserve opprobrium, but they should not be deemed criminal. The proper place to litigate the wisdom of such actions should be at the ballot box, not in the jury box.

Even if it were to turn out that the Trump campaign collaborated, colluded or cooperated with Russian agents, that alone would not be a crime, unless the campaign asked them or helped them to commit criminal acts such as hacking.

I’m not going to try to argue statute by statute with a lawyer as experienced as Dershowitz, but his assertions here are exaggerated and contentious at best. It’s not legal for a campaign to take in kind donations from foreign nationals, whether that’s a crate of staplers and envelopes or its political advertisements or its information obtained through illegal and criminal acts.

It is certainly possible for a president to obstruct justice by demanding that the Justice Department not investigate potentially criminal acts that may implicate himself. Firing the FBI director for the admitted purpose of getting the Russian investigation behind him, is another form of attempted obstruction. And it’s simply not the case that the ballot box is the only place where such behavior can be adjudicated. The president can be prosecuted for crimes he commits in office once he leaves office, for example, and we have an impeachment process specifically so that we don’t have to rely on the ballot box to rid ourselves of corrupt presidents.

Dershowitz is trying to narrow down the kind of political behavior that can be prosecuted to virtually nothing, but even he is willing to allow that asking someone to commit a criminal act is itself a criminal act. Did Donald Trump not specifically request that the Russians make every effort to hack into the server of a former Secretary of State and share the contents with the world?

Ironically, that’s one of the few things Trump has done or he is alleged to have done that I’m willing to overlook. I wouldn’t prosecute him for what can reasonably be interpreted as political smack talk.

I don’t see that Dershowitz even touches on the Emoluments Clause to the Constitution or any of the central allegations included in the Steele Dossier. It’s uncontroversial that Trump is promoting his commercial properties and interests on almost a daily basis, nor that foreign countries are seeking his favor by patronizing his businesses. These are prohibited acts.

According to the Steele Dossier, Trump is compromised and subject to blackmail, entered into an agreement for a stake in the Russian energy giant Rosneft, and his campaign wittingly colluded with WikiLeaks and Russian intelligence officers to exploit illegally obtained information from Democratic Party officials and organizations. Would all of that be legal unless Trump actually assisted in the hacking?

The president says that none of this happened and that it is all fake news. The American people deserve to know if he is telling the truth, and the only way to figure that out is to investigate the charges. This isn’t an example of fighting ordinary political battles by other means. There are actual victims of these crimes. Privacy was invaded and careers were tarnished. The integrity of our election was impacted and our national security is implicated.

The only thing I agree with Dershowitz about is that there is a risk that things can get out of control, with each party seeking to prosecute the other rather than simply beat them in fair and square elections and above board policy disputes.

But we’re beyond that now with a president who is plausibly accused of being under the control of a foreign power that committed criminal acts in order to assist him in his campaign.

I’d also like to point out because it needs to be said, that this isn’t Hillary Clinton’s Justice Department that’s investigating Trump. This isn’t some kind of petty payback after a nasty campaign. Inadequate as they are, the congressional investigations are chaired and controlled by members of the president’s own party. If the Republicans were to go after Hillary Clinton, I might agree that they were getting into dangerous tit-for-tat politicization of the Justice Department. That would depend on whether the allegations were real and serious or based on the kind rehashed conspiracy tripe the conservative media churn out on a hourly basis.

The investigation of Trump is different. It’s not partisan. It’s not a witch hunt. It’s not an effort to win a political battle by other means or to wound opponents out of spite.

Dershowitz says he’s a Democrat “who has supported every Democratic candidate for president since I campaigned for Adlai Stevenson in 1952.” I believe him, but I’d rather he stop trying to use that as some kind of credential. I don’t think Democrats should be soft on official misconduct, and Dershowitz doesn’t seem to have seen a politician do anything since 1952 that warranted prosecution. He should feel free to vote for a candidate from some other party. In general, our problem is not that our politics are too criminalized but that too few of our politicians need worry about being punished for egregious criminal acts.

Jesse Jackson on Alabama Election

Chicago Sun-Times Columnists, Jesse Jackson: JACKSON: To win in Alabama, Jones must create a new coalition”>

Points to note:
How Alabama has changed since the 1960s, starting with the Iron Bowl.

The savviest African-American politician in the state, State Sen. Hank Sanders, warns, “Right now, many African-Americans do not know there is an election on Dec. 12.” The NAACP has begun calling “sometimes voters” to get out the vote. Jones should be campaigning with Sanders and others, and introducing himself to black congregations. Real resources need to go into black newspapers and radio stations.

Listen to Hank Sanders. There are two weeks to work a miracle.  Send some funds to Doug Jones with the quote from Hank Sanders.  Strategically placed radio can be quite inexpensive we found out from Larry Kissell and with the right pitch can self-fund and expand.  If you are or know NAACP members, see if it is appropriate to participate in phone banking to Alabama.

If he fails, Democrats must learn to stop ignoring their core voters between campaigns and start appealing on kitchen table issues across race lines.

Stunning that in 2017, someone must say this.  This has been a 17-year problem at least.  The wrong lesson taken from Al Gore’s loss.