If Donald Trump is able to get Brett M. Kavanaugh confirmed to the Supreme Court, Paul Waldman is almost certainly correct that abortion rights will be eviscerated. This is also likely to happen if he gets his second, third or fourth choice confirmed. Only if the pro-choice majority in the Senate stands up to protect women’s reproductive rights is there a chance that we’ll get a Justice in the mold of Anthony Kennedy who will not upset forty-five years of precedent since the Roe v. Wade decision was decided.
As this reality comes closer to realization, I find myself feeling ashamed and reluctant to look the women in my life in they eye while discussing it. This catastrophe only became possible though a series of unlikely and extremely unfortunate events, starting with a stained blue dress, a bunch of hanging chads, the timing of Antonin Scalia’s death, the unthinkable election of Donald Trump and the colossally irresponsible decision of Kennedy to resign before the midterms. I always knew there was a risk this could happen but I also thought we’d be able to see it coming from a safer distance.
Democrats made mistakes, conservatives were willing to fight dirty, and there was a lot of bad luck. That’s what got us to this place.
But maybe the most repugnant thing of all is the resignation and defeatism of people who have given up before the fight over this Supreme Court seat has even begun. Someone will eventually be confirmed, and they’ll consolidate a conservative majority on the bench, possibly for two decades or more. But that doesn’t mean the new Justice has to be a fifth vote for overturning Roe or possibly even Griswold which established the principle that reproductive choice is too private a decision to be regulated by legislatures.
How people behave now will be noticed and reputations will be immortalized. A catastrophe has befallen the left that in some ways cannot be remedied, but there are still some things that hang in the balance. Women’s rights is foremost among them. This is not an issue that can be bargained away or played for maximum political advantage. Maybe we won’t win but if so we must go down fighting.
The president didn’t make the safest choice in picking Kavanaugh. The opposition will have plenty to work with:
Kavanaugh has served on the federal bench for 12 years. Before becoming a judge, he was a fast-rising Republican lawyer who first gained notice decades ago when he helped to investigate President Bill Clinton under independent counsel Kenneth W. Starr.
Kavanaugh has since argued that presidents should not be distracted by civil lawsuits, criminal investigations, or even questions from a prosecutor or defense lawyer while in office.
A Yale Law School graduate, Kavanaugh was plunged into national politics when he was tasked in 1994 with investigating the death of Clinton’s deputy counsel, Vincent Foster, and later with laying out the grounds for impeaching Clinton in the wake of the president’s affair with a White House intern.
That Kavanaugh doesn’t think a president should have to be accountable or obey the law when in office is probably the easiest reason to oppose him. For the older generations, his involvement in the Vince Foster investigation is a good indication of where he’s coming from and the unlikelihood that he’ll be a dispassionate and even-handed Justice. He’s an enemy of consumers and an extremist on guns. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell knows he will have a fight on his hands:
McConnell did not rally around Kavanaugh in his conversations with Trump. In a Friday phone call, the GOP Senate leader instead noted that Hardiman or Kethledge could be easier to confirm in the Senate, according to two Republicans briefed on the call who were not authorized to speak publicly and so spoke on the condition of anonymity.
Realistically, the goal cannot be to prevent Trump from filling Anthony Kennedy’s seat. The goal is to defeat Kavanaugh and to force Trump to nominate someone in the mold of Kennedy as his replacement.
Are you ready for the fight?
The Senate Dems can’t stop this nomination alone. They need a force to be reckoned with from the people.
It’s worthwhile to pay attention to where an overturn of Roe could take us. It was based on a woman’s right to privacy. Privacy is surely something that most people would fight to protect if that were the framing.
Next, the issue of pre existing conditions and health insurance is bound to be tested. I saw that Joe Manchin is citing that as something that he will be keenly attentive to. It works with not just his Party but his constituents as well.
If Mueller can accommodate us politically and give us some strong indictments before this goes to a vote it would make the fight that much stronger for our side.
Lastly, we really need to address climate change and there are any number of issues that will come before the court that are critical to that fight.
The Senate Dems can’t stop this nomination alone.
Why not? What happens if Schumer and Co. leave Washington, D.C., and don’t come back until January? I know JoeScar and MaggieHabs will be apoplectic and say that Kavanaugh is a good man getting unjust treatment. I’m talking about Senate rules, not the butthurt feelings of the dipshit punditry.
The 26 most batshit Republicans pass every crazy thing they can get through the house.
I’m young enough that I took a fair court for granted. But I’m ready to fight this tooth and nail.
>>the colossally irresponsible decision of Kennedy to resign
?? Yes it was terrible for the country, but totally consistent with who he is and has always been. He was NEVER a moderate, just slightly less awful than Scalia or Rehnquist.
Indeed. The propaganda wurlitzer, which includes National Propaganda Radio (which I can only listen to very briefly anymore… mainly just to hear what LIES they’re spinning today), have all been painting Anthony Kennedy as Mr. Super-Duper Moderate who is sometimes VERY LEFTWING.
FALSE. No.
Kennedy is slinking away bc there’s funky stuff going on between Kennedy’s son at Deutche Bank and Trump. I believe Mueller’s looking into it.
Kennedy, the RAT, is leaving while the getting’s good.
Don’t believe that he’s some kind of moderate. He wasn’t and isn’t. Bullshit.
I look at the 20 horrific votes by Kennedy and scratch my head at the label of “moderate” … we don’t need another justice like Kennedy … sure, we might get worse but we don’t need another Kennedy.
I view the Kennedy resignation as his complete capitulation to the monied and powerful and in my opinion, it will forever tarnish his legacy. I believe he knows this and why his last opinion in support of the majority opinion to uphold Trump’s travel ban was viewed by Dahlia Lithwick writing at Slate magazine on June 26th, the day before his announced retirement, as
I’m not a conspiracy theorist, but do you suppose Trump actually had something on the Justice or his investment banker son?
I did not see RUKidding’s comment before posting my own. I’d spent way more time than I planned trying to insert the link to the Slate article.
What’s the path? We need to get 2 Republicans to even slow this down, which 2 are gettable and Susan Collins I don’t think it one. She is either the dumbest person alive or we are for believing her all the time
Rand Paul on executive power. I know I know…but that’s probably the only path cause Collins will definitely vote yes.
Mood
To the surprise of no one, Trump picked the guy that thinks the president should be unaccountable to everyone but congress. The betting markets called it correctly
I’d spin this as relatively good news- Trump is desperate enough to pick a Supreme court justice nominee who will let him slide. That point needs to be hammered home to voters in Maine and Alaska. And, unfortunately, also probably North Dakota, Indiana, and W. Virginia…
Whip up a frenzy in Congress so that the base will turn out in November.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don%27t_mourn,_organize!
Yes, I am ready for the fight.
At his confirmation hearing the dems must ask about all those abortion myths. Does he think abortion causes breast cancer? Does he think laws that requires vaginal ultrasounds a legal tool for anti abortion states? Is contraception abortion? When does life begin…first breath, heart beat, conception? the list is endless and we must all remember that ending legal abortion is only the first step of the anti abortion christians wish list.
Unfortunately, like previous confirmation hearings, our media will control the narrative.
In prime time/major circulation outlets Democratic Senators who ask such things will be A) muted, B) sandwiched between clips of Republicans blubbering about how they just love babies, freedom, and apple pie ssssooooo muuuucccchhhh, and/or C) lambasted for being “so rude!” to such a nice man.
There are definitely reasons to oppose Kavanaugh based solely on his judicial philosophy, but let’s take a step back for a minute. Republicans had all kinds of nice things to say about Merrick Garland, but once he was nominated, it stopped being about the judge and started being about the President’s legitimate right to nominate a justice at that time.
So let’s fight Kavanaugh on the merits, but also remember where we are – we have a President who is a subject of a federal investigation into whether his campaign colluded with a foreign adversary to steal the Presidency. So far there has been no evidence to the contrary, and his administration through either incompetence or intent has made Russia stronger and the U.S. weaker in nearly everything they have done. Should such a man really have the right to nominate a justice at this time? I think we need to make the argument that it should wait until the conclusion of the Mueller investigation.
And if someone brings up the Gorsuch nomination, that was different – at that time the Mueller investigation hadn’t started yet, so while we may have suspected wrongdoing we didn’t have any proof of it, which we do now in the form of indictments and guilty pleas. It may call Gorsuch’s legitimacy into question further down the road but at the time I don’t think you could make the same argument.
. . . here, here.
Totally agree!
Democratic Senators, this is low hanging fruit – get him under oath saying that he’d recuse himself from any case in which the President who nominated him was a subject (or target, or whatever the appropriate language is here – not a lawyer).
. . . position than that, i.e., a unified Dem position that no Trump nominee moves forward — at all — in the “advise and consent” process while Mueller’s investigation remains ongoing and results pending (and beyond, if those results are as I expect them to be). And Dem Senators do everything within their ability to obstruct anything/everything that isn’t that. And we all do everything within our power to “encourage” them to do so. Along with at least 2 Banana Republican Senators.
It needs to be an all-hands-on-deck, no-powder-kept-dry-for-later campaign.
I agree with that, I guess I should have said “if it gets to the point of confirmation hearings, they need to do this in addition to roasting him on a variety of other topics.”
Having grow up in Illinois when abortion was a crime and divorce only allowed for infidelity, I find overturning Roe v Wade regrettable but am far more concerned about any Trump pick further enhancing corporate power and secret spy agency power, as well as increased executive power. And abortion opponents also are usually on religious grounds. America doesn’t need a theocracy either.
This was a mistake the Democrats made, appointing pro-corporate judges as long as they were anti-abortion, as if that was the only issue that affects people.
I emailed my Senator, Sherrod Brown, this morning already. I thanked him for his ongoing fight for Democrats and told him that I am counting on him to put pressure on the rest of the Dems and whatever Republicans they can to stall the confirmation of Kavanaugh.
We all knew Trump was going to pick a noxious man for the job, so we have to keep fighting. It feels like every day has new challenges, but we can’t give up.
Contact your representatives and keep putting pressure on them.
Politico (yes, I know) is reporting that Kennedy was in negotiations with Trump for months over his successor and agreed to resign when he was assured it would be Kavanaugh.
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/09/brett-kavanaugh-trump-private-meeting-706137
So Der Trumper’s show was all theater for the masses? Too funny. But par for the course for the deceptive and deceitful “conservative” movement.
Very curious why Kennedy would demand a pick that is absolutely certain to destroy whatever “legacy” the phony “moderate” Kennedy thinks he has created….
I’m sure the lib’rul base is willing to fight, whatever is meant by that. They will march on DC in large numbers if organized, and I’m sure that will happen. But what’s the most effective strategy for marching? Should marchers actually attempt to shut down the senate or simply make a one time “statement”?
Will the senate Dems actually “fight”, even with people marching in the streets? And will the Trump State Dems be willing to stand up for women’s rights however fierce the fight? They weren’t with the illegitimate nomination of Gorsuch. Will they with the nomination of this lifetime “conservative” activist now masquerading as a judge, who is equally illegitimate because nominated by an obvious political criminal who may need his vote to survive? Universal Dems opposition would likely put some pressure on the two (faux) “women’s rights” ladies, duh.
I suppose we do what we can and see what the Dems do. We should work to ensure universal opposition from Blue State senators, that should be a given. Whether their rhetoric and tactics will be “effective” and suitably denunciatory is another matter. It’s also curious how Repubs from once purple states (like Portman in Ohio) apparently are perfectly willing to go along with every rightwing judicial extremist that’s presented. What about Toomey from PA? He can apparently vote however he pleases vis-a-vis the destruction of the Supreme Court? Also, too, Rubio? Totally immune from anything he does?
How about the useless corporate teevee media? How can they be forced to actually cover the story of the Scalia-ization of the Court?
We need some generals, and fast. The rhetoric and effective opposition to Gorsuch was so head-shakingly feeble as to be unbelievable, but frankly senate Dems have failed to eviscerate any of conservative white male activi…er, “judges” that our two democratically illegitimate Repub prezes have shitted out in the entire 21st century.
We should certainly fight this, but basically, we’re screwed. Even if Kavanaugh ends up like Bork, there’s another one just like him waiting next in line.
Good luck to us all.
Hate to say it, but these young women & men who took everything for granted and couldn’t be bothered to vote are coming in for some hard lessons. Not happy about that, but just saying…
You sow what you reap.
I blame those who voted for Stein as much as I blame those who allowed their grievances to outweigh their civic duty to vote for the best candidate who can actually win.
This idea is not mine, but the next time we actually are in a position to wield power, Dems should add two seats to the SC to get back what was stolen from us. Surely we can play smart and mean for once!
While the odds seem to favor your prediction, it must be said that if the Kavanaugh train can be slowed down and (somehow) Borked, and McConnell’s Monsters then lose the senate in Nov, Der Trumper doesn’t get his next-on-the-list conservative Catholic white male, and Repubs don’t get their 5th Scalian activist.
So there’s is a hypothetical path to victory.
“…reputations will be immortalized”. I think we’re long past the point where those on the right care a toss about reputations. Ignorance is on the march and the Enlightenment is receding in America.
A champion of the free speech rights of corporations too.
http://fortune.com/2018/07/09/judge-brett-kavanaugh-supreme-court-nominee-net-neutrality/
Free speech is new rationale for laissez-faire.
I’m thinking we are getting worse than the Gilded Age.