Early voting in Nevada comes close to confirming my worst fears about these midterm elections. My worst fears would be a clear advantage for the Republicans, but what I’m seeing is a repeat of rural domination by Trump that offsets Democratic advantages everywhere else. I see no sign of depressed turnout from Trump’s base, and that does not bode well for the Senate elections and it doesn’t leave a lot of hope for a true wave election that brings in north of forty House seats.

There is a lot of work to do this weekend.

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