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Did We Avoid the Southification of the North
Discussion
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If DJT loses popularity in the “North,” it’s because people up there have looked around and seen that his promises resulted in no more than even more closed factories, Foxconn, and bankrupt farmers. And then there’s Covid. The promises came home to roost. Maybe it will feel like a good fit to Northerners to return back to the Dem fold at least this time. I’ll never get over the delicious irony of the red-blooded So’then country boys getting infinitely bamboozled by a New York conjob liar salesman, with his fancy clothes and city slicker haircut. One of the oldest swindles in the book.… Read more »
It was one thing when it was the “new” brown people being targeted. But when the existing Black population pulled the cover off the racism they experience daily, I think a lot of suburban white folks looked into the mirror and didn’t like the person staring back. Add in the economic chaos and the sociopathic handling of COVID, and I’m not shocked.
It doesn’t even appear that Trump’s response to the Floyd protests played entirely well in the South either, if we are to take the polls in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and elsewhere as a sign. Lord knows there are plenty of things which have caused crucial portions of Trump’s electoral coalition to slide out of his clutches, but he’s not running as strong anywhere in the South as he did in 2016.
It was interesting to go back and re-read your 2016 article, in the context of everything that has happened over the last four years. You ended the article with this: Because if the Democrats let this become a racial fight between their multicultural base and the white rural counties of the North, that’s a recipe for the political Southification of the entire country. That’s what the GOP has been doing in a gradual way for 36 years, and it’s the basis for Trump’s coalition and for his reelection in 2020.Avoiding a fight on those terms is essential even though everyone… Read more »
Related from Ralston: So how does Trump get to 90,000 in the rurals? Remember he won by 40 points in 2016 and his margin was 58,000 votes. There are now about 40,000 more voters on the rolls, and I still think he tops out at about 80,000, so game over. But could he get to 90,000?Here’s how hard that is:If rural turnout is 80 percent, Trump would need to win the rurals by 50 points. Forty was unlikely in 2016; 50 seems crazy in 2020.If rural turnout got to 85 percent, which I would say is not impossible, Trump would… Read more »
oops – link here https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3