Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia has been a royal pain in the ass for Democrats throughout the Biden administration but he’s been right about two things. He was prescient about the risk of inflation and he’s been committed to raising taxes on corporations as part of any spending deal. Now, we can argue about whether passing the Build Back Better agenda in 2021 would have made the inflation problem worse (possibly not), and whether the policies Manchin has supported have contributed to rising prices (possibly yes).  We can also question whether the money raised from corporations is best spent on deficit reduction, as Manchin intends.

But, right now, Manchin appears ready to reach a scaled-back deal with the administration that includes both corporate taxes and deficit reduction, and the pro-business caucus in the House led by North Jersey congressman Josh Gottheimer is trying to scuttle it.

Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.) is gauging support among House centrists for a counteroffer to the emerging Senate reconciliation package, with one big clause: No new taxes…

…Gottheimer’s discussions target a small group that includes Reps. Carolyn Bourdeaux (D-Ga.), Ed Case (D-Hawaii), Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.), Susie Lee (D-Nev.) Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) and Mikie Sherrill (D-N.J.)…

…early House discussions led by Gottheimer don’t envision any new taxes on corporations or wealthy individuals. The Trump tax cuts on corporations and individuals would remain in place…Gottheimer’s formula would leave $177 billion for deficit reduction — a step toward Manchin but a long way from his roughly $500 billion target…

…Gottheimer’s counteroffer envisions $520 billion in new spending for climate energy and health insurance exchanges, and a total of $627 billion in new money from enhanced IRS enforcement and drug pricing reform.

One thing you’d think people would understand by now is that Manchin doesn’t move very far off his bottom line. If he tells you he doesn’t support something, he probably will never support it. And if he wants something in a bill, it’s probably going to have to be in the bill. He has a good grasp on what sells in West Virginia, and helping President Biden enact his agenda is a tough sell. Raising corporate taxes, however, is actually very popular. I’m not convinced that deficit reduction is high on voters’ priority list, but it has always been a priority for Manchin and he’s not likely interested in a big spending bill unless it raises enough surplus revenue to make a big dent.

Getting Manchin to “yes” on anything is difficult, and risking the whole package to protect corporations and high income individuals from taxation is political suicide.

But the Democrats don’t seem to be able to get out of their own way.