This election cycle has some perplexing poll results. Consider the latest CBS News/YouGov poll which found that 62 percent of “Hispanic people favor the mass deportation of undocumented immigrants living in the U.S. illegally.” If that’s true, we can just hand Donald Trump the keys to the White House right now. Of course, I know the naysayers will argue that the Hispanic community’s support won’t survive contact with the implementation of such a policy, involving as it inevitably must “showing papers on-demand, racial profiling [and] a huge increase in the number and scale of ICE raids.” But all Trump needs to win is support for the policy in theory.
But the poll is just plain strange. It’s not hard to understand that a higher percentage, 66 percent, of whites favor mass deportations than Hispanics, but why is the policy supported by only 47 percent minority of blacks? It seems to me that the population that stands to have its families broken up by ICE raids would be less enthusiastic about the policy than the one that wouldn’t.
On the whole, though, the new survey results bolster results from Axios in April showing “a majority of Americans support the mass deportations of undocumented immigrants, including 45 percent of Latinos who were in favor of such a measure.” I suspect you can get less emphatic results if you ask the question differently, but clearly people are fed up with illegal immigration on the southern border.
Then there’s the polling of black support for Trump.
Rep. Jim Clyburn, D-S.C., claimed there’s something wrong with polling showing former President Trump’s increased popularity among Black voters during an interview published on Saturday.
“I think Joe Biden is doing exactly what he needs to do to win reelection. Something is amiss with the polling. I call your attention to the recent polls in Maryland. The African American woman [Angela Alsobrooks] running for the United States Senate nomination — the Sunday before the election, one poll had her five down, the other poll had her seven down — and she won by 13. How do you explain that? That’s 20 points,” Clyburn told Politico’s Ryan Lizza during the “Deep Dive” podcast.
Lizza noted a Wall Street Journal poll that found 30% of Black men said they would vote for Trump in November. He also pointed to a New York Times/Siena College poll showing 23% Black support for the former president, a large increase since 2020.
“Anybody who believes that Donald Trump will get 30% of the Black male vote or 12% of the Black female vote — I got a bridge down there on Johns Island I’ll sell you,” Clyburn continued.
I’m inclined to agree with Clyburn, but then why are reputable polling outfits getting results like this? I mean, you have to pray that these polls are off by 20 percent.
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You surely need to edit Iowa’s Selzer poll in this. It has the most bizarre result I’ve ever seen:
Joe Biden approval among 18-34 age group
🟩 Approve 15%
🟥 Disapprove 76%
If these numbers are even remotely accurate, I’m sorry, but Biden needs to drop out.