Time to Discuss Impeachment

While it is obvious that the votes aren’t presently available to impeach the president this doesn’t mean that hearings and discussions about the subject shouldn’t take place. The public needs to be educated as to the specific crimes that have been committed so that they will understand the issues when the new congress takes office.

While most people think that lying to the people in order to wage wars is grounds, the president is pretty well shielded from any consequences of actions he takes in office as long as he does them in “good faith”.

The basis for impeachment must reside in actual violations of the constitution.

Here is the oath of office required of the president:

“I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.”

Article II, section 3 states:

[The President]
…he shall take care that the laws be faithfully executed…

Article I, section 8 states:

[Congress]
To make all laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into execution the foregoing powers, and all other powers vested by this Constitution in the government of the United States, or in any department or officer thereof.

As has been pointed out in a recent dailyKos diary
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/10/5/161550/640
the president’s signing statements have no legal basis. My point is that they are not just without basis, but are a violation of the articles quoted above. The president has now put in writing (several hundred times) the explicit statement that he will not faithfully execute the laws. This is grounds for impeachment. It is sufficient on its face. The president has stated his intentions to violate Article II section 3.

I have also tried to point out how congress has been violating the constitution as well. There seems to be no specific penalty for doing this, however. Congress passes unconstitutional laws and the courts strike them down. The mechanism for judicial review is laid out in the constitution as well. Two perfect examples from just this past week. The retroactive law to exempt people from existing rules over torture. Here is the part of the Constitution that prohibits this.

Article I, section 9 states:

[Congress]
No bill of attainder or ex post facto Law shall be passed.

In addition congress has attempted in several cases to add clauses to legislation that prohibits the courts from reviewing the law itself. Congress cannot legislate the function of the courts. The relevant clause:

Article III, section 2 state:

The judicial power shall extend to all cases, in law and equity, arising under this Constitution, the laws of the United States, and treaties made, or which shall be made, under their authority…

I posted an essay on how the present administration is violating the legal bases for a democracy. This goes beyond specific clauses in the constitution and extend to the fundamental principles of what a democracy is. If you missed it here is a link:

http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2006/10/5/92655/9368

The point is that it is not just the president who is violating the constitution, but that congress is trying to undermine the principles of democracy as well. Without a sharp change of direction we are in danger of becoming a pseudo-democracy like Nazi Germany, or the South American banana republics. This should be the issue facing us in the coming election, not lies or sex scandals.

Saving Democracy

Modern democracy is a very recent development in human history. Most people would place it at the founding of the US. Once the idea was planted, however, it took root and there has been a growth in this form of government since then. The path has not always been smooth, there have been some spectacular smash ups, starting immediately after the French Revolution.

The question I chose to address is how to prevent a democratic society from slipping back into a non-democratic one. But first some definitions to avoid confusion.

I treat a democratic government and a “republic” as meaning the same. Athenian democracy has been superseded and should only be considered as a philosophical springboard for the modern form. I will discuss key characteristics which define a democracy later.

In opposition to a democracy there are various restricted forms of governance. What they all have in common is that the ruling group is small and the rules of selection are arbitrary. The most important, historically, have been monarchies, religious hierarchies and oligarchies. The rulers are chosen by heredity, force of arms, or a power play within the ruling elite.

I consider these all these as types of an “authoritarian” form of government. When the government expands beyond control of law and tries to regulate human thought I consider the regime “totalitarian”. This is usually taken as a modern development, needing the tools of mass communication and propaganda, but I think the Spanish Inquisition qualifies also.

I define a “fascist” regime to be a type of authoritarian regime where the state and the industrial sectors merge, either explicitly (as in the state takeover of certain industries) or implicitly where government officials control commerce or business leaders serve simultaneously in government. I don’t use the word as a synonym for oppressive or brutal regimes.

Now what are the characteristics of a democracy? First it has a government “of the people”. This means that the vast majority of people residing in the country can select their leaders via the ballot. If the number of citizens is restricted (as before women got the vote, for example, then it is an imperfect democracy). Whether the leaders are selected directly as in a presidential system or indirectly as in a parliamentary system is a detail.

In my construction, a full democracy also includes personal and economic principles. I chose to call these aspects of democracy as well. Personal democracy means people have the right to chose their own locale, their choice of political and religious affiliations, their choice of profession and mate and to express their views freely. Economic democracy means people have the right to set up their own businesses, subject only to restrictions on illegal enterprises. What sort of business to establish and how to manage it in terms of expansion or business direction are not under government control. This does not exclude the need to meet labor, environmental or other restrictions established by the law. After all in a democracy the laws flow from the people.

So a democracy means more than just the ability to vote. It also means a legal framework which evolves with the consent of the people. A good formulation of the legal basis of a democracy comes from Franz Neumann. Here is one version of his basic principles:

  1. All men are equal before the law.
  2. Laws must be general, not specific (this rules out bills of attainder).
  3. Retroactive laws are illegitimate.
  4. Enforcement must be separate from the decision-making agencies.

Point one guarantees that everyone is treated equally and prevents the existence of a ruling class. It also prohibits discrimination against people on the basis of who they are rather than on the basis of what they have done.

Point two prevents the legislature from creating laws aimed at helping or harming specific named individuals. Bills of attainder are a type of legislation in which the individual is named explicitly as having violated this law. The legislature thus acts as judge and jury bypassing the judicial function. This is explicitly outlawed in the US constitution. There had been enough recent European history of abuses of this type that it was thought best to make the abolition of this abuse explicit. General laws also implies that legislation cannot be written which specifically names some one who will benefit.

Retroactive laws permit an abuse of power from being punished and allow any law to be ignored at will. Permitting this type of activity renders all laws arbitrary in their application.

Finally point four is designed to prevent the abuse of power by the executive branch. Those making the laws shall not be those who enforce them, and vice versa. Otherwise there is a risk of selective enforcement or favoritism.

So to summarize, a democratic society has a government “of the people”, imposes minimal restrictions on freedom of personal action and economic activity and is governed by a legal framework established by the people themselves.

Unfortunately, history has shown that things can go terribly wrong. The French Republic established after the revolution of 1789 dissolved into anarchy and mob rule and gave “democracy” a bad name for the next 100 years. The democratic government installed in Russian in 1917 didn’t last out the year. The democratic Wiemar Republic installed in Germany after WWI failed by the early 1930’s. In every case the democratic structures were too weak to resist the rise of authoritarian regimes. In more recent times there have been many cases of “democratic” regimes in Africa and Latin America being replaced by military juntas. Sometimes this dynamic has repeated over and over as the military juntas are forced to reinstate democratic rule because of popular unrest.

Not to over generalize too much, but it seems that what all these failed democracies have in common is the brief time they existed before being overthrown. This seems to indicate that there is more needed than the formal legal framework which was established. A set of laws, governing bodies and (perhaps) a constitution is not enough. What was missing was a democratic “creed” which was embraced by the populace. Probably the most important phrase in the past three centuries was “that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights…”, from this flows democracy, but only if the people know and are willing to defend the creed.

How does a people become invested in their “creed”? Through education. In France and Russia there was a large peasant class. Many were illiterate and had no understanding of their “unalienable rights”, so losing them again was easy. Germany was a highly educated society, but it had just come out of a devastating war in which all the social structures had been destroyed. The new government was imposed by the victors, but the people were not versed in the workings of a democratic society. All their prior experience had been with various monarchies and militaristic hierarchies. They also didn’t know their “unalienable rights”, rather they had been brought up to “know their place”.

So the question arises can a modern, well-established democracy, be replaced by an “authoritarian” regime? There are frequent overthrows of democratic states all the time. What has changed since the end of WWII, is that such authoritarian replacements do not wish to be identified as such. The democratic creed has become so universal that no dictator wishes to be seen as violating it. What typically happens is that a strong man gets into power. Sometimes this is by an overt coup d’etat, but many times they are elected. Once in office they use the legal trappings to cement their power. Frequent steps are changing the laws on term limits, outlawing rival parties, or arresting opponents using newly crafted laws and, when necessary, election fraud. Whatever techniques are used they go to great lengths to proclaim that their state is still democratic because it had elections.

The US has had some recent abuses of democratic power, but so far as avoided a complete breakdown in governance. Several of the worst cases of abuse happened in times of war or the run up to a war. Most involved suppression of personal rights, but there were a few attempts at imposing government control of industry. Nixon is usually cited as the most extreme case of the abuse of power, but his abuses concerned is personal power and those of his close associates. The rest of the legal system continued to operate and was eventually successful in reining in his administration.

Today, many are making similar charges about the Bush administration. Here are some worrying examples of potential abuse.

All men are equal before the law: This has been violated by the treatment of the Guantanamo inmates as well as those arrested for “terrorist” activity. Many have had no access to the legal system.

General laws: This has been violated of late by the vast number of “earmarks” that have been inserted in legislation. By naming a specific firm to perform a specific task and be compensated by the government all generality is lost. The scope for abuse is large and we have already seen many examples. There are standard mechanisms for procurement. Departments get a budget, they have mechanisms to determine needs and evaluate vendors and then they allocate funds. Earmarks bypass this entire process.

Retroactive laws: The NSA warantless wiretaps and several other similar actions are widely seen as unconstitutional. In order to prevent those responsible from being held liable under either US or international law the congress has now passed retroactive laws to “legalize” these activities. Regardless of how this initiative plays out, the attempt to violate one of the four legal tenets is an attack on democracy.

Judicial independence: The Attorney General and the Justice Department have been involved in formulating legal opinions. Recent example include the use of torture, the use of signing statements by the president and the NSA wiretap issue. Deciding the meaning and constitutionality of laws is the function of the judicial branch, not the executive branch. The Justice department is supposed to prosecute those who break the laws, not interpret them. They are violating the fourth precept and also weakening democracy.

So we have a situation where all of Neumann’s legal principals are under attack. We are also seeing problems with the electoral process. Remember modern dictators always disguise attempt to disguise the actions within a “democratic” framework. Voting is the backbone of this effort. Do I think that the present administration is planning a coup d’etat or rewriting the laws so that they can stay in office beyond their present term? No.

The threat is not from an individual, but from a permanent shadow government which has arisen of the past 40 years. The names of the players change, but those pulling the strings continue to come from the same small group. The US is in the middle stages of becoming a plutocracy (government by the wealthy). The economic trends are clear and we are seeing the beginnings of a parallel political effort.

We have had one prior period of a nascent plutocracy, during the first era of the robber barons. At that time the captains of industry managed to subvert much of government and install their own men into office. So there was the railroad senator and the oil senator, etc. But the industry were all new and their leaders were all self-made men. There was no permanent wealthy class. Some managed to establish dynasties, like the Rockefellers, but their power was rapidly diluted as the era of the trust busters put an end to the excessive political influence they had before. The break up of Standard Oil is the best example. In other cases like Carnegie they chose to give their fortunes away.

These days we have families who control vast economic power and are into their third or more generation. Their priorities have changed. By and large they are not entrepreneurs like their ancestors, but concerned with wealth preservation and maintaining their privilege. This type of concentration of economic power is, therefore, unprecedented in the US and presents a new threat.

So can democracy be preserved?

There have only been two multi-century democracies so far, the US and the UK. Both were partial democracies until recently. Both excluded classes of people from voting and both had de facto ways to preserve anti-democratic legislator selection. The UK still has an anti-democratic upper house. Other countries like Canada and Australia have even shorter histories as a democracy. So there really isn’t much data to go on.

The biggest threat seems to lie in the US, as I’ve outlined above. The disregard for the legal framework is unprecedented and reminds one of the initial steps of the Nazi’s when they subverted the Wiemar Republic. The multi-generational concentration of wealth is also unprecedented (at least in the US).

So what can be done to prevent things from getting worse? I see three actions as possible.

  1. The wealth of the super rich needs to be dissipated. This was done successfully in the UK by means of death duties which served to break up the wealth of the landed gentry. The process takes decades, but it is relatively easy to implement from a legal point of view and changes come slowly so there is not much disruption to society. In addition the income tax policy could be change to make it more progressive as it was for much of the 20th Century.
  2. The power of money in politics needs to be reduced. The main culprit is the cost of running for office. This is now so expensive that politicians need to sell out to business interests in order to gather enough money to run. Either that, or they need to be independently wealthy. This makes those able to run an anti-democratic condition. Elimination of temptation is another associated change. No spending allocations should be under the direct control of congress. These should be left to the departments with the responsibility. Congress has the constitutional task of passing the budget, but they don’t have to be the ones to determine priorities. If the influence of money is to be eliminated than campaigns will have to be publicly funded and/or TV advertising will have to be controlled in some fashion. This could be by forcing stations to provide free time, or limiting the amount of ads so that all candidates get equal exposure. Constitutional issues need to be addressed since the latest Supreme Court view is that money equals speech. This is anti-democratic.
  3. The populace needs to be better educated. John Dewey felt that the most important part of education was to train people to think for themselves and to evaluate information and come to their own decisions. Democracy requires an educated citizenry. Currently the darker parts of US history are glossed over since they reflect badly on our mythology as a benign nation. This slant also minimizes the efforts of the common people to overcome the power of the elite, most notably in labor relations. Educating the public must not stop with formal education, there are things that can be done in the mass media as well. The TV show “West Wing” was an example of how a civics lesson could be embedded in a dramatic series. Not only must education be improved, but the trend away from public education must be reversed. Public education promotes democracy and egalitarianism. Private and parochial education promote separatism and disdain for the general population. Public education also ensures that all children are exposed to the same core of information. Private schooling can skip those parts which don’t agree with their dogmas. This leads to incomplete learning. Public education is under the watchful eye of everyone and can’t deviate too far from accepted norms. Private education is under the guidance of a select view and can become as biased as they wish. If parents feel that some subjects are not taught in public school (for example, religion) then appropriate mechanisms exist to provide supplemental education for their children.

Is any of this practical?

Changes in tax laws are the easiest and the quickest. They only require a majority of congress to enact them. This means that public disfavor with current conditions can translate into new representatives within a few years. All it takes is sufficient outrage and a new group of candidates to represent their positions. Since this is easy to do, it is also easy to undo. However a successful re-equalization of wealth would remove the concentrated power that currently exists and make a transition back to plutocracy less likely.

Electoral change is more difficult, although there has been some progress. States have put in term limits and public funding, the Supreme Court continues to be an obstacle to change, but a state based change might cascade to the federal level. Quick change doesn’t seem likely.

Educational reform is a continual battle, right now the forces of authoritarianism are having the most success. This ranges from the authoritarian No Child Left Behind act (federally mandated rote learning) to the use of school vouchers and government funding of religious schools (for “non-religious” purposes). If the public sees these efforts for what they are and starts to see the poor training children receive in such an environment there may be a push back. The battles over Darwinism show that there is a majority who still favor open public education.

Is this important?

In my first essay I discussed the relationship between democracy and economic development and pointed out the few cases where they didn’t go hand-in-hand. But, in general, democratic societies also perform better economically. Authoritarian management styles are unable to react to the changes in society that are needed to remain competitive. So if the US is going to maintain its standard of living in the face of increasing competition and raw material shortages it will require a nimble, open, egalitarian society, that is a true democracy.

What’s the matter with Cleveland?

The rust belt has been losing population for two decades while the south and southwest have been gaining.

The usual reason given is the fact that heavy industry left the region and there were “no jobs”.

There is something wrong with this explanation, but first some stats.
This graphic:
Chart shows how population has shifted from Cleveland. One could show similar data for Buffalo, Rochester or many other such urban centers. Detroit is an especially sad case with population down to about half of its peak.

So, people move to Arizona or New Mexico, for “jobs”. What jobs? Before people moved there the regions were desert. It’s still desert. Manufacturing didn’t relocate to these regions the way some of it did in a prior period when industries moved to the south to escape unions.

So the influx of people has to have created jobs. Of course a rising population needs services and the exurban sprawl has fueled work in the building trades, but what else?

Many of the new jobs must be in the knowledge industries. These don’t require much in the way of infrastructure, unlike steel or autos. They don’t need railroads or nearby suppliers or even supplies of water or other resources. All they need are some office buildings and a telecommunications network.

Well Cleveland has office buildings and a telecommunications network. It is just easy to build a new building in Cleveland as in Phoenix (although labor rates may be cheaper in Arizona). In addition to the lack of jobs, people cite the nice climate. But Phoenix doesn’t have a “nice” climate. It’s in the desert and no one goes outside during the summer. How is this different than Cleveland where people don’t go outside during winter blizzards?

Cleveland also has rivers, trees and four seasons. Cleveland has lots of old, affordable housing which could be revived, or replaced. Perhaps this might cost slightly more than a new exurban McMansion, but perhaps not.

So why the shift from the rust belt? I don’t have the answer, but I suspect that the glib reasons usually given are only a small part of the picture. There have to be underlying government policies which are favoring the migration. These can range from implicit subsidies of new development through tax breaks to developers though favorable support of infrastructure development. The US will pay for a new superhighway to a housing development, but won’t pay for upgrading of roads in an existing city.

So has the migration just happened or have their been some deliberate policies put in place? What happens when the water situation gets critical? Will people then start to think about moving back to compact communities where they are not dependent on cars and cheap energy?

Stay in Iraq (part 2)

 I’ve just come across this outline for a recently published book by a key military strategiest. He is both critical of the current military organization (big toys, and big armies to fight the cold war) and a fan of the neo-con Whiteman’s burden philosophy of Thomas Friedman, Francis Fukuyama and Samuel Huntington. It is quite likely that his ideas are similar to those driving the current mideast agenda.

There is no consideration in his world that, perhaps, the US should not be the policeman of the (developing) world.
Interestingly he lists a series of objectives for the Iraq occupation which are very similar to my speculations in my Original Diary.

If this is the direction that military thinking is going in then we can expect unending militarism, just with less heavy weaponry.

The Pentagon’s New Map

Stay in Iraq

The big “debate” these days is between those who say we should stay the course and those who say we should set a time table for departure.

I discuss(dismiss) both options below.

Promoted by Steven D, because the subject is one we should be debating. I don’t necessarily endorse the conclusion that rdf comes to, but I think that we, as a community, and as progressives, need to begin this debate. Therefore, I’d like to see us use this diary as a starting point for discussing what American policy toward Iraq should be, other than Bush’s frequent refrain of Stay the Course.
Some background:

The reasons given for invasion were those that the troika (Rove, Rumsfeld and Cheney) thought would sway public opinion best: WMD, 9/11, and make the world safe for democracy.

The real reasons were something like these:

  1. Replace bases lost in Saudi Arabia
  2. Install client government which would sell oil on the world market under favorable terms
  3. Intimidate neighboring Arab states
  4. Prevent China from getting long-term oil contracts in the region.

How are we doing?

  1. 17-19 bases completed or nearly completed
  2. A work in progress
  3. Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Libya all behaving “better”
  4. Accomplished. China is now making deals with secondary suppliers like those in South America

If we were to “pull out” what would happen to the region? Would the disagreements between Iran and Iraq disappear? Would the states that we have intimidated continue to behave moderately or would they revert back to their old patterns? Would the Iraqi puppet government continue to favor the west or would it collapse?

It is time to consider whether the object of permanent bases is so bad. Getting the troops out of the population centers is obviously needed, but is total withdrawal? Notice Murtha doesn’t talk about leaving he talks about “re-deployment.” This is what he means. We had bases in Saudi Arabia for decades and the troops had minimal interaction with the rest of the country, why not the same pattern in Iraq?

What’s 17 more bases when added to the 750 we already have spread around the globe?

Staying is impossible, occupations always fail eventually (look at Algeria or Vietnam).

Leaving would open the region to even more chaos.

Staying on fortified bases may be the best option. Counter arguments?
















Immigration "Facts" Debunked

With so many groups having self-serving interests in the rise
in US immigration the chance of getting impartial information is
slight. Here is my attempt to provide some data, along with my
personal opinions.

First lets discuss two of the popular themes:

  • “Immigrants are taking jobs away from Americans.”
    If this is true than why isn’t the unemployment rate going up?
    And how is it that most new immigrants find work? There may be a
    changing dynamic in the work force, but this mantra doesn’t
    explain it. The data shows that the unemployment rate various
    over time, but recent changes in immigration don’t correlate with
    the trends. This will be shown below.

    Unemployment Rate

  • “Immigrants are pushing the cost of labor down.”
    Immigration has only risen sharply within the last 10 years.
    NAFTA started in 1994.

    The stagnation in the wages and earnings of the working class
    has been going on since before Reagan. The rise in the wealth of
    the top 5% has grown significantly in the past 20 years. The
    lower sectors have not.

  • “Securing our borders will stop illegal immigration.”
    The INS estimates that roughly 40% of the illegal immigrants living in the U.S.,
    originally entered the country on non-immigrant visas
    (such as H-1B, L-1, etc.). These non-immigrants have
    become “illegal” immigrants by overstaying their visas. These people didn’t jump
    a fence or swim across the Rio Grande, they flew in and entered legally. Building
    a wall won’t change this. Tracking these people would require a national identity
    card that would have to be presented before many transactions could be completed.
    In much of the world, for example, one has to surrender one’s passport when
    booking a hotel room or register with the police as a foreign visitor. Is that
    what people mean by securing the border?

My take on the issues:

  • NAFTA has caused economic dislocation in Mexico which is
    forcing more people to migrate. Imports of corn have decimated
    the local agricultural sector and the brief rise in outsourced US
    manufacturing has ceased as these factories have now moved on to
    Asia.

  • The decline in unionization is what is responsible for the
    loss of earnings power. When union participation dropped wages
    stagnated. There is a delay in the effect caused by the existence
    of multi-year labor contracts.

    Countries which still have strong unionization show less
    disparity in the distribution of wealth.

  • Societies in decline find scapegoats to blame for their
    problems. These are always the weak, and never the cause of the
    problem. They are a good distraction, however.

The real issue is not immigration, but the loss of political
and economic power by the working and middle classes. One can
argue whether the US as a whole is in economic decline, or
whether we have just become economically imbalanced. Whichever it
is, immigration is not the problem. Poor economic, social and
industrial policies are.

Other essays of mine on related issues:


Wealth Distribution.


Do we need unions?

Sources used in this essay:
Pew
Trust Paper (PDF)

Oxfam
Paper (PDF)

Misery
Index

This essay is posted on my web site here:

Immigration “Facts” Debunked

Eliminate US Poverty

People have been offering programs to eliminate poverty for 2000 years, yet it persists in the richest country on earth. I claim the reason for poverty is that poor people don’t have enough money, it’s that simple. There are lots of ways to get more money to the poor and some, or all, have been tried at one time or another: tax breaks, reverse taxes (EITC), food stamps and other in-kind handouts, welfare payments and
better wages, among others.

Supposed we tried something that has never been done before,
guaranteeing a minimal standard of living to everyone.
A full proposal after the fold.

(crossposted at dKos)

The
country is certainly wealthy enough to afford this. The most
optimistic poverty programs don’t even approach the amount of
money being spent on Iraq, for example. Well there would be
objections about those people who don’t “deserve” it. There
would, supposedly, be a rise in free loaders. That’s OK too, we
can afford some free loaders as well. This can be kept under
control by social disapprobation. Just like Humvees are falling
out of favor with the rich, because of the visible sight of waste
it presents, those not doing their part could be made to feel
uncomfortable.

What would be the benefits? Higher incomes
would lower crime, improve health care, create a better educated
workforce and produce a reduction in class resentment.
Eliminating the expenses of crime control and remedial health
care could easily exceed the costs of the program.

What is preventing this? A distortion of the
Judeo-Christian precepts of charity. Rather than helping those
less fortunate, a mean-spirited brand of Puritanism underlies much
of political policy, and, implicitly or explicitly, seeks to punish
or blame the victims.

How could this be financed? There are any
number of ways, equalizing tax collections so that the wealthy
pay more, eliminating runaway militarism and using the money for
social programs, or taxing corporate earnings more effectively,
for example. Let’s assume that we provide, on average, $10,000 to
each of the approximately 40 million poor people in the US. This
comes to $400 billion per year. For reference this is slightly
less than the US military budget.

Crime: A recent study puts the direct costs
of crime at $105 billion and when pain and reduced quality of
life are added the number rises to $450 billion. (reference: Cost of Crime). These figures don’t include the savings from needing
a smaller police, judicial and prison system. With no economic
insecurity we can expect that what crime remains will be
motivated by greed. This type of crime is usually white collar or
involved with illicit substances and tends to result in less
violence and damage to property.

Health: For health care the figure for
economic losses due to under insurance (caused by poverty) ranges
from $65-130 billion. Reduced productivity due to health issues
is also estimated at an additional $87-126 billion. The economic
value of a diminished quality of life due to ill health is not
included. (reference:
UN Report
).

Conclusion: Just these two factors would almost pay for the
costs estimated above. When the better education and healthier
childhoods of the poor are added in it is easy to see that even
$400 billion is affordable. In addition, the existence of a
minimum standard of living for all would increase the overall
economic activity. The poor are currently under spending compared
to their needs. So the additional funds that they would receive
would be quickly recycled into the economy in terms of purchases
of goods and services.

I have written a short essay on the issues associated with
wealth (re)distribution here:
Wealth Distribution.

Abortion – a true story

One of the benefits of reading a lot of history is finding out things which can provide lessons from the past. The repressive laws and social conditions faced by women in the US before the change in attitudes led by the “women’s liberation” movement are worth studying. If things continue along the present legislative course we may be reverting to some of these repressive times again.

The story below is my paraphrase from the autobiography of Laura Z. Hobson.

She was the person that wrote the novel “Gentleman’s Agreement”, which was also turned into a popular film. For those not familiar, it was an expose of hidden anti-Semitism in housing and public accommodations in the 1930’s and 1940’s. She was married for a short period, so for most of her life she was a single professional woman, which was very unusual for the period.

During her adulthood she had two illegal abortions. The first by a back alley doctor who did it without any anesthetic and apparently did some severe internal damage. The second time went better in that she was at least anesthetized. Later she had a miscarriage which she thought was caused by the prior damage.

Finally, after adopting a child as a single woman, she eventually became pregnant and decided to have the baby. Unwed mothers were a complete no-no in those days, even for a high paid professional. So in order to keep the baby she went into hiding for months, had the baby, had it cared for by a nurse who didn’t even know who had hired her, and then, finally, six months later, “adopted” her own child with the help of a friendly doctor and lawyer.

To finance all of this subrosa activity she had to borrow large sums from some of her wealthy friends. Her success as a novelist and writer helped her pay it back. What makes her story so interesting is that she was willing to tell it at all, even though her autobiography came out when she was in her 70’s.

What I can almost certainly predict will happen if the anti-abortion efforts succeed is that there will be a return to botched abortions. At some point the daughter of a prominent politician or business leader will die from one, and people will begin to wonder if the restrictions were worth the cost. Another historical parallel is useful: Prohibition.

This was another case of a small religiously-inspired group trying to change human nature by means of legislation. It didn’t work. Alcohol consumption declined for only the first few years, and then returned to almost pre-prohibition levels. However, making alcohol illegal led to the rise of organized crime, rampant political corruption, and the bribing of public officials and the police, and a general disdain for the law by the public.

When things got bad enough the amendment was reversed. The “cure” was worse than the disease. There was a permanent effect, however. The organized crime that was funded by bootlegging didn’t go away, it became a permanent part of society and still exists in the drug trade and illegal gambling areas.

The prohibitionists lost out in a second way as well. Not only did their social engineering fail after making society worse for over a decade, but once the amendment was in place the Temperance movement died out. With their objectives met they had no issue anymore. Nobody needed to listen to their message and their fund raising ability ceased. So, if they had wished to carry on for other social causes, say, spousal abuse caused by drunkenness, they couldn’t. The same thing will happen to the religious right. If abortion is their signature issue and they “win” they will lose their base and all the other causes they are funding from the same revenue stream will lose focus.

Some of the masterminds of the movement may know this, which is why they are passing legislation that is obviously not going to withstand judicial review. The governor of South Dakota said as much: “We expect this legislation to be tied up in the courts for years to come.” In other words, they don’t want the law in place, they just want to be seen as doing what their base demands to maintain their credibility and cash cow. But, like the Temperance movement things may get away from them.

Be careful of what you wish for.

More Political Theater

The house passed the bill to take away benefits from poor people and students the other day by a two vote margin.

This was taken as a sign of Pelosi’s ability to herd the Dems together and even get a few Republicans to cross over and vote against. Actually it was an example of the “catch and release” technique the Repubs use. A handful of members with tight races were allowed to vote no once the count had been made and passage was assured.

Just more political theater (and judging from the number of pundits who misinterpreted the events, it worked).

Civil Service and the Spoils System

Once the US federal government got large enough to need a force of employees the issue arose of how to fill these offices. Starting with Andrew Jackson the practice became one of handing out positions to political allies. Friendship, cronyism and the like played a role. For example, both Herman Melville and Nathaniel Hawthorne had civil service jobs awarded on the basis of political influence.

The problems with this system got continually worse and by the 1870’s it was clear that a change was needed. This culminated in 1883 with the Civil Service Reform Act which established the federal Civil Service Commission. But, putting government jobs in the hands of a professional bureaucracy would deprive political parties of an important perquisite to offer their supporters. So, the top level jobs remained reserved for political appointees. There was even some justification for this. It was claimed that the new president would need people that he trusted and who shared his policy objectives in order to work effectively.

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Things ran along pretty well, although there was lots of political humor directed at the appointment of ambassadors, especially to out-of-the-way countries. Big contributors would try to select the country they wished as a condition of the gift.

Technocrats like Carter and Clinton took the task of selecting knowledgeable people for the operational positions seriously, setting up groups to find and evaluate candidates. The cronies were mostly reserved for the top jobs. The emphasis was on expertise first and political affiliation second. The level of political contribution was not an important factor.

Under the present administration this all changed. With the cost of elections so high the number of people who were owed a payback mushroomed. Rather than have a technical selection committee, jobs were filled from lists recommended by the biggest political contributors. The result has been disastrous. Not only are the heads of departments political hacks, but so are their staffs, the exact people that are really supposed to do the real work. It is almost pointless to cite examples, there are so many: starting with the Iraq occupation team, FEMA, the FDA, the EPA and even NASA.

Another factor is the anti-intellectualism of Bush. As he has said many times himself he judges people on an emotional level. Without the technocratic infrastructure he has only two options available to him. He can “peer into their soul” as he said he did with Putin, or he can rely on the advice of those with whom he has already established an emotional relationship. The result is that people like Grover Norquist and Jack Abramhoff get their political buddies appointed. People like Wolfowitz get their wonk buddies appointed.

Unfortunately, for us and the world, too many of these appointees are in over their heads and we have seen the results: chaos in Iraq and the Gulf Coast, increased global warming and dependence on obsolete energy policies, and a rise in epidemic diseases. The rich may feel they are all protected from dislocation and thus, the spread of an incompetent bureaucracy won’t affect them. Perhaps Trent Lott would now like to consider his thoughts on the need for disaster planning as he views his destroyed Gulf Coast home.

Even high walls won’t protect these groups from a pandemic. It is time to bring the costs of incompetence and cronyism to the fore as both a political and social issue. Maybe it is time for a new civil service reform law as well.