(OR, WHY SCOOTER WILL NEVER GET TO TRIAL)
Gadfly is Marty Aussenberg, a columnist for the weekly Memphis Flyer. Marty is a former SEC enforcement official, currently in private law practice in Memphis, Tennessee. (A full bio is below the fold.) This is an expanded version of the column published at The Memphis Flyer.
Now that Scooter Libby has done his crutch-assisted version of the perp hop for his arraignment, the second biggest question on everyone’s mind in the CIA leak case (the first, of course, being a multiple choice one of whether Karl Rove will either (a) be indicted, (b) resign, (c) both, (d) apologize and throw himself on the mercy of the American people, or (d) none of the above), is whether Libby’s case will go to trial. I have already weighed in on this question, in no uncertain terms.
Much has been made of the fact that Libby has now “lawyered up” with the addition of two prominent criminal defense attorneys, Theodore Wells and William Jeffress, Jr., both of whom accompanied Libby to his arraignment, and one of whom, Wells, made what could only be described as a resounding pronouncement on the courthouse steps that
in pleading not guilty, he has declared to the world that he is innocent, he has declared that he intends to fight the charges in the indictment, and he has declared that he wants to clear his good name and he wants a jury trial.
YEAH, RIGHT! This is the same kind of speech every criminal defendant’s lawyer gives who, for whatever reason, hasn’t worked out a deal for his client before he’s been indicted. It goes hand in glove with the “innocent until proven guilty,” flag-waving pablum everyone spouts about the accused, even if they really believe he’s guilty (which most people usually do). But here, because Libby has hired two “trial lawyers,” one of whom has made a stentorian speech about his client’s innocence and desire to clear his name, the uninitiated are assuming it must mean he really does want to go to trial. Nothing could be farther from the truth, and the fact that accomplished trial lawyers have been hired is the strongest evidence of that.
Continued below:
As in all adversary legal proceedings, where each party is represented by counsel, there is a stage of the proceeding (sometimes more than one) where the parties’ lawyers do what I call the “war dance.” It’s a bit like what goes on in the animal kingdom when two beasts who have come to loggerheads square off against each other and strut their stuff in an effort to convince their adversary it would be a mistake to rumble.
So, one party bellows, followed by the other; then one party thumps the table, followed by the other, and so on. And, of course, the more credibly each participant in the “war dance” struts his stuff, the more they may be able to avoid, or at least mitigate, the inevitability of a rumble. Sometimes that means the party that brandishes the biggest weapon during this stage of the preliminaries, can walk away without having to fire a shot. And big guns require big (read: expensive) gunslingers. That, my friends, is also why high profile criminal defendants hire high power defense lawyers.
What’s happened so far in the Libby criminal proceedings is that the prosecutor has had his opportunity to bellow and thump the table (with the indictment and during his press conference announcing the indictment), and now Libby’s lawyers have had the same opportunity (Mr. Wells’ pronouncement on the courthouse steps). Libby has now said to Fittzgerald, “OK, Mr. Big Stuff Prosecutor; my defense team can beat your prosecution team any day of the week” (or in GWB vernacular, “bring it on”). Now the parties will retreat to their separate corners and, yes, go through the motions of preparing for trial.
But let me assure you, behind the scenes there will be some intense negotiations between the government and Libby’s lawyers to enter into some kind of plea agreement. And, those negotiations will get even more intense as Libby’s defense team finds out what the evidence against their client is, which they will. Key in those discussions will be whether Libby will rat out his boss, the Vice President, or lead prosecutors to where any other bodies may be buried in the whole Wilson/Plame debacle (i.e., the Italian connection). But even if he doesn’t turn on his boss, his boss may turn on him, trying to force him to cop some kind of plea to lesser, or limited charges, in order to avoid a full-blown trial. In fact, most criminal defendants (96% in 2003) choose to plead guilty or no contest.
But don’t kid yourself. Just because Libby has hired “trial” attorneys, or even these particular ones, doesn’t mean they won’t be doing everything they can to explore ways in which they can avoid going to trial, not because they’re afraid to, but because they know the risks and costs of doing so.
For example, one of Mr. Wells’ most prominent clients was the famed junk bond king, Michael Milken. Milken, who, despite the same kinds of pronouncements of innocence and intended vindication at the time of the indictments (which included 98 counts of racketeering, and securities fraud, among others), didn’t go to trial. Instead, the prosecutor in the case, Rudy Giuliani (back before he started making the big bucks) and Milken’s lawyers, including Mr. Wells, entered into a plea agreement under which Milken eventually served 22 months in federal prison, paid $600 million in fines and restitution and agreed to be barred from the securities industry for life. Some bargain, eh?
And Mr. Jeffress? One of his high profile criminal clients was the CEO of the drug chain, Rite-Aid,, Martin Glass. Glass was indicted on numerous counts of securities fraud, mail fraud, wire fraud, conspiracy, perjury and obstruction of justice. Instead of going to trial, he pleaded to two conspiracy charges, and payment of a $500,000 fine, and was sentenced to an eight-year jail term.
I mention these two examples (and I assume there are probably others) in the case of Libby’s new legal team only to point out that just because these are hot-shot trial lawyers doesn’t mean they aren’t more than able and willing to pack their trial weapons in, and go for the best deal they can possibly get for their client. This is especially so, given the effect of plea bargains on the federal sentencing guidelines (one of which has substantially increased the time required to be served for the crime of obstruction of justice), and the ability to have more say about which of the “glamor slammers” one gets to go to when one plays ball with the prosecutors.
The simple fact is that in any criminal prosecution, but even more so in this one, both the stakes and the costs are simply too high to Libby (and to the people for whom he’s acting as the patsy) to go all the way. The proceedings leading up to and including a trial for a very high profile defendant can easily run into seven figures, and sometimes higher. And, while no price may be too great to pay for freedom, a well-negotiated plea agreement that obviates the pain, suffering and financial distress associated with going all the way through a trial, even if it may be at the expense of some kind of negotiated punishment, is almost always better than going “all the way.” No, my friends, there will be no trial for Scooter Libby.
P.S. Let’s also remember, by way of explaining why a trial in this case will never happen, that if worse comes to worst, and it really looks like Libby’s case is going to go to trial, and that Cheney (and who knows who else the White House doesn’t want to testify) might actually have to testify, there are at least three other alternatives available to the powers that be: first, given the White house code of “omerta,”
They can promise Scooter that if he takes the fall, and even if he goes to prison for it, they’ll make sure he’s “taken care of” when he gets out; second, they can always involuntarily (and permanently) put Libby in one or another (official or otherwise) witness “protection” program and third, if all else fails, they can always send him to one of the recently-disclosed CIA secret prisons, where they’ll never have to worry about seeing him appear in a courtroom in the District of Columbia (or any other courtroom, for that matter), ever again. Remember (wink, wink), those “detainees” are innocent until proven guilty too.
Mr. Aussenberg is an attorney practicing in his own firm in Memphis, Tennessee. He began his career in the private practice of law in Memphis after relocating from Washington, D.C., where he spent five years at the Securities and Exchange Commission as a Special Counsel and Trial Attorney in its Enforcement Division, during which time he handled or supervised the investigation and litigation of several significant cases involving insider trading, market manipulation, and management fraud. Prior to his stint at the S.E.C., he was an Assistant Attorney General with the Pennsylvania Department of Banking in Philadelphia and was the Attorney-In-Charge of Litigation for the Pennsylvania Securities Commission, where, in addition to representing that agency in numerous state trial and appellate courts, he successfully prosecuted the first case of criminal securities fraud in the state’s history.
Mr. Aussenberg’s private practice has focused primarily on investment, financial, corporate and business counseling, litigation and arbitration and regulatory proceedings. He has represented individual, institutional and governmental investors, as well as brokerage firms and individual brokers, in securities and commodities-related matters, S.E.C., NASD and state securities regulatory proceedings, and has represented parties in shareholder derivative, class action and multi-district litigation, as well as defending parties in securities, commodities, and other “white-collar” criminal cases.
Mr. Aussenberg received his J.D. degree from the University of Pittsburgh School of Law, and his B.A. degree in Honors Political Science from the University of Pittsburgh. Immediately following law school, he served as a Reginald Heber Smith Community Lawyer Fellow with the Delaware County Legal Assistance Association in Chester, Pennsylvania.
He is admitted to practice in Tennessee, Pennsylvania and the District of Columbia, before the United States Supreme Court, the Third and Sixth Circuit Courts of Appeals, and the United States Tax Court, as well as federal district courts in Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana. He is an arbitrator for the NASD, New York Stock Exchange and American Arbitration Association, has published articles (“Stockbroker Fraud: This Kind of Churning Doesn’t Make Butter”, Journal of the Tennessee Society of C.P.A.’s,; Newsletter of the Arkansas Society of C.P.A.’s; Hoosier Banker (Indiana Bankers Association), and been a featured speaker on a variety of topics at seminars in the United States and Canada, including: Municipal Treasurers Association of the United States and Canada, Ottawa, Canada; Government Finance Officers Association; National Institute of Municipal Law Officers, Washington, D.C. ; Tennessee Society of Certified Public Accountants, Memphis, TN; Tennessee Association of Public Accountants, Memphis, TN (1993)
.
Mr. Aussenberg has two children, a daughter who is a graduate of Columbia University and holds a Masters in Public Health from Johns Hopkins University and is currently a student at the University of Pittsburgh School of Law, and a son who is a graduate of Brown University and is working with a conservation organization in Marin County, California while he decides what to do with the rest of his life.
Mr. Aussenberg is an avid golfer whose only handicap is his game, an occasional trap shooter whose best competitive score was a 92, and an even less frequent jazz drummer.
PMS = the Pardon Me Strategy
The question is not whether there will be pardons, but whether they will be pre-trial or post-trial.
I am wagering the pardon for Libby will be pre-trial. Remember, Papa Bush covered up his very deep involvement in the Iran-Contra Scandal by pardon former Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger before he could be put on trial.
What Libby will do is offer to squeal like a piggie unless Bush pardons him. Libby will then gratefully shut up regarding Cheney, Bush, et al.
Rove, too, will be pardoned, as will anybody else who can implicate Bush in this sorry mess.
Without the damning testimon of Libby and Rove, Cheney will be able to avoid indictment and impeachment and Bush will be able to avoid further embarrassment (I don’t think it’s very likely Bush will be impeached unless the Democrats take back the House in the 2006 mid-terms).
Yes, the Pardon Me Strategy may well backfire. But Bush and Cheney can NOT–repeat, can NOT–allow the true extent of their treason be known to the public. The public may always have their suspicions, but must never have the facts in hand. The Bush dynasty must continue. The public have a damnably short memory and will happily cast ballots (or the ballots will be cast for them) for Jeb Bush.
Jeb in 2012!
please? and share it far and wide!
Gadfly – Mr. Aussenberg, I really love your stuff, and I’m glad you have graced us with it here at Booman Tribune.
I agree with all your content here – there will be no trial for scoot-scoot.
I agree with you, blueneck. And I’m surprised that Jeffrey Toobin said, several times on CNN, that he’s 05% sure that Libby will go all the way to trial.
It depends on the judge, a few rulings, some behind the scenes power plays. Looking back at Watergate and the history of the incredible power of the Bushies, anything is possible. The gang that never admits they were wrong about anything seems unlikely to admit criminal wrongdoing. It might <gasp!> embolden their enemies.
Can anyone imagine Tom DeLay pleading to anything? Nope. I expect Scooter to go down kicking and screaming while the Limbaughs, the O’Reilly’s and the Hannity’s re-write history.
Woah. How about an excerpt?
No way, baby. I don’t want a piece of it, I want the WHOLE THING.
‘Evidence of Conspiracy’
Mr. Walsh hinted that Mr. Bush’s pardon of Mr. Weinberger and the President’s own role in the affair could be related. For the first time, he charged that Mr. Weinberger’s notes about the secret decision to sell arms to Iran, a central piece of evidence in the case against the former Pentagon chief, included “evidence of a conspiracy among the highest ranking Reagan Administration officials to lie to Congress and the American public.”
Bush is a chip off the old block.
and the scary thing is that compared to shrubya, Poppy is a moderate, reasonable decent man!
I would disagree with this — I think Poppy just has a nicer facade.
Not nicer, but slicker. Poppy doesn’t have any of Barbara’s genes to dumb him down, like President Katrina does. And it’s no wonder Poppy fooled around on “beautiful mind”, she’s the meanest woman to ever occupy the title of First Lady.
Or is that a snark?
Bush Sr. is a very GOOD bad man.
He’s good at it.
“Moderate” and “reasonable” only in making damned sure that he doesn’t get caught.
Junior is just an asshole.
No talent.
AG
i didn’t say that poppy is good or decent of any of those things.
i said that “compared to shrubya” he is those things…
QUESTION for Marty:
Would you speculate about the judge’s actions the other day? He didn’t schedule a status hearing…. there’s a hearing in February, I forget what for.
Is the judge simply allowing enough time for all of the attorneys’ applications for classified access, etc? Or is he giving Fitzgerald more time to develop more indictments and/or use Libby to do so?
Under the rules of the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, http://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/LocalRulesEditedMarch2004.pdf, all cases are assigned to a single judge. That means when
the case first came up for assignment (i.e., as soon as the indictment was filed with the clerk’s office) a judge
was selected (by a random draw) to be assigned to it. That judge will ride the case through to its conclusion, absent some unusual circumstance.
If F indicts other persons, would they automatically go in front of the same judge? At what point in the process of Libby’s case would it be impossible (practically) to put his new co-defendant on trial with him? I mulling a thesis about why F might be wanting to use sequential individual trials to get his defendants.
your writing on this has been most edifying. quick question: is reggie walton Liebby’s judge for now and ever more through the process or did he just do the arraignment?
See my immediately preceding comment.
A snippet from Jane Hamsher at firedoglake:
Mr. Dean has said almost exactly what I said, a week ago, in a posting on this site, entitled “Fitz’s Knuckle Ball”:
“Under the applicable federal rule, indictments are only required to be a “plain, concise, and definite written statement of the essential facts constituting the offense charged.” The rule goes further to say indictments “need not contain a formal introduction or conclusion.
The Libby indictment goes considerably beyond what the rule requires, or even envisions. It is what’s called, in courthouse vernacular, a “speaking indictment.” The purpose of a “speaking” filing, in any court proceeding, is to show the other side some of the stronger cards you’re holding in your hand, and this indictment is no exception.”
Huh.
I don’t see an e-mail address for him. He should be told.
i searched and searched for it once. out of curiosity, why do you think he needs to be told of gadfly’s post?
GREAT diary!
Thanks for posting this.
Reading the above comment from Susanhu, I trekked over to Dean’s blog and want to add this snippet here:
How long can Libby stall? Realistically, speaking, when do you predict the pardon?
Fitzgerald has moved far faster than Walsh (the special prosecutor who went after the Iran Contra traitors).
I would expect Libby might, through many legal machinations, delay the start of his trial for six months, perhaps nine months, perhaps as long as a year…but the trial will be scheduled to start around the time of the 2006 midterm elections.
Rove, if indicted, wouldn’t be tried until about that time, as well.
So it is actually to Bush’s advantage for Libby, Rove, et al, to have their trials scheduled as soon as possible so that he can issue the pardons and get them out of the way.
Now, the BIG question is: how loyal are Libby and Rove to their bosses? Will they go to prison for Bush and Cheney, or offer to rat them out to avoid wearing orange jumpsuits?
I’m guessing Libby may NOT be a rat. Rove? Who knows? Karl is a hard core fanatic.
An alternative scenario is that Bush and Cheney assess that the information that will come out in Libby’s and Rove’s trials will not be so damaging as to result in their impeachment–and that therefore they can risk having Libby and Rove being convicted. The appeals process will drag out until after the 2008 elections, which means Rove and Libby would be free on bond, and then Bush can issue blanket pardons for all concerned. So neither Scooter nor Karl would spend a day in jail, although many a day in court.
I don’t know if you have seen citizenspook’s weblog, but I have been following it closely, and I think everyone should put this guy on their bookmark list. I’d love it if another real lawyer would look at his stuff and tell me what they think.
I think the site does a good job of exploring the available material and making cutting edge comments on the ongoing saga.
Man that’s a depressing article. No wonder Libby looks so smug.
Are the reason Bush II would not let Reagan’s or Bush 1 papers be published.
That’s right. Iran Contra was treason of the highest order.
Saint Ronnie escaped the noose, but Lawrence Walsh had Poppy Bush’s hide nailed (almost) to the wall when that holdover from the divine right of kings, the presidential power of pardon, allowed Bush Senior to rescue his dynasty from lasting disgrace.
It’s trickier for Bush Junior, though–notice that Poppy issued those pardons after Clinton had already won the election of 1992 and was on his way to being inaugurated (25 December 1992)–thus Poppy had nothing to lose and much to gain by pardoning these six traitors and criminals.
However, Scooter Libby can’t delay his trial until December 2008…which means Bush will have to pardon Libby with 2-3 years left on his presidency. IF the American public are paying attention, and IF the opposition party can hang together, there WILL be a political price to pay for Bush’s pardoning of his felonious (and treasonous) friends.
But thanks to the power of presidential pardons, once again a Bush will cover up his high crimes and treason, and we will never, ever know ALL the truth.
Having followed this shit from the beginning, I’ve been concerned about pardons as well. The one thing that has given me hope, though, is that Fitzgerald seems to be well aware of the history.
For instance, one of the other big problems back then was that congress conducted its own investigation and granted immunity to many of the witnesses in exchange for their testimony. Now, Fitzgerald has specifically asked congress not to investigate until he is finished.
That link to the deer pics is a nice touch. 🙂
2006 is going to be such a fun year: DeLay, Abramoff, Libby, Frist and on and on…so much slime to campaign against. If the Dems lose, I give up.
You know, I’d like to read Mr. Aussenberg’s biography. Unfortunately the picture of the hat and sunglasses obscures a great deal of it. (Is there actually a real face under those accessories?)
Could someone arrange to stop obscuring the text with the almost totally uninformative photograph?
but in firefox, his bio appears in a scroll box thingie, with his hat on the left and the text on the right. i can read it all.
The latest IE.
I can’t get Blogger to work with Firefox, so I haven’t switched.
My dear Gadfly;
Your irreverent essays have reached even my walled retreat, and stirred senile servants to perfidy, if not mutiny, caused the untimely death of two of my food tasters, and grievously offended my peace. Polity is not your strong suit.
What new spirit stalks the land? It reeks of uninvited inquiry and untrammeled investigation. Men in boulder hats and shades, and bereaved women in roadside ditches, alike intone a dire dirge on the deserved downfall of white male privilege. This saddens me, since my ensemble of stock certificates grows tumescent only by the quarterly kindness of these scions of the Boardroom.
They’ve never disappointed, whereas spinsters and sharecroppers, widows and wage earners, grubbing their way through the month, call for constant coercion lest they fail to feed me first.
I would castigate and call thee out, sirrah, were it safe to leave my gated environs. Alas, hispanics and nigerians abound hereabouts, openly exercising unheard of liberties in the egregious exuberance my grandfather feared even unto his deathbed.
At this rate, the South will not rise again in my lifetime, and my grandson will receive the quest unfinished in his turn.
Prithee, put your pen aside. Pray tell what sum will silence your insouciance, and turn your tongue to terms of endearment for our Dear Leader?
Think tanks abound; talking points tell tens of millions how to walk and squawk. The job is clearly not beyond your talents. When all real wealth comes only through shenanigans — why not take up the white man’s burden anew, and take in treasure for doing so?
Or will you continue to wallow in egalitarian folly?
Your most humble servant,
etcetera and etcetera,
PS. Do not reply by post. That’s how they got the dog.
Us.
The REAL independent press.
The Bush I pardons “worked” because he got away with them.
Because there was not NEARLY enough attention drawn to them.
Because the mainstream media had already been fairly well co-opted by then AND THE WAS NO CITIZEN PRESS TO RAISE HELL.
But there IS now.
Like I said…us.
Believe it.
This imperfect, messy, uncontrollable blog system is the most revolutionary thing to hit the US since the youth movements of the ’60s + ’70s.
And MUCH more likely to last and have some real effect on what goes down in the halls and back rooms of power than that easily co-opted and chemically fueled youth movement.
Unless they actually close down the free internet.,..and don’t you bet they wish that they could afford to do so…never again will people be able to run their games safe from THOUSANDS of prying eyes.
And minds.
Minds that communicate publicly.
Day in and day out.
And THAT COMMUNICATION…which is growing at a geometric rate and shows no signs whatsoever of slowing down…is progressively driving the media further and further up the wall of truth. The media CANNOT stonewall the way they did, because there is an alternative. A FREE alternative. And once that media stonewall is breached…even by small cracks like Air America and the Daily Show and MSNBC’s cautious little forays into the realities of the situation…then après ce, le déluge. The rest of the MSM then MUST tell the story or be scooped. And being scooped means lost ratings. And lost ratings mean fired bosses. Who have only been “loyal” to the PermaGov line because they were paid…in dollars, in power, in access (and in excess as well, of course)…and will (MUST…their creditors demand it) jump ship at just that point.
Like now with the Fitzgerald/Libby thing.
Nor can this form of info sharing be easily co-opted. When that attempt is made…as I believe it has been on dKos to some degree…the information, the ideas just pop up somewhere ELSE on the net, and THOSE URLs go into the the bookmark files of the aware and the adept. They CANNOT pin us down.
Buy a controlling interest in say 5 networks and 4 publications in the US and you control the media. That’s it. Game over. Starting even the SMALLEST competing media is a big bucks financial crapshoot. (See Air America for more on THAT idea.)
But here? On the net?
IT’S FREE!!!
So what happens if Bush II begins mass pardons? Or even HINTS that he might?
A HUGE outcry on the net. Which will threaten to spill over into the MSM very quickly. Which will absolutely RUIN the Ratpub Party and its corporate controllers. Who will step in. One way or another.
Because…
It’s bad for business.
They will dump the Delays, the Libbys, the Roves, the Cheneys and the Bushes and the Rumsfelds…who are THEMSELVES only hired overseers for the TRULY wealthy…in a Wall Street minute.
Any which way they have to.
Bet on it.
“It’s true, Addison. Good help is hard to come by these days. Going to Gstaad this season?”
And move on to a kinder, gentler larceny.
Which is all most of us want, anyway.
Now the lawyers among us…and there is no knee-jerk anti-lawyer thing in what I say here because I come from a whole FAMILY of lawyers, many of whom are VERY aware of what is happening, on certain levels…these lawyers are bounded to some degree by their profession and extensive education. They cannot see the woods for the subpoenas, sometimes.
“The law says that Bush can pardon whomever he wishes to pardon, so he will.”
Not so fast, Lawbook Breath. (Thank you, Johnny Carson.)
As I wrote here recently regarding Cheney’s real predicament,
Not rule of law…that is just an empty vehicle without popular approval. And “popular approval” has turned. The system that Rove put into place over the last 12 years or so…the dirty tricks/media control system…has finally broken down.
And it is us that did the breaking.
OUR light that has been shined into all the dirty, nasty little insect infested nooks and crannies of this system and outed the Gannons and the DeLays and the Roves and the Cheneys and the others that thrive there. They are ALLERGIC to light, these people, and for the last 15 years or so…more like 45 or 60, when you really look at it…they have BOUGHT darkness by buying the media and then controlling what is covered.
That is now over.
Watch.
The pardon card is no longer an ace.
More like a 5 or a 6.
And there are new players at the table.
Demanding a fresh deck and a new deal.
Watch.
And BET on it.
I am.
AG
Bush pardons everybody who can implicate him and Cheney.
The press sweeps it under the rug.
Business as usual.
Look to what happened with the Iran-Contra pardons–when the Democrats were a lot stronger as an opposition party–as a guide to what will happen now.
Remember, Bush doesn’t have to run for re-election, and he’s President for three more years.
It’s very doubtful that Bush would be impeached even if the Democrats take back both houses of Congress in the 2006 elections–particularly when much of the evidence is in the hands of Libby and Rove, and arrangements will be made, shall we say, so that they will not tell all they know.
Sure, Bush is politically damaged from here on in, but removed from office? Nope.