I’m sure many of you probably saw last night’s edition of 60 Minutes in which reporter Scott Pelley interviewed, among others, Prof. Tim Kusky, Greg Meffert, a city planner, and Mike Centineo, the city’s top building official about the reconstruction of New Orleans. The news, of course, is not good.
It also appears that state and local officials had also tried to pressure CBS to postpone this program for fear of losing future investment or funds. Andy Kopplin, the executive director of the Louisiana Recovery Authority wrote 60 Minutes requesting that it delay the showing until it discussed the matter with other scientists who have been closely studying the issue. He professed himself satisfied with the show as indicated by Bayou Buzz, yet asked for another show that would describe the restoration and condition of the coastal wetlands. However Time.com, in its “Pulse of America” series, also had a report on the creeping approach of the Gulf of Mexico, and the inability of the Mississippi River delta to support the city for some time:
The upshot is that New Orleans has been sinking as much as 3 ft. a century. That’s bad news for a city that is already an average of 8 ft. below sea level. Making things worse: sea levels worldwide are rising as much as 3 ft. a century on account of global warming. The lower New Orleans plunges, the worse it will be when the big one hits.
Then there was the now-famous 2002 series that the Times-Picayune published, including the fact that New Orleans was sinking. Science Daily, quoting United States Geological Survey officials and University of New Orleans scientists in 2000, said almost the same thing, titling its report and New Orleans as “The New Atlantis.”
University of New Orleans coastal geologist Dr. Shea Penland and coastal geomorphologist Dr. Denise Reed have spent their careers (combined 40 years) figuring out exactly what is driving this catastrophic condition. Their research has identified the specific problems jeopardizing the future of New Orleans and southern Louisiana. “We have the greatest coastal land loss problem in North America. This is more than a serious problem . . . it’s a catastrophic one. We’re living on the verge of a coastal collapse,” warns Dr. Penland.
[…]
New Orleans is sinking three feet per century–eight times faster than the worldwide rate of only 0.4 feet per century. Currently, New Orleans, on average, is eight feet below sea level–11 feet in some places.
Many of the low-lying barrier islands will disappear by 2050.
Well, the big one has already hit. And now we are dealing with the immediate aftermath.
While the city has largely dried out, residents who have returned still cannot receive temporary trailers from FEMA. Many survivors cannot bury their dead. Many are too poor to return. FEMA refuses to assist thousands who are still in temporary shelters, hotels, motels and housing after next Thursday, December 1. And people like 81-year-old Vera Fulton and her family still want to live in New Orleans.
Vera Fulton has lived most of her 81 years on Lizardi Street and returned to her home recently for the first time since being evacuated.
“When they say `storm,’ I leave. I can’t swim and I can’t drink it. So what I do, I leave,” says Vera, who has lost her home to two hurricanes.
Vera is intent on coming back. “I don’t have no other home, where I’m going?”
Three generations of Fultons, Vera’s son Irvin Jr., his wife Gay and their son Irvin, 3rd, live around Lizardi Street.
Irvin says his house is “just flat” and he didn’t have insurance.
That’s the dilemma. The only thing they have left is land prone to disaster. They want to rebuild, and the city plans to let them.
And most probably, on their own.
Many of New Orleans working poor managed to become homeowners, with homes passed down to children and relatives despite redlining, discrimination, substandard housing, and outright displacement. Some had home and flood insurance, while some did not. Even if they were not homeowners, the same practice was true for those who rented housing, no matter what condition it was in. Many flats and houses in New Orleans were already substandard. They were allowed to totter because of absentee landlords who patched up rather than rebuild or renovate for their black tenants.
For example, my aunt and cousins were forced to patch the roof of the flat in which they lived themselves because their landlord is still MIA or refuses to answer their phone calls. Before Katrina, I knew that someone from a particular family would always be living upstairs from my old address, long after my grandparents–who were the original landlords when they arrived there nearly sixty years ago–had died. Now that tie to the past is broken. I would not be surprised if the old house is bulldozed. The foundation was already troubled, causing the lower level (where my family once lived) to flood. The house, essentially, was allowed to rot. Of course, this did not have to happen. It was deliberate, and it was because of where it was, and who was living in or around it.
Asked whether allowing people to rebuild makes sense, Centenio says it is “going to take some studying.”
Right now, he says the flood level requirement (the 100-year-flood level) is the law.
Twelve weeks after the storm hit, no one has an answer to where people should go. An estimated 80,000 homes had no insurance, and for now, the biggest grant a family can get from the federal government is $26,200.
Those without flood insurance face an uncertain road ahead, trying to piece their lives and homes back together.
But then again, there is the larger issue. Mrs. Fulton may not have many years left to live. Her house may pass to her son, who lost his own nearby home and did not have insurance on it. Unfortunately, the date of 2050 may have people wondering whether this is worth it. This is where Irvin Fulton, III comes in, if he decides to stay in this house. Because when the outlying bayous, lands and islands off New Orleans disappear, then that means that higher ground in New Orleans will be at a premium. The 60 Minutes showed that for a couple of islands, this has already occurred.
I’d like to see New Orleans rebuild, with its predominantly black residents given the right of return, according to a recent Black Commentator story:
African American Leadership Project
& The New Orleans Local Organizing Committee
& The Greater New Orleans Coalition of MinistersNew Orleans Citizen Bill of Rights’
- All displaced persons should maintain the “Right of Return” to New Orleans as an International “Human Right.” A persons’ socioeconomic status, class, employment, occupation, educational level, neighborhood residence, or how they were evacuated should have no bearing on this fundamental right. This right shall include the provision of adequate transportation to return to the city by the similar means that a person was dispersed. THE CITY SHOULD NOT BE DEPOPULATED OF ITS MAJORITY AFRICAN-AMERICAN AND LOWER INCOME CITIZENS, and must be rebuilt to economically include all those who were displaced.
- All displaced persons must retain their right of citizenship in the city, especially including the right to vote in the next municipal elections. Citizen rights to the franchise must be protected and widely explained to all dispersed persons. The provisions of the Civil Rights Act of 1965 should be examined and enforced in this regard.
- All displaced persons should have the right to shape and envision the future of the city. Shaping the future should not be left to elected officials, appointed commissions, developers and/or business interests alone. We the citizens are the primary stakeholders of a re-imagined New Orleans. Thus, we MUST be directly involved in imagining the future. Provisions must be included to insure this right.
- All displaced persons should have the right to participate in the rebuilding of the city as owners, producers, providers, planners, developers, workers, and direct beneficiaries. Participation must especially include African-Americans and the poor, and those previously excluded from the development process.
- In rebuilding the city, all displaced persons should have the right to quality goods and services based on equity and equality. Disparities and inequality must be eliminated in all aspects of social, economic and political life. It should be illegal to discriminate against an individual due to their income, occupation or educational status, in addition to the traditional categories of race, gender, religion, language, disability, culture or other social status.
- In rebuilding the city, all displaced persons should have the right to affordable neighborhoods, quality affordable housing, adequate health care, good schools, repaired infrastructures, a livable environment and improved transportation and hurricane safety.
- In rebuilding the city, workers, especially hospitality workers should have the right to be paid a livable wage with good benefits.
- In rebuilding the city, African-American should have the right to increased economic benefits and ownership. The percentage of Black owned enterprises MUST dramatically increase from the present 14%, and the access to wealth and ownership must also be dramatically improved.
- In rebuilding the city, African-Americans and any displaced low income populations should have the right to preferential treatment in cleanup jobs, construction and operational work associated with rebuilding the city.
- In rebuilding the city, the right to contracting preference should also be given to Community Development collaboratives, community and faith-based corporations/organizations, and New Orleans businesses that partner with nonprofit service providers and people of color. No contracts should be let to companies that disregard Davis-Bacon, Affirmative action and local participation. Proposed legislation to create a “recovery opportunity zone” should specifically include Community Development organizations and minority firms as alternatives to the no bid multi-national companies. Over the last 30 years, such firms have demonstrated their capacity to successfully build hundreds of thousands of quality affordable housing, and neighborhood commercials and businesses and service enterprises.
- In rebuilding the city, priority must be given to the right to an environmentally clean and hurricane safe city, rather than the destruction of Black neighborhoods or communities such as the Lower 9th Ward. Priority must also be given to environmental justice, disaster planning and evacuation plans that work for the most transit dependent populations and the most vulnerable residents of the city.
- In rebuilding the city, priority must be given to the right to preserve and continue the rich and diverse cultural traditions of the city, and the social experiences of Black people that produced the culture. The second line, Mardi Gras Indians, brass bands, creative music, dance foods, language and other expressions are the “soul of the city.” The rebuilding process must preserve these traditions. THE CITY MUST NOT BE CULTURALLY, ECONOMICALLY OR SOCIALLY GENTRIFIED. INTO A “SOULLESS” COLLECTION OF CONDOS AND tract home NEIGHBORHOODS FOR THE RICH. We also respectfully request that the CBC initiate its own Commission to thoroughly investigate all aspects of the physical and human dimensions of the Katrina disaster.
I don’t know whether this right of return could be implemented with the powers-that-be currently in government, and I don’t mean just Mayor Nagin and Governor Blanco. Some, as you might already realize, are already planning how New Orleans is going to look, and it won’t be the same. Supposedly Cokie (Boggs) Roberts, the daughter of the late congressman came to New Orleans herself, and marveled how few blacks were in the city, much less people. How does the city rebuild and flourish against the elements?
If New Orleans is that important to the United States, then the U.S. should marshal its scientific community to come up with a few answers about how to save it. New Orleans is more than just a place where people can party in the Quarter. It is an historic site. The Venetians and the Italians know this; Venice sits out on the Adriatic and its streets have been flooded for centuries, and yet it still goes on. It has a few strategies to fight back the encroaching sea. This was the result of a concerted effort that acknowledges the city’s importance. But time is running out for both world cities.
Meffert has some clear feelings on whether the nation should commit billions of dollars and several years to protect the city.
“Is it commit or invest? I mean this is the thing that that people miss. The country has to decide whether it really is what we tell the world what we are. Or are we just saying that? Because if we are that powerful, if we are that focused, if we are that committed to all of our citizens, then there is no decision to make. Of course you rebuild it,” says Meffert.
But how to make the impossible possible? We’ve already committed the sin of being long on vision but short on implementation. And one more false move, either by the bureaucracy or the elements could indeed wreck the city for all time.
It’s so sad.
My people are buried there.
I guess this is what the Buddhists mean by lessening detachment.
Residents Say Levee Leaked Months Before Katrina (If you miss it on the radio, then return to this link–the audio will be available at a/b 10AM)
A snippet:
Here’s more, w/ my comments:
They’re going to be talking about why Nawlins fell…I advise anyone interested to tune in this program. Check your local listings.
I completely forgot! Thanks for reminding me.
Well, you know I’m gonna recommend…!
:<)
Have the planners, officials, etc. in New Orleans looked to Amsterdam for examples of how to structure and protect the city? This is NOT a time for them to sniff about not needing international models and such.
But to get even deeper, it seems to me there are two entirely different questions when asked if New Orleans should be re-built. There’s the environmental aspect: the city has been sinking (I just didn’t know the rate, and it’s alarming), it has been losing coastal protection; global warming is, has been and continues to be an issue. And considering how we wreck the environment on the regular, it’s kinda scary to really be smacked in the face with the consequences of those actions.
But then there’s the unmistakable racial/political aspect. You can literally hear the Richard Bakers and Cokie Roberts of the world hoping against hope that the Black folks don’t come back. Maybe they’ll issue domestic H(1)(b) visas so they have folks to cook, clean and play music on the plantation steps.
Or just rescind the requisite amendments in the Constitution. They always seemed to favor the strict constructionist view, anyway.
Don’t even get me started–I can’t stand her.
I think they know quite a bit about protecting cities below sea level.
OK, I know this sounds like a trite response, but the engineering required to protect NO is not complicated, but it requires the national will and the funding to do it. That’s where I’m afraid we will fail.
I’m not sure we have the will to do what it takes. It seems to be a corporate Disneyland (I know that’s redundant) or nothing at all.
BTW, I meant the Dutch (upthread) not just Amsterdam, obviously … but Amsterdam is my favorite city and we (the hubby & I) are usually strolling the Prinsengracht by now.
(((deep sigh)))
The Dutch think of themselves as a people in a way that Americans never do. I vividly remember a comment that summarized it all, to wit:
The reason the dikes in Holland rarely fail is the rich people live right down in the bottom land along with everybody else. If the Dutch were like Americans, the rich would live on special uplands, and the dikes would fail routinely.
I cannot imagine New Orleans ever being rebuilt: Industrial collapse will overtake us long before that.
A different approach to living in a flood zone: The people of central Cambodia put their houses on piers or stilts. When the land floods–as it does every year–they let the water roll beneath them and get around on boats.
After a horrendous flood in 1953, the Dutch undertook a series of projects that enables them to blunt and block the storm surges from the North Sea. You can read about these various measures here. Particularly impressive is the Maaslandkering, which was completed in 1997, and can prevent the North Sea from flooding Rotterdam.
As you can see, the Dutch have gone about this endeavor in a very methodical fashion, taking their time, but nonetheless making sure that the job got done, no matter how long it took, and no matter how much it cost. We were once capable of conceiving this type of project and bringing it to fruition, the Tennessee Valley Authority being the most noteworthy example, the Interstate Highway System another. There is no reason we cannot do for New Orleans what the Dutch did for Rotterdam, other than that we lack the will.
You’re right. (I was thinking specifically of the Maaslandkering)
But we lack the will.
These people do not believe in government. They believe in making a killing. And killing. If the good and innocent suffer too, they “reason” that God will know His own and forget it.
I don’t know how long we can go on being run by people as stupid as they are evil.
Alive in Truth: A New Orleans Disaster Oral History & Memory Project. Warning – read the stories when you’re feeling strong. They take a toll on your heart.
I’ve heard their stories first hand from several of the Katrina survivors (there are, quite literally, thousands here) who are now our new neighbors here in Austin. It never gets any easier to hear them. And their struggles are far from over. Their lives have been changed forever.
So much co-ordinated efforted to get “Operation Yellow Feather” out on the blogs… And you make it look so easy by writing an outstanding diary like this.
Whatever happened to the Marshall Plan? Why did the US demonstrate such a willingness to come to the assistance of a devastated war-torn Western Europe and Asia after World War II?
I saw the 60 minutes report and it really seemed one-sided, favoring a gwBushlike point of view. Every year, the state off Florida experiences tens of billions of dollars in property loss due to hurricanes. Should the govenment stop rebuilding there too? The only thing that will kill New Orleans will be the lack of willpower and ingenuity.
Comment 1:
“Why did the US demonstrate such a willingness to come to the assistance of a devastated war-torn Western Europe and Asia after World War II?”
It had nothing to do with humanitarian impulses. It was the opening salvo in the cold war: we rebuilt those countries so they wouldn’t “fall to the Communists.”
Comment 2:
“Every year, the state off Florida experiences tens of billions of dollars in property loss due to hurricanes. Should the govenment stop rebuilding there too?”
If hurricanes continue to occur at a higher intensity due to climate change, which is also raising sea levels, it will only be a matter of time before we have to face a grim national truth: We have neither the funds nor the sense of national unity and purpose to rebuild everywhere that’s going to get hammered hard by hurricanes. A “strategic withdrawl” from high-risk areas is the logical and economic thing to do, and will eventually happen one way or another. We can plan for it, or we can let it happen ad hoc.
We may choose to save NOLA as an American Venice, but we cannot afford to have a ring of American Venices from the Mexican border to Charleston, SC. What happens if Tampa or Miami gets hits by a Category 5 in a year or two while we’re still working on NOLA?
Even if, say, we could miraculously stop the war tomorrow and put all those funds into protecting coastal communities, as the price of oil/energy increases in the future it will become increasingly impossible to do reconstruction to pre-hurricane levels in every place hit.
Incidentally, protection from coastal storms (and coastal invaders) is why many cities have historically been built a bit upriver, from Rome to London to Philadelphia to NOLA itself, before the wetlands were allowed to erode away. It’s why Houston replaced Galveston as the big city of the Texas coastal region, after Galveston was demolished by a hurricane in the early 20th century.
Neptune has never been a god to care a whit for human interests; living on his doorstep has always been a calculated risk. Our culture, having removed itself from immediate contact with nature for at least a half-century, has forgotten the reality of the world as it is.
Katrina is just the alarmclock going off, waking us up to the somber future we have created for ourselves by our environmental hubris for the last century.
The government hasn’t really done much rebuilding in Florida either. People made homeless by last year’s hurricanes are still living in trailers (the lucky ones), or in their cars.
…according to many scientists, many of whom weren’t consulted for the 60 minutes show.
From the Tiimes Picayune:
In an interview Monday, Kusky said his projection of the city becoming an island was “based on a statement made by the director of the U.S. Geological Survey” in 2000.
But University of Texas at Austin geology Professor Charles G. Groat, who was then director of the U.S. Geological Survey, flatly disagreed with Kusky’s conclusions.
Groat said Kusky relied on “an off-hand comment that has often been repeated” that was included in a University of New Orleans magazine piece that compared New Orleans to Atlantis.
“No, no, no,” Groat said of Kusky’s island image. “You’ve got a lot of things between the city of New Orleans and the edge of the sea, and they’re not going away.”
He said that in an ultimate worst-case scenario — where global warming were to raise sea level several dozen feet — the city might be flooded, but such a scenario is not endorsed by many scientists.
Roy Dokka, a Louisiana State University geologist who developed subsidence estimates as part of efforts of the National Geodesic Survey to set height benchmarks throughout south Louisiana, said that if Kusky relied on their past estimates of subsidence to predict the future, he missed the warning in his subsidence paper that you can’t use past estimates to predict the future.
If anything, Dokka said, in the past decade the rate at which land is sinking in south Louisiana slowed considerably.
“If he’s using NOAA’s NGS data as his guide, I’m the co-author for that subsidence paper and it says explicitly in there that rates are not constant over time,” Dokka said. “The measurements we’ve made of subsidence for the last 10 years show subsidence slowed by half.
“I agree that without coastal restoration, the longterm prognosis for New Orleans — in 500 years — does not look good,” Dokka said. “However, if the powers that be come to grip with the problem as it really is, the subsidence that’s occurring in the whole region, we can develop strategies that provide us with a safe place for New Orleanians to live.”
Some scientists also were critical of the 60 Minutes report’s use of photos of damage to Louisiana’s Chandeleur Islands in making Kusky’s point because the damage to those islands has little to do with the future of New Orleans..
oseph Suhayda, a retired Louisiana State University geologist cited by Kusky as another source for his comments, said he does believe large sections of New Orleans should be partitioned by levee walls to stave off the effects of hurricane storm surge.
He also believes state and federal officials should seriously consider filling some flooded areas of the city, similar to a Breaux Act coastal restoration project that turned open water in the LaBranche wetlands west of the city into productive wetlands several years ago.
And there certainly is danger that the combination of hurricanes and continuing erosion can cut through the land bridge connecting Chef Menteur Pass and the Rigolets if no restoration program is adopted, Suhayda said.
But he said Kusky went too far in his contention that the city was in danger of being completely surrounded by water.
“He has mixed a variety of statements without critically looking at the possibilities of restoration,” Suhayda said.
New Orleans is not simply sinking into the gulf. New Orleans can be saved, but the wetlands must be restored and preserved.
These are the kinds of projects the our government, over decades, has delayed and put off, to the detriment of the environment, to the detriment of the people.
It is going to take a concernted, grass roots effort, to change the priorities of our government, and make it, truly, a government by and for the people.
As of now, we know the priorities: war, and profiting from war, and a rush to a so-called global economy that bears no relation to the actual needs of Americans.
Excellent diary. Aunt Peachy makes a good point, too, when she emphasizes that there are really two issues at work here–the environmental one and the racial/societal/economic one.
As you probably know, Mike Tidwell, the author of BAYOU FAREWELL that essentially predicted everything that happened, is frantically trying to warn people that allowing residents back into NO and onto the coast is homicide. That’s the word he uses, homicide. He says that if they move back–“they” meaning anybody of any color of any income–before protections are in place, many many of them will die.
It seems to me that the area suffers from leaders who cannot face or state the truth, which may be that first we need to face the fact that the entire area is presently unsafe for habitation–we are still in a terrible hurricane period in history–and until such time as it is safe, if that time ever comes again, we have to confront: what to do with so many displaced people? Brand new towns further north? Seems to me the sad truth is that the government needs to say, “We’re terribly sorry, but you can’t move back. Nobody can move back. If you are there now, you need to get out.” Then it needs to split its financial, etc. efforts between coastal restoration and people restoration.
Do I think that will happen? Of course not. Local leaders will encourage rebuilding and resettling before it’s safe. They already are. National leaders will let everybody down. They already are. People who have no alternatives will insist on moving back and/or staying. They’ll risk their lives because that’s the only choice they appear to have.
Reminds me of Iraq. I feel very bad for the Iraqi people. I feel very bad for the coastal residents. Let down by our country from start to finish, with little hope of any good end in sight.
Could I be more pessimistic about it? Probably not. I’m sorry.
What a time to have a Federal Government that nobody trusts!
And didn’t Bush call the social security trasury notes a bunch of worthless IOUs? Too bad we’re not on a gold or silver standard. If he believes that, we probably shouldn’t count on the FDIC to insure people’s bank deposits.
The total loss of confidence in government will be fully realized if this administration abandons New Orleans. They’ll be sharing this message with the rest of the world too.
New Orleans has been our annual “together” vacation; I don’t know anyone by name, but they’re family.
I want to do another fundraiser in December (I raised $371 for Second Harvest (as first responders) Sep 3rd)
Any suggestions on groups I should research? I was going to do Habitat for Humanity, but the website for the New Orleans branch doesn’t seem to have been updated since before Katrina.