Sun Tzu’s The Art of War was written over 2000 years ago in China and represents arguably the first known attempt to develop a coherent basis for the planning and execution of military operations. His essays are more than mere curiosity for students of ancient Chinese literature. Sun Tzu’s work stands the test of time with penchant insights that any wise leader should consider when contemplating the wisdom of war as well as evaluating the success of conflicts in progress. Twenty centuries later the Sun Tzu standard is instructive as we rate the Bush Administration’s national security policies and contemplate the future. Below are some of his more pertinent observations for the Bush Era regarding Afghanistan, Iraq, and perhaps wars to come.
“War is a matter of vital importance to the State; the province of life or death; the road to survival or ruin. It is mandatory that it be thoroughly studied.”
In fairness to the Bush Administration, the United States had little choice but to respond immediately in Afghanistan following 9/11. There was little time for a thorough study. Iraq however was a war of choice. It was ill conceived from the beginning and poorly executed. Among the consequences of making this choice is that the effort in Afghanistan has been undermined. Future wars of choice can’t be undertaken so casually in hotspots such as Iran, Syria, or North Korea.
Sun Tzu wrote that among the “fundamental factors” to assess when contemplating war was “moral influence.”
“By moral influence I mean that which causes the people to be in harmony with their leaders, so that they will accompany them in life and unto death without fear of mortal peril.”
In this regard, the Bush Administration is an abysmal failure. After 9/11 the nation was in total harmony behind the effort in Afghanistan. Indeed, much of the world rallied to America’s side and President Bush enjoyed more moral authority than any commander and chief since FDR during World War Two. That was squandered in Iraq, as the majority of Americans currently believe President Bush lied about the pretext regarding weapons of mass destruction. When combined with the disproportionate burden of sacrifice endured by a minority of citizens, the country is far from harmonious or whole about a conflict that can’t be linked to the “war on terror.” This further complicates rallying the nation for future conflicts that may become necessary in a volatile and dangerous world.
“For there has never been a protracted war from which a country has benefited.”
That certainly proved true for the United States in Vietnam and the Soviet Union in Afghanistan. The Bush Administration has plunged the nation into a war with no honorable exit but also can’t sustain a long term presence without paying a horrible price in blood and treasure. Our forces are also committed to Afghanistan indefinitely. There was little choice in Afghanistan but the effort in Iraq has stretched reserves to the breaking point.
“Where the army is, prices are high; when prices rise the wealth of the people is exhausted. When wealth is exhausted the peasantry will be afflicted with urgent exactions.”
The rising cost of sustaining operations in Iraq as well as prosecuting the overall war on terror has forced the Bush Administration to cut back on domestic programs for the young, old, and poor. Meanwhile, tax cuts for the super rich are not reduced and health care costs continue to rise exponentially. At the same time we learn about families of soldiers in the field who are forced to purchase body armor for their sons and daughters because Donald Rumsfeld’s Pentagon hasn’t delivered.
“With strength thus depleted and wealth consumed the households in the central plains will be utterly impoverished and seven-tenths of their wealth dissipated.”
One of the great historical myths is that war is a net plus for a national economy in the long term. In the short run that may be true because of mandatory increases in production. World War Two for example was a shared sacrifice with soldiers in the field and a mobilized work force at home. Production increased exponentially while supplies and consumer goods were rationed to citizens willing to sacrifice for the national good. Nevertheless, the expanding middle class that followed World War Two took place when that conflict actually ended. The Cold War resulted in a demand for mass production and jobs. Yet the Korean conflict hurt the economy and Vietnam resulted in an eroding middle class unable to keep up with the cost of living. President Bush is pursuing a policy of guns abroad and butter for the richest Americans at home. When leaders prosecute wars with targeted sacrifice only for specific constituencies the economy will perform like an armless swimmer. Currently, purchasing power for most of the country under Bush is rapidly declining as the country’s resources are consumed by a global war on terrorism. The “war on terror” may last decades. Hence, we can’t afford long term commitments resulting from wars of choice unless it is well planned and the nation as a whole is supportive and willing to make sacrifices for the cause.
“Know thy enemy and know thy self and you will win a hundred battles.”
President Bush clearly overestimated support for an enduring conflict and did not evaluate America’s capabilities adequately for such a committment. He falsely believed his moral authority stemmed from superior leadership qualities rather than a sympathetic international community and traumatized nation willing to be lead. As for knowing the enemy, Vice President Cheney told Tim Russert of Meet the Press on March 14th 2003, “My belief is we will, in fact, be greeted as liberators.” On June 20, 2005, Vice President Cheney told CNN’s Larry King, “The level of activity that we see today from a military standpoint, I think, will clearly decline. I think they’re in the last throes, if you will, of the insurgency.” Those two quotes speak for themselves.
There is no greater test of national will than war. To be prosecuted successfully requires wise, competent, and credible leadership. As Sun Tzu’s sagacious writings illustrate, the Bush Administration falls short in those qualities. Thousands of innocent Iraqi’s and American soldiers have died as a result with many more irreparably injured or psychologically traumatized. Even worse, the benefits of eliminating a base for worldwide terrorism in Afghanistan was neutralized with the growing insurgency in Iraq. Sadly, when it comes to enhancing America’s and Western civilization’s security, Bush’s policies are as useful as tits on a bull. His immature and sophomoric leadership have placed America on a collision course with calamity. Only leadership of the highest caliber can mitigate the damages and move us forward. Is there anyone who fits the bill?
You write:
“There is no greater test of national will than war. To be prosecuted successfully requires wise, competent, and credible leadership.”
It does not need that kind of leadership, Intrepid.
It needs that kind of population.
It needs national will.
National morality.
National intelligence.
The United States shot its load of these things during W.W. II. It has not won a military war since, nor has it won an economic one since the day that JFK was shot. Not that JFK was any paragon of virtue…although I do believe that he was trying to do the right thing, as was his brother…but when we accepted the assassination story, eyes wide shut, we surrendered our integrity as a nation to a cadre of murderers in the name of “peace and prosperity”. And from then on, the Permanent Governnment…the secret government…has essentially ruled this country.
Badly.
VERY badly.
We do not need a new government. Democrats instead of Republicans. They are two sides of the same tarnished coin.
We need instead a cultural, societal and moral reawakening. And until that happens…IF it happens…we are doomed to continue down the long winding road to defeat and dissolution.
“The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice.”-MLK Jr.
We have forgotten this idea…as a people…and we are now paying the price for being on the wrong side of that arc.
So it goes.
No more “United States” within 20 years at the current rate. Northeast…possibly including some of the Great Lakes cities…Southeast, Midwest, South, Southwest and West Coast. Maybe even North West Coast and South West Coast. Separate alliances with Asia, Europe, Canada and South/Central/Caribbean America.
Bet on it.
We got too big, and hubris brought us down.
This ain’t working.
There are still elements in this society…you can see and hear them represented by such people as Howard Dean, Russ Feingold, Barbara Mikulski and John Conyers, just to name a few…who are working from a MORAL basis. But they do not have enough support among the population, nor will they ACQUIRE enough support as long as the mass media (emphasis on the word mass here) contiunues to be largely controlled by the corporate world.
Corporations HAVE no morality. Or rather, their “moral” system is different from that of successful human cultures. What is morality, really? It is the collected wisdom of millions of years of the successes and failures of various human societies.
It’s what works. Nothing more.
And what works for corporations…a relative newcomer to the morality game…is much simpler.
Quarterly profits.
No profits for a quite short period of time, and corporations do what they must to survive.
WHATEVER they must. That is their morality, and as can be plainly seen once we open our eyes (even for a quick peek), that is the “morality” of those who have been subsumed by the corporate culture as well.
On EITHER side of the political aisle.
This will eventually lead to a failure of the larger system in which those corporations exist…a GLOBAL failure if they succeed in becoming the multi-national state that is the logical extension of their continuing progress towards power…because the long-term morality that has arisen through the repeated successes and failures of billions and billions of individuals (the morality of sacrifice, of compromise for the greater good) simply does not compute within the same machine as does the short-term, bottom line “morality” of the corporate entities.
A lot of people have gotten quite angry at me here because I have repeatedly suggested that the Democratic Party is no longer a viable alternative to the Republican Party in this crisis. But they are BOTH controlled by the same corporate world, and they both operate under the same strictures, using the same tools.
Framing.
Rigged conventions.
PR-driven media bullshit.
Soundbites.
Well…so it goes.
And so it falls unless a miracle occurs.
(They do, y’know. Sometimes…)
We shall see.
Peace.
It’s what’s for supper.
AG
I agree that leadership is often a reflection of the population. But, wise leadership can educate and persuade the population towards a proper course. That said, your response was an interesting analysis and worthy of a diary in its own right. I enjoyed reading it.
Thank you, Intrepid.
And…as you were writing your comment, I was making mine into a diary.
BREAKING!!! America Now Bankrupt On Every Level.
Go there if you are so inclined.
Later…
AG
P.S. I am sure that wise leadership CAN guide a population in profitable directions. Just as I am sure than unwise leadership can bring a country to absolute ruin.
But…a country with no moral culture to speak of is EASIER to ruin. Short of continuing my own artistic endeavors (and of course trying to do some virtual Paul Revere work here on the net) I have no solution to this problem.
So it goes, and may you be born into interesting times.
exactly right, which is what makes the Democrats’ failures doubly damaging. Almost NO one in the political sphere is providing moral leadership … Feingold and Conyers can’t do it by themselves.
He is always worth a reading. Some stray points:
1a. I agree about Iraq. Comparing the public side of the war planning against Sun Tzu, the Iraq War was doubtful before it was launched. As we learn the details that were not public, it turns out it was even worse than we thought: Doomed at inception.
1b. Sun Tzu’s thoughts on how mishandled war threatens the viability of the warring state apply very much to the US. Combining the costs of the Iraq war with an examination of our other problems, it seems unlikely that the US will last much longer–maybe a few years.
2. The case against going to war in Afghanistan, though more complicated to make, is really no different. There is no fault in your choosing not to make it, but in accepting the assumption that it was necessary and possible to succeed, you go out on a limb, needlessly, and in fact you are wrong.
3a. The plainest indicator that the Afghan War would fail (and it has: The US controls no more than the center of Kabul and a couple of other cities, while in the country-side heroin is grown as a cash-crop everywhere) is that the Soviets had already tried it just a few years earlier and gone down to defeat. Examining why they failed from the standpoint of Sun Tzu would have shown that the same inauspicious circumstances applied to the US.
3b. Further, knowledge of Afghani terrain, culture, and customs relevant to the success of military operations has been available for over a hundred years–at least since the British took a decisive beating there late in the 19th century. There may have been no time to make new war plans, but military wisdom extending over one hundred years was available to anyone willing to ask, the day after 9/11 or equally the day before.
3c. It is completely wrong to suggest that the Afghan war as a post-9/11 necessity. It was a free choice, and a rather needless and stupid one. Normally after a major crime is committed, you do a crime investigation to discern who the perpetrators are, and then set about catching them. Attacking instead a nation only tangentially connected with the crime is eccentric law inforcement at best.
3d. I am aware that Afghanistan was thought to be harboring the alledged perpetrator bin Laden. The normal legal process for catching criminals who have fled is extradition. Sometimes countries are reluctant to extradite. There are ways, including legal ones, that often work. The publicized demand that Afghanistan “give up” bin Laden was guarranteed to fail because it was a provocation on two levels: It was an ultimatum, and all Western countries have always recognized ultimatums as provocative. Secondly, it appeared to be a demand for the Afghanis to break hospitality. Breaking hospitality is a great crime in the Middle East, far worse than harboring a criminal. So of course the Afghanis could not be seen to comply, even if they wanted to. This was, incidently, the beginning of the end of Brand America.
(Failing routine legal measures, the normal approach would have been to let hospitality run its course, and then quietly bribe the government to turn him over. Nor was that the only possibility.)
4a. The idea that we will, or can, promote democracy is beyond ridicule and beneath contempt. In fact we have all but discredited the very notion of secular politics in the Middle East by associating it with invasion, occupation, murder, rape, theft, torture, and child molestation.
4b. Most of these crimes were–until recently–taken quite seriously in the West. What Americans should understand is that in the Middle East they still are.
4c. There are a number of prominent liberal politicians that Stirling Newberry calls pony-hawks–as in the child’s whine: I want a pony! He means that they ignorantly or frivolously (or, perhaps, corruptly) support the impossible. If you are pro-war and liberal you are a pony-hawk: the cost of war destroys the wealth required for liberal social policy. War is never profitable, except for war proffiteers: Economically it is dead loss–though like methadrine, which drains and ravages the body, it can make you feel energized at first.
If secularism revives in the Islamic world, it will be by dissociating itself totally from the West. This nearly happened in Iran, but of course now we have to interfere and undo all that.
Only leadership of the highest caliber can mitigate the damages and move us forward. Is there anyone who fits the bill?
Do you mean, “turn the war around?” If so, re-read your Sun Tzu. Competent leadership is necessary, but not by itself enough. He says this outright. Read his passage on ground. A war of choice, once lost, is lost. Not the least reason for avoiding them.
If not, then you must mean: We need a leader that can save what can be salvaged, and get out. Yes, and it may be that Dean or Feingold or somebody (not Hillary–she’s imperialist) could do this thing. But: 1) the powers that be do not want this, and 2) Americans are not yet ready to accept the obvious and cut their losses. In time they will be, and then it will only be the Powers that Be that must be overcome. That is when things start to get interesting.
Your whole comment is a symphony, but 4a and 4b are the leitmotif that people will find themselves humming in the shower, and an excellent summation of the fate of “Brand America.”
You are a magnificent word writer!
(I think I called them liberal neo-hawks or something similar, in a couple of rants on the subject, I don’t rememeber exactly, but whatever it was, it had more letters and more syllables and probably words than pony hawks, proving once again that I am more verbose than Stirling, and will beat him in the Special Blog o’Lympics Verbosathon)
Your flattery can certainly turn my head. 🙂
Stirling can be wordy, and obscure, but he is very, very sharp. I can’t ignore him, even when I disagree.
I try to steal from the best.
There are worse people to envy! 😉