Time once again for the highest government officials in the US and UK to keep the pressure on the general public Iran over its purported nuclear weapons program. Yesterday, President Bush and John Bolton took their shots:
WASHINGTON — U.S. President George W. Bush has called Iran an issue of “grave national security concern” but said he wanted a diplomatic solution to the Islamic republic’s nuclear ambitions. […]
“We’re going to press for as vigorous a response in the council as we can get, and hope that gets the Iranians’ attention,” John Bolton, the U.S. ambassador to the U.N., said Thursday.
“This is a test for the council. If the Iranians do not back off from their continued aggressive pursuit of nuclear weapons, we’ll have to make a decision of what the next step will be.”
Ah yes. I remember it well. Didn’t Bush want a “diplomatic solution” to the threat posed by Iraq a few years back? And didn’t the danger posed to the world by Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction pose a test for the UN Security Council? Not that I see any parallels mind you. Just asking.
But wait. There’s more. The British government also had its piece to say about the danger Iran poses to the world. And it’s a lot scarier:
Iran is only months from bomb technology, says Britain
Simon Tisdall and Ian Traynor
Friday March 10, 2006
The GuardianThe west’s confrontation with Iran over its nuclear activities intensified yesterday after Britain claimed that Tehran could acquire the technological capability to build a bomb by the end of the year.
A day after the International Atomic Energy Agency referred the dispute to the United Nations security council, British officials also indicated that London would back Washington’s efforts to impose a UN deadline of about 30 days for Iran’s compliance with international demands.
Until now, European diplomats have referred to a period of five to 10 years during which Iran might potentially build a bomb, while conceding that hard evidence is lacking. By publicly focusing on the level of Iran’s technical capabilities, Britain may have shortened the timeframe for a peaceful resolution of the crisis.
Now, admittedly, it’s nowhere near as scary as claiming Iran could launch an attack with weapons of mass destruction within 45 minutes, like Tony Blair did back in September, 2002 regarding Iraq, a claim he was later forced to retract. But there is a sort of perverse symmetry to the manner in which the Bush administration has us slouching toward war with Iran. Once again, Bush administration attack dogs like Vice President Cheney, John Bolton and Condoleeza Rice provide the harsh rhetoric, while Der Leader President Bush gets to speak of “diplomatic efforts” to resolve the situation.
And once again, Tony Blair’s government is being used to make the threat posed by those “crazy Muslims” appear more imminent than anyone else seems to think it is.
Meanwhile, our President has given away the store to India, allowing them to make as many nukes as they wish and effectively fueling a nuclear arms race between them and Pakistan. I need not remind anyone, that Pakistan was the source of the nuclear technology which was surreptiously provided to Libya, North Korea and Iran (that we know of).
Pakistan, the home of Islamic jihadists and the purported hiding place of Osama bin Laden and other Al Qaida and Taliban leaders, is also a state perpetually teetering on the edge of a coup or revolution that could bring supporters of Islamic fundamentalism to power. The new leaders of Pakistan, in the event of a coup or other “regime change,” are likely sympathize far more with Osama bin Laden and Al Qaida than they do with the United States and its “War on Terror.”
Yet we are officially more worried with Iran’s nascent uranium enrichment program. One which employs a small number of centrifuges that everyone admits will produce insignificant quantities of highy processed uranium, far, far less than what would be needed to make even one single nuclear bomb.
Let me be clear: I see the potential acquisition of nuclear weapons by Iran as very troublesome. Indeed, I see nuclear weapons proliferation to any country, regardless of geography, as a very serious matter. But the threat posed by Iran is not imminent, and does not justify, at this point, a military attack to “resolve the crisis.” As we have learned in Iraq, military solutions to foreign policy concerns are likely to create far more negative consequences for the attacker than positive results. Can anyone foresee all of the consequences that would result from a military attack against Iran’s nuclear facilities? Can anyone rule out the potential for a much larger conflict, possibly even a global war, as the result of such an attack?
I think not. And I cerainly don’t trust the Bush administration to make a prudent, rational decision on how to address Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Every step they have taken leads me to believe that they are manufacturing this atmosphere of “crisis” in order to engage in further military adventures in the Middle East. They have already sabotaged peace efforts by the EU and by Russia. They are clamoring for the UN to impose a 30 day deadline for Iran to halt all it’s nuclear program. These are not the actions of a government bent on making every diplomatic effort to seek a peaceful resolution.
No, this is a government and a President bent on war. War not just as a foreign policy prerogative, but also in order to assist its domestic political agenda as well. Andy Card, Bush’s Chief of Staff, once famously compared the buildup to the Iraq war in the Fall of 2002, during the height of that year’s mid-term Congressional election campaign, as a “new product” to be marketed to the American people.
Well the old model (i.e., Iraq) is showing a lot of wear and tear, and starting to break down. No one’s very happy with it anymore. Time for a new product: Americans, welcome to this mid-term election year’s new war national security threat from the Bush administration: Iran.
And they only had to change one letter (q to n) from the previous one. How convenient.
The one thing I dislike about front page stories is that we cannot recommend them. This is an outstanding piece Steven and one would hope the MSM would write something like this.
We cannot allow them to march us into another war. We know they are hell bent to do so and NOW is the time to put pressure on every f’ing representive. This is a huge action item, imho. What can we do to stop the madness?
It is cross posted at Daily Kos, however, if you would like to recommend it somewhere.
Anyone know why there is a line going through the comments?
Thanks. Should be fixed now.
Much better. Thanks Steven!
If at first you don’t suck-seed, lie, lie, again!–GWB.
The reason for ALL our Mid East endeavors started becoming clear to me when I Googled:
No- REALLY Google that phrase and do some research.
Basically Iran is creating an exchange for trading oil based on Euros at the end of the month which would be bad FOR OIL GUYS LIKE BUSH and his ilk (and frankly the US). This is straight out of “Syriana”. Saddam started doing this and he suddenly became enemy # 1. (Remember he had been an ally.) So this is set to happen in March, and guess what? Suddenly the projected timetable for Iran getting Nukes has gone from 5- 10 years to ANY MINUTE NOW….
Then the mysterious Port Deal with a company in the UAE. Confusing, no? Why would Bush push a basically secret deal with a country known to have shady terrorist connections? Here is the answer:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/facility/images/Fujairah-UAE_Map.jpg
It is a map of where the UAE is located relative to Iran.
It seems like Busco is actually a bit behind schedule to invade or bomb Iran- the Bourse date is comin up quite quickly.
Any economists out there? Plese feel free to weigh-in as I have a high threshold for understanding macro-economics.
The bourse may well be part of the motivation, but I don’t think one can isolate any one motivating factor, beyond the desirefor regime change ever since 1979.
Global Research has some different takes on it:
The Tehran Oil Bourse: What the Iran ‘nuclear issue’ is really about by Chris Cook, “a former director of the International Petroleum Exchange, strategic market consultant, entrepreneur and commentator.”
Petrodollars and Nuclear Weapons Proliferation: Understanding the Planned Assault on Iran, by Michael Keefer
No, the Iran Oil Bourse is not a casus belli . . . by F. William Engdahl
Jerome a Paris has written about it at Euro Trib (discounting the idea), as has soj on Flogging the Simian (nice overview.
And it goes back even before that, not just Iran, but the whole thing, Western colonization, in all its fine frocks and frames, has quite a long history in the region.
Actually, Western colonization has quite a short history in the region .
If by region, you mean the Middle East of course.
Most of the Middle East (Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Saudi-Arabia for example) were part of the Muslim Ottoman Empire till the end of World War 1. That was 1918. Not sure if Iran was ever a Western colony.
(Although I do agree that the 1950s coup in Iran was wrong.)
Most of them became independent countries in the years after World War 2. Somewhere between 1945 and 1955 I´d say. That would be 3-4 decades of being colonies at most. (With Western influence – of course – even after that. Say 7 or 8 decades.)
I´m not sure but right now I can´t remember any other region on earth with a shorter history of Western colonization or influence than the Middle East?
Most regions in North America, South America, Africa, Asia were colonized, occupied or “influenced” by Western powers a lot earlier than the Middle East IIRC?
Starting in the 16th century…
Face it, a lot of todays world countries were occupied, colonized or influenced by Western powers for a much longer period than the Middle East countries. And most of these other countries don´t have “oil” today. Still some of them today are a lot “richer” than Middle East countries. For example Singapore or Taiwan?
And most of them don´t seem to be preoccupied with the real or imagined problems due to Western influence.
While most current Middle East governments happily blame any current problems on Israel or “Western influence”. Just to distract anyone from their “foreign bank accounts”.
for instance Latin America, Africa, Indonesia, etc.
It is a good sign that you disagree with the 1950s coup.
I hope you will continue your interest and reading regarding the history of US activities in the Middle East as well as other parts of the world.
In my opinion, as events unfold, it will be helpful to Americans to learn more about the history from different perspectives, but at the same time I understand that many will prefer to stick with the western views.
Maybe I´m misunderstanding you but – uh – I´m a German…
And I repeat my comment.
Latin America, Africa, Indonesia were Western colonies for a much longer time than any country in the Muslim (Ottoman Empire) Middle East.
Don´t try to confuse several centuries of Western colonization and influence with just a few decades!
Long relative to Mossadeq, short relative to for instance Latin America, Africa, Indonesia, etc.
Uh, you may have heard about Cortez and Pizarro in the 16th century? Conquering the Aztec and Inca Empire in the 16th century? Dividing the world between Catholic Spain and Portugal according to the then Pope? Not to mention the Dutch conquering the Dutch East Indies (Indonesia) and South Africa a long time before any European even thought of influencing any part of the Ottoman Empire?
Because – at that time – the Ottoman Empire was simply scary? Besieging Vienna again in the late 17th century?
Decades after we Europeans discovered the “new World”?
Care to tell me why I should even think about “long relative to Mossadeq, short relative to for instance Latin America, Africa, Indonesia, etc.”?
I mean, Latin America was a Spanish colony for centuries. Iran and the Middle East was a Western influence zone for only decades after WW 1. And part of the Ottoman Empire for centuries.
It’s not really related to your views about the Middle East or colonization.
You may say that your wait to see the dentist was “long,” but compared to the wait for a popular movie to arrive from Netflix, that wait is “short.”
1918, even the 1950s, can be said to be “long before” 1979.
That does not mean that there are no events that occurred before 1918!
IIRC Jerome did a diary about that topic.
(Likewise the German weekly magazine “Der Spiegel” had an article about that a week ago.)
In short (in no particular order):
An Iranian oil bourse will be initially (at least) much smaller than the London and US oil bourse if they deal only with Iranian oil. They will need a lot of time to gain the experience needed for a real oil bourse. And third and perhaps most important, who´s gonna trust the Iranian government and its President to enforce the deals?
Not to mention that somehow I can´t see Sunni Saudi-Arabia selling their oil through the Shiite Iranian oil bourse…
Good points all, and by people undoubtedly more knowledgeable than myself. However, my point was not that a new bourse would or wouldn’t work, or that it is logical or illogical to start a war over these issues.
I got interested in this especially because of the timing, the urgency of the rhetorical escalation.In other words, not WHY but WHY NOW. I find much of what Bushco does inscrutable. What is really motivating them? The notion that he wants to bring democracy to the downtrodden is below risible, so it begs the question, and the Bourse idea fits quite well in my unified Bush-field theory.I doubt Bush is in his study parusing back issues of Der Speigle, informative as they may be. The Carlyle Group, PNAC, and AIPAC however are certainly on his speed-dial.
I’ve read a number of articles on petro-dollars v petro-euros including that Saddam was taken out because he demanded payment in euros. Right after he was toppled, pricing of Iraq oil was reversed to US dollar.
The US has a long standing 30 year old agreement with Saudis, that oil be priced in US$..and all that flows from that – the rest of the world’s savings to financing the deficit and with it US dominance.
Will a number of OPEC countries follow through and join Iran? Could Venezuela, Indonesia, Norway be next?
For an exceptional analysis you may want to read “Why Iran’s oil bourse can’t break the buck” by F William Engdahl.
At least not in the near term. But it’ll still be for Oil profit$.
The diplomatic solution in Iraq. I remember it well. George held a press conference on 3/6/03:
Hard though it is to believe, Bush was lying. When he found out that the “whip count” was going against him he decided that maybe the cards should remain hidden after all. The vote was never held.
This time around there are 3 additional players -Israel, China and Russia. Imo, China and Russia will not be passive. And, Israel is itching to take unilateral action.
It’s also being sold as another cakewalk.
Here’s Israel’s former Chief of Staff, Moshe Ya’alon, at mid-week, detailing how
“Israel can hit Iran nukes..”
Ya’alon describes Israel’s military options against Iran
Imho, assurances aside, the attack is ready to go. But I doubt that Iran will play it as Iraq did, allow a cake walk to Tehran. Is Ya’alon sabre rattling? I doubt Israel can hit Iran with a quiet fly-over of Jordan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia or Iraq without disturbing some hornets, placing the entire region in flames.
The Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has urged Iranians to stand firm.
Anyone else see the hand of Karl Rove in this:
Sounds so familiar to a new model year!!!
I wouldn’t dismiss Rove drives the agenda. ABCnews reported the WH told Dubai to pull the ports deal, a story confirmed by Kristol in The Weekly Standard.
Now that Bush is weakened on the security plank, the bulwark of his presidency, his coattails are in tatters. They’ll need some drama and fear to win the mid-terms.
(hat tip: Thinkprogress)
But, unfortunatley, the people who will recognize that for what it really is are more intelligent and into politics than the average person.
Did you catch this?
The PA brought us a lot of goodies – the slippery slope to dictatorship that Sandra Day O’Connor warned of this week.
IMO, Sandra Day O’Connor is directly responsible for the dictatorship in this country. If she had voted No in 2004, Gore would be President. And now she is trying to play concerned citizen, right! I smell a book deal lined up!
Imo, O’Connor was that swing vote and playing catch up…sorry words won’t cut it. That vote shredded the constitution -the rule of law and the damage is irreparable. A dangerous precedent.
You can’t vote for a guy who’s all hat, no cattle and expect him to produce beef.
She’s certain to land a book deal. But don’t expect her to atone. As with Greenspan, the opening bid may exceed $10 million. Many may feel she has a lot to say-tell all. I’ll save my money.
I’ll wait until the movie comes out on video–can get it free at the library!
I’ve been repeating the Christison’s mantra for months now & am very very glad to finally see it voiced here. Even if Bush’s worst fears were to come true, & the Iranians were to possess nuclear weapons, it still does not justify bombing the hell out of the country & its people, releasing untold amounts of radiation into the soil & atmosphere.
It’s More Important Than Halting Nuclear Proliferation: Let’s Stop a US/Israeli War on Iran, by Bill and Kathleen Christison , “former CIA analysts”
As with Iraq, Iran is expected to prove a negative. There’s one phrase missing from your article: regime change.
The terms of public discourse are as misleading today as when Bush invaed Iraq, Clinton bombed Yugoslavia, Bush-I “saved” Kuwait, or Reagan invaded Panama. It’s all been a diplomatic charade. As it was, so it shall be . . .
The ground is well-prepared too. Yesterday’s Guardian carries the headline: Islamophobia worse in America now than after 9/11, survey finds
Ray McGovern recently called for patriots within the gov’t to come forward & expose the lies & immoral plans. Let’s hope someone does this time, before it’s too late.
Now I see why they called this month “March” – it’s better than “Bombs away!”
Hasn’t market research decided that this is the perfect time for new military adventures?
If you stop them from slaking their bloodlust overseas, they might start feeding on us.