Iraq is getting very, very tense. Despite the public assurances of Bush that the Iraqi people have stepped back from the abyss of civil war, the administration is in a near panic.
Iraq’s main political blocs met for the first time in two weeks, signaling a new sense of urgency in talks to form a government. The leaders had been mired in rancorous negotiations over a candidate for the office of prime minister and had failed to come together in one room. But at the urging of the American ambassador, the leaders convened in the fortified Green Zone this afternoon and promptly decided to move up the date of the first session of Parliament to March 16 from March 19.
The ambassador, Zalmay Khalilzad, appeared with the Iraqi politicians in an outdoor news conference afterward and gave an unusually blunt assessment of the state of the country.
“I think the situation is such that there’s a degree of vacuum in authority,” he said. “The need on an urgent basis to form a government of national unity is there.”
And it was right after this meeting that all hell broke loose….again.
Two car bombs exploded at dusk today in separate crowded markets in a Shiite area of eastern Baghdad, killing at least 35 people and injuring scores of others, and spurring Shiite militiamen with Kalashnikov rifles to take to the streets.
The explosions, which were followed by a barrage of rocket fire, were the most explicit attempt to incite sectarian violence since the bombing of a revered Shiite shrine last month.
The blasts set vehicles aflame in the Sadr City neighborhood of Baghdad and scattered body parts across city blocks. In the gathering darkness, with ambulances wailing through the streets, militiamen loyal to the firebrand Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr raced among the debris and set up checkpoints in the area.
The scene was similar to the aftermath of the Askariya Shrine bombing in Samarra on Feb. 22, when militiamen streamed out of Sadr City and organized mobs to attack Sunni mosques in eastern Baghdad, leaving hundreds dead and pushing Iraq to the edge of all-out civil war.
He hasn’t weighed in yet. But keep your eye on Juan Cole for updates. The big issue right now is over Ibrahim al-Jaafari, the current prime minister, who has been nominated by the Shiite bloc to maintain that post. He is unacceptable to both the Sunnis and the Kurds, and to a majority of secular Iraqis. In fact, he only won the nomination within the Shiite Bloc by one vote. So, he is not all that popular even with them.
It looks like events are spiraling out of control and all Iraqis are going to suffer the consequences.
((((“I think the situation is such that there’s a degree of vacuum in authority,” he said. “The need on an urgent basis to form a government of national unity is there.”))))
duh! whats new here…status quo! hell yes it is getting worse as the days go by. Always has and will be so if they do not get their shit together. It starts by us getting the hell out of there! Let them figure it out without us dictating to them on how and who should do the governing. Let the war begin! snark…
What we have is the neo-conned democracy project gone awry. Iraq elected a permanent government 3 months ago but that’s in name only. For the considerable future,, whether or not the parliament is convened, there’ll be a vacuum of authority, designed and constructed by none other than US occupation command.
As we enter our 4th year, here’s an eye-opening analysis by Professor Michael Schwartz on Iraq’s sovereignty in a vacuum-
“A government with no military, no territory”
Bizarre? Let’s take Bush’s much repeated mission statement that’s intended to comfort and mislead. In Prof. Schwartz’s essay we find these selected excerpts on the mess we’ve
constructed. Imho, it appears deliberate
Why? Read the full article how this fits in with the bases, the world’s largest US embassy. Iraq will never be sovereign. Imo, we came and intend to stay except, a civil war may intervene. But stay we will.
I’ve been saying this since even before BushCo and the neocons launched the invasion. My litany of claims went something like this.
The Bush regime agenda in Iraq has nothing to do with 9/11, homeland security, liberty, stability or democracy in the Middle East.
Saddam’s regime was never a threat to the US.
The goals of the Bush regime are to instigate perpetual war in the MidEast region until such time as they, (the US), can gain control of all the energy reserves in the region.
Once BushCo invades, there will be no plan to leave. (When the existence of the 14 permanent, hardened military bases were revealed, this bolstered my earlier views, but even then many people just didn’t want to believe that our own government would attempt a hoax of such massive proportions on the American people.)
Every major tactical and policy decision made by BushCo will be deliberately designed to stimulate more animosity, (hence more violence), toward the US and US forces deployed to the region.
Peace is the #1 enemy of the neocon war agenda.
Almost no one I knew back in those early days thought what I was saying might make sense. No one, even most of my friends who knew Bush was a dangerous imbecile, could get themselves to accept the possibility that our own US government would actually create such a huge set of lies, (i.e. WMD, spreading democracy, liberating Iraqis, etc.), to cover up their real plan which was to make sure war took root in the Mid East and remained and intensified there until all the governments in the region were in shambles.
Now, 6 years too late, more people are finally accepting this sort of perspective as likely to be true, in much the same way parents might finally come to accept that what their child is telling them about being raped by the parish priest is true.
Ten years from now, there will be no Iraq.
Your observations are well founded. But your prediction that “10 years from now there will be no Iraq” is too optimistic, imho.
Iraq as a country has collapsed and we have yet to come to terms with The Reckoning
The Brits are asking meaningful questions that we’re afraid to ask of ourselves. It’ll appear unpatriotic.
“Under neo-conservative ideology, means are subverted to ends and principles to power: the consequence for Iraq was a grotesquely ill-judged and illegal war.
“It is breathtaking that after the deaths of more than 30,000 civilians and soldiers, including 103 British personnel, and at a cost to Britain of over £4bn, there has never been an inquiry into political decision-making on the war or its aftermath.”- Sir Menzies Campbell is leader of the Liberal Democrat Party
And over here, do we dare?
As we keep under cover the true human costs, we are not even willing to face the unsustainable cost in dollars.
We can print more money. But we can’t bring them back. See the cost to your community clink the link.
I agree with you about Iraq. I said 10 years so as not to seem gratuitous in expressing the depth of my pessimism.
I remember thinking when Reagan was ushered into power back in 1981 that the likelihood I would live to see the demise of my own country’s society and way of life had just increased by several orders of magnitude.
I didn’t foresee quite this particular course of events, but now, if I still had a normal life expectancy in front of me I would be certain of living to see the collapse of US society.
We’ve passed the point of no return on so many levels it’s hard to see even one system of support for our lifestyle that is possible to keep from failing utterly.
gwb’s an oilman, first and foremost–thus us what is scary
And he and all of his cronies are counting the money!
We are there. It only took the time it took to get there. As to the bases, they will not stand, because we do not have the ability to defend them. We have lost control of events. The loss occurred early, nearly three years ago, but like all things in war, time must pass for the underlying logistical structure to work itself out in events. We are now witnessing the events.
This will go down as the greatest military and diplomatic defeat in American history. (At least, let’s hope so. Anything worse might be the final defeat).
We never had control. It was an illusion.
Bush isn’t moved by such enormous and unequivical hatred any more than he’s moved by reality.
He’s a petulant imbecile who exists in a constant state of denial, anger and self delusion. He has no dynamic understanding of what’s really happening on any level.
This guys is a professor? Of course! he doesnt know shit. Professors and Hillbillies are the people who got us in this goddamn war.
The Government does have an army. It has militas.
The Iraqi Army is a Shiite Army. Therefore when push comes to shove they turn on the Americans. They are currently fighiing the Insurgents who are Sunni. That’s all they do. They are made of up people looking for work, iniflitrated militia men and some infiltrating sunni insurgents. They are not loyal to the United States and they are only nominally answerable to them.
They are not under the control of the government in the sense that they do not pay them directly or provide them with equipment.
The Ministy of the Interior is under control of the government and it controls a very large milita of at least 30,000 soldiers who are real soldiers trained in Iraq. The government does have power and it has the backing of Iran
to a full boil. This would present an awful problem for American commanders. Any evacuation of our troops would have to be done on a massive scale and done immediately. You couldn’t draw down the troops gradually because pockets left behind would be extremely vulnerable. It’s not unimaginable that both Sunnis and Shia might stop fighting each other long enough to kill Americans.
I hope Bush is enjoying his dinner.
The Sunnis have just struck back at sadr. They know sadr’s militia is responsible for many of the killings after the bombing of the golden mosque. Sadr won’t take kindly to this so get ready for a rockin week. This is getting very fucked up. What a hell bush has created.
Iraq pre-invasion must have been hell if you were not loyal to Sadaam, but my God, what a mess we have created for all of them now! Sunni, Shiite, Kurd all looking over their shoulders for the next bomb. And the numbers, 35 today, two weeks ago 80-100 a day for over a week. And it goes on and on.
On the verge of open civil war, with little prospect for improvement any time soon. Is this what “we” wanted when we invaded?? I am quite cynical, in my later years by necessity, but I can’t bring myself to believe that this is what was intended.
So, if chaos was not the desired result, what are we left to conclude?? If the answer is so obvious to me, why not to Congress?
Bush’s Mideast Mess-the law of un-intended consequences?
We are still sending mix signals. A failed mission.
Another Vietnam.
Certainly a failure for the US, but there was a country/government/people ready to take over and run South Vietnam when we left. Not to say that there were not many South Vietnamese purged/killed as a result of what happen (and this haunts many US military to this day – that we abandoned so many people who had fought so hard next to us).
But we have created exactly what we feared the most from 9/11 – a failed terrorist state. One that has the potential to destabilize all of it’s neighbors if not the whole region.
The outcome of Vietnam was good. The US lost. The worst thing is if the US had kept South Vietnam independent. The US needs to admit it has lost in IRaq so we can move on. The war is long been over in Iraq and the outcome is also good in that the US has lost, but the problem is they wont admit that.
They had no reason to be in Vietnam either and it served absolutely no purpose to send troops to a country like VIetnam that presented no threat at all and was simply trying to nationalize and unite itself and was not really allied with the Soviet Union and actually was very much against Chinese involvement when they could avoid them. McNamara said as much they he didn’t realize North Vietnam simply wanted to unite the country, they had no other plans and were not puppets of the Soveit Union. Now How Goddamn stupid is that! How stupid do you have to be to become a world leader?
We Dumbsfeld another surburbanite who just made 5 million dollars on his investment with the people who make Tamiflu the antidote that doesn’t even work against the imaginary bird flu that birds are going to give to humans. I mean the madness never ends.
60 minutes had a good news from Iraq segment on how much the people of Talafar are glad the Americans came and blew up their town.
Took awhile to admit that re: Vietnam too. Damn!
I still say that the US should just get the hell out, as there are too many issues in this country that need to be dealt with. The threat of destabilizing the region is the justification for continued US presence.
I see no end in sight with US there – just a continual bloody mess. Like stu says we need to fess up and get out. I was hoping we would see Bush cut and run for the 2006 midterms, but Bush seems to be staking his “strong on terror” reputation by doing, well, nothing.
Honestly, US should be working with any other Iraq border nations to figure out what happens when the whole mess implodes, but right now Bush seems to want to expand this mess into Iran too. It will be an impossible sell to the US public no matter how many nuclear mushroom cloud speeches given by Cheney or Rice. Bottom line is Bush is now perceived by most as an incompetent loser (pretty much describes most of his life so it’s no surprise to any but the cool aid drinkers.)
Took a little bit of creative lisecence w/this quote as RFK was referring to Vietnam, but it still applies. Maybe even more so today.
I was going to write a big snark to all of this, but it’s just such a tragedy for everyone in Iraq that I gave up on it.
Obviously Bush has made a big bowl of sh$t soup and the only real question is do you want cheese or crackers with it? I do not see a way to prevent this from getting worst. No one is in any effective control of the country anymore so it’s only a downhill slide into almost complete anarchy. The various religious leaders have been the only ones keeping a lid on this whole mess and it now appears that even they will loose whatever little control they can exercise.
I wish I had any clue as to how this all plays out, but right now my best guess is the US soldiers hunker down for protection and Iraq starts to look like a giant supersized version of Beirut in the 80s – almost total f&*king chaos.
Jaffari is not popular with America. That’s the reason he’s on the outs.
Jaafari is allied with Iran, but then so is the rest of his party. the United Shiite Alliance. America wants someone with less influenced by Iran. Jaafari spent 10 years in Iran in exile.
I think America is making deals with the Kurds and Sunnis that in exchange for filibustering the formation of the government until Jaafari steps down, they will be given some kind of support for autonomy or independence. I don’t think there is any chance he’s going to step down, maybe they think they can get Jaafari a fundamentalist leader who wants to institute Sharia and Islamic Law to compromise. Well, they can try. Of course the US is developing it’s support with the insurgents to attack the Shiites. More madness. And the US and Israel wants the Kurds to separate. Jaafari recently visited Turkey. Some say he was asking Turkey to send troops to Iraq to aide in the security of the nations….this is an attempt to block the Kurds from quick separation….a threat.
So the US is preventing along with the Sunni insurgents the formation of the government. They don’t want Jaafari. He’s not unpopular or popular…he’s another exile in the Iraqi government.
This is more endless stupidity on the part of America. They want to get rid of the prime minister who arranged elections for before he even steps into office and the government is formed. They got rid of Saddam after they put him in, they did that to Mossadegh in Iran, put the Shah in, then Carter decided he didn’t like the Sharh and they got fundamentalism in Iran
Maybe….I know the genius Juan Cole (Who I don’t like or trust)…wouldn’t necessarily agree since he didn’t think the Iraq war was such a bad idea….the US should just leave Iraq alone. Spend it;s money on digging underground tunnels underneath the Antartic. Anything meaninless that will come the US occupied. They would never spend the money on anything sensible, no would they?
I’m all talked out. My husband’s best friend got home last week and I’m on my knees giving thanks for that one! My thoughts dwell with our soldiers and the innocent women and children caught in a ferocious viciousness that those of us living here can’t even begin to comprehend!