Rasmussen reports that:
“the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans has fallen to its lowest level since we began reporting this measure of partisan trends in January 2004. As a result, Democrats have their biggest net advantage of the past two campaign cycles.”
“In October, just 31.5% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s a startling decline of nearly six percentage points from 37.2% two years ago. It’s also down nearly a full point from last month.”
Think that is good news? Wait until you see this:
A new Harvard Institute of Politics poll finds nearly a third of 18 to 24 year olds plan on voting in the upcoming midterm elections, “a proportion that will likely amount to the highest turnout percentage for this age group in any midterm election in the last twenty years.”
Maybe these trends can help to explain this:
“According to two sources familiar with the TV ad buy sheets in Arizona, the DSCC is buying up as much time as they can find in the Tuscon and Phoenix for TV ads that will begin airing tomorrow… Our sources tell us that Republican Jon Kyl continues to hold a mid-to-high-single digit lead but Dems are enthused about their chances because Democrat Jim Pederson is apparently doing better in early voting than expected.”
It all sounds like a recipe for better “likely voter” results than most pollsters are expecting.
Update [2006-11-1 21:54:55 by BooMan]: New polls show that Mean Jean Schmidt and J.D. Hayworth are behind. Now, that would be sweet.
Than take a trip over to ‘Talk of the Nation’ on NPR, if you missed todays, 11-01-06, show.
Retired Gen. Batiste on New Approaches in Iraq
You want Talking points, especially coming from a Self Proclaimed life long Republican General, than Listen To what the General has to say!
I only disagree on one point he kept making, and that is using American Forces to train the Iraqi’s. There cannot be an American Face, nor present Coalition Military face In-Country! Why, because We Are The Reason For the Total Collapse of that Country and All of the Death and Destruction! Training, and reforming a stable government, and Security till stable, should be left up to the Countries of that Region and any other Countries forces that are Invited in by the Iraqi’s and Regional Countries for Help!!!!
Signature: If the recent Lancet reports of 655,000 Iraqi deaths are true, a field of markers representing that tragedy 51′ wide (15.55 m) would be 21.14 miles (34.02 km) long.
(If markers were three feet apart in all directions, as in the Arlington Memorials around the Country)
needs Pima County (Tucson area) to show up for him on election day. If there is good turnout down here in the blue part of the state, he will do much better than expected because people will vote against Kyl. The hardline immigration stance does not play well down here closer to the border where the culture is still heavily influenced by its Mexican roots. Should be interesting.
I’m still stunned to wake up and find the Kerry story leading the news even after his apology. I actually agree he said something stupid even if it wasn’t what he’s accused of, but jesus, do they have to obsess about it for 3 days? Are they going to mention Boehner at all, or does that not count because it’s Democrats who are complaining? And most critically, have they noticed who has been President of the United States for the last 6 freaking years? Bush is a walking gaffe machine, and every single time they ignore his misstatements and pretend that he speaks some semblance of english. I need to take a shower to get rid of the stench of CNN.